Sarit Prajna Sahu_Management Report to The Nielsen Company

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    Management Report

    USE OF BIG DATA FOR HELPING FMCG CLIENTS TO

    DEVELOP A CUSTOMER-CENTRIC MODEL AND REDUCE

    RISKS THROUGH OPEN INNOVATION METHODOLOGY

    WARWICK BUSINESS SCHOOL

    September 13, 2013

    Authored by: Sarit Prajna Sahu

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    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    Among all the dimensions of Big Data, the value dimension of it will see special

    focus in this report (See Annex 1). Huge volume of data is generated every second

    from sources such as websites, social Media, cloud, internet of Things and

    smartphones/tablets/mobile devices which are structured as well as unstructured in

    the form of text messages, voice recordings, and social media content. Given that

    there is enormous digital data available, it can be said that offline content is still

    relevant. Thus, it has become essential that sources of data be tracked. Data from

    all the sources should not be treated in a segregated manner but conjointly. The

    biggest issue in handling Big Data and generating value out of it will be seen as theorganisational value network (Christensen, 1997). Ultimately it will be seen how

    this value network of Nielsen should be such that it not only can suggest innovative

    ideas to its clients but can also do it seamlessly. The work of the following authors:

    Grant McCracken, Clayton M. Christensen and C.K.Prahalad & M.S.Krishnan have set

    the foundation of the recommendations. The reason behind this is that all of them

    convey that the organisational structure and culture are important to be innovative.

    In a KPMG survey, 19% of the respondents globally and 24% of EMEA respondents

    claim that Risk Management is one of the barriers to commercialising disruptive

    technology innovations. Among the top 6 Market Research companies where

    Nielsen holds position 1 as per honomichl top 50, 2013 report (See Annex 13), 3 of

    them already have various analytics services already. Thus, Big Data Analytics,

    Innovation and Risk Management have been brought together so that Nielsen can

    provide a competitive edge for its clients. Since, companies are now facing the

    issues related to their functions operating in silos, it has been recommended that

    Data Analytics, Innovation and Risk Management should not only be just capabilities

    of the company but should work interdependently and any data collected and

    decisions made should through this combined capability and then pass through to

    the clients such that customers and clients are also included in the eco-system.

    Research data published by Data Blueprint this year says that more than 60% of the

    organisations are planning to hire a CDO but since they are not very sure whom the

    position should report, they are delaying the process. Since we are dealing with Big

    Data, it has been suggested that Nielsen introduces this role in order to be a pioneer

    in this industry in order to not only handle disruptive and breakthrough innovations

    but also help create them for its clients.

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    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    Executive Summary ..................................................................................................... 1

    1. Introduction ............................................................. ............................................. 3

    1.1 Scope ........................................................................................................................... 3

    1.2 Key Objectives ............................................................................................................. 4

    1.3 Method ........................................................................................................................ 4

    1.4 Limitations ................................................................................................................... 5

    1.5 Assumptions ................................................................................................................ 5

    2. Key Findings ............................................................. ............................................. 6

    2.1 T+I Factor ..................................................................................................................... 7

    2.2 The Risk Factor ................................................................ ........................................... 17

    2.2.1 Data Risks ................................................................................................................. .. 17

    2.2.2 Innovation Risks ............................................................................................... .......... 18

    3. Discussion ................................................................ ........................................... 19

    3.1 Could/Should Nielsen venture into Big Data Analysis on behalf of its clients? ......... 20

    3.2 How can investing in Big Data Analytics boost Nielsens position as a Global

    Marketing Research Leader? ..................................................................................... 21

    3.3 Would investment in Big Data provide competitive and adaptive advantage to its

    clients? ....................................................................................................................... 23

    4. Recommendation and Implementation ............................................................. 24

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    1. INTRODUCTION

    This report has the purpose to address Big Data at a level beyond hype such that it can be used for

    innovating such that it can help Nielsen to gain competitive and adaptive advantage for its FMCG

    clients and that it can assure its Nmero Uno position in the marketing research industry.

    The diagram below shows the roadmap for both Nielsen and its clients to use big data for innovation

    in order to ensure that both competitive as well as adaptive advantage be achieved.

    Fig 1 . 1 . A FR O M V I C I O US T O V I R T UO US C Y C L E

    This is a crude representation of the route to success and the recommendation section will show the

    actual picture of the solution.

    1.1 SCOPE Within the scope of this project was to discover the strategic reasoning behind Nielsen

    investing in Big Data and Analytics such that it can innovate for its FMCG clients and create

    competitive advantage for them by helping them model their business as customer-centric

    and managing their risks. Taking an independent perspective of Nielsens resources and

    capabilities, this project aimed to confirm the organisational strength of the company to be

    able to create analytics capability. Thus, the HOWs and WHATs of Big Data analytics were

    to be addressed such that the overall impact comes out to be robust and long-term in

    nature. This project did not intentionally expand upon (though the future research section

    did touch upon) the operational aspects of Big Data Analytics for the purpose of extensive

    analysis of the strategic front and avoiding it from appearing highly technical.

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    1.2 KEY OBJECTIVES

    1.2.1

    CO U L D/ SHOULD N I E L S E N VE N T U R E I N T O BIG DA TA AN A LYSIS O N BE HA L F O F ITS

    C L I E N T S?

    Under this question, it will be covered whether Nielsen should make this strategic decision to

    invest in Big Data infrastructure and analytics and what could be the implications of doing this.

