1
Resourceful planet 1. http://news.mit.edu/2014/predicting-the-future-of-global-water-stress, accessed 1 April 16. 2. Bloomberg New Energy Finance. 3. Bloomberg New Energy Finance. 4. BP Energy Outlook: 2016 Edition, BP, p. 15. 5. http://www.environmentalleader.com/2015/12/15/cop21-climate-deal-whats-next-for-business/#ixzz44obQS1DZ, accessed 4 April 16. 6. Market Data: Advanced Batteries for Utility-Scale Energy Storage, Navigant Research, 1Q 2016, p. 12. 7. Bloomberg New Energy Finance. 8. Navigant Research. 9. Navigant Research. 10. http://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate2685.epdf?referrer_access_token=3hSNyD6aveKmcqROPSlUadRgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0OgWH88gW1xBh-ptYSEqpmrDtpqP4OzfAkwuSL_ A7ejXWt2ofVne6Ko4odPOi88cCQuYu_GIby3EJNH_TkQWpK0TzHT6wlL55wBvfRG-vwsSrK4wG4AmU7k_pjvW2pXbzcvIEEhOzOe5PECs, accessed 4 April 16. 11. Navigant Research. 12. http://www.waterworld.com/articles/print/volume-29/issue-12/water-utility-management/smart-water-a-key-building-block-of-the-smart-city-of-the-future.html, accessed 4 April 16. 13. http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/global-smart-water-management-market-2015-2020-ibm-general-electric-abb-itron-elster-group-schneider-electric-sensus-and-takadu- dominates-the-18-billion-market-300096194.html, accessed 4 April 16. 14. Navigant Research. 15. Navigant Research. 16. Navigant Research. © 2016 EYGM Limited. All Rights Reserved. EYG no. 01143-163GBL. ED None Could innovation make the planet resource rich, rather than resource scarce? Demographics and climate disruption create natural resource constraints — our future must be ... Resource efficient 2050 9.7b people; 50% in water stressed regions; double the energy demand 1 Carbon constrained 2015 hottest year recorded; by 2100, unchecked climate disruption could reduce global GDP by 23% 23% Reduce global GDP Resilient 250 million people are at risk of displacement from rising seas by 2100 We are at an inflection point in the resource transformation. Signposts include ... Growing political will Renewables fastest growing energy source COP21: 195 countries Global warming <1.5C Zero net carbon by 2100 Resources 700% increase in installed capacity over the past 10 years. 3 2/3 of all power generation investment through 2040: US$8t. 2 Economic energy storage will catalyze the next phase of the resources transformation Price of lithium ion battery packs to fall 47% by 2021 6 Empowering energy efficiency, renewables integration and energy trading Electric vehicles: 35% of global new car sales by 2040 7 Batteries Convergence is creating the fourth industrial revolution in natural resources ... With new upsides ... Autonomous EVs Renewable energy Ridesharing up to 94% less vehicle GHG emissions 10 Residential solar Energy storage EV charging Demand response empowered customers and US$93b market by 2025 11 Distributed energy IoT Intelligent control Urban water IoT Analytics Annual revenue for the commercial and industrial energy storage industry is expected to reach $10.8 billion by 2025 8 Global solar PV plus energy storage nanogrid adoption is expected to grow 9 US$1.2b in 2015 US$23.1b in 2024. COP21 climate commitments by 5,000 global companies representing US$38t in revenues. 5 Corporate action 5,000 g l o b a l c o m p a n i e s + 47% 129 million autonomous-capable vehicles to be sold from 2020–2035 15 129 million 2035 2020 IoT Smart tech 30% energy savings, 15% water savings, 12 US$18b market by 2020 13 microgrids provide affordable electricity for off-grid communities, US$196b market by 2024 14 Residential IoT device market 16 2015 2025 $330 billion double the energy demand rising seas Natural gas to displace coal as the #2 energy source by 2035. 4 Shift to natural gas Over 30 countries enabling resource efficiency and low carbon energy: Power and water market reforms 50% water stressed regions US$10.8b 2025 94% Less 35%

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Page 1: Resourceful planet V8 - White BGcdn.ey.com/echannel/gl/en/issues/business-environment/2016megatrends/PDF/Resourceful...IoT Intelligent control Urban water IoT Analytics Annual revenue

Resourceful planet

1. http://news.mit.edu/2014/predicting-the-future-of-global-water-stress, accessed 1 April 16.

