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The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior to Materiel Development Decision (MDD) NDIA Conference Paper #11131 G. Laushine, H. Hayden 27 Oct 2010 1 NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010

The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior … · 2017. 5. 19. · Analysis MDD CDD CPD O&S FRP DR PDR CDR JROC Authority (CJCSI 3170, Goldwater-Nichols) MDA

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Page 1: The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior … · 2017. 5. 19. · Analysis MDD CDD CPD O&S FRP DR PDR CDR JROC Authority (CJCSI 3170, Goldwater-Nichols) MDA

The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior to

Materiel Development Decision (MDD)

NDIA Conference Paper #11131G. Laushine, H. Hayden

27 Oct 2010

1NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010

Page 2: The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior … · 2017. 5. 19. · Analysis MDD CDD CPD O&S FRP DR PDR CDR JROC Authority (CJCSI 3170, Goldwater-Nichols) MDA

Assess Executability Before MDD?“But I don’t have a program yet!”

• GAO continually emphasizes having sufficient knowledge, early in decision process

• Need to consider trade space of programs, not just a concept

NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010 2

Page 3: The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior … · 2017. 5. 19. · Analysis MDD CDD CPD O&S FRP DR PDR CDR JROC Authority (CJCSI 3170, Goldwater-Nichols) MDA

What is MDD Looking at?All I need is requirements and AoA guidance, right?

• What Artifacts Do They Get?– ICD, AoA guidance

• What Decisions are really being made?– Do I have confidence that MSA will develop good info

for a successful MS A decision?• Will we get a good Analysis of Alternatives (AoA)?

• Will we get good Technology Development Strategies (TDSs)?

• Is the MSA phase executable?

– Do we need more info before we can review?

– Should this effort be stopped?

NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010 3

Page 4: The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior … · 2017. 5. 19. · Analysis MDD CDD CPD O&S FRP DR PDR CDR JROC Authority (CJCSI 3170, Goldwater-Nichols) MDA

Execution Considerations

NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010 4

Page 5: The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior … · 2017. 5. 19. · Analysis MDD CDD CPD O&S FRP DR PDR CDR JROC Authority (CJCSI 3170, Goldwater-Nichols) MDA

Current Approach is RequiredBut Not Sufficient to Avoid Breaches

DevelopmentDevelopment Planning

A C

CBA

B

ICDTechnologyDevelopment

Engineering and Manufacturing Development

Production and Deployment

MaterielSolutionAnalysis

MDD

CPDCDDO&S

FRPDR

PDR CDR

JROCAuthority(CJCSI 3170,Goldwater-Nichols)

MDAAuthority(DoDI 5000.02, Title 10)

CAPEAuthority(DoDI 5000.02, WSARA)

Systems Engineering (WSARA Authority)

5NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010

Page 6: The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior … · 2017. 5. 19. · Analysis MDD CDD CPD O&S FRP DR PDR CDR JROC Authority (CJCSI 3170, Goldwater-Nichols) MDA

HypothesisA balanced look at execution considerations early on could help

reduce number and magnitude of breaches

NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010 6

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Technology Readiness

Gov't Operation

Complexity

Manufacturing

Industry BaseFeasibility

IOC Date

Affordability

Requirements Stability

Execution Readiness

At MDD At Joint Concept2

Page 7: The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior … · 2017. 5. 19. · Analysis MDD CDD CPD O&S FRP DR PDR CDR JROC Authority (CJCSI 3170, Goldwater-Nichols) MDA

Executability Explored

NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010 7

Executability

Afford-ability Complex-

ity

Gov’tOperation

Feasibility

TestingManufac-

turing

Tech-nology

Reqts

IOC date

Industry Base

JCIDS

MDD

KEY:

TDS

Add’l

Page 8: The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior … · 2017. 5. 19. · Analysis MDD CDD CPD O&S FRP DR PDR CDR JROC Authority (CJCSI 3170, Goldwater-Nichols) MDA

JCIDS Focus

• Requirements– Clarity, stability, completeness

– GAO Cited as a major reason for cost growth

• IOC Date– Need date vs. other achievable IOC

dates for alternatives

– Development path sequences (proto IMS)

– True IOC Date achievable may not look as attractive as getting 80% of the capability in ½ the time

NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010 8

JCIDS

Page 9: The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior … · 2017. 5. 19. · Analysis MDD CDD CPD O&S FRP DR PDR CDR JROC Authority (CJCSI 3170, Goldwater-Nichols) MDA

MDD Focus

• Affordability

– Total costs affecting ability to keep stable funding

– Large budget over time is more vulnerable than small budget needed over short time frame

– WSARA (Terminating MDAPs)

• Feasibility

– Practical ability to do

– Wasted time and effort

– Lost opportunity cost

NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010 9

MDD

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TDS Focus

• Technology

– The Known one

• Identification of critical technologies in the alternative concept

• Technology Readiness Levels (TRLs)

– Why it matters

• Major WSARA, DoD 5000 emphasis

• Cited by GAO as major reason for cost growth

NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010 10

TDS

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Add’l Additional Considerations• Complexity

o Numbers of functions, modes, interfaces (especially how it integrates with the operational environment, infrastructure)

• Government Operationo Sufficient manning of program office work force

o Geographically separated units, communication

• Industry Baseo Expertise, capacity, availability to study,

produce, supply, sources and backup sources

• Testingo What needs to be tested, and are there adequate test facilities?

• Manufacturingo Maturity of processes to efficiently produce sufficient units to

standards, without defectsNDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010 11

Page 12: The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior … · 2017. 5. 19. · Analysis MDD CDD CPD O&S FRP DR PDR CDR JROC Authority (CJCSI 3170, Goldwater-Nichols) MDA

DoD Development Reality:Challenges to Considering Executability Before MDD

• Organizational

– Developers, Users, and funding sponsors usually separated

– Fear of Technology Push

– Linear Paradigm of JCIDS to DoD 5000.02

• Complexity (too much to deal with)

• Schedule Distractions

– Budget cycle drives early decisions

– Shift to rapid acquisition (no time)

• Requirements keep changing

– Users want more

– Threat picture keeps changing

• Resource Limitations

NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010 12

Page 13: The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior … · 2017. 5. 19. · Analysis MDD CDD CPD O&S FRP DR PDR CDR JROC Authority (CJCSI 3170, Goldwater-Nichols) MDA

Summary

NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010 13

An Integrated Perspective

GAO continually emphasizes having sufficient knowledge early in the decision process

Need to address all considerations at MDD in a balanced integrated perspective

Then focus on next action (TDS)

Not all elements will present the same risk of breach, but all elements have potential risk

Bring developers in early to minimize total risk

Acquisition strategy should be thought of as executabilityimplementation

Page 14: The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior … · 2017. 5. 19. · Analysis MDD CDD CPD O&S FRP DR PDR CDR JROC Authority (CJCSI 3170, Goldwater-Nichols) MDA

BACKUPS

The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior to Materiel Development Decision (MDD)

NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010 14

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Contact Info

Gregory LaushineScience Applications International Corp. (SAIC)(310) [email protected]

NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010 15

Page 16: The Case for Considering Acquisition Program Executability Prior … · 2017. 5. 19. · Analysis MDD CDD CPD O&S FRP DR PDR CDR JROC Authority (CJCSI 3170, Goldwater-Nichols) MDA

Accepted SE Practice:Requirements and Developers work Together

NDIA Paper 11131, 27 Oct 2010 16