    1.2.2 HO W C AN I N VE S T I N G I N BIG DATA AN AL Y TICS BO O ST N IELSEN S P O S I T I O N AS A

    G L O BAL MAR KE T I N G R E S E AR C H L E AD E R ?

    The new capabilities need to be acquired will be discussed in the report such that benefits of Big

    Data investments provide sustainable competitive advantage to Nielsen against its competitors

    even though they make similar investments and have the same capabilities. Thus, the charisma

    will remain in the implementation of the capability rather than the capability itself.

    1.2.3

    WO U L D I N VE S T ME N T I N BIG DATA P RO VIDE CO MPE TIT I VE AN D A DAPTI VE

    ADVAN TAG E T O IT S CL I E N T S?

    It is the adaptive nature of an organisation that can make it sustainably competitive as well.

    Again, the question is how can Nielsen create it for the client? The answer to it will throw light on

    the organisational structure of a market research company such that consumers, data sources,

    suppliers, clients all belong to the same system and have to communicate with each other via the

    new driving capability that will be suggested in the recommendation section.

    1.3 METHOD

    The methodologies adopted to carry out this dissertation required primary as well as secondary

    researches. Primary research will involve conducting surveys targeting senior professionals from B2B

    businesses, online conferencing with academicians and Nielsens senior executives. The B2B survey is

    planned with the intention to capture information on Big Data and Analytics investments from

    managers belonging to various functional areas such as Marketing, IT, Executive, HR and Operations.

    The secondary research will involve information gathering from sources such as blogs, Newspaper

    articles, Trade Press, Marketing and FMCG news, Social Media, corporate white papers, published

    statistical data or surveys conducted by organisations such as KPMG, McKinsey & Company, PwC,

    IBM, booz&co etc. related to the topics such as Strategic Marketing, Big Data and Analytics, Predictive

    Analytics, Crowdsourcing, Global Advertising and Innovation.

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    1.4 LIMITATIONS

    As mentioned earlier, this report is limited to addressing strategic aspects of Big Data Analytics and

    innovation using it rather than the operational aspects which should include the exacts tools, skills

    and other resources required to conduct the same. Given that Nielsen already has business

    partnership with companies such as Google, IBM, Facebook, Twitter, Microsoft; gathering knowledge

    on tools from them is only a matter of time and negotiation but understanding the manner in which

    these tools should be used is what needs to be taken care of in the initial stages before the major

    investment is made since once a structure is made, it is highly difficult to restructure and could slow

    down the organisation when everything else around it rapidly moving and changing at the same time.

    Some of the methodology related limitations are:

    Generalizability Because the no. of respondents is too low to even consider conducting a

    quantitative analysis thus, it would be considered more than like opinions received and will face a

    constraint of not being able to generalise the outcome.

    Lack of B2C surveySince it is only B2B survey that has been taken as it addresses the business case

    where Nielsen and its FMCG clients are involved, a probable scope of B2C survey has been ignored

    which could have given better insights on some of the new marketing research techniques which can

    be worth exploring.

    Inaccessible Paid surveys or publications This dissertation lacks insightful information that can be

    found from paid surveys or reports and hence may not be able to cover the business case in that in

    depth as it is required.

    Independent Research The nature of the dissertation was more like a desk-based dissertation,

    access to some of the company related information from Nielsen was not always available but it was

    well understood between the me and the company prior to working on the project.

    1.5 ASSUMPTIONS

    As mentioned in the limitation section, it has been assumed that Nielsen must be getting technology

    related consulting from it business partners and that the company being the Worlds number 1

    market research company already has the resources and capabilities required in order to be able toincorporate these new tools into the system. Considering that Neurofocus has been acquired, it is

    assumed that Nielsen has already been working on Big Data and analytics since brain-imaging and

    neuroscience already capture high insightful information about consumers in huge volumes. Initially it

    was presumed that Nielsen does not have an analytics capability but after some basic research it was

    found out that the innovation analytics is a new capability and will soon come up with solutions to be

    provided to the customers.

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    2.KEY FINDINGS

    A reverse-order approach will be taken toward the key findings. The route to competitive advantage

    will be provided immediately thereafter each of the factors associated with it will be synthesised and

    key findings analysed.

    Knowing that the macro & micro economic trends and risks will always prevail in the marketplace, an

    equation to competitive advantage has been framed.

    ((T+I))R = A WHERE T = MAJOR TRENDS, I = INNOVATION, R = RISKS AND A = COMPETITIVE

    ADVANTAGE

    The equation explains that Innovation can be done in the presence of the major trends at both macro

    and micro level and when the risks are identified and mitigated can provide the competitive

    advantage to an organisation. The reason behind creating this equation is to stress upon the need for

    Big Data to captures the trends and risks such that the unknown variables are resolved such that

    the successful innovations can be created giving the competitive advantage to companies.

    Findings related to the numerator and denominator of the left hand side of the equation will be

    addressed one by one.

    Before T+I is explained, the three major trends (T) identified have been shown in the diagram

    below.

    F I G 2.A MA J O R T R E N D S I N T H E P R E S E N C E O F W H I C H IN N O V A T I O N S H O U L D O C C U R

    Major Trends

    Macro & Micro-Economic Factors

    Digitalisation Globalisation

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    2.1 T+I FACTOR

    Before the PESTLE is published, some of the forecasts about the FMCG industry will be explained

    now. As per Fig 2.1.a, the market value forecast for almost all the types of product in the

    industry is the highest in the APAC region whereas as per Fig 2.1.b, EMEA regions holds the

    maximum percentage share across all the types of products.

