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Technology Life Cycle time Perform Potential emergent growth mature decline First Mover / Follower
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Technology, Innovation, Timing
Types of Innovation Types of Innovation Incremental Innovation Architectural Innovation Modular Innovation Radical/Disruptive Innovation
Technology Life Cycle
time
PerformPotential
emergent growth mature declineFirst Mover / Follower
Characteristics in Life Cycle
Characteristics Emergent Growing MatureRevenue Growth Fast (?) Moderate SlowStability Low Moderate HighUncertainty High Moderate LowIndustry Rules ?? Fluid FixedCompetitiveness Low Moderate High
Type of Industry
First-Mover Advantages Disadvantages
First-Mover Advantages
Create the standard Low-cost position Intellectual property Tie up resources Increase switching
costs for producer Increase switching
costs for customer
First-Mover Advantages
Create the standard Low-cost position Intellectual property Tie up resources Increase switching
costs for producer Increase switching
costs for customer
Disadvantages
First-Mover Advantages
Create the standard Low-cost position Intellectual property Tie up resources Increase switching
costs for producer Increase switching
costs for customer
Disadvantages Advantages can be
short-lived Higher development
costs Competitors violate
intellectual property Greater uncertainty Consumer reluctance
First Mover vs Follower Pioneers gain significant sales advantages
but incur larger cost disadvantages relative to a fast follower entrant
ROI pioneers < ROI fast followers First mover more likely to attain strategic
resource (Starbucks busy corner strategy)
First-Mover vs Follower With insufficient information early entrance
can lead to large costs Too long, firm may lose the first-mover
advantage
First-Mover vs FollowerC
ash
Flow
Innovation No Competition Low Competition Strong Competition
Window of Opportunity
First MoverFollower
First Mover vs Follower Beta vs VHS Prodigy, CompuServe, AOL When is a first mover strategy called for ?
Tom PetersInnovation EasyMarkets Underserved
Class Exercise What issues would you like to see solved? Break in groups of 3 or 4
Value Net and Alliances Complements to a product
Hot dogs & mustard Starbucks and Barnes & Noble
Partnerships Calyx & Corolla partners FedEx (floral delivery) MicroSoft & Mac – spreadsheet & graphical apps
(allowed MicroSoft to exploit Apple’s graphical interface & create windows)
Technology & Innovation Strategy Innovation is commercialized invention 6% of independent inventions make it to
market Success rate for inventions in established
firms 4 times as high Invention to Venture can be a long road
(Chester Carlson invented photocopier in 1942. Xerox introduced first copier in 1960).
Dimensions of Tech. Innovations Importance Radicalness Patent Scope
Dimensions of Tech. Innovations Importance
Magnitude of economic value of invention Radicalness
Market effect of the commercialized invention (disruptive innovation)
Patent Scope Breadth of intellectual property protection
New Technology
New Invention
CharacteristicsImportanceRadicalnessPatent Scope
Avail Resources Commercialize
New Firm
Capabilities /Knowledge of
EntrepreneurialTeam
CharacteristicsOf
Industry
No Yes
Tech Innovation Strategy Innovation based on invention & creativity and
is defined as invention that has produced economic value in the marketplace.
Innovation based on commercialization of new technology Skis – Snowboards Schwinn bicycles to mountain bikes
Weird Video
Sources of Innovation Lead users
Product ideas but not average users Sliced peanut butter
Build it & they will come (often fails) Assumes customer will do what they say
(fertilizer vs organic fertilizer) Market analysis
Creativity & Invention
Describe The Problem
Incubateobserve problem
Brainstorm
InsightsInventive think
Build / TestPrototype
Evaluate / TestIdeas
Start
New Technology Ventures Neither the first companies to use
technology nor the companies with the best technology win
Companies with right application for the technology win Apple invented Newton PDA, Palm application graffiti interface
Technology Factors• Feasibility• Performance• Manufacturability
Business Factors• Vision• Target Market• Value Proposition
Strategy• Industry/Competitor Analysis• Expected Competitive Adv.
Expected Economic Results• Revenue / Profitability• Return on Capital• Time to profitability
Question: www.gentex.com Gentex Corp. designs and manufactures
automatic-dimming review mirrors. Its safety mirrors use sensors and electronics to detect glare from trailing approaching vehicles at night and darken accordingly. Describe the technology that Gentex uses. Describe a value-net base for Gentex and who its partners might be.
Question: www.gemcar.com Daimler Chrysler is offering a car called
GEM that runs on a battery and will travel up to 30 miles with a top speed of 25 mph before needing recharging. It sells for $6,000-$8,000. What innovation is necessary to make this car a winner?