Upload
kazuo-nakamura
View
214
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Res. Populo Ecol. (1967) IX, 113--129
THE ESTIMATION OF POPULATION DENSITY OF TItE GREEN
RICE LEAFHOPPER, N E P H O T E T T I X CINCTICEPS UHLER, IN
SPRING FIELD BY THE CAPTURE-RECAPTURE METHOD t
Kazuo NAKAMURA ~, Yosiaki IT6% Kazuyoshi MIYASHITA *
and Akira TAKAI ~
Division of Entomology, National Institute of Agricultural Sciences, Tokyo, Japan Ryugasaki Experimental Farm, Ibaraki Prefectural Agricultural Experimental Station,
Ryugasaki, Ibaraki Prefecture, Japan
INTRODUCTION
The green rice leafhopper, Nephotettix cincticeps UHLER, is an important insect
pest of the rice-plant in Japan which injures the rice-plant not only in direct way,
but also in carrying the rice dwarf virus. In the Kanto district, this insect hibernates
in the nymphal stage on gramineous weeds grown in resting paddy field and ridge,
and the adult emerges from late in March to mid-April. Three generations are
usually repeated throughout a year after it. To study on the population dynamics of
N. cincticeps, it is indispensable to know the number and other population parameters
of the hibernated generation adults in the resting paddy field, but this has not made
so far. It is mainly because of the difficulty of estimating the number of individuals;
direct counting of the insects on weeds is practically impossible, and the net-sweeping
presents only relative value when the sweeping efficiency is not known.
The capture-recapture method has been used in many insects, such as tsetse flies
(LLOYD, 1936; JACKSON, 1939), butterflies and moths (DOWDESWELL eta/ . , 1940;
FISHER and FORD, 1947), locusts and grasshoppers (RICHARDS and WALOFF, 1954;
DEMPSTER, 1957; IT6 et al., 1963), and lady beetles ([WAO et al., 1963), and it has
been shown that this method is superior to others to know the absolute number of
mobile insects. TAKAI et al. (1965) attempted to use the capture-recapture method
for N. cincticeps adults in the summer paddy field and showed that this method can
be applied to this insect.
The capture-recapture method is essentially based on two assumptions: that is,
the marked-and-released animals mingle completely with the unmarked ones and the
sampling efficiency is performed equally on the marked and unmarked animals.
When the mobility of insects is too small, as in the sunn pest (BARKS and BROWN,
1962), or the number of recapture is such small as the nil recaptures often occurs,
as in the blowfly (MACLEOD, 1958), difficulty is arisen in the application of this
method.
As the number of N. cincticeps in the hibernated generation is rather small and
1 Contribution from JIBP-PT No. 20.
114
the rate of recapture is also low, we need to develop a desirable design of the
release-and-recapture plan and the method of estimation of the population density.
This study was carried out in order to apply the capture-recapture method to
the adults of the hibenated generation of N. cincticeps and to estimate the number,
the birth- and death-rates of the adults.
METHOD
The experiments were carried out during the period from late in April to early
in May at Atsugi, Kanagawa Pref. in 1962, where the technique of marking, release
and recapture was first attempted to N. cincticeps adults to estimate population
parameters, and at Toride, Ibaraki Pref. from 1963 to 1965. The experimental fields
we used were the uncultivated paddy fields which stood round the cultivated paddy
fields. In April gramineous and other weeds grew thick all over the experimental
fields and the other areas were nearly bare land except the ridges and paths.
The mean dry weight of the weeds collected from 50cm • 50cm quadrats in the
fields No. 006 and No, 120 late in April, 1964 are shown in Table 1.
Table 1. The mean dry weights of the weeds collected from 50cm• quadrats in late April, 1964.
Experimental field 006 120
Alpecurus aequalis var. amurensis Cardamine flexuesa Stellaria Alsine var. undulata Astragalus sinicus The other species
16.7 g 11.3 g 1.9 0.9 1.5 5.0
0 2.9 0.3 3.7
Total 20.4 23.8
It is apparent from this table that the dominant species of the weeds in both
the fields is dent foxtail, Alpecurus aequaIis SOBOL. var. amurensis (LOMAR.), but
the flora of the field No. 006 is simpler than that of the field No. 120.
From early in May to mid-May, A. a. amurensis in the experimental fields died
gradually, contrary to the regeneration of weeds in the cultivated fields. In mid-May
the nursery beds of the rice seedlings were made in some paddy fields, and the
adults of leafhopper moved to the nursery beds.
The results of preliminary sampling with the sweep-net showed that no adult
was found at the ridges and paths, and a few in the cultivated fields, where a little
weeds grew.
Arrangement of the experimental fields at Toride are shown in Fig. 1. The
experimental plots were set up in these fields, and were divided into several quadrats,
as shown in Table 2 and Fig. 1. Sweeping was made with sweep.net on each quadrat
as to cover whole area by 20 strokes. The adults of N. cincticeps captured were
1962
(a t A t s u g i )
anaesthetized immediately with carbon dioxide gas in the polyethilene bag, and
marked with a small dot on the tegma using a fast-drying ink ('Pentel Pen'). The
number of marked females and males were recorded separately. Changing colours
and positions of the dot (on left or right tegmen), we can detect the date of release.
