Topics in Evironmental Economics Carbon Taxes and the Economics of Pollution.314190500

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    Topics in Environmental Economics:Taxes, Emissions Trading, and OtherTopics in the Economics of Pollution

    Guest Lecturer: Hans Zigmund

    DePaul University

    PPS 329/359 Special Topics:Applied Urban and EnvironmentalEconomics

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    Purpose

    To provide students with the tools of economic

    theory for analyzing environmental issuesfrom an economic perspective.

    To that end this lecture will be largelytheoretical with relevant applications in thesecond half of the talk.

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    Outline Macroeconomics (Growth Theory)

    Microeconomics Theory Utopian Capitalist View

    Cost Benefit Analysis

    Adjustments at the Margin (Taxes, Subsidies, andMarkets)

    Microeconomics applied to policy Kyoto Protocol

    European Union Emission Trading Scheme (ETS)

    Alternative International Agreements

    Boulder Carbon Tax

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    Economic Growth

    Increase GDP/Capita (Economic Output)

    Factors of production:Land (L)

    Labor (N)

    Capital (K)

    Economic output requires the exploitation ofnatural resources.

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    Areas of Government Intervention

    Reduce Pollution (Todays area of focus)

    Reduce Depletion of Natural ResourcesManage Public Lands

    Compensation from Natural Disasters

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    Environmental Perspective onGDPFocus of economic growth is on increasing

    GDP/capita.Hides negative impact on ecosphere of

    producing goods and services.

    Pollution related healthcare costs

    Exxon Valdez clean up $2.2bn

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    Environmental Perspective onGDPGDP does not account for the degradation of

    natural resources.Erosion

    Water Pollution

    Exhausting Mineral Resources

    Depleting Fisheries (until possibly too late)

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    Environmental Perspective onGDPHides negative or underestimates some

    positive effects.Energy efficient light bulbs and appliances.

    Fuel efficient cars.

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    Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare

    (ISEW) and Genuine Progress Indictor(GPI)

    Created by Herman E Daly and John Cobb Jr.(1989) and Philip Lawn (2003)

    Adjusts GDP/capita for

    Income Distribution

    Depletion of natural resources

    Loss of wetlands Loss of farmland from soil erosion and urbanization.

    Cost of air and water pollution

    Estimate of long term cost of global warming.

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    Utopian Capitalist View: ParetoOptimalityEdgeworth Box

    Exhausting Gains On TradeConditions of Pareto Optimality

    You cannot make one party better off withoutmaking another worse off.

    Parties involved in exchange bear the full true costof the transaction.(no externalities)

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    Cost Benefit Analysis: PollutionAbatementSeek out the point that minimizes both the

    cost of abatement and environmental damagecosts (or maximize environmental benefit).

    Total Cost curve is minimized at the point ofintersection.

    $1 in abatement cost = $1 in damage costcontrol or environmental benefit.

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    Cost Benefit Analysis: Pollution Abatement

    0Societysm

    arginalbenefit

    andmarginal

    cost

    ofpollutionaba

    tement

    Amount of pollution abatement

    Socially optimum

    amount of

    pollution

    abatement

    Damage Cost

    Abatement Cost

    (Environmental

    Benefit)

    TC

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    Cost Benefit Analysis: PollutionAbatementOn the right side, spend too little leads to high

    environmental costs.On the left side, spend too much and it trade

    offs will have to be made with other socialprograms such as public health.

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    Regulatory ApproachHistorically the regulatory approach has been

    effective.Example:

    Automobile emissions and MPG standards.

    Leads to reductions in Carbon Monoxideemissions and other pollutants.

    Is the regulatory approach the most efficient?

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    Regulatory ApproachTwo Firm Model

    Marginal Cost/Marginal Benefit andinefficiencies.

    Because hypothetical firm A and firm B toabate the same quantity under different

    marginal cost structures, firm A may abate inexcess of marginal benefit while firm B mayabate less than optimal.

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    Regulatory Approach

    0

    Marginal

    costof

    pollutionabate

    ment

    Amount of pollution abatement

    QR

    I

    II

    Damage Per Unit

    QeA QeB

    MCA

    MCB

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    Regulatory ApproachArea I represents abatement cost in excess of

    benefits for firm A.Area II represents opportunity cost loss of firm

    B for stopping abatement while marginalbenefits were still greater than marginal costs.

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    Adjustments at the Margin:Pollution Taxes In efficient markets P = MC.

    True only when firms marginal cost equals the realcost of the next unit of production.

    If pollution create costs on society not incurred bybusiness (externality), then an over allocation of

    resources into production will occur. Taxes can correct for this over allocation by

    internalizing the externality.

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    Adjustments at the Margin:Pollution TaxesSpillover

    costs

    Overallocation

    Corrected

    P

    Q0 QeQ0

    MCt

    MC

    DTAX

    Pe

    P0

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    Adjustments at the Margin:SubsidiesR&D that leads to reduction in pollution has

    positive societal benefits.

    R&D will only be invested in if profitable.

    Subsidizing R&D can reduce the time it takesto develop new technology.

    R&D doesnt always generate a outcome onthe income statement. The subsidy helpsoffset the risk of investment.

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    Adjustments at the Margin:SubsidiesP

    Q

    R&D

    Subsidy to

    producers

    Decreases

    marginal

    cost

    Underallocation

    Corrected

    Q0Qe0

    MCs

    MC

    D

    Pe

    P0

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    Adjustments at the Margin: Marketsfor Pollution Rights Politically more palatable to business because it relies on

    markets rather than taxes for corrections.

