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Public Opinion and Political Socialization. Unit II – Political Beliefs and Behaviors AP U.S. Government and Politics. Introduction. This chapter deals with public opinion and its influence on U.S. politics. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Public Opinion and Political Socialization
Unit II – Political Beliefs and BehaviorsAP U.S. Government and Politics
Introduction• This chapter deals with public opinion and its
influence on U.S. politics.– Public opinion – The politically relevant opinions held by
ordinary citizens that they express openly.• Americans’ political opinions are shaped by a
variety of factors.• Public opinion has an important impact on
government, but usually doesn’t determine what officials will do.
Political Socialization• Political socialization is the learning process by
which people acquire their political opinions, beliefs, and values.– Political opinions are part of political culture.– Political culture – the characteristic and deep-seated
beliefs of a particular people about gov’t and politics.• The political socialization process takes place
through a number of agents of socialization.– Agents of socialization – Those agents, such as the family
and the media, that have a significant impact on citizens’ political affiliation.
Primary Socializing Agents Secondary Socializing Agents
Introduced at a very young age. Come into play as a person gets older.
Family – shapes a person’s beliefs from a very young age.• Children tend to place great trust in what their parents say.
Peers – many individuals share political opinions with their peers.
School – affects a child’s basic political beliefs.• mostly show government and leaders in a positive light.
Mass media – images in media impact an individual’s political beliefs.
Church – influence children's’ attitudes on society’s obligations toward different groups.• ex. The poor, the unborn
Political Leaders – become a major source of opinion.• most influential - President
Socializing Agents
Party Identification• Partisanship is a major frame of political reference
for many Americans.– Party identification – a person’s sense of loyalty to a
political party.– Party identification is not formal membership in a party
but rather an emotional attachment to it.• Partisanship impacts how people “see” candidates
and issues.– Selective Perception leads to people selectively choosing
information that supports what they already believe.
Political Ideology• Ideology – A consistent pattern of opinion on
particular issues that stems from a core set of beliefs.
• Less than ¼ of Americans have opinions consistent enough to have a true political ideology.
– Most Americans have ideological leanings.• economic liberals vs. economic conservatives• cultural (social) liberals vs. cultural (social) conservatives• libertarians vs. populists
– Ideological tendencies are a good way to look at how Americans think about government.
Group Orientations• Many Americans’ group affiliation impacts their
political beliefs.– Self-interest is tied to the group, and they are likely to
respond when an issue arises that affects the group.– Religion• Catholics and Jews have obligation to help the poor.• The “Religious Right” see the Bible as infallible truth.
– Opinions on abortion, gay rights, school prayer differ from society as a whole.
– Economic Class• Income and education level affect Americans’ opinions.• Lower income Americans more likely to support welfare;
higher income Americans more likely to support tax cuts.
Group Orientations, cont.– Region• “Red States” – Republican bastions in the South, Great Plains,
and Rocky Mountains.• “Blue States” – Democratic bastions in the Northeast, northern
Midwest, and West Coast.– Race and Ethnicity• Blacks and Hispanics more supportive of affirmative action and
less trusting of police and judicial system.– Gender• Men and Women think alike on many issues but differ on
others.– Women – more likely to support poverty assistance and education.– Men – more likely to support use of military force.
Group Orientations, cont.– Generations and Age• Americans of different ages respond differently to age-related
policies.• Older people are more likely to be involved in the political
process than younger people.– Crosscutting• Individuals belong to multiple groups, leading to crosscutting.• One group’s beliefs will offset another’s leading to political
moderation.
Measuring Public Opinion• Government is based on a system of relationships
one can’t see.– Public opinion is the same way, since we can’s “see” it,
we must measure it indirectly.• Today, the primary method for estimating public
opinion is through polls.– In a public opinion poll, a relatively few individuals – the
sample – are interviewed to estimate the opinions of a whole population.• Choosing respondents at random will allow their opinions to
approximate those of the entire population.
Public Opinion Polls• The accuracy of a poll is expressed in terms of
sampling error.– Sampling error is the degree to which the sample
estimates may differ from what the population actually thinks.
– The Gallup Organization has polled voters in every presidential election since 1936 and erred badly only once (1948).
– Rasmussen Reports
The Gallup Poll predicted that Dewey would defeat Truman in the 1948 presidential election. A Gallup poll a few weeks prior showed Dewey with a seemingly insurmountable lead, leading the Chicago Tribune to print the wrong result. Here, Truman holds up the Chicago Tribune with the headline “Dewey Defeats Truman” after his victory.
Problems with Polls• Increasing refusal to participate in telephone polls.• Polled individuals unfamiliar with issues.• Dishonesty by respondents.• Poorly worded questions and poor question order.– Differently worded questions yield different answers.
• Non-opinions.– This occurs when respondent is uninformed and their
response can’t be considered valid.
Influence of Public Opinion on Policy• What impact does public opinion have on
government policies?– There is disagreement over the impact it should have.– Answer varies, most studies show that public opinion
influences policymakers.
Limits on Public Influence• Inconsistency in citizens’ policy preferences.• Citizens’ lack of understanding issues.– Citizens need some understanding of issues in order to
influence opinion.
Public Opinion and the Boundaries of Action• Public opinion places boundaries on the actions of
political leaders.– V.O. Key – “politicians must operate within the limits of
what the public deems reasonable and acceptable.”– The greater the public involvement the more likely
politicians will respond.– Leaders use discretion when responding to public
opinion.• In many cases, the public is divided on an issue.– Leaders can’t satisfy both sides, so they usually take the
side of their party.• Some feel policies reflect the preferences of leaders
more than citizens.