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Consulting The Benefits of Store Clustering 7 Garrick St Covent Garden London WC2E 9AR T - +44 (0)203 051 1375 www.riverheadconsulting.com Simon Smallwood Director Email – [email protected] Tel - +44 7786 387793

The Benefits of Store Clustering - Ecr Baltic · Mission Statement To provide the ... Mixed Shoppers Smaller Local Store: Young Single Shoppers. ... The Benefits of Store Clustering

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Consulting

The Benefits of Store Clustering

7 Garrick StCovent Garden

LondonWC2E 9AR

T - +44 (0)203 051 1375 www.riverheadconsulting.com

Simon SmallwoodDirectorEmail – [email protected] - +44 7786 387793

Page: 2

Not so long ago.......

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Page: 3

Where everyone knew your name......

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Page: 4

But times they were a changing.....

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Page: 5

And the only constant is change.....

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Pick n Pay V & A Wharf Cape Town SA

Page: 6

Mass Merchandise, Mass Market, Mass Range, Mass Inventory...

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Page: 7

So what’s in it for the....

Retailer:• Broadest possible range attracts

broadest number of customers

• Easy to manage – ‘One size fits all’

• Buying & promotion efficiencies

• Out range the competition

• Logistics & Distribution efficiencies

• Streamlined back office systems

Customer:• Vast range of choice

• All tastes catered for

• Secondary & Tertiary options

• Competitive environment keeping

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

• Streamlined back office systems • Competitive environment keeping prices down

• One stop shop

• Bulk buying

Manufacturer:• Maximum distribution

• Optimum market penetration

• Promotional Critical Mass

• Minimum number of SKU’s

Page: 8

What is the real cost to retailers and do customers really benefit?

80

100

Sale

s Va

lue

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

20 100

Sale

s Va

lue

Inventory Value

Page: 9

The Diamond of Doom

Excess Inventory

Leads to

Poor Cash Flow:Pressure from suppliers

Leads to

Leads to

Excessive ObsolescencePilferage, maintenance,

insurance etc

Leads to

Studies have shown that the annual additional cost of holding excess inventory can be 25% to 32%.

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Excessive Debt servicing

Leads to

High Interest Expense

Leads to

LowerOperating

Profits

Lower Gross Margin

Leads to

High Advertising & Selling Expenses(To eliminate the excess)

Leads to

Page: 10

Traditional Retail Models define both ends of the spectrum...

HighRa

nge

& V

alue

Local Convenience Store:• Destination Store• 1:1 Service• Knowledgeable Staff• Awareness of Needs

Sale

s Vo

lum

es

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Low High

Rang

e &

Val

ue

Customer Engagement

Mass Market Grocers:• Destination Store• Low Cost Provider• Range Breadth & Depth• Broad Appeal

Sale

s Vo

lum

es

Operating Costs

Page: 11

New retail models combine service & value to achieve high loyalty & profits

HighRa

nge

& V

alue

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Low High

Rang

e &

Val

ue

Customer Engagement

SupaValu USA – La Jolla CA

Page: 12

Combining a strong commitment to service and value...

Mission StatementTo provide the finest assortment and highest quality fresh and specialty foods from around the world - in a warm, friendly, and uniquely designed atmosphere with service and value that exceeds the expectations of our customers.

Service:Knowledgeable, Helpful StaffEach Bristol Farms store

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Each Bristol Farms store maintains a large staff who are always available to offer assistance to customers.

Atmosphere:Bristol Farms' stores have been carefully designed and decorated to create a singular shopping experience that evokes the local area.

Page: 13Store Clustering - Why do it?

• Introduce a ‘common language’ describing stores across the business

• Improve store planning, assortment and merchandising• Tailor store space to match customer demand within each cluster• Provides the potential to offer differential cluster specific promotions

• At category and sub-category level determine optimum assortment• Enable informed predictions on demand levels for core range and new titles• Optimise stockholding v demand• Minimise overstocking

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

• Minimise overstocking• Eliminate/reduce expensive returns of redundant stock

• Identify the external attributes that drive cluster performance to achieve a closer match to the needs of the customer profile store by store

• Results in a higher rate of sale from a lower stock holding – improved ROCE

• Identify the internal factors driving optimum performance and enable the sharing of ‘best practice’ within the group

Page: 14

The Dynamics of Store Clustering

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Page: 15

The dynamics of store clusteringStores within a group do not perform in the same way despite how similar the product and price offers

Both internal and external factors impact the performance of every store more or less

In an ideal world we would treat every store as unique and range and merchandise to

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

and range and merchandise to suit the customers who walk through each store

In the real world we must seek to cluster stores by common attributes and performance patterns

The right store clustering programme results in increased customer satisfaction, compliance and improved supply chain efficiency

Critical success factor – Simplicity. The entire company should be able to understand the clusters and describe the people and the stores that each cluster most strongly represents

Page: 16

External variables significantly determine store performance

Percentage contributionto store performance variability.