    F I G 2.1. A - R E G I O N A ND P R O DUC T T Y P E W I S E M A R KE T V A L UE F O R E C A S T B E T W E E N

    2011/12 T I L L 2016/17 (MA R K E TL I N E , 2012)

    -2.00

    0.00

    2.00

    4.00

    6.00

    8.00

    10.00

    12.00

    AlcoholicDrinks

    BathandShower

    Beer

    CannedFood

    C

    hilledandDeliFood

    Dairy

    FacialCare

    Fragrances

    FunctionalDrinks

    HotDrinks

    Juices

    MaleToiletries

    OralHygiene

    PersonalProducts

    PotatoChips

    SkinCare

    SunCare

    Wine

    Market Value ForecastMarketValueForecastperProductType-CAGRofthe

    marketintheperiod2011/12-2016/17

    Product Type

    Region versus Market Value forecast

    from 2011/12 - 2016/17 per Product

    Type

    APAC

    EMEA

    AMER

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    F I G 2.1.B - GE O G R A P H I C SE G M E NT A T I O N F O R T H E WO R L D P E R PR O DUC T T Y P E I N 2011

    (MA R K E TL I N E , 2012)

    The reason behind specifying this trend is that from the existing forecasts at the macro level the

    growth trends can be seen and it can be forecasted where the major investments should be done in

    the coming years.

    As per Annex 2-4 show that the major distribution channels in all the three major regions shown are

    still super/hyper markets and independent retailers. This information is important because the

    digitalisation of these distribution channels can be a great scope for market research industry to

    gather first-hand information.

    Fig 2.1.c shown below discusses the important political, economic, social and technological trends in

    the coming years. It is crucial to understand the macro factors should be kept in mind before

    employing predictive Analytics to take decision upon the insights for innovation.

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    PercentageSharebyValue,

    2011

    Product Type

    Geographic Segmentation Per Product Type in 2011

    Europe Asia-Pacific United States Rest of the World

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    F I G 2.1.C MA C R O- E C O NO M I C T R E NDS T H A T C A N P O T E NT I A L L Y A F F E C T T H E FMCG I N D U S T R Y

    I N T H E Y E A R S T O C O M E (MC K I NS E Y & CO M P A NY , 2010)

    Digitalisation of objects and usage of internet on mobile devices are the major technological trends now

    and are to prevail for some years from now. The figure below will be analysed to understand what Nielsen

    and its FMCG clients should be focusing on.

    As can be seen in Fig 2.1.d, Big Data, Natural Language question answering, consumer 3D printing,

    gamification, wearable user interfaces, content analytics etc. are placed at the peak of inflated

    expectations but are going to take 5-10 years to reach the plateau of productivity. This implies that it will

    take companies around 5-10 years time to create value out of these and successfully commercialise them.

    Does this mean that market research companies become reactive in nature and wait for these

    technologies to actually create value and then propose their FMCG clients to start using these or

    benefitting from these. How can Nielsen be proactive by pioneering in investing in Big Data such as to be

    able to find out the where these technologies are moving and start leveraging their benefits for their

    clients? This will be addressed soon in the report.

    Political instability in the emergingmarkets

    Overregulation

    Government's response to fiscal deficit/debt

    Corruption as a road block

    Political

    Increased Trade Protectionism

    Changing Tax regimes

    Increasingly volatile input costs

    Labour shortage in emerging markets

    Modernisation and Concentration of trade

    Economic

    Changing Demographics

    Consumers going green

    Rise of the digital consumer

    Billion new consumer

    Rise of the value segment

    Health and wellness conscious consumers

    Social

    Internet of Things - Objects becoming digiitalised andsensor based

    Cloud - Huge amount of data now stored over the cloudand small to medium enterprises already choosing thecomparatively economical method of storing data

    eCommerce - An effect of the rise of digital consumersMobile - Increased usage of mobile devices and

    internet on it have changed the marketing dynamics

    Technological

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    F I G 2.1.D L I N E S B L U R R I N G B E T W E E N H U M A N A N D M A C H I N E S (Paul Taylor , 2013)

    Mobile devices and access of internet, websites and social media through these devices are the

    upcoming trends and FMCG marketers can benefit highly from these. The internet use pattern in the

    US and the UK can be seen in Fig 2.1.e.

    F I G 2.1.E MO B I L E P H O NE US A G E P A T T E R N B Y T H E US A ND UK

    US E R S (FO R R E S T E R , 2013)

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    A further robust research on consumer attitude towards mobile advertising where there are

    significant differences in Gen Y from different countries namely United States, France and China, can

    be seen in the table below.

    TA B L E 2.1. A D E S C R I P T I V E S T A T I S T I C S F O R I T E M S W I T H S I G NI F I C A NT DI F F E R E NC E S

    A M O NG G R O UP S (WE L L S , E T A L . , 2012, P . 15)

    TA B L E 2.1.B D E S C R I P T I VE S T A T I S T I C S F O R I T E M S M E A S U R I N G B E H A V I O UR A L I N T E N T I O N S

    T O W A R D M O B I L E M A R KE T I NG (WE L L S , E T A L . , 2012, P . 17)

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    Moving over to Social media, I would like to display the various social technologies that can be used

    by consumers and enterprises instead of trying to influence why Social media is important. As

    mentioned earlier, this report is more about the WHATs and HOWS rather than the WHYs.