The marked adults were collected with an aspirator and released to the quadrat from
T a b l e 2. T h e out l ine of t he c a p t u r e - r e c a p t u r e se r ies for N. cincticeps adul t s .
Yea r Da te E x p e r i m e n t a l i Nos. of Size of plot Size of plot q u a d r a t q u a d r a t
23rd-25 th Apr i l
9 t h - l l t h M a y
2 6 t h - 2 9 t h Apr i l
1963
(at Tor ide)
105
211
" 1 0 i
504
1 8 m • 16m - - - -
18 • 16 - - - -
18 • 16 : - -
28 • 16 - - - -
006 20 • 10 1 0 m x 8m
120 20 x 4 0 8 10 •
1964 (a t Tor ide)
7 t h - 1 0 t h M a y
1965 (at Tor ide)
2 2 n d - 2 8 t h Apr i l
13 th -14 th M a y
20th Apr i l - 4 t h M a y
OO6 120
113
OO6
004
20 • 12 10 • 6 .7 20 • 8 10 • 10 • 5 10 • 5
20 X 7 3 . 3 22 - 1 0 X 6 . 7 - -
20 x 48 6 20 x 8
006 20 • 12 10 •
120 30 • 10 10 • --(lOx2o)
006
120
t , i , , 5 0 m
20 • 10 10 x 8
40 • 14 10 • ~(I0x29)
115
. . . . . . i . - _
/
h I . ,
304 0 0 6
Fig. 1. A r r a n g e m e n t of e x p e r i m e n t a l plots and q u a d r a t s in t h e p lo ts in 1963 a t Tor ide .
116
which they had been captured. We intended to scatter them over the quadrat as
evenly as possible.
The capture, marking and release were repeated in the same way on the
following days.
Some of the marked adults were brought to the laboratory and their mortailty
was compared with that of the unmarked ones, but no significant difference was
found between them.
DESIGN OF CAPTURE-RECAPTURE SERIES AND THE RESULT OF
THE PRELIMINARY CALCULATIONS
In 1962, a release-and-recapture was repeated two times on successive days.
The datum of this type aIlows us to apply the BAILEY's triple-catch method
(BAILEY, 1951).
Supposing that R, marked insects were released on the r th day, and the Ct
insects were captured on the tth day, in which the marked insects on the r th day,
Mtr, were included, the series in 1962 can be written as follows:
Days t = 1 2 3
No. of released insects r = l R1 [M21] [ M a ]
[No. of recaptures] 2 R~ [M3~]
No. of captures C1 Cz Ca
The number of adults was estimated by applying LINCOLN index, BAILEY'S
triple-catch method, LESLIE's three points method (LESLIE and CHITTY, 1951) and
method A grouping (LESLIE, 1952). The instantaneous birth- and death.rates (~ and x /
r, respectively) were calculated according to the triple-catch method. The results
are shown in Table 3.
Table 3. The number of AT. cincticeps adults in 1962, estimated by different
methods, and the instantaneous birth-rate (,S'~ and death-rate (~-), estimated
by BAILEY'S triple-catch method, with standard deviations.
Field 105 (April) 211 (April) 101 (May) 504 (May)
Number by Lincoln index Triple-catch m. Three points m. M. A grouping
Birth-rate Death-rate
16765• 6453•
10731• 16034• 1. 423• 436
--0.434• 122
13092• 9741•
12006• 16455•
--0.465• 484 --1. 251•
2144• 612& 121
1140~864 775~509
0. 786• 796 0. 110~1. 106
7065• 3840~ 2961
10304• 7728•
-0.069• -0.501• 1.088
The values of ~ and r were negative in many cases as shown in this table. This
is contradictory to the truth, for both the rates should not be essentially negative.
These negative values were caused probably by the higher recapture rate of M31 to
117
Ca than of M2L to C2. The greater variance of the number of individuals was
thought to be caused by the same reason. It suggests that the marked-and-released
adults did not mingle completely with the unmarked ones, at least by the next day
of the release.
In 1963, the mark-and-release was repeated two times and the capture was made
three times on the successive four days, that is:
Days t = 1 2 3 4
No. of released insects r : : l R~ [M21] [M31] [M41]
[No. of recaptures] ..... 2 . . . . . R2 ....... QM3~] ~M~2~_
No. of captures Ca C2 Ca C,
This series was repeated two (in the plot No. 120) or three (in No. 006) times,
but in the third series made in No.006 the number of captured insects was too
small to continue this series after the third day.
