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The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 20 April 2011

The European Eggs & Poultry sector

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" Single CMO " Management Committee 20 April 2011. The European Eggs & Poultry sector. EU Imports of Poultry Meat: Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe). Origins. EU Poultry Meat Imports. Dealing with increased imports from South America. UK not available for March 2010. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

The European Eggs & Poultry sector"Single CMO" Management Committee

20 April 2011

Page 2: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

2DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Weekly evolution of the Community price for Broiler

135

145

155

165

175

185

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 4 43 46 49 52

€uro

/ 10

0kg

Avg 06 - 10 2008 2009 2010 2011

Page 3: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

3DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Price of Basic Ingredients 2008 - 2011

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Jan 08 April Juil Oct Jan 09 April Juil Oct Jan 10 April Juil Oct Jan-11 April Juil

Euro

/ to

nne

Soft Wheat (EU)

Barley (EU)

Maïs (EU)

Soja (CAF)

Hulls (EU)

Manioc (CAF)

C.G.F. (CAF)

Page 4: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

4DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Futures for Feed wheat EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2010 & 2011)

80

110

140

170

200

| Jan | Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June |

€uro

/ Ton

n

01 Nearby

2011 May

2011 Jul

2011 Nov

2012 Jan

Page 5: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

5DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Futures for Maize EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2010 - 2011)

110

130

150

170

190

210

230

| Jan | Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun |

€/T

on

n

01 Nearby

2011 Aug

2011 Nov

2012 Jan

Delivery:

Page 6: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

6DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel (nearby = 2010 & 2011)

750

900

1 050

1 200

1 350

| Jan | Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun |

01 Nearby

2011 05 May

2011 07 Jul2011 11 Nov

2012 01 Jan

Delivery:

Page 7: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

7DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Remainder between Feedcost and Broiler price in Broiler

production

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 ja fe mr ap ma jn jl au se oc no de

Ecu

/100kg

margin

feed

broiler

Page 8: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

8DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the monthly trend

(basis 2006 - 2009)

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 |

Page 9: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

9DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Production forecast of Broilers.In Tonn

400 000

550 000

700 000

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 |

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Pric

e €

uro

/ 10

0k

g

Page 10: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

10DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Repartition of poultry production 2010Total Production 12 053 052 T

Other350 T2,9%

Ducks434 T3,6%

Turkey1 847 T15,3%

Broiler 9 422 T 78,2%

Pie Piecesin 1000 T

according to partialy data communicated under regulation 1165/2008

Page 11: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

11DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

EU Imports of Poultry Meat:Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)

OriginsOrigins Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Feb 10

Brazil 671 862 78.3% 679 469 76.3% 659 368 75.3% 581 391 72.4% 91 388 69.7% - 3%

Thailand 129 434 15.1% 146 882 16.5% 141 524 16.2% 149 682 18.6% 27 236 20.8% + 12%

Chile 16 923 2.0% 34 718 3.9% 39 022 4.5% 34 276 4.3% 6 654 5.1% - 13%

China 228 0.0% 15 0.0% 5 690 0.6% 9 997 1.2% 2 556 1.9% + 120%

Argentina 25 855 3.0% 20 416 2.3% 20 576 2.3% 15 760 2.0% 1 805 1.4% - 26%

Israel 9 079 1.1% 6 252 0.7% 5 470 0.6% 7 249 0.9% 791 0.6% - 8%

Croatia 1 772 0.2% 1 884 0.2% 2 295 0.3% 2 650 0.3% 406 0.3% + 3%

USA 240 0.0% 393 0.0% 386 0.0% 439 0.1% 1 0.0% - 58%

Uruguay 230 0.0% 109 0.0% 98 0.0% 2 0.0% #N/A #N/A #N/A

EXTRA EU 25/27 858 010 891 087 875 886 803 120 131 157

2007 2008 2009 Jan-Feb 112010

Page 12: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

12DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

EU Poultry Meat ImportsDealing with increased

imports from

South America

I MPORTS of Poul t r y Meat i nt o EU ( Tonnes cwe)

107 11394 387 91 388

22 482

24 218 27 236

544

140 800131 346 131 157

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

140 000

160 000

J an- Feb 09 J an- Feb 10 J an- Feb 11

Tonn

es c

w

Br azi l Thai l and I sr ael

Chi l e Ar gent i na Ot her dest i nat i ons

I MPORTS of Poul t r y Meat i nt o EU ( 1000 EUR)

