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The Evolving World of Equity Indexing FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION

The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Page 1: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

The Evolving World of Equity Indexing

FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION

Page 2: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Agenda

• Understanding Index Construction and Benchmark Selection

• Institutional Trends and Home Country Bias

• Structural Case for Emerging Markets: Impact, Access and Liquidity

• iShares Portfolio Management Approach

Page 3: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Why indexes matter

• Indicators for stock market sentiment– Total equity market

– Equity market segments

• Starting point for key portfolio decisions– Asset allocation drives portfolio performance

– Diversification is a key to risk reduction

• Performance assessment– Index strategies: Tracking benchmark performance?

– Active strategies: Outperforming benchmark performance?

Page 4: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Scoring of selected benchmark families based on framework

Ratings (5 = best)

Characteristic

Wilshire 5000 Russell 3000 S&P 500® Russell

1000S&P 600

Russell 2000

MSCI ACWI IMI

Russell Global Index

S&P Broad Market Index

Completeness of coverage 5 4 2 5 3 5 4 4 4

Investability of stocks in index 1 4 5 5 4 4 4 3 3

Float adjustment of market cap weights 5 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 3

Objective, published rules 4 5 1 5 1 5 4 5 1

Acceptance by institutional investors 2 4 5 3 1 5 5 1 1

Investors’ access to index 3 4 5 4 4 5 3 1 1

Institutional index funds Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No1 No1

ETFs Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No No No

Availability / liquidity of derivatives N/A Low High Low Low High N/A N/A N/A

Turnover and related costs 4 4 4 4 1 2 4 4 4

Source: BlackRock, as of 12/31/09.1. At BlackRock, we are not aware of other index providers offering these index funds.

Page 5: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Institutional investor use of benchmarks

Institutional Use of US Equity Benchmarks

Ass

ets

in U

S$ B

illio

ns

987.37

137.754.48

145.89

48.52 0.00

357.80

96.05

0

200

400

600

800

1000

S&P500®

Russell1000

S&P600

Russell2000

Russell3000

Wilshire5000

S&P 500

Growth

Russell 1000

GrowthSource: Russell, as of 12/31/09.

Page 6: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Significance in the world equation

International economies contribute 77% of the world’s output…

•…however constitute only 58% of the world’s equity markets

World GDP Market Capitalization

DevelopedMarkets ex-US44%

EmergingMarkets 13%

Frontier1%

US42%

EmergingMarkets 37%

Frontier6%

DevelopedMarkets

ex-US34%

US23%

Sources: FactSet, as of 07/10; MSCI Inc., ACWI, Citigroup Global Markets, IMF, as of 12/08–12/09.

Page 7: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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US public plans have significant home country bias

International equities are 58% of the world’s equity markets

Market Capitalization

DevelopedMarkets ex-US44%

EmergingMarkets 13%

Frontier1%

US42%

Sources: FactSet, as of 07/10; MSCI Inc., ACWI, Citigroup Global Markets, IMF, as of 12/09.

… but US DB plans have a significant home country bias (61% US equities)

Average Equity Allocation

International Equities39%

US Equities

61%

Page 8: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Home bias is decreasing in developed markets

Japan

UK

US

Sources: Pensions & Investments (US), Pension Fund Association (Japan), SSgA, Greenwich Associates (UK), BlackRock 2009.

% E

quity

Ass

ets

Inve

sted

in H

ome

Cou

ntry

Pension plans in all developing markets have been decreasing their home bias

US pensions have decreased their home equity over the past decade

We expect pension plans around the world to continue to reduce their home bias

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

% Pension Plan Equity Assets Invested in Home Country

Page 9: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Emerging Markets

11.5%

ACWI Small Cap

13.1%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

Mar

ket C

apita

lizat

on ($

B)International equity benchmark comparison

Sources: BlackRock, FactSet. MSCI Weightings as of July 30, 2010.*US Assets shown above reflect MSCI US.

Total Market Cap (USD, $B)

10,469 20,173 21,153 24,390 28,069 28,159

# of Securities 594 1,559 1,659 2,423 8,824 8,999

Canada

Emerging

Small Cap

Frontier

EAFE

US

US* US + EAFE World ACWI ACWI IMI ACWI IMI +

US +EAFE +Canada +Emerging +Small Cap +Frontier

Canada 5.1%

Canada 4.4%

Emerging Markets

13.3%Canada

3.9%

Emerging Markets

11.5%

ACWI Small Cap

13.1%

Canada 3.8%

Frontier0.4%

EAFE 45.9%

EAFE 48.3%

EAFE 39.8% EAFE

34.6%EAFE 34.4%

US 100.0%

US 51.7%

US 49.0%

US 42.5%

US 36.9%

US 36.8%

Frontier

Page 10: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Emerging and frontier markets complete the international country exposure

Sources: IMF and World Bank 2008–2012 GDP growth forecasts, as of 7/09.