Supposing that the marked-and-released adults mingled completely with the
unmarked ones after the second day of the release, the number of insects on the v
second day, xe, is estimated by the BAILEy'S triple-catch method, the values of M3a,
M4t and M42 being used, as
"~ M41 (Ca + 1) R2 (1) x2= (M42+1) (M3a+l) "
Supposing a constant instantaneous birth-rate, fl throughout the experimental
period, the mean birth-rate between the nth and n + l t h days, b is written as
eq(n+l)__e3n b = : = e ~ - l . e ,~n
In the same way, the mean death-rate per day, d is written as d 1 - e - L
supposing a constant instantaneous rate, r. Then, the birth- and death-rates per day
is estimated by the BAILEY's equation, as
M~ (C4 -1-1) 1, (2) b = (M,~4-1) c~
R2 M41 d = 1- Rl(M~2+l) (3)
The result of calculation, however, revealed that the values of b and d were
negative in almost all cases. It may be caused not only by the incomplete mingling
of the released insects, but also by large sampling errors related to small recaptures.
In 1964, the release-and-recapture was repeated six times with the interval of
two or four days (see the table in appendix).
In 1965, the release-and-recapture was repeated two times with the interval of
two and four days. The density of the leafhopper was too low to capture sufficient
numbers for application of this method, so that the datum taken in this year was
used only for rough estimate of the number of individuals.
ESTIMATION OF DEATH-RATE
As mentioned in the preceding section, we cannot obtain the death-rate by the
118
BAILEY's triple-catch or other methods. According to NAKAGAKI (1963) who col-
lected N. cincticeps with the suction machines in the resting paddy field in early
spring, almost all the adults had emerged until mid-April in Chiba Pref., near
Ibaraki Pref. In fact, few nymphs were collected with sweep-net throughout this
work. The dilution due to new emergence of adults, therefore, can be neglected in
this study. As the area around the experimental field was regarded as the bare
land, the immigrated ones can be neglected too. Accordingly, the birth-rate during
this period may be regarded as zero.
If the death-rate would be estimated by some methods, therefore, the number of
insects could be calculated by the application of the FISHER's (1947) or MACLEOD's
(1958) procedure.
The est imation o f death-rate in 1963
Since three release-and-recapture series were repeated from late in April to mid-
May in the plot No. 006 in 1963 (see Table 2), the death-rates between series may
be obtain from the fluctuation of adults throughout this period.
When we estimate the number of insects according to LINCOLN index, supposing
no emergence and immigration (i.e., b=0), the number on the released day, x~, is
always obtained. According to LINCOLN index, the number of insect, x, is estimated
as x=R~C~/M~. Supposing that the death-rate, d, is constant, and denoting the
sampling efficiency on the tth day as f,, Ct and M,~ are written as follows,
respectively,
C,=f t (1 -d ) t -~x~ , Mt~=/ , (1 -d) t -~R~.
Then,
R~f, ( 1 - d ) *- ~x~. x = f t ( i _ d ) ~ : ~ R ; =x:. (4)
The number on the first day in each series, xl, therefore, can be estimated from
the captures and recaptures on the second, third and fourth day. But, we estimated
it from those on the fourth day, for the result of the preliminary calculations
suggested that the later from the released day the insect was collected, the more
homogeneous sampling was performed. If we denote the number on the r th day in
the sth series as x/ , the values of xP and x~ 2 are obtained as
x p = R I ( C 4 + I ) = 208• M41+1 10 = 1414.11,
46• xl~= ~2 =161.0.
As the recapture was made only one time in the third series, the value of x~ 3
obtained from the capture and recapture on the second day as
x, 3 = R~C2+1~=32.5 . M~I+I
There were eleven days between the first and second series, and six days between
1 According to BAILEY (1951), the equation for LINCOLN index was modified for small samples as this one.
119
the second and third series. If we suppose a constant death-rate per day between
the first and second series, dl and between the second and third series, d2, we can
write as follows:
(1 -all) llxll =x12, (5a)
(1 - d2) 6x12 = x~ 3. (5b)
Substituting the values of xl 1, x~ 2 and x~ 3 estimated above for those in these
equations, we obtained the values of death-rates as dl=. 179 and d2=.234.
As the birth-rate is supposed to be zero, the following equation is obtained,
substituting zero for b in the BAILEY'S equation (equation (2)).
Mat-- C3 (M~I+1) CA + 1 (6)
Substituting the actual value of M4~ in this equation, the value of M31 is obtained,
which means the number of insects that should be recaptured at homogeneous
sampling (express it as M3~).
The equation for the death-rate (equation (3)) is able to be written as
R2M41 M42 = - R l ( i L d ) - 1 . (7)
Substituting the actual value of M41 and the value of d obtained above for those
in this equation, the value of M42 is obtained, which means the number of insects
that should be recaptured at homogeneous sampling (express it as M42").
In this way, we obtained M31"=15.6 and M42"=22.2 in the first series and
M3t~=7.1 and M42~=0.7 in the second series. From these values of ~al~ and M,2 ~
and the actual value of M4~, the number of individuals on the second day was
obtained according to the equation (1) as x2~'=582.7 and x22'=114. 9.
