34
invent introduce Strategic Mine Planning [email protected] www.crcore.org.au Carlos Espejel Mine Planning Engineer

Strategic Mine Planning - crcore.org.au · STRATEGIC MINE PLANNING: STRATEGIC 1. Model and optimise the Mine Plan accounting current and future metal prices. 2. Calculate the annual

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invent

introduce

Strategic Mine [email protected]

www.crcore.org.au

Carlos EspejelMine PlanningEngineer

GRADE ENGINEERING STUDY FRAMEWORK

CRC ORE 2

• Measure & quantify the Grade Engineering® responses of the orebody

• Conducted through combination of physical testing & data analytics1. Characterisation

• Understand geological controls on Grade Engineering® responses

• Spatially map responses defining Grade Engineering® domains

2. Geometallurgy & Spatial Analysis

• Define Grade Engineering® “circuit”, equipment design & specifications

• Quantify process simulation responses across mining value chain

3. Process Design & Simulation

• Develop strategic mine plan incorporating Grade Engineering® • Define impact on equipment, layout, material movement, mine development

4. Strategic Mine Planning

• Quantify the economic impact utilising Scenario Analysis

• Define implementation options and viability5. Project Evaluation

• Technical validation at production scale of Grade Engineering® technology

• Detailed testing, validation, reconciliation process6. Pilot/Production Trials

Long Term Mine Planning

5 to 100 YearsProject Overall Net Present

Value (NPV)Internal Rate of Return (IRR)Metal Production (Commitment)Life of Mine (Years?)

1 to 5 YearsRefines the LTMPFollows the LTMPNPV is the target

Weekly, monthly up to 1 YearTries to achieve LTMP TargetsTPH to MillHead Grades to MillCost ReductionAnnual Cash Flow

Strategic TacticStrategic

Medium Term Mine Planning Short Term Mine Planning

MINE PLANNING STAGES AND INDIVIDUAL TARGETS

CRC ORE 3

STRATEGIC LONG TERM MINE PLANNING (LTMP)

“An ‘Ore Reserve’ is the economically mineable part of aMeasured and/or Indicated Mineral Resource.” JORC 2014

One of the Main Targets of LTMP is to convert Ore Resources into Ore Reserves

The Main Target of LTMP is to achieve the economic and strategic targets of the Company / Shareholders

Net Present Value (NPV)Internal Rate of Return (IRR)Metal Production (Commitment)Life of Mine (Years?)

CRC ORE 4

STRATEGIC MINE PLANNING: STRATEGIC

1. Model and optimise the Mine Plan accounting current and future metal prices.

2. Calculate the annual cut-off grades for the life of the mine for all processes.

4. Model and select the optimum time for plant expansions, maintenance and close of mine.

3. Model and find optimum timing and size for secondary processes (leaching).

Importance of Strategic Mine Planning?

6. Maximises NPV and estimates; optimum time, resource region and quantity/size of new technology application to a specific project.

Incorporates and plans at a global level.

5. Model and Optimise multiple scenarios with different Plant Sizes and Metal prices.

STRATEGIC MINE PLANNING COMMON ACTIVITIES

Final Pit Optimisation

Economic Sequence

Production Schedule Optimisation

1. Mining Method Selection

3. Resource Evaluation

4. Definition of Reserves and Final Pit

5. Definition of Economic Sequence

6. Phase Design (Ramps and Operability)

2. Cost Modelling and Equipment Selection

7. Production Schedule and NPV Optimisation

Resource Evaluation and Economic Block Model

7.1 LOM Cut-off Grades Optimisation

CRC ORE 6

STRATEGIC MINE PLANNING + GE ACTIVITIES

Strategic Long Term Mine Planning +

1. Cost Modelling including GE.

3. Definition of new Reserves and Final Pit through GE.

4. Phase Design (Ramps and Operability) incorporating GE.

5. Production Schedule and NPV Optimisation through GE.

5.2 LOM Cut-off grades optimisation through GE.

5.1 Find optimum GE plant size and operating mode.

2. Estimation of economically exploitable resources through GE.

CRC ORE 7

STRATEGIC MINE PLANNING: GE OPTIMISATION STEPS

Grade Engineering Techniques

Differential

blasting for grade

by s ize

2

Sensor based

stream sorting

4

Coarse gravity separat

ion

5

P r e fe ren t ia l

g r ade d e portm

e n t b y s ize

1

Sensor based bulk

sorting

3

GE Resource Evaluation GE Final Pit Optimization Push Back Opt/Dsg GE Production Schedule