30%

25%

10%

7%

6% 78%

B

C

DE

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

External VariablesA

Examples of ‘External Variables’ are:A – Local population and Competition (Population, competition, grocery spend within 5,10,15 minutes)B – Store size variables (Revenue, payroll, sq m, opening hours, profit contribution etc)C – Wider demographics (10-15 minute drive time) D – Local demographics (5 minute drive time)E – Store productivity (Productivity index, wastage, shrinkage, FT/PT ratio etc)F – Variability explained (22% not measurable or identifiable i.e. internal variables such as how good store manager is)

B

F

Page: 17

There are several approaches to store clustering used by retailers...

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Page: 18

Size, Format, Spend - MatrixMain+ AverageMain Average

Main HighMain Average

MixedGrab & Go

MixedMeals

Proposition

Own Label Levels

Range / Choice

Main LowMain+ Low

First for Food First for FreshSuperior Food + GMFor Family & HomeFirst for Foodies &

Typical Families

Making LifeTaste Better

For LessFirst for Foodies Fast, Fresh, New

& Exciting

Q FB Q F Q FQ F Q FF

B

Q

P S+ ES P S+ ES P S+ ES P S+ ESP S+ ESP S+ ES

P = Premium Brands S = Standard BrandsS+ = Standard +Brands E = Economy Brands

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Promotions Policy

Environment

Service levels

Format

Q = Quality (TTD, BGTY, Premium Brands, F = Families (Standard +, Standard, Some Economy), B = Budget (Extended Economy, Tertiary Brands)

Q

vQ

v

Q

v

Q

v

Q

vQ

v

Q

vQ

v

Q = Quality V = Value

J J J J J J J J JJBusiness Benchmark

Extended

££ £

BasicNo Frills Standard Flagship

££ £ ££

Average Size& Avg Spend

Avg Size& Low Spend

Avg Size& High Spend

Smaller Local Store;Mixed Shoppers

Smaller Local Store:Young Single

Shoppers

Page: 19

Asda Wal*Mart Spectra Advantage System

Asda WalMart describe all stores by one of four spending bands, Core, Core Plus,

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Asda WalMart describe all stores by one of four spending bands, Core, Core Plus, Core Plus Plus and Core Constrained, then refines at category level.Spectra system takes panel data (ACNielsen /TNS /GFK) and broadcasts national purchasing patterns through demographic profiles on to store trade areas to describe potential demand by each store

Page: 20

Store Clusters defined by opportunity – higher priced wines

Asda Wal*Mart Spectra Advantage System

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Page: 21

Strategic Customer Segmentation

3 monthly highspenders

Can’t stay away

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Healthy Living

Shopping staffConvenience

Page: 22

Tesco loyalty card analysisLifestylesin Tesco

Making PenniesWork

16.4%

Staple FamilyMeals

13.0%

Better off Families

11.8%

Shoppers ona budget

9.7%

Cheap and Easy Meals

0.9%

Convenience Cooks

11.2%

Quick Meals

8.7%Good Cuisine

9.4%

ConservativeQuality

15.9%

TraditionalLiving

13.6%

High SpendingSuperstore

Families

3.0%

CosmopolitanCooks

4.2%

Ready Meals Fans

3.4%

Aspiring Foodies

4.5%

Upmarket & Traditional

4.0%

TraditionalElderly

7.4%

(8 Main Segments)

Strategic Customer Segmentation

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Substantial FamilyFodder

3.4%

Cost ConsciousCooks

3.3%

Basic Family Meals

4.8%

Sausage and spuds families

4.0%

Biscuits and quick meals

3.3%

Standard Superstore

Families

3.6%

Kids Choice

5.2%

Cooking fromJars

4.6%

Eating for Health

2.4%

Calorie Counters

1.6%

Quiche Meals

2.0%

Well off Pizza Families

1.7%

Stylish Foodies

2.6%

Good Taste isGreen

2.3%

First Rate Meals

5.4%

Middle Market Conventionalists

3.8%

Comfortable butCautious

2.7%

Old Fashioned Brands

2.5%

Northern BandLoyalists

3.7%

(27 Sub-segments)(Percentage of total number of Clubcard holders)

Page: 23

Case Study

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Page: 24

Case Study

• Russian book retailer – Ranges include stationery, toys, music & video• Strong & sustained organic growth• 500 Stores throughout Russia and continuing to grow• Diverse locations• Large range of store sizes• Several ‘Banners’

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

• Several ‘Banners’• Introducing ‘Category Management’• Implementing major new systems platform

Page: 25

Concept & benefits of ‘Clustering’ recognised...

