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The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy www.steadystate.org

The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

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Page 1: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity

A Bigger Economy Doesn’tMean a Better Economy

www.steadystate.org

Page 2: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy
Page 3: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

by  mattyp

Page 4: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

by treehouse1977

Page 5: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

The Nature of Growth

Grow \ˈgrō\ verb1.To spring up and develop to maturity2.To increase in size

Desirability of growth depends upon...

1. The entity that’s growing: e.g., a human body

2. The context: e.g., stage of life

3. The rate: e.g., slow, normal, fast

Page 6: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Context: ChildrenRate: Normal

Growth is desirable.

Page 7: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Context 1: Child Rate 1: Very fast

Context 2: AdultRate 2: Slow

Growth isundesirable.

Page 8: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Growth of Economic Activity

For economic growth to occur, what exactly is getting bigger?

Production and consumption of goods and services (more stuff and more activity)

Gross domestic product (GDP), the final dollar value of goods and services produced

Population, consumption per person, or both.

Page 9: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

USA – 14,260,000

Japan – 4,924,000

China – 4,402,000

Germany – 3,668,000

France – 2,866,000

UK – 2,674,000

Italy – 2,399,000

Russia – 1,757,000

Spain – 1,683,000

Brazil – 1,665,000

Canada – 1,564,000

India – 1,237,000

Source: CIA Factbook

Page 10: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

GDP Growth

Page 11: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Context for GDP Growth

Page 12: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy
Page 13: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Wasteproducts

$

$Wasteproducts

$$$

$$$

Resources WasteResources Waste

Context: Thermodynamic Limits to Growth

Page 14: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Time

GD

P Natural capital allocatedto theeconomy

Naturalcapital allocatedtonature

KC a r r y i n g C a p a c i t y

E c

o n

o m

i c

G r

o w

t h

Context: Ecological Limits to Growth

Page 15: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Context: Disappointing Results of Growth

Income per person

Happiness(index)

Source: Inglehart andKlingemann (2000)

Page 16: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Context: Disappointing Results of GrowthU

.S.

Per

cen

tag

e V

ery

Hap

py

Real incomeper person

Percentage very happy

Source: Layard (2005)

Page 17: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Context: Disappointing Results of Growth

Page 18: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Context: Disappointing Results of Growth

Page 19: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Rate of Increase

World GDP (1990 millions of dollars), source: Angus Maddison

Page 20: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Desirability of Growth

Page 21: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

by  mattyp

Page 22: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Steady State Economy: Better not Bigger

• Constant (or mildly fluctuating) population

• Constant (or mildly fluctuating) percapita consumption

• Constant (and sustainable) throughputof energy and materials

• Sustainable scale

• Fair distribution of wealth

• Efficient allocation of resources

• High quality of life

Page 23: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

• Right-sized

• Smaller population

• New measures of success

• Different labor/capital mix

• Shorter working hours/more leisure

• More nature

• Fewer status goods

• Healthier food systems

• Better use of technology

• More locally supplied goods and services

• Science-based decision making

• Less debt

• Less production, more maintenance

What Does a Steady State Economy Look Like?

Page 24: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

What Does a Steady State Economy Look Like?

Less of this......and more of this.

Page 25: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

What Does a Steady State Economy Look Like?

Less of this......and more of this.

Page 26: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

What Does a Steady State Economy Look Like?

Less of this......and more of this.

Page 27: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

What Does a Steady State Economy Look Like?

Less of this......and more of this.

Page 28: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

What Does a Steady State Economy Look Like?

Less of this......and more of this.

Page 29: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

What Does a Steady State Economy Look Like?

Less of this......and more of this.

Page 30: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

by treehouse1977

Page 31: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

1. Start with given conditions.

2. Employ gradualism.

3. Change policies.• Exemplary network of conservation lands• Cap-auction-trade systems for basic resources• Limits on the range of inequality in income distribution• Ecological tax reform• Move to 100% reserve requirements• Elevate the commons sector• Reform national accounts

4. But don’t put the cart before the horse.• We need widespread public support.• We need all those analytical economic minds working on the new paradigm.

The Transition from Growth to a Steady State

Page 32: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Policy Change – The Right Goal

Page 33: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Policy Change - Exemplary Conservation

"Last year's introduction of Dentyne Ice Cinnamint gum, right on the heels of the extinction of the Carolina tufted hen, put product diversity on top for the first time.”

Copyright: The Onion

Page 34: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

?

Policy Change: Technology

Page 35: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Appropriate Use of Technology

Page 36: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

Bob Adelman, Magnum Photos

Getting Started

Page 37: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

What Can You Do?

1. Publicly voice your opinion.

Sign the Positionon Economic Growth.

Page 38: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

What Can You Do?

2. Get informed.

www.steadystate.org

Page 39: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

What Can You Do?

3. Get involved with CASSE.

Become a member.

Become an outreach volunteer.

Page 40: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

What Can You Do?

4. Think and act like a steady stater.

Page 41: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

5. Ask a lot of questions.

What Can You Do?

Page 42: The Steady State Path to Real Prosperity A Bigger Economy Doesn’t Mean a Better Economy

www.steadystate.org