Optimization

Project Strategic Targets (NPV)

GE Cost Model

CRC ORE 8

GRADE ENGINEERING: COST MODELLINGC

OS

T M

OD

EL

Capital Costs (CAPEX)

Operational Costs

(OPEX)

Initial Investment

Sustaining

Mining

Processing

Admin

Selling

Refining

Variable

• Mill ($/t)

• Leaching ($/t)

Variable

• Hauling ($/t)

• Loading ($/t)

• Drill & Blast ($/t)

• Rehandling ($/t)

• Ancillary ($/t)

Fixed Costs ($/hr)

Grade Eng.

Market Costs

Variable

• Screening ($/hr)

• Diff Blast ($/hr)

• Sensor BS ($/hr)

• Rehandling ($/hr)CRC ORE 9

COST MODELLING EXAMPLE: CAPEX & OPEX

SEC PRI

Mining

Ore to Mill Mining Cost CmineMILL $/t 2.63 2.68 2.65

tonnes mined Ore to LCH Mining Cost CmineLCH $/t 2.87 3.11 2.96

Ore to GE Mining Cost CmineGE $/t 2.82 2.99 2.87

Waste to Dump Mining Cost CmineWST $/t 2.87 3.11 2.96

Ore to Stocks Mining Cost CmineSTK $/t 2.90 2.95 2.92

Ore Rehandling Variable Cost CmineREH $/t 1.80 1.80 1.80

Mining Cost Cmine $/t 2.71 2.85 2.76

Dump Leaching Leaching Cost CromLCH $/t 1.45 0.00 1.45

tonnes leached SXEW Cost CSXEW $/lb 0.25 0.00 0.25

Dump Leaching Cost Clch $/t 2.12 0.00 2.12

Milling Mill Throughput Rate TPHMILL t/href 3,523 2,437 3,026

tonnes milled Mill Availability AvMILL % 93.0% 93.0% 93.0%

Mill Operating Hours HropMILL 496,775 418,992 915,767

Milling Variable Cost CmillVAR $/t 3.50 3.50 3.50

Milling Fixed Cost CmillFIX $/hr 18,330 18,330 18,330

G&A Fixed Cost CgaFIX $/hr 8,000 8,000 8,000

Millling Cost Cmill $/t 13.51 14.31 13.80

MINZONEPARAMETER UNITS TOTAL

CRC ORE 10

COST MODELLING EXAMPLE: SELLING COSTS

SEC PRI

Cu Concentrate Concentrate Cu Grade ConCu % 33.4% 33.8% 33.5%

Selling Concentrate As Grade ConAs ppm 1,839 1,261 1,634

Concentrate Ag Grade ConAg g/t 51 50 51

Cu Concentrate Tonnage TconCu dmt 22,515 12,315 34,830

Transport & Port Cost CtrcCu $/wmt 26.0 26.0 26.0

Ocean Freigth Cost CofcCu $/wmt 54.0 54.0 54.0

Insurance Cost CinsCu 0.63 0.64 0.64

Umpire, Surveying, Asseying CusaCu $/dmt 0.35 0.35 0.35

As Penalty PenAs $/dmt 0.00 0.00 0.00

Concentrate Humidity HumCu % 9.0% 9.0% 9.0%

Concentrate Losses LossCu % 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%

