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Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service Bernard Pinty with contribution from D. Sciocco Copernicus units Enterprise and Industry LPS Edinburgh 10/10/2013

Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

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Page 1: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Towards a Copernicus

Climate Change service

Bernard Pinty

with contribution from D. Sciocco

Copernicus units

Enterprise and Industry

LPS Edinburgh 10/10/2013

Page 2: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Copenicus Climate Change service The challenge

Page 3: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Copernicus Climate Change service

Climate Change fingerprints

Page 4: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Copernicus Climate Change service The first step

EU Regulation (911/2010) specifies that “access to information for climate change monitoring in support of mitigation and adaptation policies” shall be included in the GMES service component.

A Climate Change service must be consistent with GFCS and GCOS initiatives:

Ø  Monitor the climate system Ø  Detect and attribute climate change Ø  Provide information to assess impacts of, and

support adaptation to, climate variability & change

Page 5: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Copernicus Climate Change service EC initiative

Ø consultation process involving climate experts, relevant DGs and major European (climate-involved) institutions, the ‘Helsinki GMES climate’ conference (Jul 2011) and the GMES user forum (Nov 2011).

Ø The 6th FP7 space call for 2013 has prioritized developments relevant for a Climate Change service

EC funding: 26 M€

Page 6: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Copernicus Climate Change service ESA initiative

CCI Scope Started in CCI

CCI response to GCOS

Page 7: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call

MS and other users & customers

Selected set of information for

customer DGs

from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..

Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform

Climate Indicator Data Store

Customization platform

Sectorial Information System

Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service

from research to operations

Page 8: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call

MS and other users & customers

Selected set of information for

customer DGs

from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..

Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform

Climate Data Store

Customization platform

Sectorial Information System

Observed, analysed and simulated Essential Climate Variables plus derived set of indicators relevant to consistently monitor and simulate

Earth Climate responses to forcings

CDS Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service

Page 9: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call

MS and other users & customers

Selected set of information for

customer DGs

from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..

Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform

Climate Data Store

Customization platform

Sectorial Information System

Source: Legos/CNES/CLS Source: ice2sea

Sea-level rise

Source: CLS

CDS Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service

Page 10: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call

MS and other users & customers

Selected set of information for

customer DGs

from other bodies e.g., ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..

Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform

Climate Indicator Data Store

Customization platform

Source: JRC Source: ice2sea

Forestry Coastal zones

SIS Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service

Climate indicators & indices relevant to the various EU sectoral policies

Sectoral Information System

Page 11: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call

MS and other users & customers

Selected set of information for

customer DGs

from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..

Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform

Consistent Climate Data Store

Customization platform

Sectoral Information System

A logical view Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service

Page 12: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call

MS and other users & customers

Selected set of information for

customer DGs

from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..

Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform

Consistent Climate Data Store

Customization platform

Sectoral Information System

Eval

uat

ion

pla

tfor

m

Monitoring, quality assessment of the service and feedbacks to production

A logical view Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service

Page 13: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call

MS and other users & customers

Selected set of information for

customer DGs

from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..

Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform

Consistent Climate Data Store

Customization platform

Sectoral Information System

Monitoring, quality assessment of the service and feedbacks to production

Ou

treach p

latform

Education, general public and authorities, reports, media, bulletin

Eval

uat

ion

pla

tfor

m

A logical view Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service

Page 14: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Copernicus Climate Change service

from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call

MS & other customers Selected information

for customer DGs

from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..

Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform

Consistent Climate Data Store

Customization platform

Sectorial Information System

Ou

treach p

latform

Eval

uat

ion

pla

tfor

m

Climate-ADAPT platform

A logical view

Page 15: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Insurance

Copernicus Climate Change service

Road map Phase I

Surface Air Temperature Surface Precipitation Water Vapor Surface Radiation Budget Earth Radiation Budget Carbon Dioxide & Methane Ozone & Aerosols Cloud properties

Ocean Color Sea Ice Sea Level Sea Surface Temperature Global Ocean Heat Content

Snow Cover Glaciers & Ice Caps Albedo FAPAR Fire Disturbances Ice Sheets

Climate Data Store - 20 ECVs & 7 indicators - Observed, re-analyzed and model projected products

