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  • 4/12/2015 Thefastestgrowingreligionintheworldis...CNN.com

    http://edition.cnn.com/2015/04/02/living/pewstudyreligion/index.html?sr=fb041215religiongrowing630aStoryGalLink 1/10

    Theworld'sfastestgrowingreligionis...By Daniel Burke, CNN Religion Editor Updated 0028 GMT (0728 HKT) April 4, 2015

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  • 4/12/2015 Thefastestgrowingreligionintheworldis...CNN.com

    http://edition.cnn.com/2015/04/02/living/pewstudyreligion/index.html?sr=fb041215religiongrowing630aStoryGalLink 2/10

    Story highlights

    Islam, the world's fastest-growing faith, willleap from 1.6 billion to 2.76 billion by 2050,according to the Pew study

    Study collected data from 234 countries andterritories; predicts fate of five major faiths --Buddhism, Christianity, Hinduism, Judaism andIslam -- as well as folk religions and atheists

    Muslims form 'Ring of peace' at Oslosynagogue 4 photos

    EXPAND GALLERY

    (CNN)If tech futurists are to be believed, bythe year 2050, robots will do many of ourerrands and drive our cars. If a new study onreligious trends is to be believed, many ofthose robot-controlled cars will stop and parkat mosques and churches.

    Yes, despite predictions that religion will gothe way of dinosaurs, the size of almost everymajor faith -- sorry, Buddhists -- will increasein the next 40 years, according to a studyreleased Thursday by the Pew ResearchCenter.

    The biggest winners, Pew predicts, will be Islam and Christianity.

    Islam, the world's fastest-growing faith, willleap from 1.6 billion (in 2010) to 2.76 billion by2050, according to the Pew study. At thattime, Muslims will make up nearly one-third ofthe world's total projected population of about9 billion people.

    Christianity is expected to grow, too, but notat Islam's explosive rate. The Pew studypredicts Christians will increase from 2.17billion to 2.92 billion, composing more than31% of the world's population.

    This means that by 2050, more than 6 out of 10 people on Earth will be Christian orMuslim. And, for perhaps the first time in history, Islam and Christianity would boastroughly equal numbers.

  • 4/12/2015 Thefastestgrowingreligionintheworldis...CNN.com

    http://edition.cnn.com/2015/04/02/living/pewstudyreligion/index.html?sr=fb041215religiongrowing630aStoryGalLink 3/10

    Looking even farther into the future, Islam's population could surpass Christianity by 2100,Pew says, despite Christians' six-century head start. (It's possible that Muslimsoutnumbered Christians some time in the past, perhaps during the Black Plague thatdecimated Europe. But scholars aren't certain.)

    Based in Washington, Pew is a nonpartisan "fact tank" that regularly produces sweepingsurveys of this kind without taking public policy positions. Six years in the making, its studycollected data from 234 countries and territories to predict the fate of five major faiths --Buddhism, Christianity, Hinduism, Judaism and Islam -- as well as folk religions and thereligiously unaffiliated, including atheists.

    The study, which Pew says is the first of its kind, bases its projections on the age ofpopulations, fertility and mortality rates, as well as migration and conversion patterns.Simply put, Muslims are having larger families, retaining more members (conversions areillegal in some Muslim nations) and are younger than adherents of other faiths. More than 1in 3 Muslims is younger than 15.

    But religious trends have never been measured on the study's vast scale, Pew says, so afew cautions are in order.

    First, the population projections are based on current data and assumptions aboutdemographic trends. For example, Muslim women have an average of three children, thehighest of any religious group. In the future, if education and employment rates rise, thosenumbers could change.

    Second, nobody at Pew has a crystal ball, so events like cataclysmic wars, rampagingdiseases, natural disasters and economic meltdowns could throw the numbers off.

    But it's clear from the 245-page report that Pew and the demographic experts theyconsulted did their homework, so the study is worth taking seriously. With that in mind,here are some of the study's top findings about what the world will look like -- at least,

  • 4/12/2015 Thefastestgrowingreligionintheworldis...CNN.com

    http://edition.cnn.com/2015/04/02/living/pewstudyreligion/index.html?sr=fb041215religiongrowing630aStoryGalLink 4/10

    faith-wise -- in 2050.

    -- Atheists, agnostics and religiously unaffiliated people will increase in the United States(from 16% to 26%) but decline as a share of the total worldwide population.

    -- Also in the United States, Christians will drop from 78% to 66% of population. Muslimswill surpass Jews as the largest non-Christian religion in the U.S.

    -- Sub-Saharan African will be home to 40% of the Christian population and Nigeria havemore Christians than any other country except for the United States and Brazil.

    -- India will have the largest Muslim population in the world, passing Indonesia, but Hinduswill retain a majority.

    -- More than 10% of Europeans will be Muslim, while the number of Christians in Europewill drop by 100 million.

    -- Hinduism (1.4 billion adherents) and Judaism (16 million) will increase, while Buddhistswill be about the same size as in 2010 (5.2 million).

    -- In the coming decades, 106 million people are projected to leave Christianity. (46 millionwill convert to Christianity, offsetting the losses a little.)

    -- The number of countries with Christian majorities will drop to 151, as Christians areprojected to decrease in Australia, Benin, Bosnia-Herzegovina, France, the Netherlands,New Zealand, the Republic of Macedonia and the United Kingdom.

    -- Muslims are expected to make up more than 50% of the population in 51 countries,including the Republic of Macedonia and Nigeria.

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