Upload
lybao
View
215
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Southern Africa Regional Climate Services Workshop Towards Exploiting the Full Potential of Climate Services 29 November - 2 December 2016, Victoria Falls, Zimbabwe
Promoting climate services in Madagascar: Challenges and opportunities
Zo RABEFITIA Direction Générale de la Météorologie (DGM) Météo MADAGASCR MADAGASCAR
Meteo Madagascar
Main activities Weather forecasting - climate prediction - Tropical Cyclone,
Drought, flood Monitoring
Observations 22 Real-time synoptic stations (GTS network)
Climate data/Information/Services Data archives, web pages, reports,
Climate/Agromet bulletin, Seasonal forecast release,
information upon requests, …
Outreach Emergency management, Sectorial activities, …
Institutionalization of the NFCS • Nov 2014: official launch of GFCS in Madagascar by Michel Jarreaud (SG WMO) • Mars-Jul 2015: National Consultation and workshops ( • Nov 2015: Institutionalization of the National NSCF: (decree N° 2015- 1548 creating the steering
committee of the NFCS) Activities • Oct 2015: First National outlook forum has been organized organized with SADC support • March-June 2016: 3 meetings of the NFCS steering committee • July 2016: Establishment of roadmap 2016 • August 2016 Outline of the Five-year Action Plan (NAP) for NSCF • Sept 2016: Establishment of user platform in 3 sectors (DRR, Health, Agriculture-FS) by nominating 2 co-
coordinators in each platform (1 from Met and 1 from sector)
Overview of the NFCS process in Madagascar
Decree for NFCS creation
Official launch NFCS process Nov2014
Launching Workshop National consultation Workshop: Opening ceremony
key challenges
Meteo Madagascar limitations
Meteo Madagascar is the natural provider of climate services
But
Generally demand outpaces our capability to respond in terms of spatial and temporal accuracy - Unclear climate/weather Information
And we respond to requests rather than needs
Decision-makers are not prepared to use climate information efficiently
Also there is
Inadequate funding by our Government
Few support staff
Drought
Inondation
Heavy rain
Tropical
cyclone
Observation: Need for higher spatial and temporal resolution
Need to focus on regions where extreme events have significant sector effects and where there are vulnerable populations
During 2014, 2015 and 2016 after the launch of NFCS, we have signed MoU with NGOs, Private sectors, projects for installing Climatic AWS
Lessons learned from national workshops, consultations and evaluation a) Gaps and need for capacity development Recognizing important gaps in climate observations data and observation requirements are identified Limitation of Meteo Madagascar capabilities recognized by users Need for engaging systematic dialogue with users Need for strategies for engaging stakeholders Identification of priority sectors (DRR, Health, AFS, Water resources) accepted Need for effective engagement of various stakeholders essentials to NFCS Need for Building sector-specific capacities (Use of climate Information) Upgrading the technical capabilities of meteo Madagascar to provide adequate CS is urgent b) Demands for evidence-based Sectorial policy
Before using climate information in routine decision making, sectors/Users need:
-Evidence of the impact of climate information on their specific interest
-Evidence that using climate information is a means to improve their activities
-Evidence that the information can be practically useful within their decision frameworks.