Cu Payable Factor PFCu % 96.6% 96.6% 96.6%

Cu Smelter Charge TCCu $/dmt 105.0 105.0 105.0

Cu Refining Charge RCCu $/lb 0.105 0.105 0.105

Sales Cu Price PCu $/lb 2.87 2.87 2.87

Cu Price Particip. Factor PPCu $/lb 0.00 0.00 0.00

Cu Conc. Selling Cost SellConCu $/lb 0.46 0.46 0.46

Cu Cathode Transport & Port Cost CTRP $/lb 0.023 0.000 0.023

Selling Ocean Freigth Cost COFR $/lb 0.027 0.000 0.027

AAA Cathode Quality Premium QPCu $/lb 0.000 0.000 0.000

Sales Cu Price PCu $/lb 2.87 2.87 2.87

Cu Cathode Selling Cost SellCuH $/lb 0.05 0.00 0.05

MINZONEPARAMETER UNITS TOTAL

CRC ORE 11

COST MODELLING EXAMPLE: GE CAPEX & OPEX

Description Unit Unit Cost

Screening – Grade by Size Cost $/t. processed -0.31

Undersize Material Cost $/t. processed 0.03

Oversize Material Cost $/t. processed -0.60

Differential Blasting Cost $/t. processed -0.10

‘Mass Pull’ to Undersize Grade by Size ($/t) Differential Blasting ($/t)

20% 0.784 0.884

30% 0.721 0.821

40% 0.658 0.758

50% 0.595 0.695

60% 0.532 0.632

70% 0.469 0.569

80% 0.406 0.506

GE Plant (Ktpd) GE Plant (Ktpa) Installed CAPEX

55 20,000 $ 183,137

68 25,000 $ 195,990

82 30,000 $ 209,477

96 35,000 $ 213,427

110 40,000 $ 220,769

123 45,000 $ 227,455

CRC ORE 12

GE

GE GE

G

E

G

E

G

E

GE Economic Variables

GE

G

E

• Ranking Responses

• Pre-C Operating Costs

• Unit Value per Block $/t

• Optimum Economic Destination

• Optimum GE tech and operating mode

• MCAF, PCAF

GE Geometallurgical Attributes:

• Grade Variability

• Separation Properties per GE Technique

Geological Parameters

Metallurgical Parameters

CRC ORE 13

GE RESOURCE EVALUATION: ECONOMIC BLOCK MODELLING

GE RESOURCE EVALUATION: BLOCK VALUE & DESTINATION

Calculating the Maximum $/t per block and Economic Destination.

CU @ 0.5

Conventional Direct feed:• Mill - $/t• Leach - $/t• Waste - $/t

Direct feed to Grade Engineering• Grade by Size (GS) - $/t• Differential Blasting (DB) - $/t• Sensor Based Sorting (SBS) - $/t

Direct feed V.S Grade Engineering Feed• Mill - $/t• Sensor Based Sorting (SBS) - $/t

GE - SBS

HG - MILL

LG - LEACH

CRC ORE 14

GE RESOURCE EVALUATION: RANKING RESPONSE & MASS PULL

CU @ 0.5

20% @ 0.95 + 80% @ 0.39 = 0.5

30% @ 0.80 + 70% @ 0.35 = 0.5

50% @ 0.70 + 50% @ 0.30 = 0.5

0.95

0.39

0.80

0.35

0.70

0.30

70% @ 0.60 + 30% @ 0.28 = 0.5

0.60

0.28

Selects Highest Economic Value: $/t

CRC ORE 15

GE RESOURCE EVALUATION: BLOCK VALUE & DESTINATION

CU @ 0.5

Grade

Engineering Plant Waste Dump

Leaching Pads

Stock

Pile

Process Plant

Best Economic Destination

LG Stream

HG Stream

GE Economic Optimum

Combination

Mine

GE Technique

CRC ORE 16

GE RESOURCE EVALUATION: CUT-OFF GRADE

𝑪𝑶𝑮𝒎 =ℎ

𝑃 − 𝐾 𝑦

𝑪𝑶𝑮𝒉 =(ℎ +

(𝑓 + 𝐹)𝐻

)

𝑃 − 𝑘 𝑦

𝑪𝑶𝑮𝒌 =ℎ

𝑃 − 𝑘 −(𝑓 + 𝐹)𝐾

𝑦

Ken Lane Value and Cut-Off Grade Equations

𝑉𝑚 = 𝑃 − 𝑘 𝑥𝑦ḡ − 𝑥ℎ −𝑚 −(𝑓+𝐹)

𝑀

𝑉ℎ = 𝑃 − 𝑘 𝑥𝑦ḡ − 𝑥ℎ −𝑚 −(𝑓 + 𝐹)𝑥

𝐻

𝑉𝑘 = 𝑃 − 𝑘 𝑥𝑦ḡ − 𝑥ℎ −𝑚 −(𝑓 + 𝐹)𝑥𝑦ḡ

𝐾

CRC ORE 17

GE RESOURCE EVALUATION: VALUE CURVES & COG

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80

PR

OFI

T [

$/T

]

