Thayer Vietnam Brief : Political Overview and Current Issues

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    et am r e

    Emeritus Professor Carl Thayer16th Delegation of Young Political Leaders

    Hotel Realm, CanberraMarch 23, 2012

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    l n f Pr n nl n f Pr n n

    Background

    ompar son o e namese an

    Australian Political Systems Current Political Structure and

    Government

    Current Issues

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    Back roundBack round 14th most populous

    .

    (2011) $299 billion GDP

    ppp r n

    $121.6 billion GDP

    Economic growth rate5.8% 2011

    Success in povertyreduction

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    Human GeographyHuman Geography

    Kinh 85.7%

    Tay 1.9%

    Thai 1.8

    Muong 1.5

    mer .

    Mong 1.2

    Nung 1/1%

    .

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    Still a Developing Country

    Organisation Survey Ranking

    World Economic Forum Global Com etitiveness 65 out ofReport 2011-12 (-6) 142

    World Bank Ease of Doing Business

    Re ort 2012 -5

    98 out of

    183

    United Nations Development

    Programme

    Human Development

    Index 2011 (nil change)

    128 out of

    187

    Transparency International Corruption PerceptionsIndex 2011 (+4)

    112 out of

    182

    Wall Street Journal

    Freedom 2012 (+8) 179

    Index 2011-12 (-7)

    179

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    Comparison of Vietnamese andComparison of Vietnamese and

    us ra an o ca ys emsus ra an o ca ys ems No separation of power Separation of power

    One-party

    -

    Multi-party

    Unicameral legislature

    ompu sory vo ng

    Bicameral legislature Politically active armed

    forces Politically neutral armed

    forces

    Mass organisationsstate-controlled Civic organisations are

    inde endent Media state-controlled

    Media independent

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    GovernmentGovernment

    Leninist one-party

    ua ro e e es

    Gradual political liberalisation since 1992 No pluralism, multi-parties or opposition

    Market econom with socialist orientations

    Soft-authoritarian

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    Administrative Divisions

    59 rovinces

    5 municipalities

    ano

    HaiphongDa Nang

    Ho Chi Minh City

    Can Tho

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    OneOne--Party StateParty State

    Vietnam Communist PartVietnam Communist Part

    The StateThe StateArmedForcesArmedForces

    MassOrganisations

    MassOrganisations

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    11th National Congress

    Januar 2011

    Nguyn Ph TrngSecretar -General

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    Party Power StructureParty Power Structure

    >3.5>3.5 CongressCongress CentralCentral PolitburoPolitburomillion

    membersmillion

    members1,377

    delegates1,377

    delegates

    175

    members

    175

    members

    14members

    14members

    General

    General

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    Central CommitteeCentral Committee

    175 full and 25 alternate members, Central

    omm ee requ re o mee n p enary

    session twice a year.

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    Political Bureau 2011Political Bureau 2011

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    n m P r ln m P r lSecretary

    enera

    Prime MinisterState President

    Chair NationalAssembl

    PermanentSecretar

    StandingCommittee

    PartySecretariat

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    Trng Tn Sang

    Nguyn Th Doan

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    CabinetCabinet -- ChChnh Phnh Ph(literally government)(literally government)

    From collective leadership to ministerial responsibility

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    Prime Minister N u en Tan DunPrime Minister N u en Tan Dun

    HeadsCabinetHeads

    Cabinet

    Member ofPolitburo

    Member ofPolitburo

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    AssemblyAssembly --

    QuQu c Hc Hii

    N u n Sinh Hn - Chair

    500 deputies from 64

    administrative units

    Bi-annual sessions

    Standing Committee

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    Proceedings broadcast on radio and television, voting results madepublic, full-time deputies, Ministers grilled, legislation amended, two

    of the Prime Ministers Cabinet nominees rejected, confidence vote,

    reviewed bauxite contract with Chinese firm, high-speed rail rejected

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    Vietnam Peoples ArmyVietnam Peoples Army

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    The Armed Forces have an explicit role

    n e po ca sys em

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    MM TrTr n Tn T

    Vietnam Communist Party

    Peoples Armed Forces

    General Confederation of

    Vietnam Farmers Union

    Vietnam Womens UnionVietnam Veterans Union

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    rr n Irr n I

    a. Landtenure

    b. Partyreform anticorruption

    .

    d. Suppressionoffreedomofspeech/dissent

    e. Contaminationofpetrol

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    on Vn Vn

    from land he

    leased and

    successfullydeveloped in

    district

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    PartPart --Buildin & ReformBuildin & Reform

    Party of Vietnam Central Committees fourth plenum On Urgent Issues

    in Party-Building opened in Hanoi on February 27, 2012

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    East Sea South China SeaEast Sea South China Sea

    nprece en e pu c emons ra ons aga ns na on ou na ea c a ms

    held in 2011.

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    Declinin

    Human

    Ri htsDeclinin

    Human

    Ri hts

    33 peaceful activists imprisoned and another 27arrested endin trial in 2011

    Bloggers, writers, human rights defenders. anti-

    corru tion cam ai ners democrac advocates landrights activists, minority religious groups

    Mistreatment of Christian ethnic minorities and Falun

    Gong adherents

    Censorshi of Internet and Facebook

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    P r l n m n nP r l n m n n

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    n D ln D [email protected]

    Mobile: 0437 376 429

    Thayer Consultancy

    . .

    Jamison Centre, ACT 2614