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Technology for a better society International workshop on Renewable Energy and Hydrogen Export – Global perspectives & Norwegian opportunities Trondheim, 24 March 2015 1 Harald G Svendsen SINTEF Energy Research [email protected] Status and potential for wind power

Status and potential for wind power - SINTEF › contentassets › 9b9c7b67d0dc4... · Status and potential for wind power . Technology for a better society 856 MW (31 Dec 2014)

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Page 1: Status and potential for wind power - SINTEF › contentassets › 9b9c7b67d0dc4... · Status and potential for wind power . Technology for a better society 856 MW (31 Dec 2014)

Technology for a better society

International workshop on Renewable Energy and Hydrogen Export – Global perspectives & Norwegian opportunities Trondheim, 24 March 2015

1

Harald G Svendsen SINTEF Energy Research [email protected]

Status and potential for wind power

Page 2: Status and potential for wind power - SINTEF › contentassets › 9b9c7b67d0dc4... · Status and potential for wind power . Technology for a better society 856 MW (31 Dec 2014)

Technology for a better society

856 MW (31 Dec 2014) 371 turbines 2.2 TWh (2014) = 1.2% of electricity production Capacity factor = 31 %

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Wind power in Norway

Page 3: Status and potential for wind power - SINTEF › contentassets › 9b9c7b67d0dc4... · Status and potential for wind power . Technology for a better society 856 MW (31 Dec 2014)

Technology for a better society 3

Offshore wind

Statoil floating turbine – Hywind

Statoil and Statkraft – UK offshore wind farms

Page 4: Status and potential for wind power - SINTEF › contentassets › 9b9c7b67d0dc4... · Status and potential for wind power . Technology for a better society 856 MW (31 Dec 2014)

Technology for a better society

NVE, Feb 2015

4

Cost of Energy

onshore wind

offshore wind

Page 5: Status and potential for wind power - SINTEF › contentassets › 9b9c7b67d0dc4... · Status and potential for wind power . Technology for a better society 856 MW (31 Dec 2014)

Technology for a better society 5

Wind power – investment costs

Offshore wind Onshore wind

Page 6: Status and potential for wind power - SINTEF › contentassets › 9b9c7b67d0dc4... · Status and potential for wind power . Technology for a better society 856 MW (31 Dec 2014)

Technology for a better society 6

Learning curve – onshore wind

Page 7: Status and potential for wind power - SINTEF › contentassets › 9b9c7b67d0dc4... · Status and potential for wind power . Technology for a better society 856 MW (31 Dec 2014)

Technology for a better society

• No Norwegian wind turbine manufacturer • Supply industry – technology development • Small home market – North Sea region (UK, DK, DE, NL)

• Bigger potential for Norwegian industry to participate in offshore wind development

• foundations, marine operations, vessels, ports, cables, floating turbines, ... • developers(Statoil, Statkraft)

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Wind power industry

Page 8: Status and potential for wind power - SINTEF › contentassets › 9b9c7b67d0dc4... · Status and potential for wind power . Technology for a better society 856 MW (31 Dec 2014)

Technology for a better society

Good wind power potential both onshore and offshore

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Potential

Page 9: Status and potential for wind power - SINTEF › contentassets › 9b9c7b67d0dc4... · Status and potential for wind power . Technology for a better society 856 MW (31 Dec 2014)

Technology for a better society 9

NVE 17/2005

Potential

Economic potential (TWh)

Page 10: Status and potential for wind power - SINTEF › contentassets › 9b9c7b67d0dc4... · Status and potential for wind power . Technology for a better society 856 MW (31 Dec 2014)

Technology for a better society

• 1 Jan 2012 – 2035 • Common with Sweden, technology neutral • Ambition: 26.4 TWh in 2020 (new renewable energy in SE+NO) • Certificates given to renewable energy producers for 15 years

o Need to be operational by 2020 to benefit fully from this scheme.

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Support scheme – green certificates

2035 2020 2015

15 years Today End of scheme

Page 11: Status and potential for wind power - SINTEF › contentassets › 9b9c7b67d0dc4... · Status and potential for wind power . Technology for a better society 856 MW (31 Dec 2014)

Technology for a better society 11

New licences granted

Sør-Trøndelag: 1772 MW Nord-Trøndelag: 797 MW

http://www.nve.no/no/Konsesjoner/Konsesjonssaker/Vindkraft/

Page 12: Status and potential for wind power - SINTEF › contentassets › 9b9c7b67d0dc4... · Status and potential for wind power . Technology for a better society 856 MW (31 Dec 2014)

Technology for a better society

• Deep seas • More expensive than onshore, • More energy and • Bigger part of the cake for Norwegian

industry • Less environmental concerns

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Offshore wind

Page 13: Status and potential for wind power - SINTEF › contentassets › 9b9c7b67d0dc4... · Status and potential for wind power . Technology for a better society 856 MW (31 Dec 2014)

Technology for a better society

• Increase electricity demand • Electrification of offshore oil/gas platforms (20 TWh) and transport (10 TWh) • More power hungry industry (e.g. aluminium)

• Power export to Europe? • Hydrogen production?

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What to do with the wind power?

≈98.5 % hydro

Page 14: Status and potential for wind power - SINTEF › contentassets › 9b9c7b67d0dc4... · Status and potential for wind power . Technology for a better society 856 MW (31 Dec 2014)

Technology for a better society

• Two research centres funded from 2008-2016 (combined budgets = 70 Mill NOK/year) • Focus on offshore wind and deep sea

• lowering cost of energy

www.nowitech.no www.norcowe.no

Thank you for the attention

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Research and development