192 182 188 449 183 091

101 031 88 426 116 033

318 420 307 133335 519

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

400 000

J an- Feb 09 J an- Feb 10 J an- Feb 11

1000EUR

Br azi l Thai l and I sr ael

Chi l e Ar gent i na Ot her dest i nat i ons

UK not available for March 2010

Page 13: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

13DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

I mports of sel ected Poul t ry products

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000

70 000

80 000

90 000

100 000

|J an06

2006 |J an07

2007 |J an08

2008 |J an09

2009 |J an10

2010 |J an11

in Tonnes cwe

FROZEN PREPARED SALTED OTHERS

UK not available for March 2010

Page 14: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

14DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Weekly exchange rate US dollar 2007 - 2011

1 €uro = ………US$

1

1.1

1.2

1.3

1.4

1.5

1.6

1.7

| 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 |

Page 15: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

15DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Index of exchange rates US$ and BRL compared to the €uro

January 2001 = 100

90.0

130.0

170.0

210.0

I 2001 I 2002 I 2003 I 2004 I 2005 I 2006 I 2007 I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 |

Real US$

Page 16: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

16DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Weekly Poultry prices in Brazil (IEA Sao Paolo), USA and EU

50

75

100

125

150

175

| Year 2008 | Year 2009 | Year 2010 | Year 2011 |

€uro

/ 100

kg

EU Vol Frango US Vol

Page 17: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

17DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

EU Exports of Poultry Meat:Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)

DestinationsDestinations Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Feb 10

Hong Kong 64 695 7.5% 58 669 6.0% 88 357 8.7% 151 529 12.0% 32 875 16.3% + 87%

Saudi Arabia 79 345 9.1% 95 132 9.7% 97 485 9.6% 118 010 9.3% 21 854 10.8% + 24%

Benin 64 408 7.4% 83 405 8.5% 84 885 8.4% 115 022 9.1% 16 508 8.2% + 16%

Ukraine 28 412 3.3% 112 443 11.4% 89 314 8.8% 86 028 6.8% 11 877 5.9% + 9%

Russia 244 384 28.2% 230 113 23.4% 227 555 22.4% 245 429 19.4% 11 555 5.7% - 11%

Ghana 29 324 3.4% 31 530 3.2% 28 689 2.8% 41 094 3.3% 9 324 4.6% + 48%

U.A.Emirates 17 480 2.0% 25 858 2.6% 24 429 2.4% 20 231 1.6% 5 703 2.8% + 39%

Vietnam 16 144 1.9% 39 488 4.0% 39 971 3.9% 31 661 2.5% 5 335 2.6% - 32%

Yemen 26 795 3.1% 26 673 2.7% 36 331 3.6% 39 628 3.1% 5 242 2.6% - 13%

Congo (Dem. Rep.) 23 872 2.8% 21 386 2.2% 20 893 2.1% 27 748 2.2% 4 950 2.5% + 72%

Sw itzerland 27 490 3.2% 28 201 2.9% 28 111 2.8% 29 804 2.4% 4 535 2.2% + 4%

Malaysia 26 300 3.0% 17 888 1.8% 22 676 2.2% 25 895 2.0% 4 244 2.1% + 14%

EXTRA EU 25/27 867 213 982 285 1 015 639 1 264 120 201 839

% change + 13% + 3% + 24% + 42.4%

2007 2008 2009 Jan-Feb 112010

Page 18: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

18DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

EU Poultry Meat Exports

EU EXPORTS of Poul t r y Meat ( Tonnes cwe)

16 837 13 037 11 55512 453 17 573 21 854

11 87711 866 14 247 16 5088 912 17 617

32 87565 272

68 349

107 169

10 909

129 100141 732

201 839

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

J an- Feb 09 J an- Feb 10 J an- Feb 11

Tonn

es c

w

Russi a Saudi Ar abi a Ukr ai ne

Beni n Hong Kong Ot her dest i nat i ons

EU EXPORTS of Poul t r y Meat ( 1000 EUR)

