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Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel Sutherland On behalf of the Drug Trends Team

Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

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Page 1: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel Sutherland

On behalf of the Drug Trends Team

Page 2: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

2

Characterising the Samples

IDRS Participants

N=888

EDRS Participants

N=786

People who inject drugs

(six times or more past six months)

People who use stimulants

(six times or more past six months)

High levels of dependence

• Opioid dependence (69%)

• Methamphetamine dependence (48%)

• Opioid AND meth dependence (16%)

More sporadic patterns of use across a range

of drugs

Predominantly male 67%

Average age 43 years

Predominantly male 64%

Average age 21 years

Page 3: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

3

IDRS: Drug Use Drug of choice (%) 53 54 53

50 52

46 46

20 21 23 24 25

29 32

2 3 8 10 10 8 9

9 7 11

14 15

21

24

0

10

20

30

40

50

602

01

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

201

7

% S

am

ple

Heroin Any methamph Morphine

Drug injected most last month (%)

43 42 40 41 41

39 37

11 10

15

22

28

36 35

16 16 17

16

13 12 12

26 25 25

30

34

40 40

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

201

7

% S

am

ple

Heroin Crystal Morphine Any methamph

Page 4: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

4

EDRS: Drug Use Drug of choice (%)

42

37

27

32 32 35

30

36 36

17 16

20 19

23 25

29 21

28

11 12

11

15 18

12 15 15

11

0

10

20

30

40

50

602

00

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

201

7

% S

am

ple

Ecstasy Cannabis Alcohol

Drug used most last month (%)

16

42

33

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

201

7

% S

am

ple

Ecstasy Cannabis Alcohol

Page 5: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

Opioids

Heroin and Pharmaceutical Opioids

Page 6: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

6

Opioids in context - international

Source: INCB 2011-13 data Berterame et

al, Lancet (2016)

13,440

22,941

31,453

Source: CDC WONDER

Page 7: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

7

16

20

0

10

20

30

40

50

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Rate

s p

er

mill

ion p

opula

tion

Rates of heroin deaths per million population

Heroin deaths in context - Australia

Source: Roxburgh et al, 2017; ABS, 2017

Page 8: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

8

IDRS Findings Heroin injecting – use and frequency

79

66 66 65 69

65

56 58

60 64 63

61 59 60 60

58 56 57

37

20

26 29

25 24

17

23 18

24 27

24 28

22 25

30 30 30

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

% P

WID

Heroin injected Heroin Daily

Heroin daily use stable nationally

Some increases e.g. NSW, QLD

Some decreases e.g. SA, WA

NB: Heroin Daily among those who have used heroin

Heroin use stable nationally

Some increases – e.g. ACT, VIC, SA

Decreases – e.g. NSW, WA

Page 9: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

9

IDRS Findings Pharmaceutical opioid injecting - use

40

50 45 46

41

49

50 47

42

43 39 39

35 35

28 27 27

16

22 26 26

29 28 31 33 31 27

19 16

13

6 8 9 8 7 0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

% P

WID

Morphine Injected Oxycodone Injected Fentanyl Injected

Morphine – stable nationally

Predominant in NT and TAS

Oxycodone – declining nationally and in

most jurisdictions (Increased NSW)

Fentanyl – stable and low nationally

(Increased NSW)

Page 10: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

10

IDRS Findings Daily pharmaceutical opioid injecting

26

6

8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

% o

f th

ose u

sin

g e

ach o

pio

id

Morphine Daily Oxycodone Daily Fentanyl Daily

Morphine - stable nationally NT daily use

Oxycodone – stable and low nationally

Fentanyl – stable and low nationally

Largely infrequent use of oxycodone and fentanyl

Page 11: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

Methamphetamine

Page 12: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

12

Methamphetamines in context

26.7 21.7

50.4 57.3

51.2 50.6

28.5 20.2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

% o

f m

eth

users

Crsytal Main Form Speed Main Form

2007 2010 2013 2016

2016 1.4% past

12 mths

Source: NDSHS AIHW

Page 13: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

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76 74 75

79

74 69 67

60

66 68

66 69

72 75

71

84 83 84 82

71 59

54

56 60 61

50 47 38 38

31

0

20

40

60

80

100

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

% S

am

ple

IDRS Meth use EDRS Meth use

Drug Trends Findings Methamphetamine use – Past 6 months

Page 14: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

14

49 51 53 50

46 49

41 45

49 50 51 53

59 61

30 29

24 27

16 14 12

22 18 15

19 18 19

12

6 8 8 7 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 9

13

14

0

20

40

60

80

100

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

% o

f th

ose u

sin

g m

eth

am

pheta

min

e IDRS Meth Weekly or More EDRS Meth Weekly or More IDRS Meth Daily Use

Drug Trends Findings Methamphetamine use – Frequency

Page 15: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

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Drug Trends Findings – Methamphetamine Forms used