    F I G 2.1. F A P P L I C A T I O NS O F SO C I A L TE C H NO L O G I E S

    (MC K I NS E Y G L O B A L IN S T I T U T E , 2012, P . 5)

    The implications of these data related to digitalisation, mobile and social media especially the

    influencing and word-of-mouth factors in conjunction with the concepts related to Permission-Based

    location-aware mobile advertising, Customer Engagement Behaviour, War-gaming framework, REAN

    model, IBM Social media analytics framework and Whole Nine-Yard methodology while dealing with

    data analytics will be discussed soon. See Annex 5 10 to learn about these concepts such that the

    application of these concepts in the discussion section will become clearer.

    The questions asked during the survey conducted by me on Big Data Analytics are shown in the table

    below. The respondents held positions such as CEO, CMO, Senior VP, Head of business units,

    managers and IT specialists. The respondents not from the C-suite held positions in various functions

    such as Analytics, R&D, Sales, Strategy & Innovation and supply chain. Interestingly, they were from a

    good mix of industries such as automotive, FMCG, electronics, healthcare, IT, life Sciences,

    Manufacturing, telecommunications and retail where their organisations were either B2B, B2C or

    both and organizational size ranged from few 100s to more than 50,000 employees.

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    Which one of these best describes your job role?

    What is functional area?

    Please specify your industry

    Are you a B2B business or a B2C business or both?

    How many employees are employed by your organisations?

    What are the sources of data for your organisations?

    Does your organisation plan to set up Big data infrastructure and analytics in future or is it

    already set up?

    If not yet set up or delayed setup then what are the possible reasons?

    If already set up, What does your analytics department do with both structured and

    unstructured data?

    Rate these analytics from 1-5 as which ones do you think is much important to track for your

    business currently? Where 1 - Least and 5 - Most

    What describes the best use of data analytics results?

    In what time frame will the analytics investments yield or expected to yield a positive return?

    Which of these analytics would you want to be an in-house capability or outsourced?

    If analytics is an in-house capability then who owns it?

    Do you think investing in Big data initiatives alone can give your organisations will give you

    competitive advantage?

    If Yes (given that the right skills are available), then why?

    If no, then what are the skills or resources required to give you the edge?

    Where does your organisation currently find these skills?

    Initiatives taken by your organisation to resolve the analytics skill gap issue

    Where do the business/data analytics employees go after resigning the company?

    Now, the difference between this survey and the surveys we find published in the web is that they

    always are targeted to professionals holding a position such as only CEOs or CMOs. Since data can

    come from anywhere and can and should be owned by all departments for the organisation to have

    an agile operation technique, it is important that views from people at different positions and

    departments are captured.

    Majority of the respondents were from the FMCG, Retail and IT/Technology industry from

    organisations with more than 10,000 employees or more. Interestingly, most respondents still say

    that the major sources of data are the traditional media and retailers. Again, more than 50% of the

    respondents say that they already have set up Big Data infrastructure in their organisation but rest do

    not plan to have it yet. For those who have no plans to set the Big Data Infrastructure consider the

    costs to be more than benefits, cannot see how Big Data can provide a competitive advantage or have

    no clue. Out of the various kinds of analytics, organisations which already have set up Big Data

    infrastructure or want to, rate Predictive analytics, Simulation, Business Rules, Optimisation and Data

    mining to happen in-house while the ones they want to outsource are: Geo-spatial, text, video and

    voice analytics.

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    In a discussion with Andrew Bradford, VP, Marketing and Advertising, Nielsen, UK, the following

    questions were asked.

    The summary of the discussion is presented here.

    He feels that the biggest change that has become a challenge in the current marker research industry

    is the Data Quality. The panel based surveys conducted by Nielsen provided rich insights with less

    junk information but again this has given lot of organisations to enter a market in a cheap way due to

    the available of information for cheap. But again, with the lack of proper analytics it is difficult to say

    which data has been generated by machines and which my human. Basically the issue lies behind not

    knowing in what way the digital data is representing consumers. It was also interesting to know that

    Nielsen already has partnerships with Google, Facebook, Twitter, Microsoft and such companies alike.

    Not only that, Nielsen has acquired Neurofocus and SocialGuide which shows the how much value is

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    provided to consumer brain psychology by understanding brain-images as well as trying to extract

    emotional content out of the data available on the internet. The solution that Google is providing now

    through Multi-Channel funnel claims to provide the various steps a customer took before making a

    purchasing decision for the marketers to learn and focus their promotional effort accordingly. This

    could be a probable answer to aggregation of offline and online data. But again, it will be seen that

    the more than the data aggregation, it is the manner of flow of data inside-out and outside-in that

    matters. He feels that the actual drivers of innovation are still developed economies which could be

    conflicting with what C.K.Prahalad and M.S.Krishnan have to say in their book The New Age of

    Innovation. As per his opinion, the consumer behavioural information through contextual

    questioning is what matters and not the number of pages hits and tags etc. Regarding the

    collaboration between the marketing function of the FMCG clients and Nielsens consultants, he had

    to say that the companies like Unilever have understood this to be innovative in nature.

    Innovation as we know can be incremental, breakthrough or disruptive in nature. As captured in a

    webinar conducted by Nielsen, companies should have a good balance between Incremental and

    breakthrough innovations. The reason behind this is nothing but Risk. If this is managed

    intelligently, commercialisation of innovation will have a greater success rate. The various kinds of

    Risks that an organisation has to deal with will be covered in the next section. But, how to integrate

    the Risk Management into the system such that it creates a competitive advantage will be the key to

    success. Again, understanding consumers hidden and latent needs are also important which can be

    found out through sentiment analytics, emotion mining, brain-imaging, panel based surveys, mobile

    access during shopping etc.