CU GRADE [%]

VALUE CURVES AND CUT-OFF GRADES FOR GRADE ENGINEERING

SEC MILL SEC LCH MAX GXZ MAX DB WASTE

GE DB

MILL

GE GS

0.36

Cu%0.50

Cu%

0.24

Cu%

0.10

Cu%

0.62

Cu%

LEACH

0.15

Cu%

Cut-Off

GradesCRC ORE 18

CU 1.7 CU 0.27LEACH CU 1.3MILL CU 0.27

CU 0.7 CU 0.25 CU 0.13 CU 1.0MILL CU 0.20 CU 0.10WASTE

GE % ECONOMIC AMENABILITY OF THE DEPOSIT

GE GE GE GE

GEGE

CU 0.15 CU 0.25WASTE LEACH

GE

CRC ORE 19

GE RESOURCE EVALUATION: ECONOMIC BLOCK MODEL

GE RESOURCE EVALUATION: BEST BLOCK VALUE

CRC ORE 20

GE RESOURCE EVALUATION: BEST BLOCK VALUE

CRC ORE 21

GE RESOURCE EVALUATION: FINAL PIT OPTIMISATION

?

Grade Engineered Final Pit GE Economic Block Model

Grade Engineering

• GE Parameters

• Pre-C Independent

Processing Destination

• Pre-C $/t

• Pre-C Recoveries

• Ranking Responses

Base Case

CRC ORE 22

GE RESOURCE EVALUATION: FINAL PIT OPTIMISATION

BASE CASE - CONSTRAINED GRADE BY SIZE - CONSTRAINED DIFFERENTIAL BLASTING CONSTRAINED

BASE CASE - UNCONSTRAINED GRADE BY SIZE - UNCONSTRAINED DIFFERENTIAL BLASTING UNCONSTRAINED

1% Value, 2% Material Movements 4% Value, 5% Material Movements

2% Value, 3% Material Movements Compared to BC Unconstrained.

4.5% Value, 6% Material MovementsCompared to BC Unconstrained.

73% Value, 340% Material MovementCompared to BC Constrained.

CRC ORE 23

GE RESOURCE EVALUATION: PUSHBACK SEQUENCING & DESIGN

?Push Backs - Base Case Push Backs – Grade Engineering

CRC ORE 24

PUSHBACK SEQUENCING & DESIGN: EXAMPLE

GRADE BY SIZE - CONSTRAINED DIFFERENTIAL BLASTING CONSTRAINED

1% Value, 2% Material Movements 4% Value, 5% Material Movements

CRC ORE 25

PRODUCTION SCHEDULE AND NPV OPTIMISATION

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033

0.1

0.3

0.5

0.7

0.9

1.1

1.3

1.5

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

SBS

DB

ND Natural Deportment

Differential Blasting

Sensor Based Sorting

GE

GE

GE

GE

GE

GE

GE

GE

GE

GE

GE

GE G

E

GE G

E

GE

GE

GE

GE

HG GE HG CASH FLOW GE CASH FLOW

Tonnes000

Cu %

CRC ORE 26

GE PRODUCTION SCHEDULE OPTIMISATION – EXAMPLE MINE PLAN

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

20

20

20

21

20

22

20

23

20

24

20

25

20

26

20

27

20

28

20

29

20

30

20

31

20

32

20

33

20

34

20

35

20

36

20

37

Stri

p R

atio

GE Mine Plan

Waste to Dump

Ore to Stock

Ore to Leach from Stocks

Ore to Leach from Mine

Ore to GE from Stocks

Ore to GE from Mine

Ore to Mill from Stocks

Ore to Mill from Mine

Strip Ratio

Results:

20% of Total Material Movement goes to GE Plant.

14% of Mill Feed comes from Grade Engineering Plant.

