Roles of think Tanks in Africa

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    Think Tanks in Africa Catalysts for

    Ideas and Action?

    ByFrannie A. LEAUTIER

    Partner and CEOMkoba Private Equity

    I. Panorama of Think Tanks in Africa

    II. How do African Think Tanks Catalyze Change?

    III. Illustrations and Examples

    IV. Emerging Challenge for Think Tanks

    V. Think Tanks and the missing middle

    Outline

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    I. Panorama of Think Tanks in Africa

    Presence: Africa has 554 think tanks and only4 countries have none (Comoros, Djibouti,Equatorial Guinea, Sao Tome and Principe)

    Evolution: think tanks have evolved into adiverse set of entities with varying influenceover the last 50 years

    Benchmark: there are as many countries inAfrica with 10 or more think tanks as they arein Western Europe

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    Panorama: Mediators

    Forums fordebate and

    exchangeof ideas

    Government

    PrivateSector

    ExternalStakeholders

    Public

    Staff strength and

    convening power

    Several African TTs featured

    in Top 80 on internationaldevelopment;

    Few in international

    economic policy, domestic

    economic policy, and public

    engagement

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    Panorama: Trusted Advisors

    EmergingIssues

    StubbornChallenges

    AnnouncedPriorities

    ResearchProducts

    No think tank in Africa was labeled

    by the Upenn assessment as being

    affiliated with a political party.

    What changes will the political

    democratization of Africa bring?

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    Panorama: Transformers

    InstitutionalStrengthening

    Statistics and Data(CAMERCAP)

    TA toGovernment

    Tax Policy and TaxAdministration(CERCAP)

    LeadershipDevelopment

    Fellowships,Internships andMentorship(KIPPRA)

    MeasuringCD

    IDEAS

    Domesticrevenues

    PROBLEMSMunicipalleaders

    POLICIES

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    Panorama: Independent Thinkers

    Breaking free of influence Independent opinions

    on critical issues

    Informed analysis of

    contested ideas Space for public debate

    on important themes

    Courses, seminars andworkshops on variety of

    little-known issues

    None of the best TTs in Africa citedfor political affiliations but many

    dependent on external aid or

    single large donor

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    II. How do African Think Tanks Catalyze Change?

    Inside-out: people, products, spaces

    Outside-in: networks, institutions, results

    &

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    The Change Model Inside-Out

    Spaces

    Products

    People

    Critical mass of talented

    people

    Network of influentialcontacts

    Alumni of training and

    other programs

    Quality research and

    data inputs

    Effective information

    sharing platforms

    Physical space to

    bring people

    together

    Digital space to

    reach out

    Moral authority to

    convene

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    The Change Model Outside-In

    Influential

    Network

    StrategicInstitutions

    Strengthened

    Capacity toExecute &

    Achieve Results

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    III. Illustrations and Examples

    Learning from evaluation of ACBF supported

    think tanks:

    Examples from ACBF models and efforts

    Demonstrated impact

    Overall achievements

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    Examples from ACBF Models & Efforts Supporting TTs

    Example of Efforts

    Use of TTs in own work(ACI) on agriculture (agri-

    business and agro-

    processing, natural

    resource management)

    PIC Forum to learn and

    share

    Linking TTs to other

    networks (AAU)

    Working in partnership

    with top rated TTs globally

    (4 out of 30) Attracting private sector

    financingCoca Cola and

    AMICAAL in Swaziland

    Lessons for Founders & Funders

    Concentration: only AERC made it into top 10O

    worldwide ranking--threat to ownership of the

    policy design and command of policy

    implementation

    Autonomy: independence from budgetary and

    political cycles allows TTs to stretch beyond issues

    of the moment and embrace gaps and omissions

    Patience: sustained support & attention to issues

    of capacity is key, it allows innovation and impact

    Local knowledge: solutions organically grown

    from local environment requires first rate

    indigenous research, analysis and design, and

    linking TTs to universities Space for change: processes that facilitate

    learning, innovation lead to original solutions

    role for social media

    On the job learning: peers learning from each

    other in real practical settings

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    TT Staff Strength

    Institutions

    Strengthened TA to Govt Leaders trained Policy Studies

    Courses,

    workshops,

    seminars

    CAPOD 12 40 3 35 13 23

    IDEC 20 3 1 8 20 5

    CAMERCAP 7 43 0 0 5 45

    EEA/EEPRI 36 25 3 0 10 20

    KIPPRA 54 7 24 577 81 83

    CERCAP 17 38 32 174 10 21

    CMAP 13 0 0 0 11 6

    CAPED 12 10 6 77 10 2

    CEPOD 22 18 20 10 13 14

    EPRC 5 8 5 85 40 10

    Full service TT Focus on Institutional

    Strengthening

    Varied contribution to

    Government vs Others

    Leadership with skills

    and access to ideas

    Regular skills

    updates

    TA to support skills

    gaps in Government

    Case I: ACBF Supported Think Tanks

    Synergies & Value for Money: Demonstrated Impact of TTs

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    Case I: ACBF Supported Think Tanks