Sectoral Information System – 8 sectors & 18 indices

ATMOSPHERE OCEAN LAND

Agriculture and forestry Infrastructure Health

Coastal areas Water management Tourism

Energy

Page 16: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Insurance

Copernicus Climate Change service

Road map Phase I and II

Surface Air Temperature Surface Precipitation Water Vapor Surface Radiation Budget Earth Radiation Budget Carbon Dioxide & Methane Ozone & Aerosols Cloud properties Upper Air Temperature Other Long-Lived GHGs Wind Speed & Direction

Ocean Color Sea Ice Sea Level Sea Surface Temperature Global Ocean Heat Content CO2 partial pressure Ocean Activity Sea Surface Salinity Current Salinity

Snow Cover Glaciers & Ice Caps Albedo FAPAR Fire Disturbances Ice Sheets Lakes Permafrost Land Cover Leaf Area Index Soil Moisture

Climate Data Store - 33 ECVs & 7+ indicators - Observed, re-analyzed and model projected products

Sectoral Information System – 12 sectors & 18+ indices

ATMOSPHERE OCEAN LAND

Agriculture and forestry Infrastructure Health

Coastal areas Water management

Marine and fisheries

Tourism

Biodiversity

Energy

Transportation Disaster risk reduction

Page 17: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Copernicus Climate Change service

Road map Phase III

Surface Air Temperature Surface Precipitation Water Vapor Surface Radiation Budget Earth Radiation Budget Carbon Dioxide & Methane Ozone & Aerosols Cloud properties Upper Air Temperature Other Long-Lived GHGs Wind Speed & Direction Surface Air Pressure Surface Winds Precursors (Aerosols & O3)

Ocean Color Sea Ice Sea Level Sea Surface Temperature Global Ocean Heat Content CO2 partial pressure Ocean Activity Sea Surface Salinity Current Salinity Phytoplankton Sea State Carbon Nutrients Ocean Acidity Oxygen Sub-Surface Temperature Tracers

Snow Cover Glaciers & Ice Caps Albedo FAPAR Fire Disturbances Ice Sheets Lakes Permafrost Land Cover Leaf Area Index Soil Moisture River Discharge Ground Water Above Ground Biomass Soil Carbon

ATMOSPHERE OCEAN LAND

Phase

II

Phase

I

Phase

III

Page 18: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Copernicus Climate Change service CDS indicators

•  Global means, trends and anomalies •  EU means, trends and anomalies •  Global and EU anomaly ranking •  EU Records •  Climate Extreme Index •  Drought Palmer Index •  Common Sense Climate Index •  …

Climate Data Store - 20 ECVs & 7 indicators - Observed, re-analyzed and model projected products

Page 19: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Copernicus Climate Change service SIS indices

Sectoral Information System – 8 sectors & 18 indices

index Sector

Vegetation health Agriculture & Forestry

Crop moisture stress Agriculture & Forestry

European Drought Agriculture & Forestry

Ocean colour/currents/level Coastal areas

Heat Stress Health

Climate extremes Health

Air freeze Infrastructure

Residential Energy Demand Temperature Infrastructure

Climate means and trends Tourism

Extreme events Tourism

Regional snowfall Tourism

Snow Water management

EU drought Water management

Lake level Water management

SST means & trends Marine & fisheries

Residential Energy demand Temperature Energy

Climate Means & trends Energy

Page 20: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Copernicus Climate Change service

Provisional timing

Y1 Y0 Y3 Y2 Y4 Y5 Y6

Proof of concept

Pre-operational Phase I

Phase I

Phase I + II

2014/15 2020/21

Phase III ??

20 ECVs, 7 indicators and 18 indices

Operational Phase

33 ECVs, 7+ indicators and 18+ indices

50 ECVs

Page 21: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Thank you

Page 22: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Operating the Copernicus Climate Change service

EC CC service

Climate Data Store Sectorial Info System

Evaluation & QC

Advisory Groups

Customer DGs, Member States and

other users Climate-ADAPT

Outreach Platform

WP (n+1)

if OK

if not OK

recommendations

+ AAR (n)

suggestions &

Science (SAG) Application (AAG)

Logical information flow

CC-PORTAL

DELEGATED BODY

Page 23: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Gouvernance of the Copernicus CC service

