Tropical Storm Hagupit (Ruby)

Tropical Storm HAGUPIT (RUBY)

Tropical Storm HAGUPIT (RUBY)

Forecast tracks by different meteorological offices of
Tropical Storm HAGUPIT

December 1, 2014

DECEMBER 4

On Wednesday, theJoint Typhoon Warning Centerwas forecasting a track for the typhoon that curved north before reaching the Philippines.But the forecast is anything but certain at this point, as forecast models have been in disagreement on the expected path of the storm over the past few days.Even now with the storm just days away from reaching the islands, two of thebesttropical forecast models the U.S. GFS model, and the European ECMWF offer two different solutionsfor the potentially deadly storm: one that makes direct landfall in the Philippines, and one that directs the storm away from the islands all together.The track forecast from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center(hurricane markers with dashed lines) steers Typhoon Hagupit north, avoiding landfall in the Philippines. However, the European model solution has the storm making landfall this weekend (color contours).(Weather Underground)

Japan Meteorological Agency PAGASA

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=http://img.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/files/2014/12/JMA-PAGASA-track-forecast-hagupit-12032014.png&w=1484The Joint Typhoon Warning Centers forecast on Wednesday morning agreed with the U.S. models solution, steering the storm north before landfall.

But the European models solution which both the Japan Meteorological Agencyandthe Philippines weather agency agrees with is much more ominous.

December 2, 2014

December 3, 2014

C:\Users\Samsung\Pictures\typruy.JPGcatar-for-dis-lect

felcorona

Animated_hurricaneTYPHOON RUBY 140-170 kphmoving towards Evisayas @ 30 kph

DEC 4

DEC 5DEC 6DEC 7

Possible scenarios when Typhoon RUBY moves towards the Visayas

It will intensify further before landfall over the Pacific towns of Northern Samar, winds may reach to 150-175 kph on December 6 or 7

Storm surge of up to 3 meters high (when landfalling) is expected over the municipalities of Lapinig, Gamay, Mapanas, Palapag, Laoang Biri and up to 2 meters over the rest of Northern Samar

Rough to very rough seas is expected beginning December 5 (ferry services cancelled)

Moderate to heavy rains is expected beginning December 5 which may cause overflowing of rivers and landslides

Can inflict considerable damage to poorly built houses

Extensive damage to the power lines of NORSAMELCO

Many trees will be uprooted

baby-02baby-02Salamat ngan Maopay nga Aga!

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Tropical Storm Hagupit (Ruby)