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Simulation of GEOS-Chem with HTAP inventory : Evaluation Duseong S. Jo and Rokjin J. Park Seoul National University 23 MAY 2014 MICS-ASIA/HTAP workshop

Simulation of GEOS-Chem with HTAP inventory : Evaluation MICS Presentation… · Simulation of GEOS-Chem with HTAP inventory : Evaluation . ... GEOS-Chem significantly underestimates

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Page 1: Simulation of GEOS-Chem with HTAP inventory : Evaluation MICS Presentation… · Simulation of GEOS-Chem with HTAP inventory : Evaluation . ... GEOS-Chem significantly underestimates

Simulation of GEOS-Chem with HTAP inventory : Evaluation

Duseong S. Jo and Rokjin J. Park

Seoul National University

23 MAY 2014 MICS-ASIA/HTAP workshop

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Model GEOS-Chem v9.1.3

Meteorological field MERRA reanalysis product

Resolution 2° latitude X 2.5° longitude X 47 vertical layers up to 0.01 hpa

Emissions Anthropogenic : HTAPv2.1 inventory (SO2, NOx, NMVOC*, CO, NH3, BC and OC)

Biomass burning : GFEDv3 (monthly)

DMS : Lana et al. (2011)

Volcano SO2 : AeroCom inventory

Biogenic : MEGAN v2.1

Global 3-hourly timeseries files provided by SNU Can download 3-hourly global timeseries files in

ftp://presto.snu.ac.kr/pub/SNU_GEOS_Chem_v9.1.3/ ID : anonymous

*We used the NMVOC speciation of GEOS-Chem native inventory but scaled the total NMVOC emission to that of HTAPv2 emission.

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Global 3-hourly timeseries files provided by SNU Can download 3-hourly global timeseries files in

ftp://presto.snu.ac.kr/pub/SNU_GEOS_Chem_v9.1.3/ ID : anonymous

NAME Description

BASE Base run (CH4 : 1798 ppbv)

GLOINC 20% anthropogenic emission decrease in the globe

GLODEC 20% anthropogenic emission increase in the globe

EASDEC 20% anthropogenic emission decrease in East Asia

NAMDEC 20% anthropogenic emission decrease in North America

EURDEC 20% anthropogenic emission decrease in Europe

CH4INC Global CH4 concentration of 2121 ppbv

CH4DEC Global CH4 concentration of 1562 ppbv

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Evaluation against WOUDC

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Ozone evaluation against climatological WOUDC observation

500 hpa 800 hpa SFC

(Kim et al., 2013 in 6th GEOS-Chem meeting)

Slope ~ 1 R2 > 0.5

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Evaluation against EANET Evaluation period : 2010 Time resolution : Month

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Ozone and NOx

[ppbv]

Ozone NOx

(Jeong and Park, 2013)

GEOS-Chem does not capture low concentration of ozone in both case

GEOS-Chem significantly underestimates NOx

concentration especially for urban region

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Ozone and NOx

[ppbv]

Ozone NOx

(Jeong and Park, 2013)

GEOS-Chem does not capture low concentration of ozone in both case

GEOS-Chem significantly underestimates NOx

concentration especially for urban region

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SO4, NH4, and NO3 (Annual) SO4 NH4 NO3

[µg m-3]

(Jeong and Park, 2013)

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SO4, NH4, and NO3 (Annual vs. Monthly) SO4 NH4 NO3

Simulation ability : Annual mean comparison > Monthly mean comparison

[µg m-3]

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Evaluation for the United States: against CASTNET (ozone) and

IMPROVE(aerosol)

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Ozone Period : 2008~2010 Time resolution : Month

CASTNET

MO

DE

L

[ppbv]

All season

Coefficient of determination is low in terms of retrieving monthly variation of ozone

GEOS-Chem (global model) has a weakness in reproducing night-time PBL

Performance : MDA8 > 24hr averaged ozone

JJA

CASTNET

MO

DEL

(Zhang et al., 2013)

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Carbonaceous aerosols BC (EC) OC

[µgC/m3]

(Park et al., 2006)

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Inorganic aerosols (Annual mean)

SO4 NO3

[µg/m3]

GEOS-Chem with HTAP emission overestimates inorganic aerosol concentration observed by IMPROVE network

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DJF

MAM

JJA

SON

SO4 NO3

(Heald et al., 2012)

Inorganic aerosols (Seasonal mean)

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DJF

MAM

JJA

SON

SO4

(Heald et al., 2012)

[TgN(S) yr-1]

HTAPv2 BASE:2010

Heald et al, BASE:2004

NOx 5.0 5.8

SOx 6.1 6.7

NH3 3.5 2.2

(Granier et al., 2010)

Inorganic aerosols (Seasonal mean)

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NMVOC speciation HTAP provides only for total NMVOC emissions and does not have speciation information. We used the NMVOC speciation of GEOS-Chem native inventory but scaled the total NMVOC emission to that of HTAP emission.