The same procedure was repeated on the values of x~ v, x~ 2' and x~3;the new
death-rates obtained from the following equation, for there were elever days between
the second days in the first and second series, and five days between the second
and first days in the second and third series,
(1 - - d l ' ) l lx21' = x22', (1 - - d2") 5x22' = x13,
and the value of M42 ~' was obtained from these death-rates and the values of xa v'
and x22'' was obtained from the value of M42 ~'.
After this, the same procedure was repeated until the values of d~ and d2
approached to the certain values. The values of death-rates and the number of
individuals at each repetition were as follows:
repetition
X12 [ X22 [
dl d~
1 2 3 4
582.7 611.6 611.5 608.5 114.9 120.0 113.7 115.0 .1369 .1376 .1418 .1406 .1877 .2299 .2216 .2233
The calculation was stopped at the fourth repetition, where the fluctuation of
the numbers calculated was fixed, and the values of &=.141 and d2=.223 were
120
es t ima ted as dea th- ra tes .
In the plot No. 120, a r e l ease -and- recap tu re was repea ted two t imes . T h e plot
was set up in a pa r t of the t r i angu l a r field (see Fig. 1), so tha t the i m m i g r a t i o n
and emig ra t ion f rom or into the su r round ing par t of the plot m a y occur. Suppos ing
tha t the dea th . r a t e in No. 120 th roughou t the e x p e r i m e n t a l per iod was equiva len t to
dl in No.006 and tha t the emig ra t i on r a t e per day , e, was equal to the immig ra -
t ion ra te , i, and cons tan t t h roughou t the e xpe r ime n t a l period, we can wr i t e as
C,.=fi(1-dl)t-~x~ and M~,=f~(1-d~-e)t- 'R, . . When the n u m b e r of ind iv idua ls is
e s t ima ted accord ing to LINCOLN index, we obta in the fol lowing va lue ins tead of the
t rue number ,
RrC, (1 d~) ~-" x = M ~ - = ( i - 3 ~ e ) c-~x~' (8)
and this value in the s th ser ies is expressed as X / .
In the first ser ies X~ ~ was ca lcu la ted f rom the cap tu res and r ecap tu re s on the
four th day, as R1 (C4 +1) . (1 -- dl) 3
X ~ = M j , + I :~ (l::-di~e)a xL'=4152.5. (9)
In the second ser ies x~ z was ca lcu la ted f rom the da ta on the th i rd day because
of nil r e cap tu re on the four th day (M41), as
Xle= - R , ( C ~ + I ) . ( 1 - d l ) 2 M3~+1 ..... = ( l_d~__e)2 x J = 5 4 8 . 8 . (10)
As x~e--(1-d~)~xd (equation (5a)) , fo l lowing equat ion is obta ined, subs t i tu t ing
(1-&)~lx~ 1 for x, 2 in the equat ion (10):
1 (1 d, e ) 2 i l - d , ) ~~ x~ '=548.8. (11)
Solving the equat ions (9) and (11) s imul taneous ly , we obta ined e= .258 , x r
and x~=268 . 8.
Th i s means tha t . 258 of the adu l t s emig ra t ed and i m m i g r a t e d in the plot No. 120,
when the dea th - r a t e was . 141.
The estimation of death.rate in 1964
In 1964, a r e l ease -and- recap tu re was repea ted six t imes wi th the i n t a rva l of two
days (in only one occasion four days ) . But nil r ecap tu re s occur red too often to
obta in the dea th- ra te .
In the plot No. 006, the number s of ind iv idua ls on the second and fifth days , x2
and xs, respect ive ly , were ca lcula ted us ing the values of MT~ and M75 which showed
re l a t ive ly high recap tures , accord ing to LINCOLN index. W i t h repe t i t ion of the same
procedure to the one pe r fo rmed in 1963, we obta ined f inal ly as d=-.084, x 3 - 8 7 0 . 9
and x~=433.1.
In the process of calculat ion, the values of M~8" and MT~ ~, which were the
hypo the t i ca l r ecap tu re s a t homogeneous sampl ing , were obta ined f rom the values of
M72 and MT~, accord ing to the s imi la r equat ion to the equat ion (7), as
M , , ~§162 ... . . . . ~',(1 : ~ t ) t; - 1, (12)
121
where h means the number of days between the r th and r + l t h days (in this case,
t~=2). In the plot No. 120, the numbers on the second and third days, X~ and X3 were
calculated using the values of M72 and M73, which showed relatively high recaptures.
Supposing the same death-rate to the one in No. 006, in the same way in 1963, we
obtained as e=.022, x2=543.7 and x3=456.8.
Although there may be large errors in these estimation, it is apparent that the
death- and emigration-rates in 1964 were lower than those in 1963. The low death-
rate was caused presumably from the fact that the development of the leafhopper
delayed considerably in 1964, in relation to the low temperature. The less movement
in the field may be resulted from low activity, also related to the low temperature.
ESTIMATION OF NUMBER OF ADULTS
Number of adults
The number of adults in the plots No. 006 and No. 120 in 1963 and 1964 was
obtained in the previous section.