Different approaches had been tried, but without success

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Store size?

Store location?

Store geography?Store fascia?

Store brand?

Best practice is to develop a customer profile / shopping occasion based model

Page: 26

Diverse people, lifestyles & cultureDiverse people, lifestyles & culture --how do you profile & group them?how do you profile & group them?

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

how do you profile & group them?how do you profile & group them?

Page: 27

Shopper based clustering challenges...

• Russian market evolving rapidly• Demographic data is difficult to obtain and not granular enough to be useful• Consumer data is patchy and non-existent in book retail channel• Customer profiles are too broad to be applied in this channel• Shopper behaviour understanding in this environment does not exist

The only reliable data available was.....

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Store & Item Level POS Data:Item typeItem sales value, volume, history

Store Attributes:Location, size, type of locality, adjacencies

Supplemented by observational data...

Customer types:Age, single or family, children’s age, affluence

Page: 28

Analysis of similar stores indicated clear differences in sales profiles

For child

School, Education

Culture & SocietyLanguages & Dictionaries

Science & TechnologyMedicine, Economics, Law

Stationery

Media

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8

Store 1 Store 2

Total sales values Store 1 = 6.5 million R, Store 2 = 5.8 million R

Home, Leisure, Life

Fiction

For child

Page: 29

Analysis of similar stores indicate clear differences in sales profiles

• Same size stores do not deliver the same mix of business• Clear evidence of a bias in store profiles.

Core Range

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Education biasstore clusterFamily bias

store cluster

Store 01 has 77% sales in Home, fiction, children and stationery

Store 02 has 35% sales in education and sciences

Page: 30

A detailed analysis of the entire estate identified 6 ‘obvious’ clusters

Cluster 1 Cluster 2 Cluster 3 Cluster 4 Cluster 5 Cluster 6 Overall

Business Economics Law

Actual Sales index. 15 30 55 45 31 89 38

Projected Sales index using cluster 4 as a factor of 1 20 27 40 38 72 72 30Culture And SocietyActual 12 22 41 31 24 52 27Projected 14 19 29 27 51 51 21FictionActual 39 69 132 98 86 124 82Projected 43 59 87 82 156 155 65Home Lifestyle, LeisureActual 35 60 104 76 63 97 65Projected 34 47 70 65 125 124 52

Linguistics

Actual 3 6 13 9 7 17 8

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Actual 3 6 13 9 7 17 8Projected 4 6 9 8 16 16 7Literature for ChildrenActual 37 63 75 80 64 81 66Projected 35 48 71 66 126 125 53Schools, education and PedagogicsActual 39 75 107 105 81 161 87Projected 46 63 93 87 166 165 69Science, Technology and MedicineActual 4 8 15 11 9 20 10Projected 5 7 11 10 19 19 8ToysActual 25 49 27 58 56 51 45Projected 24 33 48 45 86 86 36

Significantly Low Sales Reduce Space Allocation

Significantly High sales Increase Space Allocation

Page: 31

Catering to less well off customers buying across all categories on a limited budget in smaller stores outside of major population centres

1. “Counting the Roubles”Serving and middle income customers mainly buying children’s books and toys in mid-sized town centre and suburban stores

2. “Children First”

Attracting high traffic of high spending customers mainly buying books in larger town centre and suburban locations

3. “Well Read”

A detailed analysis of the entire estate identified 6 customer-centric store clusters

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

The average store attracting middle-income customers buying across all categories in all types of location

4. “Middle of the Road”

Providing an offer for a heavy flow of customers with a strong bias to buying a high number of low value stationery items in town centres and suburbs

5. “Stationery Stars”

Attracting the highest income, highest spending customers - mainly under 30 years of age, in large numbers, buying across all categories in town centre stores

6. “Young, better off &Well read”

Page: 32Cluster comparisons

Cluster 1 Cluster 2 Cluster 3 Cluster 4 Cluster 5 Cluster 6

Descriptor Counting the Roubles Children First Well Read Middle of the RoadStationery