2. Bloomberg New Energy Finance.

3. Bloomberg New Energy Finance.

4. BP Energy Outlook: 2016 Edition, BP, p. 15.

5. http://www.environmentalleader.com/2015/12/15/cop21-climate-deal-whats-next-for-business/#ixzz44obQS1DZ, accessed 4 April 16.

6. Market Data: Advanced Batteries for Utility-Scale Energy Storage, Navigant Research, 1Q 2016, p. 12.

7. Bloomberg New Energy Finance.

8. Navigant Research.

9. Navigant Research.

10. http://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate2685.epdf?referrer_access_token=3hSNyD6aveKmcqROPSlUadRgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0OgWH88gW1xBh-ptYSEqpmrDtpqP4OzfAkwuSL_A7ejXWt2ofVne6Ko4odPOi88cCQuYu_GIby3EJNH_TkQWpK0TzHT6wlL55wBvfRG-vwsSrK4wG4AmU7k_pjvW2pXbzcvIEEhOzOe5PECs, accessed 4 April 16.

11. Navigant Research.

12. http://www.waterworld.com/articles/print/volume-29/issue-12/water-utility-management/smart-water-a-key-building-block-of-the-smart-city-of-the-future.html, accessed 4 April 16.

13. http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/global-smart-water-management-market-2015-2020-ibm-general-electric-abb-itron-elster-group-schneider-electric-sensus-and-takadu-dominates-the-18-billion-market-300096194.html, accessed 4 April 16.

14. Navigant Research.

15. Navigant Research.

16. Navigant Research. © 2

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EY

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1143

-163

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Could innovation make the planet resource rich, rather than resource scarce?

Demographics and climate disruption create natural resource constraints — our future must be ...

Resource efficient 2050 — 9.7b people; 50% in water stressed regions; double the energy demand1

Carbon constrained2015 hottest year recorded; by 2100, unchecked climate disruption could reduce global GDP by 23%

23%

Reduceglobal

GDP

Resilient250 million people are at risk of displacement from rising seas by 2100

We are at an inflection point in the resource transformation. Signposts include ...

Growing political will Renewables fastest growing energy sourceCOP21: 195 countries

Global warming <1.5C Zero net carbon by 2100

Resources

700% increase in installed capacity over the past 10 years.3

2/3 of all power generation investment through 2040: US$8t.2

Economic energy storage will catalyze the next phase of the resources transformation

Price of lithium ion battery packs to fall 47% by 20216

Empowering energy efficiency, renewables integration and energy trading

Electric vehicles: 35% of global new car sales by 20407

Batteries

Convergence is creating the fourth industrial revolution in natural resources ...

With new upsides ...

Autonomous EVsRenewable energyRidesharing

up to 94% less vehicleGHG emissions10

Residential solarEnergy storageEV chargingDemand response

empowered customers and US$93b market by 202511

Distributed energyIoTIntelligent control

Urban waterIoTAnalytics

Annual revenue for the commercial and industrial energy storage industry isexpected to reach $10.8 billion by 20258

Global solar PV plus energy storage nanogrid adoption is expected to grow9

US$1.2bin 2015

US$23.1bin 2024.

COP21 climate commitments by 5,000 global companies representing US$38t in revenues.5

Corporate action

5,000global companies

+47%—

129 million autonomous-capable vehicles to be sold from 2020–203515

129 million

2035

2020

IoT Smart tech

30% energy savings,15% water savings,12

US$18b market by 202013

microgrids provideaffordable electricity for off-grid communities,US$196b market by 202414

Residential IoT device market16

2015 2025$330 billion

double the energy demand

rising seas

Natural gas to displace coal as the #2 energy source by 2035.4

Shift to natural gas

Over 30 countries enabling resource efficiency and low carbon energy:

Power and water market reforms

50%water stressed regions

US$10.8b

2025

94%Less

35%