    Globalisation faces multiple arguments from proponents and opponents and still does not have a

    definitive side to it. FMCG industry reaped the benefits of Globalisation and has now understood that

    they can survive in a different culture not by going against it but by taking the culture with it and is

    smartly termed as Glocalisation. In this section few examples of Glocalisation from this industry will

    be cited and discussed. From the launch of Dove Elixir Hair oil in India, it can be seen that the industry

    has understood the concept of Glocalisation.

    The three tensions of Globalisation are mentioned below (Rothenberg, 2003):

    Individual choice versus societal choice

    The free market versus government intervention

    Local authority versus supra-local authority

    Interestingly, the above three tensions can be achieved from Big Data especially website and social

    media data. Analytics upon these kinds of data can provide information on the upcoming trends and

    behaviour.

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    As per the 9th

    Annual CEO Survey by PWC, the figure below will state the challenges of Globalisation in

    developed and developing economy perspective.

    F I G 5.1.1.3. A GL O B A L I S A T I O N CH A L L E NG E S : DE V E L O P E D VE R S U S EM E R G I NG E C O NO M I E S

    (PWC, 2005)

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    2.2

    THE RISK FACTOR

    2.2.1 DA T A RIS KS

    F I G 2.2.1. A TH E T O P B A R R I E R S T O C O M M E R C I A L I S E DI S R UP T I V E T E C H NO L O G Y

    (CL O UD A ND MO B I L E ) I NNO V A T I O NS (KPMG, 2012)

    Data confidentiality, Data Privacy, Data Quality are the various kinds of Data related risks that a

    market research organisation will have to deal with. With this Data ethics should be discussed and the

    four important elements of Big Data ethics are shown in the Fig 2.2.b.

    Fig 2.2.1.B FO UR C O M M O N E L E M E NT S T O F R A M E B I G DA T A E T H I C S

    (DA V I S & PA T T E R S O N , 2012, P . 3)

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    2.2.2 IN N O VA T IO N R IS KS

    The five thumb rules to understand the trade-off between risk and return of innovation

    (Merton, 2013, p. 51):

    Recognize that you need a model for making judgements about risk and return.

    Acknowledge your models limitations

    Expect the unexpected

    Understand the use and the user

    Check the infrastructure

    In order to understand innovation risks it is essential that the terms Normal Profit and Economic

    Rent be understood. (See Annex 12 to know more).

    So, conceptually it is breakthrough and disruptive innovations that create economic rents whereas

    incremental risks only generate normal profit. This justifies the reason why there has been a balance

    between these kinds of innovations. Since, at the end of the day it is the competitive advantage that

    is necessary, let us quickly switch to the Discussion section to understand the same.

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    3.DISCUSSION

    Having understood that innovative ideas can be created in the presence of macro and micro factors

    i.e. beginning from Political, economic, technological to industry, competition be it incumbents or

    new entrants, we will see how Big Data becomes the driving force behind innovation. Though IBMs

    social media analytics framework speaks specifically about social media, it can be applied to any kind

    of data analytics. The four steps are Assess, Segment, Relate and Discover.

    Assess - the step where it is expected to simply listen to what consumers have to say without being

    judgemental about the data quality or exact consumer purchasing behaviour. It is to simply know

    what is going on, who is talking what and talking about whom etc. This step does not expect to take

    any action yet.Segment - the step where the demographics, interests, geography, influencers, recommenders,

    detractors etc. can be found out from the data and analytics. This is a very important step because it

    will help figure out the cultural, generational, geographical differences and this is important to know

    because this is will be the first step for marketers to reinvent their 4Ps which is more than Product,

    Price, Place and Promotion but are Solution, Value, Access and Education (Ettenson, et al., 2013).

    This is also called as the SAVE framework. As can be seen in the case of Mobile advertising, Gen Yers

    from different countries had big differences in their opinions. In the case mobile usage, the usage

    pattern was quite different among the consumers in the US and the UK.

    Relate - The qualitative technique begins with Relate where the sentiments and emotions of the

    customers should be recorded and judged. But again, the question goes back to how robust the

    model can be to understand the correlation and causation effects.

    Discover - is equally important from the above steps since at this step the Unknown Unknowns are

    to be figured out. This step can become more effective with the use of Predictive Analytics and Risk

    Management.

    Analytics on mobile data requires two levels of data gathering i.e. PBLAMA (See Annex 5) and

    Customer Engagement Behaviour (See Annex 6). Before bombarding customers with location based

    advertising, it is important to understand the various influencing factors and then target the customer

    accordingly.

    The below data analytics framework can help set up an end to end process for data collection till

    implementation of decision.

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    F I G 3.A - A M A L G A M A T I O N O F REAN M O DE L A ND WE B A NA L Y T I C S P R O C E S S T O C R E A T E A

    R O B US T W E B A NA L Y T I C S P R O C E S S

    Even though processes are in place, companies still face issues in implementing Big Data analytics for

    innovations. The reason behind this is the same Value Network as specified by Christensen. Thus, eventhough a company has enough resources and capabilities is the structure of the company which becomes

    the barrier to successful innovation. Thus, let us now focus on the answers to the key objects specified in

    the beginning of this report.

    3.1 COULD/SHOULD NIELSEN VENTURE INTO BIG DATA ANALYSIS ON

    BEHALF OF ITS CLIENTS?On that basis, the companys resources and capabilities are listed in the table below.

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    Thus, the next important question that needs answering is Is there a new capability if merged with

    in-house Big Data Analytics that can provide value to itself and the clients?