    Synergies & Value for Money: Overall Achievements

    Indicator Total Average per

    Think Tank

    Total number of staff 316 15

    Number of institutions strengthened 256 12

    Number of technical assistance to government

    agencies

    110 5

    Number of leaders trained 973 45

    Number of policy studies, research completed 321 15

    Number of policy studies, research

    commissioned by Government

    152 7

    Number of publications disseminated 206 10

    Number of short courses organized 92 5

    Number of workshops/seminars organized 202 10

    Source: Extracted from ACIR, 2013

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    IV. Emerging Challenges for Think Tanks

    Autonomy and independence: political context inAfrica is changing and influencing the creation,development, influence and impact of think tanks

    Competition: amongst think tanks, withuniversities and with the private sector on policyresearch and advice to government

    Shifting aid paradigm: impact investing, socialentrepreneurs, individual philanthropy

    Results versus impact debate: deliveringmeasurable goals or transforming society in thelong term and related trade offs

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    Autonomy & Independence: Share of

    Government Commissioned Work

    E

    E

    A

    /

    E

    E

    P

    R

    I

    K

    I

    PP

    R

    A

    C

    E

    R

    C

    AP

    C

    E

    P

    O

    D

    C

    AM

    E

    R

    C

    A

    P

    10% 38% 70% 85% 100%

    l l

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    0

    50

    100

    020 32

    24

    3

    100

    85

    70

    38

    10

    TA to Govt

    %Govt Commissioned

    Balancing Relevance & Autonomy:

    TA vs. Government Commissioned Work

    Low on Advisory

    High on Commissioned

    Low on Advisory

    Low on Commissioned

    High on Advisory

    High on Commissioned

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    Competition: Rise of the Educonsulting Business

    The African Challengers: Global

    Competitors Emerge from the Overlooked

    Continent

    Lions on the Move: The Progress andPotential of African Economies

    Building bridges: Ernst & Youngs 2012

    Attractiveness Survey on Africa

    African Development (by country and

    topics)

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    Shifting Aid Paradigm: New Modalities

    Impact Investing

    Rockefeller Foundation and

    JP Morgan: Impact

    InvestmentsAn EmergingAsset Class

    The Rockefeller Foundation

    and the Tony Elumelu

    Foundation Launch the

    Impact Economy Innovation

    Fund in Cape Town in April

    2013

    PPP and Think Tanks

    PEInternational Think Tank and

    its feature of Jacana Partners,

    a pan-African PE form with

    $75 million in new funds for

    SMEs

    EUACC, the EU Africa Chamber

    of Commerce which aims to

    share added value informationon business practices in Africa

    and organize conferences and

    workshops on various topics

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    Results Versus Impact: Bridging the Difference

    Catalytic role: increase in the rateof a reaction to an idea due to theparticipation of a catalyst (thinktank)

    Path dependency: the path ofchange since intervention of theagent (think tank)

    Change agent: changed focus by

    debate, behavior by role modeling,systems and processes by trainingand technical assistance

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    V. African Think Tanks and the missing middle

    Missing Middle Rosy projections hide challenges:

    Huge pent up demand --more than 85% of SMEs need finance

    Opportunity Space Higher capital deployment (cumulative investments to cumulative fundraising for PE)

    Significantly underserved PE environment, less efficient than other emerging markets

    PE markets make up less than 0.1% of SSAsaggregate GDP. India and Brazil 4-7 times

    PE could provide SMEs with capital, advisory services, knowledge transfer

    Role of Think Tanks Very few think tanks in Africa work in this space

    SME Think Tank on Twitter available to Africa

    China-Africa TTs Forum put a lot of attention on supporting SMEs

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    Policy role for Think Tanks in PE for SMEs

    Types of Policies

    Policies for domestic revenue mobilization,

    fiscal & monetary management, and financialsector policies to prepare for increased globalexposure

    Policies to bridge skill gaps in banking,finance, accounting, legal structuring, andinvestment management

    Policies to enhance regulatory environmentthat underpins good performance of SMEs

    Trade finance policies to create markets forSME produced products

    Public spending policies to to channelinvestments to top priorities (cities, transport,

    energy, health and education) Policies to enhance regional labour markets

    for local talent to move across countries

    Nature of Engagement

    Complexity and change:

    seek policies for long-termshifts in behavior, skills,attitudes & motivations,processes & practices, rules& norms (formal & informal)

    Interactions: adjust policydesign & implementation toaccommodate interactionswith new products &services, technology &change

    Context: relevance ofstarting points and role of

    history and aspirations andexpectations. Highly localresearch but dependent onlong-distance (global) effects

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    Lessons from Experience: Choices for Think Tanks

    Areas to focus onfor research,analysis and study

    Dialogue andimplementationarrangements

    Policies for effectivetransformation andchange

    Differentiate

    Critical interfaceslike gender, privatesector, parliaments,regional integration

    Policies for regionalpublic goodssustainability

    Policies for riskmanagement,uncertainty,recovery andresilience

    Collaborate

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