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NMVOC speciation HTAP provides only for total NMVOC emissions and does not have speciation information. We used the NMVOC speciation of GEOS-Chem native inventory but scaled the total NMVOC emission to that of HTAP emission.

GEOS-Chem (Full chemistry

simulation with SOA)

RETRO

Species [TgC] [Tg] [Tg] Species Name

ALK4 32.55 39.33 30.29

Butanes(9.33) + Pentanes(9.96) + Hexanes_and_higher_alkanes(11.00)

MEK 3.51 5.26 5.84 total_ketones PRPE 2.35 2.74 2.74 propene C3H8 2.88 3.52 3.66 propane CH2O 0.46 1.16 1.17 formaldehyde C2H6 4.09 5.11 5.26 ethane ALD2 0.93 1.71 2.65 other_aldehydes BENZ 3.21 3.48 3.50 benzene TOLU 5.60 6.13 6.45 toluene XYLE 4.76 5.25 5.56 xylene C2H2 2.50 acetylene C2H4 6.48 ethene

HCOOH 9.51 total_acids 4.99 esters 3.65 ethers

23.81 other_VOCs 3.42 other_aromatics 8.93 total_alcohols 1.17 trimethylbenzene

Total 60.3 73.7 131.6 Total HTAP NMVOC total : 143 Tg

GEOS-Chem NMVOC emissions are based on RETRO emissions

GEOS-Chem does not treat all NMVOC tracers which are included in RETRO emissions

ALK4 fraction GEOS-Chem : 32.55/60.3 54% RETRO : 30.29/131.6 23%

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NMVOC speciation HTAP provides only for total NMVOC emissions and does not have speciation information. We used the NMVOC speciation of GEOS-Chem native inventory but scaled the total NMVOC emission to that of HTAP emission.

GEOS-Chem (Full chemistry

simulation with SOA)

RETRO

Species [TgC] [Tg] [Tg] Species Name

ALK4 32.55 39.33 30.29

Butanes(9.33) + Pentanes(9.96) + Hexanes_and_higher_alkanes(11.00)

MEK 3.51 5.26 5.84 total_ketones PRPE 2.35 2.74 2.74 propene C3H8 2.88 3.52 3.66 propane CH2O 0.46 1.16 1.17 formaldehyde C2H6 4.09 5.11 5.26 ethane ALD2 0.93 1.71 2.65 other_aldehydes BENZ 3.21 3.48 3.50 benzene TOLU 5.60 6.13 6.45 toluene XYLE 4.76 5.25 5.56 xylene C2H2 2.50 acetylene C2H4 6.48 ethene

HCOOH 9.51 total_acids 4.99 esters 3.65 ethers

23.81 other_VOCs 3.42 other_aromatics 8.93 total_alcohols 1.17 trimethylbenzene

Total 60.3 73.7 131.6 Total HTAP NMVOC total : 143 Tg

0.23

0.04 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.04 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.02 0.05 0.01 0.04 0.03 0.18 0.03 0.07 0.01 1.00

GEOS-Chem NMVOC emissions are based on RETRO emissions

GEOS-Chem does not treat all NMVOC tracers which are included in RETRO emissions

ALK4 fraction GEOS-Chem : 32.55/60.3 54% RETRO : 30.29/131.6 23%

We further simulated the

NMVOC concentrations using emission speciation factors retrieved by RETRO inventory

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Global annual benzene concentrations

HTAP (Default) HTAP

(New speciation with RETRO)

NMVOC concentrations are greatly decreased in the simulation of HTAP inventory with RETRO NMVOC speciation factor

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Global annual ozone concentrations HTAP (Default)

HTAP (New speciation with RETRO)

Diff. (New-Default)

In case of ozone, there is no big difference between the model results.

Maximum difference ~7ppbv

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Ozone evaluation against climatological WOUDC observation

500 hpa 800 hpa SFC (1)

(2)

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Ozone (CASTNET and EANET)

CASTNET

[ppbv]

CASTNET

MO

DEL

(1) GEOS-Chem native

MO

DEL

M

OD

EL

MO

DEL

M

OD

EL

(2) RETRO speciation

CASTNET

EANET

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