EC CC service

Delegated body Climate Data Store Sectorial Info System

Customer DGs, Member States and

other users

recommendations suggestions &

USER FORUM

Outreach

Advisory groups

Evaluation & QC

INTERNATIONAL ADVISORY BOARD

High level interactions

Page 24: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Governance of the Copernicus Climate Change service

Ø Advise the service on the plans and annual Work Programs proposed by the delegated body for populating the Climate Data Store (CDS)

Ø Provide an assessment of the CDS Annual Activity Reports and propose adequate solutions to improve, if and when appropriate, the quality of the products available in the CDS

Ø Respond efficiently to requests related to the CDS from the Evaluation and Outreach platforms as appropriate

Climate Change Science Advisory Group

Page 25: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Climate Change Advisory Board

Ø  Advise on the overall orientations and actions of the Climate Change service

Ø  Ensure that the global dimension of the Climate Change issues is addressed as appropriate

Ø  Promote and facilitate interactions with other international bodies dealing with Climate Change issues

Governance of the Copernicus Climate Change service

Page 26: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Governance of the Copernicus Climate Change service

Climate Change Science Advisory Group*

Chair: TBD Sec: TBD Members: EU Climate Centers Members: EUMETSAT-SAF leader Members: ESA-CCI leaders Members: FP7 projects leaders Members: TBD on ad hoc basis

Tasks •  Advise the service on the plans

and annual Work Programs proposed by the delegated body for populating the Climate Data Store (CDS)

•  Provide an assessment of the CDS Annual Activity Reports

•  Propose adequate solutions to

improve, if and when appropriate, the quality of the products available in the CDS

•  Respond efficiently to requests related to the CDS from the Evaluation and Outreach platforms as appropriate

* SAG limited to 12/14 members

•  SAG meeting in BXL twice a

year prior to the full operational phase

•  Interactions favored via teleconferences and emails

Science Advisory Group of the Copernicus CC service

Page 27: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Climate Change Application Advisory Group*

Chair: TBD Sec: TBD Members: SBA experts Members: DGs Members: GEO representative Members: FP7 projects leaders Members: TBD

Science Advisory Group of the Copernicus CC service

Tasks •  Advise the service on the plans

and annual Work Programs proposed by the delegated body for populating the Sectorial Information System (SIS)

•  Provide an assessment of the SIS Annual Activity Reports

•  Propose adequate solutions to

improve, if and when appropriate, the quality of the products available in the SIS

•  Respond efficiently to requests related to the SIS from the Evaluation and Outreach platforms as appropriate

* AAG limited to 12/14 members

•  AAG meeting in BXL twice a

year prior to the full operational phase

•  Interactions favored via teleconferences and emails

Governance of the Copernicus Climate Change service

Page 28: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Climate Change Advisory Board

Chair: MEP Sec: TBD Member: EC Science advisor Member: WCRP Member: GCOS Member: WMO/GFCS member: UNFCC/UNEP/IPCC Member: NOAA/NCDC Member: EGU

Advisory Board of the Copernicus CC service

Tasks •  Advise on the overall orientations

and actions of the Climate Change service

•  Ensure that the global dimension of the Climate Change issues are addressed as appropriate

•  Promote and facilitate interactions with other international bodies dealing with Climate Change issues

•  meeting in BXL once a year

Governance of the Copernicus Climate Change service

Page 29: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

29

A major Climate driver

Copenicus Climate Change service

Page 30: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

Copernicus Climate Change service The context

Ø '…Mitigation will reduce the amount of future climate change and the risk of impacts that are potentially large and dangerous.'

Ø '…Climate change is inevitable and policy responses should include adaptation to climate change.'

Extracted from an information statement of the American Meteorological Society August 2012

Page 31: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call

MS and other users & customers

Selected set of information for

customer DGs

from other bodies e.g., ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..

Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform

Consistent Climate Data Store

Customization platform

Sectorial Information System

Eval

uat

ion

pla

tfor

m

Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service

Page 32: Towards a Copernicus Climate Change service

from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call

MS and other users & customers

Selected set of information for

customer DGs

from other bodies e.g., ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..

Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform

Consistent Climate Data Store

Customization platform

Sectorial Information System

Quality assessment of the service and feedbacks to production

Ou

treach p

latform

Eval

uat

ion

pla

tfor

m

Monitoring, quality assessment of the service and feedbacks to production

A logical view Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service