The number in the other plots in 1963 (No. 113 and No. 004) can be estimated
by means of FISHER and FORD's (1947) or MACLEoI)'s (1958) procedure, using the
death- and emigration-rates obtained in No. 006 and No. 120. The number in 1965
can be also estimated, using these rates in 1963.
As the total number of survived insects on the tth day which were released t - 1
before the tth day is Z (1--d-e)t-"R~ and the total number of recaptures on the r=l
t - 1 same day is Z Mtr, the number of adults on that day is possible to be estimated as
follows: t - 1
(C~+1) Z (1 -d-e ) t -~R, . X r = r = l t - : (13)
S M ~ + I r = l
The numbers estimated for these plots gives only rough values, for the homogeneous
sampling had not been assured.
The results are shown in Table 4 in the number of adults per lm 2.
Table 4. The number of N. cincticeps adults per lm ~ in each plot in 1963-1965.
Year 1963 '. 1964 1965
13th May - 2 4 t h Apr_ ........ 26th-Aprl ..... Date 27th Apr. ! 8th May X21 ..... _J _ _ X 2 2 . . . . . . XI 3 X3 . . . . . . . . . X2
ooG 0.761 I i 0.0 1 0.080 120 1. 79 [ 0.336 l 0 457 113 ! 0.639 i 004 : O. 038
122
From this table it is clear that the numbers of adults in the same season in
the three years were different greatly; that is, the number in 1963 was the highest
and that of 1965 was the lowest. They were also different among the plots in
certain years; that is, the numbers in No. 120 was higher than those in No. 006 in
1963 and 1965, whereas in 1964 the relation of them reversed. But, the densities of
adults late in April was always higher (more than 0.4 per lm 2) than those in May
in all the years and locations. The numbers decreased rapidly in May.
The estimation of the numbers of females and males
It is impossible to obtain desirable estimation of the number of females and
males, according to BAILEY's or other methods and also to the procedure used above,
because of low recapture rate of each sex, and then nil recaptures were often occurred,
especially during the later period. If we can know the rate of each sex to the
adults, however, the numbers of females and males can be calculated by multiplying
these rates to the number of adults. Assuming that the sampling efficiency was
not different between two sexes, the rates of each sex would be given from the rates
of them in the captures. The rate of females in captures in every day in 1963 and
1964 was shown in Fig. 2, and the average values of rate of females during each
period were calculated as shown in Table 5.
From these values, the number of males and females were estimated as shown
in Table 6. The number of males was higher than that of females during the early
period, but as the rate of females increased gradually, this relation reversed during
the later season. This fact agrees with the results of our direct observations in the
field.
~ 1 1 120
.5
1 9 6 4
J - 0 0 6
0 0 6
! �9 I ,b APR. MAY
Date
Fig. 2. Sex ratio of N. cincticeps adults in sweep-net captures in 1963 and 1964.
Table 5. The average rate of females to the adults captured during each period in 1963 and 1964.
123
Year 1963
Period 1st 2nd 3rd series series series
006 .42 .78 .80
120 .31 .58 - -
113 -- .71 - -
004 - - -- .90
1964
2nd to 4th to 3rd day 5th day
�9 3 4 ! . 4 8
�9 5 0 . 6 2
6th to 7th day
�9 4 8
. 7 1
i I
Year
Date
006 $
120 $
Table 6. The numbers of females and males of N. cincticeps in each plot in 1963 and 1964.
1963 1964
27th Apr. X21
8th May X2 2
89.7
25.3
133.9
97.0
13th May Xi a
26.0
6.5
255.6
352.3
379.1
843.7
22nd Apr. X~
352.9
685.1
271.9
271.9
28th Apr. i 4th May X4 ~7
294.3 174.4
318.8 189.0
199.4 134.8
122.0 51.1
F r o m these numbers of males and females, the death-ra te of each sex was
calculated as g iven in Tab le 7.
Table 7. The death-rate of females and males during each period in 1963 and 1964.
Year
Period
006
120
Between the 1st and 2nd series
�9 091
�9
�9 090
�9 171
1963
Between the 2nd and 3rd series
�9 192
�9 238
1964
Between the 2nd and 4th days
Between the 4th and 7th days
�9 030 .084
.226 �9
�9 050 .063
.221 �9
SAMPLING EFFICIENCY
As the insects were captured wi th a sweep-net , the sampl ing efficiency is expected
to vary, depending upon the m a n y factors�9 Since the number of captured insects is
expressed as Ct =fixt , the sampl ing efficiency on the t th day, f t can be obtained f rom
f t = CJx t .
The resul t of calculat ion of the sampl ing efficiency in each plot was listed in
Tab le 8 wt ih a tmospher ic t empera tu re , wind direction, the force of wind wi th
BEAUFORD's scale and wea the r at 9 a .m. , at Ryugasaki , about 6kin east f rom Tor ide .
Since the w o r k was a lways begun at about 10 a .m . in No.006 and ceased by noon,
the wea the r condit ion in this table did no reflected exac t ly the wea the r in the
124
w o r k i n g t ime . Bu t i t m a y no t be so g r e a t l y d i f fe ren t , e spec ia l ly in No. 006.