    Based on the topics covered in the previous sections which talked about various macro and micro-

    economic trends, sources of data, various analytics that can be applied on the data in order to

    innovate and reduce the risks associated with data and innovation, it can be said that Nielsen has the

    capabilities required by an FMCG client to operate competitively in this dynamic marketplace. But

    there is one capability which is not very evident in the list of portfolios and that is the Risk

    Management. Though managing risk is a part or a sub-department of every function in a company, it

    is essential that a separate independent but flexible function be made focusing on risks and mitigating

    the same. The reason behind proposing this is that the R factor can reduce the competitive

    advantage value as the equation discussed above. This is the most simplistic way of justifying why

    Risk Management is a necessity. Another important reasoning behind this is the re could be two

    kinds of risks: Known Unknowns and Unknown Unknowns. If Nielsen which has this huge volume of

    data, experienced/learned machines and tools and the huge exposure to suppliers and customers, it is

    much more capable of finding the unknown unknowns for the clients. Secondly if Nielsen becomes

    the interface between the data and the client then any negative impact will first affect Nielsen before

    its clients get affected. This suggestion might sound horrendous but this is how Nielsen can prove the

    increase in Economic Rent for its clients and gain the trust from them letting them handover the

    analytics part of their strategy office. This would justify the R=G variable which is one of the pillar of

    Innovation house of pillars suggested by Prahalad & Krishnan (See Annex 17). It means that

    companies do not have to be necessarily vertically integrated and doing all the things. The only way

    companies can operate nowadays is by outsourcing the capabilities which slows down their business

    results and is not a part of the value proposition.

    3.2 HOW CAN INVESTING IN BIG DATA ANALYTICS BOOST NIELSEN S

    POSITION AS A GLOBAL MARKETING RESEARCH LEADER?As per honomichl top50 report of 2013 (See Annex 13), Nielsen holds position 1 in the market

    research industry. In the United States, Nielsens metrics are an indicator of market share,

    customer satisfaction, device share, service quality, revenue share, content audience and other

    key performance measures. An important statement made on this report Its analytical services

    are organized to follow clients business development processes. Suggestion here is to not have

    the analytical services to follow but to lead or to initiate the business development process by

    being an integral part of this process. It should be more proactive rather than reactive thereby

    making its analytics capability more action-oriented. comScore Inc. has been intentionally added

    to this list to show that they have organised their services on the basis of various analytics

    services they provide.

    The analytics and innovation should be driven by each other such that Risk Management is also

    one of the gears in this central machine.

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    F I G 3.2. A INNO V A T I O N C A P A B I L I T Y GE A R

    Catching the momentum of Big Data to direct it towards the innovation capability gear will sustain its

    position as a Global Marketing Research leader.

    So, the final question is: how should Nielsen as an organisation function like in order to bring in the

    Innovation capability Gear into action? For this I will be modifying Fig 1.1.A to make it more robust

    structure by placing this gear at the centre of the organisation. This will be explained in the next

    section.

    F I G 3.2.B N I E L S E N O R G A NI S A T I O NA L C UL T UR E I NC L UDI NG INNO V A T I O N CA P A B I L I T Y GE A R

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    3.3

    WOULD INVESTMENT IN BIG DATA PROVIDE COMPETITIVE AND

    ADAPTIVE ADVANTAGE TO ITS CLIENTS?Up till the evidences provided justify and prove that Big Data investment will definitely provide

    Nielsens clients the competitive advantage which will help them redefine their 4Ps in order to create,

    communicate and deliver to this customers. But it is about knowing or being prepared for the

    unknown unknowns is what is going to provide adaptive advantage. But for that data fl ow between

    the clients and Nielsen should be seamless. Not only that the data flow within each of these

    organisations should also be seamless which can reduce the time for taking action as a result of

    business insights from the analytic engine or more appropriately innovation capability gear. As rightly

    said by Prof. Tobias Preis (interview call), not investing in Big Data will create strategic disadvantage

    to the organisations.

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    4.RECOMMENDATION AND IMPLEMENTATION

    Form the Innovative Capability gear by building and including Risk Management portfolio in it along

    with Innovation and Analytics

    Nielsen Company already has an Innovation capability that includes The Cambridge Group, NM Incite

    and Innovation Analytics. From this it can be seen that the two new buckets of marketing research

    have already been included (Refer to Annex 15) such that it analyses data coming from various

    sources and also capture and analyse unprompted customer feedback through the neuroscience

    expertise. Hence out of the three capabilities in the Innovation capability gear, only Risk Management

    is not included. Risk Management is one on the major barriers to commercialise Disruptive

    Technology innovations. Also, as mentioned inAnnex 16 one of the critical capabilities that Need

    Seekers and Technology Drivers should share is Technical Risk Assessment. Thus, for Nielsen to be

    able to support its FMCG clients with insights to come up with Breakthrough and Disruptive

    innovations, it is essential that a Risk Management Portfolio be built in this capability.

    But while trying to incorporating Risk Management portfolio in the Innovation capability gear, there

    would certain implementation barriers. Since the Innovation Analytics is a new capability is still

    requires maturity including a Risk Management portfolio could slow down the development of the

    innovation analytics as well as the short term goals set up by the company. But the benefits have the

    potential to outweigh the issues because as per the R=G rule, if the Risk Assessment report along with

    Customer Insights are provided to the Client, the client definitely gain speed in commercialising

    innovative solutions.

