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superPOWER superPOWER burning burning Prasanto K Roy Prasanto K Roy Greenpeace| CIOL.com / Mar Greenpeace| CIOL.com / Mar 2013 2013 How India’s current account deficit stems How India’s current account deficit stems from an energy-security vision deficit from an energy -securi ty vision deficit

Superpower Burning

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Page 1: Superpower Burning

superPOWER

superPOWER

burningburning

Prasanto K Roy

Prasanto K Roy

Greenpeace| CIOL.com / Mar 2013

Greenpeace| CIOL.com / Mar 2013How India’s current account deficit stems

How India’s current account deficit stems

from an energy-security vision deficit

from an energy-security vision deficit

Page 2: Superpower Burning

The

The

Defi

cit

Defi

cit

$$7575BBIndia’s India’s Current Account Deficit

Current Account Deficit

Page 3: Superpower Burning

31% of India’s total imports is oil

The

The

Defi

cit

Defi

cit

Page 4: Superpower Burning

$$140140BBIndia’s 2011-12

India’s 2011-12Oil Import Bill

Oil Import Bill

The

The

Defi

cit

Defi

cit

Page 5: Superpower Burning

25% 2003-04

53% 2031-32% of commercial energy use

based on IMPORTS

(Planning Commission)

Hig

h

Hig

h E

nerg

yEnerg

y

Page 6: Superpower Burning

Hig

h

Hig

h E

nerg

yEnerg

y 7070%%

India’s energy generation is

India’s energy generation is

from fossil fuels

from fossil fuels4040% Coal% Coal2424% Crude

% Crude66% natural Gas

% natural GasInternational Energy Agency

International Energy Agency

Page 7: Superpower Burning

$$5858 bnbnLosses est. from India’s

Losses est. from India’s10% power

10% power deficitdeficit

Hig

h

Hig

h E

nerg

yEnerg

y

Page 8: Superpower Burning

1515%%2020 renewable-energy

2020 renewable-energy

target NAPCC 2008

target NAPCC 2008

Hig

h

Hig

h E

nerg

yEnerg

y

Page 9: Superpower Burning

2020%%2020 renewable-energy

2020 renewable-energy

target recommended by

target recommended by

Greenpeace E[R]

Greenpeace E[R]

147 GW mostly wind and solar.1 mn 1 mn more jobs (1.8 mn

more jobs (1.8 mn

tot.) vs 7k jobs (nuclear)

tot.) vs 7k jobs (nuclear)

and 0.5mn (coal)

and 0.5mn (coal)

Hig

h

Hig

h E

nerg

yEnerg

y

Page 10: Superpower Burning

33 Indust

rial

Indust

rial

Revo

luti

ons

Revo

luti

ons

Convergence: Energy +

Convergence: Energy +

Communication Tech

Communication Tech1.1. Coal/steam engine

Coal/steam engine

+ press + press 2.2. IC engine + telephony

IC engine + telephony

Centralized power

Centralized power3.3. Internet +

Internet + Distributed power

Distributed powerJeremy Rifkin / FICCI MegaTrends 2020 project

Jeremy Rifkin / FICCI MegaTrends 2020 project

Page 11: Superpower Burning

3rd

3rd

Indust

rial

Indust

rial

Revo

luti

on

Revo

luti

on

Disruptive

Disruptive ChangeChange1.1.Distributed power

Distributed power2.2.Smart grids

Smart grids3.3.MicrogridsMicrogrids4.4.Services: Big shift

Services: Big shift5.5.EVs and hybrids

EVs and hybrids

Page 12: Superpower Burning

Energ

yEnerg

y Not [just] a

Not [just] a climate climate

change change issue

issue Self-sufficiency

Self-sufficiency key to India’s future

key to India’s future Mega-disruptive

Mega-disruptive Huge

Huge opportunity.

opportunity.

Page 13: Superpower Burning

superPOWER

superPOWER

burningburning

Prasanto K Roy

Prasanto K Roy

CIOL/Greenpeace| Mar 2013

CIOL/Greenpeace| Mar 2013