Table 8. The sampling efficiency with sweep-net and the weather condition at 9 a.m. on each day at Ryugasaki, 6km east from the working area, in 1963-1965.
Year
Date
006
120
113
004
Atmospheric temperature
Wind direction
The force of wind*
Weather
1963
27th 28th 29th Apr. Apr. Apr.
f2' f3 ~ f , '
.386 .203 .149
.208 .169 .121
15.6 13.5 14.9
- - E E
0 1 2
fine cloudy fine
8th 9th lOth May May May fz2 f2 f42
13th 14th May May
�9 530 .280 .087 .646 .395
�9 342 .242 .082
.300 .219 .070 t �9 333 .286 !
19.0 19.0 13.6 19.7 22.0
- - N E E S W
0 2 1 3
rain fine
0
cloudy cloudy cloudy
Year
Date
006
120
Atmospheric Temperature
Wind Direction
The force of wind
Weather
24th 28th Apr. Apr. f+ A
�9 109 �9
.088 .151
16.8 12.2 16.0 21.3 16.0
N E E - - E
2 3 2 0 1
fine cloudy fine
1964 1965
30th 2nd 4th 26th 28th Apr. May May Apr. Apr.
f5 f~ fr f2 _ f3 . . . . .
.097 .106 .292
.028 .070 �9
* The force of wind with BEAUFORD'S scale�9
�9 281 .072
�9 178 .046
13.3 9.6
0 0
cloudy cloudy cloudy cloudy
F r o m t h e t ab le it is c l ea r t h a t t h e s a m p l i n g eff ic iency v a r i e d f r o m .03 to .65;
t h e r e a r e d i f fe rences a m o n g t h e d a y s and plots�9 T h e d i f fe rence a m o n g p lo ts in t he
s a m e day , h o w e v e r , is no t so g r e a t as t h e one a m o n g days . T h i s f ac t s u g g e s t s t h a t
t h e f luc tua t ion of s a m p l i n g eff iciency, fo r t he m o s t par t , d e p e n d s u p o n t h e w e a t h e r
condi t ion �9
W h e n the s a m p l i n g eff ic iency w a s p lo t t ed a g a i n s t t h e t e m p e r a t u r e and the fo r ce
of wind , and the s a m e i n t e n s i t y po in t s of ef f ic iency w e r e jo ined w i t h l ines, as s h o w n
in Fig . 3, i t w a s s h o w n a p p a r e n t l y t h a t t h e eff ic iency v a r i e d g r e a t l y in r e l a t i on to
t h e s e t w o f ac to r s . In gene ra l , t h e l o w e r t h e t e m p e r a t u r e is a n d t h e g r e a t e r t h e
fo rce of w i n d is, t h e l o w e r t h e s a m p l i n g eff ic iency is.
125
3
O
0
�9 05 ,4.0/
'04 f / 0 " 4 0
/ o/ 0 _ _ �9 _ . . .___~_--r / /
/ / . / C / / . / /
�9 I . I I I I I * I I J I I
1 0 15 2 0 "C
Temperature
Fig. 3. Relationship of the sampling efficiency with sweep-net to the atmospheric temperature and the force of wind with BEAUFORD'S scale in the plot No. 006. The figures show the sampling efficiency of the points or the lines which are joined among the same intensity points of efficiency.
DISCUSSION
The capture-recapture method was previously used by TAKAI et al. (1965) on
N. cincticeps of late summer generation, but the difference of sampling efficiency
between the marked and unmarked insects was not seen in their work. The differ-
ence between the sampling efficiency of marked and unmarked insects which were
found in this work seems to be caused by incomplete mingling of the released
insects, of which activity was considered to be very low, related to the low temper-
ature in early spring. In the plot No. 006 in 1963, for an instance, the expected
numbers which should be recaptured at the homogeneous sampling were calculated
as M31"=15.6 and M42~==21.2 in the first series and M31" 7.1 and M42"--0.7 in the
second series, whereas the actual recaptures were M31-8 and M42-9 in the first
series and M3~=7 and M42=0 in the second series. Obviously, the difference between
the expected and actual recaptures is large in the first series, but in the second series
it was small. This fact shows that the sampling efficiency in the second series is
considered to be nearly same between the marked and unmarked insects, and
suggests that almost all marked insects mingled with the unmarked ones, because
the temperature in the second series was so high as to cause high activity of
insects.
In case of this work, where the sampling efficiency differes between the marked
and unmarked insects, it is impossible to apply the equations proposed by many
authors, but if the sampling efficiency of each insect or the birth- and death-rates
126
of population are known, we can estimate the number of insects, according to the
equation (13). In these two parameters the latter may be obtained more easily,
for instance, from the laboratory rearing.
The estimation using the pooled recaptures of the females and males and of the
different released days are generally very effective when the recaptures are low.
But, as pointed out by MACLEOD (1958), if the sampling efficiency are different
between the females and males, and/or among the released days, the number of
insects estimated is not precise. In Fig. 2, where the rate of female to the adults
captures was shown, the rate of females was below 0.5 during early period.