17 348 15 853 14 8039 613 20 858 34 101

11 09214 215 15 476

19 04717 147

27 01598 395

103 419

150 985

9 547

161 243

182 300

257 044

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

J an- Feb 09 J an- Feb 10 J an- Feb 11

1000EUR

Russi a Saudi Ar abi a Ukr ai ne

Beni n Hong Kong Ot her dest i nat i ons

UK not available for March 2010

Page 19: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

19DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Expor t s of sel ect ed Poul t r y pr oduct s

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

140 000

|J an06

2006 |J an07

2007 |J an08

2008 |J an09

2009 |J an10

2010 |J an11

i nTonnes

cwe

FROZEN PREPARED FRESH OTHERS

UK not available for March 2010

Page 20: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

20DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

EU Trade of Poultry Meat

302277 292 310

371

676

794

480

614 616

858891 876

803

131

1 017

1 101 1 1161 153

1 114

1 275

1 063 1 046997 997

867

9821 016

1 264

202

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 J an-Feb11

in 1

000

Tonn

es c

we

I MPORTS EXPORTS

UK not available for March 2010

Page 21: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

21DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Cumulated quantity of weekly requests

for Export licenses in the Poultrymeat sectorfor Gatt year 2010 - 2011.

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

400 000

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51w eek

ton

nes

Cumulated attributions

Average available

Page 22: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

22DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

IntroductionWeekly evolution of the Community

price for Eggs

85

95

105

115

125

135

145

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

€uro

/ 10

0kg

Avg 06 - 10 2008 2009 2010 2011

Page 23: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

23DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Preliminary Number of Laying Hens 2010 by way of keeping in the EU 27 in '000 head: Total: 509 320

total number of animals based on Eurofarm Structure survey 2007Methods of production communicated accordingly to Reg. 589/2008

Cage239 73347,1%

Enr. Cage 2)58 80411,5%

Free Range38 0537,5%

Barn75 01414,7%

Organic10 6902,1%

Other 1)87 02717,1%

26 MS communicated dataaccording to Reg. 589/2008

1) Other = Difference between the total of the Eurofarm Structure survey and the total of the communications according to reg. 589/2008

2) In Total 25 MSs communicated enriched cages for 2009 and/or 2010

Page 24: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

24DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Remainder between feedcost and Eggprice in Egg production

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 ja fe mr ap ma jn jl au se oc no de

Euro

/ 10

0kg

marge

feed

egg

Avg Margin

Page 25: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

25DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the monthly trend

(basis 2006 - 2009)

0

7 500

15 000

22 500

30 000

37 500

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 |

Page 26: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

26DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Production forecast ofeggs in shell (Mio p)

4 000

5 500

7 000

8 500

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 |

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Price €u

ro/100kg

Page 27: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

27DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

EU Imports of Eggs :Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes egg equiv.)

OriginsOrigins

Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia

Comparedtonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Feb 10

USA 17 040 38.1% 4 245 18.6% 11 165 36.7% 13 439 42.9% 1 321 43.2% - 65%

Argentina 8 318 18.6% 6 164 27.0% 7 899 26.0% 7 888 25.2% 1 003 32.8% - 34%

India 12 012 26.9% 6 593 28.9% 5 776 19.0% 3 211 10.2% 308 10.1% - 23%

Albania 2 077 4.6% 2 209 9.7% 1 659 5.5% 3 208 10.2% 96 3.2% - 76%

Israel 911 2.0% 646 2.8% 711 2.3% 941 3.0% 150 4.9% +++

Mexico 1 762 3.9% 2 002 8.8% 1 893 6.2% 1 425 4.5% 13 0.4% - 94%

Canada 786 1.8% 1 0.0% 33 0.1% 2 0.0% 0 0.0%

Brazil 30 0.1% 64 0.3% 67 0.2% 0 0.0%

EXTRA EU 25/27 44 732 22 850 30 409 31 356 3 058

% change - 49% + 33% + 3% - 55.4%

2007 2008 2009 J an-Feb 112010

Page 28: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

28DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

EU Eggs ImportsDealing with increased

imports from

South America

EU IMPORTS of EGGS (Tonnes eggs equiv)

583

3 724

1 3211 477

1 524

1 003

1 858

401

308

319

798

330

4 268

6 856

3 058

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

J an- Feb 09 J an- Feb 10 J an- Feb 11

USA Ar gent i naI ndi a CanadaAl bani a Ot her dest i nat i ons

EU IMPORTS of EGGS (1000 EUR)

948

3 265

2 114

1 420

1 207

825

1 867

476

307

195

630

4 495

5 853

3 921

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

J an- Feb 09 J an- Feb 10 J an- Feb 11

USA Ar gent i naI ndi a CanadaAl bani a Ot her dest i nat i ons

Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia

Page 29: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

29DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

EU- 27 I mpor t s of sel ect ed EGGS pr oduct s

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

|J an06

2006 |J an07

2007 |J an08

2008 |J an09

2009 |J an10

2010 |J an11

i n Tonnes egg equi v.