    Firms (such as public utilities in the market for SO2 )

    receive a fixed number of pollution allowances.

    These credits can be sold and bought on the CBOT.

    If firms use more pollution than they own credits for theypay a fine.

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    Adjustments at the Margin: Marketsfor Pollution Rights

    Price

    perton

    ofpollution

    right

    Quantity of SO2 pollution rights (millions of tons)8 9 10 11 12 13

    $2000

    $1000

    D2007

    2010

    S= Supply

    ofSO2

    pollutionrights

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    Allowance Trading Basics An emissions "cap":A limit on the total amount of

    pollution that can be emitted (released) from all

    regulated sources (e.g., power plants); the cap is setlower than historical emissions in order to reduceemissions.

    Allowances:An authorization to emit a fixed amountof a pollutant.

    Measurement:Accurate tracking of all emissions.Source:http://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/trading/basics.html

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    Allowance Trading Basics Flexibility: Sources can choose how to reduce

    emissions, including whether to buy additional

    allowances from other sources that reduceemissions.

    Allowance trading: Sources can buy or sellallowances on the open market. Because the total

    number of allowances is limited by the cap, emissionreductions are assured.

    Compliance:At the end of each compliance period,each source must own at least as many allowances

    as its emissions.Source:http://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/trading/basics.html

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    Trading the Right to PolluteThe NOx Budget Trading Program is a market-

    based cap and trade program created toreduce emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOx)from power plants and other large combustionsources in the eastern United States.

    Source : http://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/progsregs/nox/sip.html

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    Trading the Right to Pollute Market-based sulfur dioxide (SO2) allowance trading

    component of the Acid Rain Program

    Utilities regulated under the program, decide themost cost-effective way to use available resources tocomply with the acid rain requirements of the Clean

    Air Act.

    Purchase pollution allowances. Switching to lower sulfur fuel.

    Reduce emissions by employing energy conservationmeasures

    Source: http://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/trading/factsheet.html

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    Success of Acid Rain Program whichincludes trading pollution allowances Reduced SO2 emissions by over 5.5 million tons from 1990

    levels, or about 35 percent of total emissions from the powersector. Compared to 1980 levels, SO2 emissions from power

    plants have dropped by more than 7 million tons, or about 41percent.

    Cut NOx emissions by about 3 million tons from 1990 levels, sothat emissions in 2005 were less than half the level anticipatedwithout the program. Other efforts, such as the NOx Budget

    Trading Program in the eastern United States, also contributedsignificantly to this reduction.

    Led to significant cuts in acid deposition, including reductions insulfate deposition of about 36 percent in some regions of theUnited States and improvements in environmental indicators,

    such as fewer acidic lakes.Source: http://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/progress/arp05.html

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    Kyoto Protocol Industrialized nations reduce CO2 5 percent from 1990

    levels by 2008-2012 compliance period.

    United States withdrew in 2001. China and India are not required to comply because they

    are developing nations.

    By 2002 Kyoto only covered about 30 percent of global

    CO2 emissions. Too little too fast.

    Not enough change to make a difference.

    Difficult to comply with for countries who experienced

    substantial growth in the 1990s.

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    European Union EmissionsTrading Scheme (ETS)

    Kyoto with teeth.

    Covers half of Europes carbon emissions. (8% of global)

    Each country creates a national allocation plan forspecifying caps on greenhouse gases.

    Businesses can either reduce their emissions or purchaseallowances from facilities with an excess of allowances.

    Allowances traded in the ETS are not printed but are heldin electronic account registries set up by Member Statesand are overseen by a Central Administrator at the EU.

    Emissions considered a service under EUs VAT.Sources: http://ec.europa.eu/environment/climat/emission.htm and Nordhaus, William D. The American Economic Review, After Kyoto:

    Alternative Mechanisms to Control Global Warming 96(2) May 2006, 31-34

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    Alternative International Treaty Options Link treaty to specific environmental objectives rather than a

    baseline year pollution level. (e.g. temperature, costs,damages) (Nordhaus 2006)

    Use an extended time path. Depart gradually from a businessas usual pattern becoming more severe over time. (Olmsteadand Stavins 2006)

    Extend tradable allowances globally. (Olmstead and Stavins

    2006) Extend participation beyond industrialized nations to include

    the developing world and United States. (Olmstead andStavins 2006)

    Nordhaus, William D. The American Economic Review, After Kyoto: Alternative Mechanisms to Control Global Warming 96(2) May2006, 31-34 and

    Olmstead, Sheila M. and Robert N. Stavins. The American Economic Review, An International Policy Architecture for the Post-Kyoto Era96(2) May 2006, 31-34 and

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    Boulder Carbon Tax Boulder's City Council adopted the goals of the Kyoto Protocol in

    2002 to reduce greenhouse gas emissions below 1990 levels by2012.

    On November 14, 2006 with Initiative 202, the Climate Action PlanTax, the Boulder Colorado city council approved a carbon tax whichis applied to residents electric and gas bills.

    Average tax for homeowners $1.33/month and Business

    $3.80/month Estimated energy cost savings from implementing the Climate

    Action Plan are $63 million over the long term.

    Revenue estimated is $6.7 million by 2012, when the goal is to havereduced carbon emissions by 350,000 metric tons.

    Source:http://www.ci.boulder.co.us/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=6136&Itemid=169and http://www.env-econ.net/2006/11/a_carbon_tax_in.html