Assuming that the sex-ratio of the leafhopper is 0 . 5 : 0 . 5 , it suggests that the
sampling efficiency of females was lower than males during this period, since the
almost all adults had emerged by this time. The estimated number of insects (and
then, also death-rate) seems, therefore, to be rather over-estimated during early
period.
In 1963, the death-rate per day was estimated as dl==. 141 (between the first and
second series) and d2=.223 (between the second and the third series). Supposing
that the adults emerged on the first day in the first series and that the death-rate
of these adults after the third series was equal to d2, the mean longevity of adults is
calculated as 32.6 days. Similarly, the mean longevities of females and males in
the plot No. 006 were obtained as 56.6 and 16.5 days, respectively. SAMESHIMA
and NAGAI (1962) collected the N. cincticeps adults of the hibernated generation from
the field and reared them with dent foxtail, Alpecurus aequalis amurensis in a
cylinder set out outdoors. From their datum the mean longevity of the adults was
calculated as more than 30 days. In this case, the true longevity will be longer than
this value which is the longevity f rom the collected date. ESAKI and HASHIMOTO
(1931, 1932) reared N. cir~cticeps indoors under the natural temperature and obtained
the mean longevity of the hibernated adults as 40.6 in female and 28.9 days in
males in 1930 and 38.3 in female and 24.7 days in males in I931. Compared the
values obtained in this work with these values, the longevity of adults shows com-
paratively good agreement, but the one of each sex did not show it, especially being
longer in females. This was resulted presumably from the lower sampling efficiency
of female during early period compared with male, as shown above. Since the
number of females estimated by multiplying the number of adults with the rate of
females, the number and the death.rate of females were considered to be underesti-
mated during early period. From these reasons the longevity calculated would be
longer than true. Contrary to this, the death-rate of males would be estimated
greater and then, the longevity would be shorter.
The sampling efficiency was dependent upon the weather condition, especially
on the temperature and the force of wind. It seems that the temperature and the
force of wind affect activity of the leafhopper. The force of wind may significantly
affect the difficulty of strokes of the sweep-net. The efficiency occasionally exceeded
127
�9 5 in May. This is probably caused not only from the high temperature, but from
the decrease of difficulty of strokes of the sweep-net in the simple flora, resulted
from the death of dent foxtail.
The sampling efficiency with sweep-net greatly varies with many factors, so that
the study on tbe relation of these factors to the efficiency must be made in future.
When the map showing the relation of weather and flora conditions to the sampling
efficiency is made from such a study, it will be possible to estimate the number of
leaf hoppers in the hibernated generation with the simple sweeping�9
SUMMARY
The population parameters of green rice leafhopper, Nephotettix cfnctic@s in
hibernated generation was estimated by the capture-recapture method on the grami-
neous weeds of resting paddy field from late in April to mid-May, 1962-1965.
The difficulty of applying the capture-recapture method to this insect is caused
from the low density and the low activity of the leaf hopper, so that it is necessary
to make the suitable plan of capture-recapture series and to construct the special
method to detect the population parameters.
The number of adults differed greatly among the years and among the plots in
the same year. But, in general, the density was relatively high late in April, and
decreased rapidly in May. The number of males was higher than that of females
late in April, but decreased rapidly to become lower in May.
The sampling efficiency with sweep-net depends upon the many factors, such as
weather and floristic conditions; especially the atmospheric temperature and the
force of wind are considered to affect greatly to the efficiency. In general, low
temperature and strong wind are the cause of low sampling efficiency.
APPENDIX
Table 1. The numbers of releases (Rr), captures (C~) and recaptures (Mtr) in the plots of No. 006 and No. 120 in 1963.
26th 27th 28th 29th 7th 8th 9th 10th lgth 14th Date Apr. Apr. Apr. Apr. May May May May May May
No. 006
t= i 2 3 4 i 2 3 4 I 2 j . . . . . . . . . . : . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Rr r= l 110 [19] [8] [9] 46 [5] [7] [1] 21 [2] [Mtr] 2 233 [6] [7] 61 [5] [0] : 10
Ct 110 235 106 67 46 61 25 6 21 10
No. 120
t = ! 1 2 3 4 i 1 2 3 4 l i
I
Rr r= l I 151 [4] [3] [3] I 56 [5] [4] [0] L L
[Mtr] 2 i 254 [11] [5] I 79 [7] [2]
Ct ] 151 254 177 109 56 79 48 14
128
Table 2. The numbers of releases (Rr), captures (Ct) and recaptures (iW~r) in the plots of No.006 and No. 120 in 1964.