StarsYoung Better Off &

Well Read

SalesProfile

• Lowest number of item sales

• Value of each item is lowest of all clusters

• Item sales value higher• Value per item rising• Book sales up on cluster 1,

toys, stationery & children's books much higher

• Item sales value is rising• Toy sales lower v cluster 2• Children’s books relatively

high• High sales of business,

culture, fiction, linguistics, science, home & life

• Stationery sales flat v overall sales

• Average value of items sold is reverse of cluster 3

• Focus on lower value items• Sales of media, toys &

stationery high• Book sales lower than

cluster 3

• High performing cluster• Highest total item sales of

all stores• Not the highest value• Category sales of

stationery & toys outperform all other clusters

• Books are in line with cluster 4

• Stationery sales high but lower than cluster 5

• High book sales in every category

• Overall value per item sold is higher than all other clusters

• Income profile is lowest of

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Customer Profile

• Income profile is lowest of all groups

• Age profile highest• More households with

children

• Rising income profile• Age range & presence of

children similar to cluster 1

• Income profile higher than cluster 1 & 2

• Age range broadly same as 1 & 2

• Less households with families

• Income profile similar to cluster 3

• Age range & presence of children similar to cluster 3

• Income levels are higher than clusters 1 – 4

• Age profile slightly younger

• More households with older children

• Highest income profile of all categories

• More shoppers under 30 and fewer with children

StoreProfile

• Majority of stores are smallest

• Traffic estimates are lowest of all stores

• More stores in industrial & rural areas

• Sizes similar to cluster 1• Higher number of visitors• Located in centres &

suburbs, few in rural & industrial

• Size slightly larger than cluster 2

• Traffic sharply higher than cluster 1 & 2

• No stores in rural or industrial areas

• Sizes similar to cluster 3• Traffic noticeably lower

than cluster 3• Located throughout most

areas

• Store traffic is rising• Stores located mainly in

centres & suburbs

• Highest traffic numbers of all clusters

• All stores are in centres

Page: 33

Cluster development...

• Clusters were not developed...

• ...based on store size

• ...using only sales value or volume sales

• Clusters were developed...

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

• ...based on item sales mix of categories

• ...using customer profile (customers who shopped in the store)

• ...store attributes that determine the customer profile

Page: 34

Better understanding of the Market Dynamics

Better understanding of the Value Chain Dynamics

Better understanding of the Customer Dynamics

Category Strategy

Factors influencing stores’ performance

Customer centric Store Clustering drives benefits across the entire business..

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Category PlansInventory Management Assortment Space Allocation Revenue

ManagementSupplier

Management

Stock cover & replenishment planned and managed by cluster

Core & discretionary category ranges planned and managed by cluster

Micro & macro category space allocation planned and managed by cluster

Promotional events tailored to cluster-specific requirements

Transparent communication of the implications of the store cluster model

Page: 35

For each cluster we can now define…..

Core Range

• Titles / SKUs• Share of category space• Position in store• Stock levels / target availability

Discretionary Range

• Based on cluster attributes– Store size– Category participation– Catchment preferences

Promotions

• Participation in promotion• Use of display materials• Position in store

Store assortment by category can be precisely targeted to customer profile

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

• Stock levels / target availability• Replenishment frequency

– Catchment preferences

Page: 36

The results can be significant...

• Sales uplift in underperforming test stores: +87%

• Overall sales uplift: +22%

• Availability: +18%

• Overall reduction in inventory levels: -17%

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

• Promotional response: +35%

• Average spend per visit: + 12%

Page: 37

• Store Clustering enabled the retailer to improve efficiencies across a wide range of measures.

• Retailer is now able to discuss ‘Ranging Solutions’ with suppliers on a ‘Cluster’ basis.

• Macro & micro space allocation reflects customer demand – optimising stock holding and improving availability

• The business has become more ‘Customer Centric’ in its approach and thinking.

Impact on Retailers business model...

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

• The business has become more ‘Customer Centric’ in its approach and thinking.

• Promotions are targeted to drive volume and profit in the stores where impact will be greatest.

• Performance measures at store level are focused on ‘customer service’

• Stores are benchmarked ‘like for like’.

Page: 38

‘Store Cluster’ models should be developed using the best data available to a retailer...

... their own!

Effective ‘Store Cluster’ modelling should not be a ‘black box’ solution...

... it is a combination of high levelanalytics and retailing expertise.

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

analytics and retailing expertise.

‘Store Cluster’ modelling is a collaborative process within the retailer and with suppliers...

...the benefits can only be realisedby working together .

Page: 39

Effort, this is. But worth it, effort is. Interesting this may become.

GS1 Baltics Retail Forum 5th November 2008© Riverhead Consulting Ltd– 2008

Consulting

The Benefits of Store Clustering

7 Garrick StCovent Garden

LondonWC2E 9AR

T - +44 (0)203 051 1375 www.riverheadconsulting.com

Simon SmallwoodDirectorEmail – [email protected] - +44 7786 387793