Five-Year GDP Growth ForecastUS: 1.7%Developed: 0.9%Emerging: 3.6%Frontier: 3.7%

Page 11: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Emerging markets are too large to ignoreSignificant portion of the world’s capital

Sources: Merrill Lynch, BP, CIA World Factbook, IMF World Economic Outlook, MSCI Inc.For illustrative purposes only.

Emerging Economies as % of Total World, 2008–2009

Market Cap (float adjusted)

Exports

GDP at PPP

Energy Consumption

Foreign ExchangeReserves

Land Mass

Population

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Emerging Markets Developed Markets

Page 12: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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The structural case for EM: Where is the growth?

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

EU-5 Japan United States Other

Source: Goldman Sachs, December 2009. EU-5 = France, Germany, Italy, Spain & UK. Projections are for illustrative purposes only.

Percent of World GDP 2000 – 2050

Page 13: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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What are emerging and frontier markets?The MSCI country classification

Source: MSCI Inc., as of 7/30/10.

MSCI Emerging Markets Index

Latin America Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Peru

Europe, Middle East and Africa Czech Republic Egypt Hungary Morocco

Emerging Asia China India Indonesia South Korea

MSCI Frontier Markets IndexCentral and South America

Central andEastern Europe

Middle East and Africa

Asia Sri Lanka Vietnam Pakistan

Lithuania Romania Republic

of Serbia Slovenia Ukraine

Bulgaria Croatia Estonia Kazakhstan

Poland Russia South Africa Turkey

Malaysia Philippines Taiwan Thailand

Nigeria Oman Qatar Tunisia UAE

Argentina Trinidad & Tobago

Bahrain Jordan Kenya Kuwait Lebanon Mauritius

Page 14: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Long-term return opportunities

Cumulative returns since 6/30/99

Source: Bloomberg. Based on monthly price returns 6/30/99–07/31/10.

Index returns are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent actual iShares Fund performance. Index performance returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

For actual iShares Fund performance, please visit www.iShares.com or request a prospectus by calling 1-800-474-2737.

-100%

-50%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%

350%

Jun-99 Jun-00 Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10

MSCI EMMSCI EAFES&P 500MSCI WORLDMSCI ACWI

®

Ret

urns

Page 15: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Modular view of iShares international and global ETFs

As of 12/09.

Page 16: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Total Performance Management

Sources of Tracking Error

Portfolio management

Portfolio Construction

Page 17: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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BlackRock’s core investment philosophy: Total performance management

Return• Value-added portfolio management seeking to

deliver performance as planned

• Access to significant breadth of market exposures and solutions

Risk• Proprietary portfolio and risk management systems

help to manage investment and operational risk

Cost• Physical delivery of underlying stock in exchange for

ETF shares

• Trading costs integrated into portfolio construction using proprietary transaction cost models

• Leveraging scale into reduced portfolio management costs

• Focus on best execution

We believe that optimal investment outcomes are best achieved through a disciplined, objective process for managing return, risk and cost

Total Performance Management

Return Risk

Cost

Page 18: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Sources of potential tracking error

Enha

nces

Ret

urn

Red

uces

Ret

urn

Tax Reclaim Process

Securities Lending

Treatment of Corporate Actions and Index Changes

Portfolio Construction: Optimization/Stratified Sampling

Cash Drag/ Pop

Transaction Costs

Illiquidity

MinimizeImpact

Maximize Impact

For illustrative purposes only.

Page 19: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Portfolio construction

Fund-level security weights relative to the benchmark

Fund-level exposure to risk factors, which contribute to both predicted and realized tracking error

Two ways of looking at an indexed portfolio:

For illustrative purposes only.

Page 20: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Portfolio Construction

For illustrative purposes only.

Every iShares Portfolio falls somewhere on the spectrum of optimization.B

asis

Poi

nts

PTE

IVV/ IWM

EEMEFA

PFF

Total % of Security Misweights

Page 21: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Portfolio Construction

Sample screenshots are for illustrative purposes only.

Security weights relative to benchmark weights are just one way to evaluate how we manage an indexed fund

Page 22: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Portfolio Construction

Sample screenshots are for illustrative purposes only.

Risk factor exposure is a much more accurate way of determining the predicted mis-tracking due to security mis-weights in a fund.

Page 23: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Portfolio Construction: Balancing transaction costs and tracking error

• Greater levels of optimization used when a benchmark index has a large number of holdings or low liquidity

• Prohibitive costs, uncertain liquidity, and issue scarcity can make perfect replication infeasible

• Portfolio construction process optimizes marginal contribution to tracking error with transaction costs

Quantitative process helps determine optimal portfolio based on Barra’s risk factors

Tracking Error

Number of Issues held relative to benchmark

Transaction Costs

Basi

s Po

ints

For illustrative purposes only.