Date
No. 006
20th 22nd 24th 28th 30th 2nd 4th Apr. Apr. Apr. Apr. Apr. May May
. . . . . i . . . . . . . . .
t = i 1
Rr r = l 15
2
2 3 4 5
79 <3> <1~ <0~
(Mtr~ 3 i 4
5
6
Ct 15
95 <I~ (2)
22 <0)
44
6 7
No. 120
t =
R~ r = l
2
<Mtr~ 3 4
5
6
Ct I _
34
1 2
<03 <1> <2> <5)
46 (0~
79 95 22 50 46 106
(3) 48
3 4 5 6 7
(8> (0~ <1> <2> <53
64 <3) ~2) <4) 69~
9 (1) <03 (13 19 <1~ <1)
36 (0~
34 48 69 9 19 36 90
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS: We wish to express our t hanks to Mr. H. MUTOH, Toride, Ibaraki Pref.,
who lent us his fields in which this work was carried out. T h a n k s are also due to Dr. S. TAKAK1
and Dr. S. NAsu, Division of Entomology, National Ins t i tu te of Agricul tural Sciences, for useful
advice in th is work.
REFERENCES
BAILEY, N.T.J. (1951) On estimating the size of mobile populations from recapture data.
Biometrika 38: 293-306.
BANKS, C.J. and E. S. BROWN (1962) A comparison of methods of es t imat ing population density of
adul t sunn pest, Eurygaster integriceps Pu'~. (Hemiptera: Scutelleridae) in wheat fields. Ent.
exp. & appl. 5: 225-260.
D~MPSTER, J. P. (1957) The population dynamics of the Moroccan locust (Dociostaurus maroccanus
TaUNBERO) in Cyprus. Anti-Locust Bull. 27: 1-60.
DOWD~SWELL, W.H., R.A. FISHER and E. B. FORD (1940) The quant i ta t ive s tudy of populations iu
the Lepidoptera. 1. Polyommatus icarus Roa-r. Ann. Eug. 10: 123-136.
ESaKL T. and S. HasmMoTo (1931) Report on the leaf-hoppers injurious to the rice plant and
the i r na tu ra l enemies. No. 2. Dept. Agric., Kyushu Imp. Univ., Publication no. 2, 25,III: 1-57.
Esa~, T. and S. HasmMo.m (1932) ditto, No. 3. Ibid. no. 3. 25.III: 1-42.
FlSaER, R.A. and E.B. FORD (1947) The spread of the gene in na tura l conditions in the colony
of the moth Panaxia dominula L. Heredity 1: 143-174.
ITS, Y., A. TAKAI, K, MiYasm,r:~ and K. N*KAMUR* (1963) Es t imat ion of density, survival ra te and
129
dilution ra te of Mecostethus magister (Or thoptera : Acrididae) populations by the mark and
recapture method. Res. Popul. Ecol. 5: 51-61.
IwAo, S., K. M~zuTa, H. NAgAMURA, T. OI)A and u SATo (1963) Studies on a na tu ra l population of
the large 28-spotted lady beetle, Epilaehna vigintioctomaculata Mm.~nvLsKr. I. Prel iminary
analysis of the overwintered adult population by means of the marking-and-recapture method.
Jap. J. Ecol. 13: 109-117.
JaogsoN, C.H.N. (1939) The analysis of an animal population. J. Anim. Ecol. 8:234-246.
L~sLIE, P.H. (1952) The es t imat ion of population pa ramete r s f rom data obtained by means of
the capture- recapture method. II. The es t imat ion of to ta l numbers . Biometrika 39: 363-388.
L ~ s ~ , P.H. and D. C n n ~ (1951) The es t imat ion of population pa ramete r s from data obtained
by means of the capture- recapture method. I. The maximum-likelihood equations for es t imat ing
the death-rate . Biometrika 38: 269-292.
L~o~ , Lm (1936) Assessment of a tsetse population. Bull. ent. Res. 27: 261-267.
MaoLeon, J. (1958) The es t imat ion of numbers of mobile insects from low-incidence recapture
data. Trans. R. Ent. Soc. Lond. 110 : 363-392.
NAKA~AKI, S. (1963) Overwinter ing of green rice leafhopper, Nephotettix bipunctatus cincticeps
U u t ~ . Proc. Kanto Pl. Prot. Soc. 10: 43.
RmuARns, O.W. and N. WALo~- (1954) Studies on the biology and population dynamics of Bri t i sh
grasshoppers . Anti-Locust Bull. 17: 1-182.
S:~a~SnIMA, T. and K. 1N-A~aI (1962) Relation between the life-history of green rice leafhopper,
Nephotettix cincticeps Un=e~, and rice yellow dwarf propagation. Japanese Jour. Appl. Ent.
Zool. 6 : 267-273.
TA~AL A., Y. I'r& K. NaKA~wA and K.M~yAsnI'rA (1965) Es t imat ion of population density of the
green rice leaf-hopper (Nephotettix cincticeps Un~v.~) by the mark- recapture and the sweeping
methods. Japanese Jour. Appl. Ent. Zool. 9: 5-12.
-v - 4 > :~"F~;4 ,I: 6 ' y ~ ~" u 3 : .3 ..f, � 9 [IJ:,f ~ .~,~, f l~ fdc~l ' - : �9
.@ 7 - r :/~~ @ ~ ~,',C~YE. L,f:~
~, lc .~ { t ; .o t:0