87 82 88

78 80 78

84 84 82 79

76 77

66 66

72 71

69

80

71 74

69 73

70 66

59

60

43

36

26 28

0

20

40

60

80

100

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017%

of

those u

sin

g m

eth

am

pheta

min

e

EDRS - Speed IDRS Speed

Speed

62

54

46

60 46

41

28

30

43 48

46

43

50 50

43

70 67

57

72

63

71

56

65 69

80

84

88

93 98

96

0

20

40

60

80

100

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

% o

f th

ose u

sin

g m

eth

am

pheta

min

e

EDRS - Crystal IDRS Crystal

Crystal

Page 16: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

Diversification of MDMA and other stimulant

markets

Page 17: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

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EDRS Findings: Ecstasy forms used

100 100 100 98 97

95 96 92

85 82

78

60

71

21

30

39

57

67

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

% r

ep

ort

ed

ED

RS

us

e

pills capsules powder MDMA crystals

5

30

50

15 Low

Medium

High

Fluctuates

Perceived purity

Crystal MDMA

17

37 18

28 Low

Medium

High

Fluctuates

Perceived purity

Page 18: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

18

EDRS Findings: Ecstasy patterns of use – last six months

26 30

23 28 28 26 27

24 26 30

0

20

40

60

80

100

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

% o

f th

ose r

ep

ort

ing

rece

nt

use

weekly ecstasy use *

* Includes pills, powder, capsules and MDMA crystals

Page 19: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

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EDRS Findings: Other drug use 2017

97

89

50 48 44

37 33 31

22 18

13 9 7

2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

% R

PU

re

po

rtin

g

* * * *

IDRS – 45% of cannabis users report daily cannabis use

EDRS – 24% of cannabis users report daily cannabis use

Page 20: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

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EDRS Findings Proportions reporting use of capsules of

unknown content

12 10 8 7 14

20

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

% R

PU

rep

ort

ing

Page 21: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

23

EDRS Findings Proportions reporting adverse effects from

stimulants past 12 months

18 18 18 19 19 26

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

% R

PU

rep

ort

ing

Page 22: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

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1. Opioids

Carefully monitor heroin and other opioid markets

Synthetic opioids present a future challenge - diversification

Importance of naloxone availability

2. Methamphetamine

Increasing levels of frequent use among IDRS participants

Declining use among EDRS participants

Engage with consumers without stigma to encourage to tx

3. Diversification of MDMA and stimulant markets

Acute harms – toxicity/adverse events – increasingly being reported

Particularly concerning in context of high purity crystal MDMA available

and use of capsules of unknown contents

Importance of communication and accurate information

Summary

Page 23: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

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Targeting gangs and organised crime

9th December 2016

Police Commissioner Mike Bush

Ngā mihi. Congratulations to all staff involved in the lengthy investigation

into the Head Hunters gang in Christchurch. Led by the Canterbury

Organised Crime Unit, this resulted in a number of search warrants being

conducted this week and the arrest of several people on charges including

supplying methamphetamine.

Several more Head Hunters members and associates were arrested in the

lead-up to this week’s operation.

As with other recent operations of this nature, Police staff have offered to

put methamphetamine users identified during the investigation in

contact with agencies that can help with any dependency issues. This

is a good preventative measure to reduce the harm caused by this highly-

addictive and damaging drug.

Thinking Forward –Diversification in response

Page 24: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

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Thinking Forward –Diversification in response

Eugene Ryder – Wellington Black Power – “against p”

Page 25: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

27

Thinking Forward -Engagement

Page 26: Prepared by Amanda Roxburgh, Toni Karlsson, Rachel ... Amanda Roxbur… · Drug Trends 2017: Looking back to think forward Funded by the Australian Government Department of Health

28

Thank you - 2017 Drug Trends Team National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of New South Wales

(National, NSW, ACT, SA and the NT)

Dr Courtney Breen, A/Professor Lucinda Burns, Ms Kerryn Butler, Ms Antonia Karlsson, Ms Courtney

O’Donnell, Ms Amanda Roxburgh, Ms Jennifer Stafford, Ms Rachel Sutherland, Ms Julia Uporova, Mr Joe van

Buskirk, and Professor Alison Ritter

Burnet Institute for Medical Research and Public Health (VIC)

Ms Amy Kirwan, Mr Arthur Truong, Dr Campbell Aitken and Professor Paul Dietze

School of Medicine, University of Tasmania (TAS)

Ms Bethany Lusk, Dr Amy Peacock, Dr Allison Matthews and A/Professor Raimondo Bruno

National Drug Research Institute (WA)

Mr James Fetherston, Ms Marina Nelson and Professor Simon Lenton

School of Public Health, The University of Queensland (QLD)

Dr Caroline Salom and Professor Rosa Alati

Northern Territory Department of Health (NT)

Mr Chris Moon, Ms Tania Davidson and Mr Warrant Que Noy