    The Analytics Engine should have a strategic focus on N=1 and R=G such that it functions as per

    War-gaming optimising frameworkwith an analytical focus on causation and correlation

    Focus of Analytics There should be three kinds of focuses of Analytics and those are Strategic,

    Analytical and Operational in nature. The strategic focus should be on N=1 and R=G (See Annex 17),

    the analytical focus should be on Causation and Correlation and the operational focus should be on

    war-gaming optimising framework (Refer to Annex 8).When we say strategic focus should be on N=1,

    for Nielsen it means that it can create personalised services for its FMCG clients based on their vision,

    mission, business model, geographic locations they are operating from, business and marketing

    strategies, their competitors and their target customers with the help of Big Data Analytics. With

    strategic focus on R=G would mean that it is not necessary for Nielsen to be highly vertically

    integrated by building all the capabilities. E.g. Information Technology resources which can support

    the Analytics engine of Nielsen do not necessary need to be owned by the company and can be

    outsourced to IT industry leaders.

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    Moving on from strategic to analytical aspect of Analytics it is important that the whole nine yard

    methodology be employed (Refer toAnnex 10). As per this methodology, the questions asked in the

    analytical phase are What data do I need to Analyse and What data I have, what do I miss, what is

    relevant. At the very point correlation and causation should be introduced. While correlation

    definitely suggests an occurrence of event when another event occurs, it is causation that strongly

    brings up the factors which cause the event to happen. The event could be e.g. personalised social

    media advertising to customers and correlations will still not provide the necessary insights thereby

    reducing the return on investment on marketing efforts by a client. As a result the machine learning

    of the analytic engine will be richer with better insights. This triggers the need for various qualitative

    research especially ethnographic, sentiment analysis, emotion mining, brain imaging, eye tracking,

    and heat maps etc.

    Finally talking about the operational aspect of the Analytics Engine, the questions that need to be

    asked are Which actions to take, with which customers and for what products? In order to be able

    to answer this question the War-Gaming optimising framework should be applied. But since the

    customer responses and the business outcomes mentioned in this methodology cannot be gained

    independently by Nielsen, the client has to be brought in, in this process for which the below

    recommendation is important that it is implemented.

    Make your organisational structure (Refer to Fig 3.2.b) in order to become innovative and global

    leader in the marketing research industry

    For the analytics engine to have effective strategic focus, it should operate effectively. In order to be

    able to operate effectively it will need to bring in the customers and the clients into its structure

    which will also help eradicate the issues related to silo approach while being able to Attribute,

    Optimise and Allocate (Refer to Annex 8). Also as suggested McCracken (2006) focusing on the

    culture and the consumers can make an organisation innovative as well as competitive because it

    forces an organisation to repeatedly keep asking What business are we in? Thus, it can be said that

    the suggested organisational structure aligns with that of a leading organisation as per the

    Customer centric maturity model shown in Annex 11. But as simple it is to recommend restructuring

    an organisation, it is equally difficult to make it happen. Barriers to this are innumerable which would

    require hiring change managers on a contract basis who could put a one-time effort to restructure

    without disrupting the daily activities.

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    Create a Chief Data Officer position in the company who can be responsible of bringing the CMO

    and the CIO together at a strategic level as well as holding the ownership of Data

    Due to the heavy ethical issues related to Big Data, it is important to create a CDO position. Even

    though managing data should be a responsibility of each function but with the increasing

    responsibilities on the CIO and the CTO offices, it has become essential that such a role be created. As

    mentioned in Annex 14, one of the drivers behind creating a CDO role is Strategic Importance of Big

    Data. Nielsen would be pioneering in its industry if it employs a CDO. This is a very new role and has

    recently caught a lot of attention but it needs to go a long way over the life cycle of a job position for

    it mature fully and organisations reap the necessary benefits out of this role. The barrier would be

    less at the implementation level and more at the strategic level such that the executives and directors

    need to be convinced with its prospective competitive advantage.

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    Annex 1 Dimensions of Big Data (IBM,2012)

    ANNEX 2 APAC Region Market Distribution methods Product wise in the year

    2011/12

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    MarketDistribution(%Shareperchanne

    l)

    Product Type

    Market Distribution versus Product Type in APAC region

    Super/ hypermarkets

    Independent

    Retailers

    Specialist Retailers

    On-Trade

    Convenience Stores

    Service stations

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    ANNEX 3 EMEA Region Market Distribution methods Product wise in the year

    2011/12

    Annex 4 APAC Region Market Distribution methods Product wise in the year

    2011/12

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    7080

    AlcoholicDrinks

    BathandShower

    Beer

    CannedFood

    ChilledandDeli

    Dairy

    FacialCare

    Fragrances

    FunctionalDrinks

    HotDrinks

    Juices

    MaleToiletries

    OralHygiene

    PersonalProducts

    PotatoChips

    SkinCare

    SunCare

    Wine

    MarketDistribution(%Shareperchanne

    l)

    Product Type

    Market Distribution versus Product Type in EMEA RegionSuper/

    hypermarkets

    Independent

    Retailers

    Specialist Retailers

    On-Trade

    Convenience Stores

    Service stations

    Department Stores

    (incl. Duty-Free

    Shops)

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    MarketDistribution(%Shareperchannel)

    Product Type

    Market Distribution versus Product Type in AMER Region

    Super/

    hypermarkets

    Independent

    Retailers

    Specialist Retailers

    On-Trade

    Convenience

    Stores

    Service stations

    Department Stores

    (incl. Duty-Free

    Shops)

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    ANNEX 5 Conceptual model depicting influencing factors for PBLAMA (R ICHARD &

    MEULI,2013,P .705)

    1

    1PBC Perceived Behavioural Control is an individual perception of the ease or

    difficulty of performing a specific task or action (Ajzen, 1991).