Source: BlackRock.

EEM Optimal Portfolio

IVV Optimal Portfolio

Page 24: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Conclusion

• Index considerations form the foundation of portfolio construction – “not all benchmarks created equal”

• Institutional benchmark selection as a guide

• Benchmarks can serve as a starting point for asset allocation

• Continued index innovation affords broader exposure to equities globally

• Optimal investment outcome through disciplined management of return, risk, and cost

Page 25: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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Carefully consider the iShares Funds’ investment objectives, risk factors, and charges and expenses before investing. This and other information can be found in the Funds’ prospectuses, which may be obtained by calling 1-800-iShares (1-800-474-2737) or by visiting www.iShares.com. Read the prospectuses carefully before investing.

Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.

In addition to the normal risks associated with investing, international investments may involve risk of capital loss from unfavorable fluctuation in currency values, from differences in generally accepted accounting principles or from economic or political instability in other nations. Emerging markets involve heightened risks related to the same factors as well as increased volatility and lower trading volume. Securities focusing on a single country, narrowly focused investments and investments in smallercompanies typically exhibit higher volatility.

Page 26: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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The information provided is not intended to be a complete analysis of every material fact respecting anystrategy and has been presented for educational purposes only.

Asset allocation models and diversification do not promise any level of performance or guarantee againstloss of principal.

Shares of iShares Funds are bought and sold at market price (not NAV) and are not individually redeemedfrom the Fund.

Mutual funds and iShares Funds are obliged to distribute portfolio gains to shareholders by year-end. Thesegains may be generated due to index rebalancing or to meet diversification requirements. Trading shares ofthe iShares Funds will also generate tax consequences and transaction expenses. Certain traditional mutualfunds can be tax efficient as well.

When comparing stocks or bonds and iShares Funds, it should be remembered that management feesassociated with fund investments, like iShares Funds, are not borne by investors in individual stocks orbonds. The annual management fees of iShares Funds may be substantially less than those of most mutualfunds. Buying and selling shares of iShares Funds will result in brokerage commissions, but the savingsfrom lower annual fees can help offset these costs.

Neither BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A., and its affiliates nor SEI and its affiliates provide taxadvice. Please note that (i) any discussion of U.S. tax matters contained in this communication cannot beused by you for the purpose of avoiding tax penalties; (ii) this communication was written to support thepromotion or marketing of the matters addressed herein; and (iii) you should seek advice based on yourparticular circumstances from an independent tax advisor.

Index returns are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent actual iShares Fund performance. Indexperformance returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Indexes areunmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index. Past performance does not guaranteefuture results.

FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION

Page 27: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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The iShares Funds are not sponsored, endorsed, issued, sold or promoted by Cohen & Steers Capital Management, Inc., Dow Jones & Company, Inc., European Public Real Estate Association (“EPRA®”), FTSE International Limited (“FTSE”), iBoxx®, JPMorgan Chase & Co., MSCI Inc., Morningstar Inc., The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc., National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts (“NAREIT”), New York Stock Exchange, Inc., Russell Investment Group or Standard & Poor’s, nor are they sponsored, endorsed or issued by Barclays Capital. None of these companies make any representation regarding the advisability of investing in the Funds. Neither SEI, nor BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A., nor any of their affiliates, are affiliated with the companies listed above. Neither FTSE nor NAREIT makes any warranty regarding the FTSE NAREIT Real Estate 50/Residential/Retail/Mortgage or Industrial/Office Index; all rights vest in NAREIT. Neither FTSE nor NAREIT makes any warranty regarding the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Real Estate ex-US/North America/Europe/Asia Index; all rights vest in FTSE, NAREIT and EPRA. All rights in the FTSE Developed Small Cap ex-North America Index vest in FTSE. FTSE is a trademark jointly owned by the London Stock Exchange Plc and The Financial Times Limited and is used by FTSE under license.The iShares Funds are distributed by SEI Investments Distribution Co. (“SEI”). BlackRock Fund Advisors (“BFA”) serves as the investment advisor to the Funds. BFA is a subsidiary of BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A., neither of which is affiliated with SEI.©2011 BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A. All rights reserved. iShares® is a registered trademark of BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A. All other trademarks, servicemarks or registered trade- marks are the property of their respective owners. iS-4058-0111 3087-CM05-9/10

Not FDIC Insured • No Bank Guarantee • May Lose Value

FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION

Page 28: The Evolving World of Equity Indexingcfatampabay.org/net/gallery/files/2011Jan18_CasisRene.pdf · 2011. 1. 18. · MSCI ACWI IMI Russell Global Index S&P Broad Market Index Completeness

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THANK YOU