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Systematic Reviews.

Systematic Reviews

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Systematic Reviews. Reviews. Reviews (or overviews) are a drawing together of material to make a case. These may, or may not, be critical and can be used to support one side of an argument as opposed to a critical evaluation of both sides of the argument. Systematic review. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Systematic Reviews

Systematic Reviews.

Page 2: Systematic Reviews

Reviews.

Reviews (or overviews) are a drawing together of material to make a case.

These may, or may not, be critical and can be used to support one side of an argument as opposed to a critical evaluation of both sides of the argument.

Page 3: Systematic Reviews

Systematic review.

A review in which evidence on a topic or research question has been systematically identified, appraised and summarised according to predetermined criteria.

Page 4: Systematic Reviews

Systematic review.

A systematic review should:

•Contain a statement of objectives, materials and methods.

•Be conducted according to explicit and reproducible criteria.

•Results may be combined using meta-analysis, if it is appropriate to do so.

Page 5: Systematic Reviews

Meta-analysis.

A statistical technique.

Summarises the results of several studies into a single estimate.

Gives more weight to larger studies.

Page 6: Systematic Reviews

Don’t be fooled!

Meta-analysis is only a statistical tool. It does not produce good results if the review itself is biased.

Meta-analyses should be conducted as part of a systematic review.

Page 7: Systematic Reviews

Reviews

Meta-analysis

Systematic reviews

From: Critical Appraisal Skills Programme (CASP), Oxford.

Page 8: Systematic Reviews

What kind of studies are included in a systematic review?

This depends on the question.

Many systematic reviews are concerned with questions of effectiveness e.g. does nicotine replacement therapy help people stop smoking? The best study design to answer these questions is the randomised controlled trial.

Thus, looking at systematic reviews of RCTs. The best example of these are found in the Cochrane Library.

http://www.nelh.nhs.uk/cochrane.asp

Page 9: Systematic Reviews

Preparing, maintaining and disseminatingsystematic reviews of the effects of health care

The Cochrane Collaboration.

Page 10: Systematic Reviews

What if my question doesn’t have RCT evidence?

For many questions, RCTs are not an appropriate study design to answer the question e.g. community-based interventions. Systematic reviews increasingly include other types of evidence as well e.g. observational sudies (case-control, cohort).

For examples of such work, see the Campbell Collaboration.

http://www.campbellcollaboration.org/

Page 11: Systematic Reviews

The Campbell Collaboration.

Reviews randomised and non-randomised studies in the areas of:

•Education.

•Crime & Justice.

•Social Welfare.

•Methods.

Page 12: Systematic Reviews

Combining data.

Results from studies are reported in a SR either:

•Quantitatively in a meta-analysis.

•Quantitatively but with no meta-analysis.

•Qualitatively in a narrative review.

Page 13: Systematic Reviews

Meta-analysis.

A statistical technique.

Summarises the results of several studies into a single estimate.

Gives more weight to larger studies.

Page 14: Systematic Reviews

Example 2.

From:

Egger M, Davey Smith G, Phillips AN. Meta-analysis: Principles and procedures. BMJ 1997;315:1533-1537.

Page 15: Systematic Reviews

Was this appropriate?

You need to decide if it was appropriate to combine the results of several studies.

Two ways of assessing this:

•Look at the data.

•Test of heterogeneity.

Page 16: Systematic Reviews

Example 1.

From:

Thompson SG. Why sources of heterogeneity in meta-analysis should be investigated. BMJ 1994;309:1351-1355.

Page 17: Systematic Reviews

The confidence intervals from these trial are not overlapping.

e.g. Gothenburg trial doesn’t overlap with Renfrew-Paisley, Whitehall or Central Sweden results.

These trials are heterogenous i.e. too different, to combine.

Meta-analysis would be inappropriate.

Page 18: Systematic Reviews

Example 2.

From:

Egger M, Davey Smith G, Phillips AN. Meta-analysis: Principles and procedures. BMJ 1997;315:1533-1537.

Page 19: Systematic Reviews

The confidence intervals of all the trials are overlapping.

Direction of effect is very similar in each.

These trials look similar, so combining them is appropriate.

Page 20: Systematic Reviews

Test for heterogeneity.

A statistical test to test the assumption that the included trials are all similar.

Null hypothesis: All the included trials are similar.

Want a non-significant result.

If the result is significant, have to reject the null hypothesis – assume that the trials are different (heterogeneous).

Page 21: Systematic Reviews

Example 1.

Test for heterogeneity: Chi-square=127, p<0.001.

Example 2.

The test for heterogeneity gives a non-significant P value of 0.2.

Rule of thumb:

A chi square value much greater than the number of trials in the meta-analysis indicates that the trials are different to each other.

Page 22: Systematic Reviews

Models…..

What are fixed effect models and random effect models?

Underlying assumptions for two types of meta-analyses.

Page 23: Systematic Reviews

Fixed effect models.

Assumes every study is estimating the same unknown effect.

That the underlying treatment effects are identical.

Page 24: Systematic Reviews

Random effects models.

Assumes that studies are are estimating different, but related, unknown treatment effects.

Differences between these studies are due to random variation.

Page 25: Systematic Reviews

Narrative review.

Integrative reviews.

Concerned with combining or amalgamating data.

Basic comparability between studies.

Interpretive reviews.

Identify concepts in the primary literature.

Integrate these concepts into a higher order theory.

Page 26: Systematic Reviews

Integrative.

Content analysis.

Case survey.

Meta-analysis.

Interpretive.

Narrative summary.

Thematic analysis.

Meta-ethnography.

Realist synthesis.