FRESH Al bumi n Not I n Shel l Yol k Hachi ng

Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia

Page 30: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

30DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Weekly Egg prices in Brazil (IEA Sao Paolo), USA and EU

40

65

90

115

140

| Year 2008 | Year 2009 | Year 2010 | Year 2011 |

€uro

/ 100

kg

EU Egg Ovo tipo grande branco US Egg

Page 31: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

31DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

EU Exports of Eggs :Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes egg equiv.)

DestinationsDestinations

Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Feb 10

J apan 51 045 31% 62 254 33% 47 238 31% 52 923 29% 7 951 24% + 20%

Switzerland 41 578 25% 44 229 24% 43 499 29% 45 107 25% 7 458 23% - 3%

Angola 3 185 2% 4 049 2% 4 019 3% 10 227 6% 3 268 10% +++

U.A.Emirates 4 812 3% 9 436 5% 2 664 2% 5 864 3% 1 505 5% +++

Taiwan 4 607 3% 4 624 2% 2 868 2% 7 145 4% 1 308 4% +++

Israel 4 639 3% 6 002 3% 3 398 2% 1 308 1% 875 3% +++

Ukraine 8 562 5% 7 250 4% 4 304 3% 5 693 3% 799 2% + 47%

Thailand 8 274 5% 6 190 3% 4 068 3% 6 180 3% 783 2% - 13%

South Korea 2 828 2% 1 859 1% 1 948 1% 2 495 1% 520 2% + 186%

Russia 7 076 4% 7 113 4% 4 360 3% 5 293 3% 429 1% - 43%

Norway 2 958 2% 1 805 1% 963 1% 570 0% 67 0% - 25%

Libya 25 0% 0 0% 40 0% 201 0% 0 0% #DIV/0!

EXTRA EU 25/27 166 841 187 209 150 173 181 682 32 842

% change + 12% - 20% + 21% + 57.7%

2007 2008 2009 Jan-Feb 112010

Page 32: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

32DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

EU Eggs Exports

EU EXPORTS of EGGS (Tonnes eggs equiv)

6 792 6 612 7 951

6 988 7 6787 458

8 1385 057

14 70123 942

20 832

32 842

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

J an- Feb 09 J an- Feb 10 J an- Feb 11

J apan Swi t zer l and Russi a

Ukr ai ne U. A. Emi r at es Ot her dest i nat i ons

EU EXPORTS of EGGS (1000 EUR)

5 603 4 775 5 315

10 371 11 184 9 748

8 7045 552

13 820

26 399

22 934

31 266

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

J an- Feb 09 J an- Feb 10 J an- Feb 11

J apan Swi t zer l and Russi a

Ukr ai ne U. A. Emi r at es Ot her dest i nat i ons

Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia

Page 33: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

33DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

EU- 27 Expor t s of sel ect ed EGGS pr oduct s

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

|J an06

2006 |J an07

2007 |J an08

2008 |J an09

2009 |J an10

2010 |J an11

i n Tonnes egg equi v.

FRESH Al bumi n Not I n Shel l Yol k Hachi ng

Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia

Page 34: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

34DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

EU Trade of Eggs

10 18 23 18 17 27 16 30

69

25 30 39 45 2330313

144

164

186

209

231

201 205

191

142

198 198202

167

187

150

182

33

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 J an-Feb11

i n 1000 TonnesI MPORTS EXPORTS

Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia

Page 35: The European Eggs & Poultry sector

35DG AGRI C4 Management Committee 20 April 2011

Cumulated quantity of weekly requests

for Export licenses in the Egg sector

for Gatt year 2010 - 2011.

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53w eek

ton

nes

Average available

Cumulated attributions