Material to Grade Engineering Plant

Direct Feed to Waste

Direct Feed to Mill

Direct Feed to Dump Leach

CRC ORE 28

GE PRODUCTION SCHEDULE OPTIMISATION: EXAMPLE MILL

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

#N/A

#N/A

#N/A

CuT

Gra

de [%

]

Mas

s [M

t]Feed to Mill

Ore to Mill from Mine Ore to Mill from GE Ore to Mill from Stocks CuT Grade

Results:

14% of Mill Feed comes from Grade Engineering Plant.

Produced 121 CuKt, and 1 MoKt more of metal in concentrate than the Base Case.

However, the GE MP produced 39 CuKt less in metal cathode.

Material from Grade Engineering Plant

Direct Feed to Mill

Ore to Mill from Stocks

CRC ORE 29

GE PRODUCTION SCHEDULE OPTIMISATION: EXAMPLE GE PLANT

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037

MIl

lion

To

nn

es

Material Feed to Grade Engineering Plant

Total Ore to Mill from GE Total Ore to Dump Leach from GE Total Wast to Waste Dump from GE

Ore to Mill from GE CuT Grade (%) Ore to Mill from GE CuT Grade (%) Waste to Waste Dump from GE CuT Grade (%)

Total Ore to GE CuT Grade (%)

Grade Engineering Plant - Capacity: 35 Mtpa

Results: Feed Average Grade: 0.37 Cu% Upgraded to Mill at 0.61 Cu% - 29% of GE Material Marginal to Dump Leach at 0.32 Cu% - 48% of GE Material Downgraded to Waste Dump at 0.19 Cu% - 23% of GE Material

Upgraded Material to Mill

Dowgraded Material to Dump LeachGE FEED

GE TO MILL

GE TO DUMP LEACH

GE TO WASTE DUMP

0.37 Cu%

0.32 Cu%

0.61 Cu%

0.19 Cu%

CRC ORE 30

GE PRODUCTION SCHEDULE OPTIMISATION: MASS PULL PLAN (GS)

Comments: Grade by Size Only GS 20% Mass Pull is the Main Mass Pull Across the LOM Mass Pull Increases throughout the LOM

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038

Grade Engineering GS - Mass Pull Schedule

Total GS_2 Total GS_3 Total GS_4

Total GS_5 Total Ore to GE CuT Grade (%) CuT Grade (%) at GS_2

CuT Grade (%) at GS_3 CuT Grade (%) at GS_4 CuT Grade (%) at GS_4

CRC ORE 31

Mass Pull 20%

Mass Pull 30%

Mass Pull 40%

Mass Pull 50%

Comments: Sensor Based Sorting Only GS 30% Mass Pull is the Main Mass Pull Across the LOM Mass Pull Increases throughout the LOM

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038

Grade Engineering SS- Mass Pull Schedule

Total SS_2 Total SS_3 Total SS_4

Total SS_5 Total Ore to GE CuT Grade (%) CuT Grade (%) at SS_2

CuT Grade (%) at SS_3 CuT Grade (%) at SS_4 CuT Grade (%) at SS_5

CRC ORE 32

Mass Pull 30%

Mass Pull 40%

Mass Pull 50%

GE PRODUCTION SCHEDULE OPTIMISATION: NPV VS METAL PRICE

2,174

6,801

9,880

2,362

7,042

10,182

9%

4% 3%

-10%

-8%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2.30 2.87 3.25

Base Case - NPV Sensitivity to Metal Prices

BASE CASE DIFFERENTIAL BLASTING DELTA

When Cu Prices Drop GE adds resilience to a Mining project.

CRC ORE 33

STRATEGIC MINE PLANNING: CONCLUSIONS

Grade Engineering Amenability

Every Deposit is Different

Every Deposit will have different heterogeneity, grade variability.

Every Project will be amenable to different Grade Engineering Techniques and at different scales.

GE Full Mine Planning Optimisation aids to reach and improve Strategic Goals.

NPV Improvement of 3% to 15% achieved through GE fully optimised mine plans

Head Grade Improvement from 3% to 15%, per year and for LOM.

Improvement in Metal in Cu concentrate

Improvement in Metal in Mo concentrate

Reduction in Metal in Cu cathode

When Cu Prices Drop GE adds resilience to the project.

CRC ORE 34

invent

introduce

Strategic Mine [email protected]

www.crcore.org.au

Carlos EspejelMine PlanningEngineer