GFCS Pillars Challenges
User Interface Need for more interactions with climate service users User requirements are not always adequately understood and addressed Connecting users needs and climate services
Climate Services Information System
Improve the whole national CSIS capabilities
Observations
and Monitoring
The current availability and quality of climate observations and impacts data are inadequate (only 22 synoptic stations, no RADAR (Madagascar subject to 3-4 tropical cyclones /year)
Research, Modeling
and Prediction
Research and modeling activities on climate predictability (Sub seasonal , seasonal, …) Climate information at District level (Korean
Capacity development Modernization of Meteo Madagascar (HYDROMET-WB, GFCS support, EU-GIZ,…)
Challenges (5 pillars)
Requirements Actions
Institutional anchorage for the Framework for Climate Services Positioning Meteo Madagascar within the Framework at the national level
Delivery of tailored climate service provision in the priority climate-sensitive sectors Tailored to specific National context ( tropical cyclones,…)
Capacity of Meteo Madagascar and other sectorial technical services to jointly elaborate adequate climate products and services
Adapting the large and regional scale forecasts/projections to national contexts
Communication, distribution of Climate Services Climate service function must be supported by adapted communication strategy
Modernization of the national hydro-meteorological observing network (increasing the density, data quality, …)
Wide access to climate data and knowledge base (HYDROMET/WB, radar network, AWS,…
Collaborative climate research, towards more salient end-user driven climate research outputs
Research focus on national needs (RCM, Tropical Cyclones, …) Training for downscaling
Capacity of end-users to further appropriate and utilize climate services Tailoring products and translating key messages for users Co-production of climate services
Sustainability of the NFCS at the national level Install strong and sustained liaison with users Improving interactions between climate service users and Meteo Madagascar at all stages (production, interpretation, communication,…)
Opportunities under NFCS
Next steps Objectives Operational climate services system (5 pillars).
Upgrading of climate services (Modernization of Meteo Madagascar)
User oriented Climate Services (strong and sustained liaison between users and Meteo Madagascar)
Roadmap 2017 Jan 2017: Hold 3rd meeting of the NFCS steering committee to define roles, responsibilities of sectorial platforms Feb-March 2017: Hold 1st meeting of sectorial platforms (DRR, Health, AFS) to define integration strategies of climate information and services into national, local and sectorial planning, policy and programs May 2017: Finalize National Action Plan By mid-2017 Validate the Action Plan NAP endorsement by stakeholders Submit NAP to GFCS Develop project documents Organize donors, funding agencies and stakeholders forum
Data Information
Climate Services
Decision making
Meteo Madagascar Meteo Madagascar Co-generation
Municipality Local authorities
CLIMATE DRR
CLIMATE-AFS
User platform (CHWG) Data Information/products CS (climate health bulletin) Decisions
MITSINJO ANKARAFANTSIKA MARIARINO
rr_norm1 rr_prévu1
MITSINJO ANKARAFANTSIKA MARIARINO
rr_norm2 rr_prévu2
MITSINJO ANKARAFANTSIKA MARIARINO
rr_norm3 rr_prévu3
Mois Décembre Mitsinjo Ankarafantsika Mariarano
Dec1 Inférieure à la normale Inférieure à la normale Inférieure à la normale
Dec2 Inférieure à la normale Inférieure à la normale Inférieure à la normale
Dec3 Inférieure à la normale Inférieure à la normale Inférieure à la normale
Normale (mm) Dec1 Dec2 Dec3 Dec1 Dec2 Dec3 Dec1 Dec2 Dec3
42 68 93 57 84 107 51 80 111
SARCOF As INPUT
Breaking news South madagascar 26/11/2016
CROPPING CALENDAR 2016-2017 for MAIZE
Data Information/products CS (Agromrteorology bulletin) Decisions
MoU DGM – FS Department
Technical meeting with FS actors
AGROMET school Field
National and District AGROMET Bulletin
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Degré of comfort
Hea
t in
dex
(°
C)
Mahajanga
Temperature )
Humidity (DGM)
Juin-Septembre (comfort)
Planification basique contre la chaleur dans la journée:
Provide water to drink Ensure availability of medical
services Plan activities during the day
when comfort index is high Use sunscreens and UV
protection (glasses)
Octobre-Mai ( less comfort)
Mettre en œuvre des précautions et faire attention: Recall frequently drinking water
(4 glasses per our) Awareness of heat-related
diseases (How to recognize them, What to do in case of illness)
Information Measures of protection Information Data
Conclusions • Meteo Madagascar capabilities to provide effective climate
services is very low to address present and future needs
• Efforts have been made to start the implementation of GFCS in Madagascar (NFSC, management committee, UIP, NAP under development, roadmap,…)
• Innovative approach for much closer partnership between Meteo Madagascar and users of climate services Observations brings palpable results
• NFCS window is opening, but need for Regional and international support to enlarge existing initiatives