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    A N N E X 6 C onc eptual Model of C ustomer Eng ag ement B ehaviour (D OORN,ET AL., 2010)

    A N N E X 7 IBM Social Media Analytics helps organisations act upon social media

    insig hts to solve business problem (IBMB,N .D.)

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    Annex 8 Framework for optimising (War-Gaming2) Ad vertising (Nichols , 2013, p.

    63)

    Annex 9 Four Factors in REAN Model ( Jac kson, 2009, p . 26)

    2War-Gaming is a process in which team members define marketing goals (such as

    a certain revenue target, share goal, or margin goal), often across multiple productsand markets. Optimization software can then be used to crunch the data so as to

    answer as many what-if business scenarios(Nichols, 2013, p. 66).

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    Annex 10 T he whole nine-yard methodolog y(TE E R L I N K, 2011)

    A N N E X 11 Customer-Centric Maturity Model (Ernst & Young, 2013, p. 8)

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    A N N E X 12 The three effects on a firm due to breakthrough and incremental

    innovations (Soresc u & Spanjol , 2008, p . 114)

    Impact Description

    Normal Profit The minimum compensation that investors require to

    purchase stock in a company. They equal the interest

    rate investors could earn in a treasury bond plus an

    additional risk premium (Marshall 1920). When a

    project generates only normal profits, its net present

    value (NPV) is always zero, implying that investors

    earn no more than what is a fair compensation for

    risk.

    Economic Rent Economic rents are profits earned above those

    required as compensation for risk and time value of

    money. Determinants of economic rents are muchmore valuable, albeit elusive, than those of normal

    profits; uncovering these determinants is crucial to

    the understanding of the true financial value of a

    corporate strategic action.

    Total Firm Risk If the risk to pursue a certain innovation can

    compensate to gain above normal rate of return, then

    shareholders may welcome the project. However the

    increase in risk may endanger the firms survival

    prospects and have negative consequences for

    management, employees, and other stakeholders.

    A N N E X 13 Top 6 Market Research companies (H O NO M I C H L , 2013)

    Name of

    the

    Company

    Nielsen

    Holdings N.V.

    Ipsos Information

    Resources Inc.

    GfK The NPD

    Group Inc.

    comScore

    Inc.

    Revenue

    (2012)

    $2,651.0

    million

    $590.0

    million

    $478.7 million $330.9 million $191.8

    million

    $183.4

    million

    Change

    from 2011

    +4.0% -5.5% +2.9% +0.5% +1.5% +5.1%

    NonU.S.

    Revenue

    $2,778.0

    million

    $1,710.0

    million

    $285.1 Million $1,616.0

    Million

    $80.2 Million $71.8

    Million

    From

    Outside

    U.S.

    51.2% 74.3% 37.3% 83% 29.5% 28.1%

    Research

    Business

    Area

    Nielsen aligns

    its research

    business into

    two

    segments:

    Consumer

    Watch (media

    audience

    measurement

    and analytics)

    and

    It provides

    services in six

    areas of

    specialization:

    advertising,

    customer

    loyalty,

    marketing,

    media, public

    affairs

    research and

    IRI operates

    under two

    interconnected

    business

    segments: IRI

    Market

    Measurement:

    Market

    Measurement

    provides

    CPG/FMCG

    These services

    are delivered in

    the following

    practice areas

    and services:

    Market insights

    and growth

    opportunities,

    Product design

    and

    optimization,

    NPD offers

    retail,

    consumer

    and

    distributor

    tracking.

    Retail

    tracking

    services were

    enhanced

    and new

    cS services

    fall into

    four

    primary

    segments

    of digital

    analytics:

    Audience

    Analytics,

    Advertising

    Analytics,

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    Consumer

    Buy

    (consumer

    purchasing

    measurement

    and

    analytics).

    survey

    management.

    and retail

    markets

    tracking

    information

    and insights via

    access and

    visualization

    tools. Industry

    Vertical

    Solutions: This

    business

    segment offers

    vertical

    experience and

    customized

    products and

    services for

    multiple

    industryverticals,

    including

    healthcare and

    wellness,

    center store,

    confections,

    beer, wine,

    spirits,

    tobacco,

    bakery

    and dairy.

    Brand value

    optimization,

    Advertising and

    communication

    optimization,

    Channel and

    category

    optimization,

    Price

    optimization,

    Customer

    experience and

    loyalty

    management

    account

    level reports

    were

    introduced in

    2012

    following the

    addition

    of Wal-Mart

    and other

    retailers. The

    firm

    continues to

    expand its

    portfolio of

    analytic

    services to

    address

    specific

    businessneeds,

    including

    category

    management,

    forecasting,

    price

    evaluation,

    market

    evaluation

    and testing.

    Mobile

    Operator

    Analytics,

    Digital

    Business

    Analytics,

    A N N E X 14 A FR A M E W O R K F O R T H E CDO C O N S T R U C T (L E E , E T A L . , 2012)

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    ANNEX 15 T he four buc kets of data for marketing researc h

    ( M I C U , E T A L . , 2011, P .

    215)

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    ANNEX 16 Critical Innovation Capabilities

    (booz&c o b, 2012)

    ANNEX 17 Business Insights (C.K.P RAHALAD & M.S.K RISHNAN , 2008, P . 85)

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