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1 Where are we with Census Stuff? Ed Christopher Resource Center Planning Team Federal Highway Administration 4749 Lincoln Mall Dr. Rm 600 Matteson, IL 60443 708-283-3534 [email protected] Topics Urban Areas ACS CTPP Program PUMAs Census 2010

US Census Update: Where We Are and Where We Are Going

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Page 1: US Census Update: Where We Are and Where We Are Going

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Where are we with Census Stuff?

Ed ChristopherResource Center Planning TeamFederal Highway Administration

4749 Lincoln Mall Dr. Rm 600Matteson, IL 60443

[email protected]

Topics• Urban Areas• ACS• CTPP Program• PUMAs•Census 2010

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Urban Areas

Urbanized Areas(50,000+)circa 1950

Urban Clusters(2,500 to 49,999)

circa 2000

Urban Areas

http://rtc.ruralinstitute.umt.edu/

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Where are we with Urban Areas?

Getting Closer

Criteria Finalized in Fed Reg (Sept. 2011)http://www.census.gov/geo/www/ua/2010urbanruralclass.html

List of UAs (Early 2012)

TIGER/Line shapefiles for UAs (Spring 2012)

Data SF1 Urban/Rural--“later in the year”

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o Use of Tracts as Analysis Unit (Initial Phase)

o Reducing Jumps from 2.5 miles to 1.5o Use of a National Land Cover Data Baseo Changing Airport threshold from 10K to

2,500 enplanementso Eliminating the Central Place Concepto Establishing Minimum pop living

outside of group quarterso Splitting Large Areaso Naming Criteria

Proposed vs actual UA Criteria

Comments were due November 22, 2010

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Splitting and Merging Large Areas

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Some Questions for you

Are there any anticipated NEW Urbanized Areas? New MPOs

Any areas expected or reach or fall below 200,000 people? New TMAs

Any areas expected to fall below 50,000?

Is the MPO size threshold even an issue?

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Adjusting/Setting Boundaries

Adjusting Urban Area Boundaries● FHWA Office of Highway Information● Updating Functional Classification

Manual researching guidance● Manual/guidance around time when

UA boundaries come outSetting Planning Area Boundary● FHWA Office of Planning, Env, Realty●Waiting on Re-authorization●2000 Guidance/Process and latest

information http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/planning/census_issues/mpo_and_tma_definitions/

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American Community Survey

Generally Familiar with it?

In 2005 the Long Form was replaced

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• Continuous Survey Methodology• 250,000 Households sampled per month• About 1 in 40 Households sampled per yr• Response rates are lower than Long Form• Same transportation questions as 2000

Long Form

What is the ACS?

Place of WorkMeans of Transportation to Work

Carpool Occupancy to WorkDeparture Time for Work

Travel Time to WorkVehicles Available

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Data Comes out Annually

Annual estimates(places over 65K pop)ACS1

3-year estimates(places over 20K pop)ACS3

5-year estimates(all places, Tracts, Block Groups)ACS5

Period Estimates

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Data Release Schedule

Sept 2011 1-year (ACS1) 2010 data

Oct 2011 3-year (ACS3) 2008, ’09, ’10

Dec 2011 5-year (ACS5) 2006, ’07, ’08, ’09, ’10

Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) files for eachof the three datasets will be released one to twomonths after each public release

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Data Availability

FactFinder as we know it is going away in Sept.

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New FactFinder

http://factfinder.census.gov

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Missouri State Data Center

http://mcdc.missouri.edu/

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Easy Census data online

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http://mcdc2.missouri.edu/applications/uexplore.shtml

Access to data by querying a database

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Census Bureau ~ Data Ferrett

http://dataferrett.census.gov/

DataFerrett is a unique data mining and extraction tool. It allows the

user to select a data basket full of variables and then recode those variables to create customize tables. DataFerrett helps locate and retrieve the data across the Internet regardless of where the data resides.

American Community Survey (ACS)American Housing Survey (AHS)Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS)Consumer Expenditure Survey (CES)County Business Patterns (CBP)Current Population Survey (CPS)Decennial Census of Population and Housing (2000)Decennial Census of Population and Housing (1990)Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA)National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NAMCS)National Center for Health Statistics Mortality-Underlying

Cause-of-Death (MORT)National Health Interview Survey (NHIS)National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife-

Associated Recreation (FHWAR)New York City Housing and Vacancy Survey (NYCHVS)Public Libraries Survey (PLS)Small Area Health Insurance Estimates (SAHIE)Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)Social Security Administration (SSA)Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP)Survey of Program Dynamics (SPD)

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Census Bureau ~ Data Ferrett

http://dataferrett.census.gov/

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PUMA Resources

http://usa.ipums.org/usa/

IPUMS maintains the PUMS data back to the 1850 census and has and online table generator

Minnesota Population Center

CTPP Webinar on IPUMShttp://ctpp.transportation.org/Pages/webinardirectory.aspx

Compass Handbook by Census Bureauhttp://www.census.gov/acs/www/Downloads/handbo

oks/ACSPUMS.pdf

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PUMAs? -- What are they?

PUMAs are the zones used for PUMS data

Public Use Microdata Sample

PUMS data is based on individual census records and is available only at large geographic areas. Think of the PUMS dataset as the raw, disaggregate census sample data, at a large enough geographic level necessary to protect the confidentiality of the census respondent.

ACSSample

Standard Tabs

PUMS Records

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Why are PUMAs Important?

Normal ACS Annual Data● Annual Data● 65K+● Note the areas in gray● We call this

Swiss Cheese

NE Illinois (2008 pop estimate)

Chicago

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Why are PUMAs Important?

NE Illinois (PUMAs)

PUMAs are a Tabulation Area for Annual ACS Data

● Represent 100K● Complete Coverage● Smaller than some

Counties● NO Swiss Cheese

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How many PUMAs should this area have?City of Chicago 2000 PUMAs

2,896,016 (2000 Pop)

Why are PUMAs Important?

- Defines areas for analysis- Tabulation Area for ACS

Who Defines Them?- The Community- Led by State Data Center

When are They Defined?- Starting Sept 2011

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PUMA criteria

http://www.census.gov/geo/puma/puma2010.html

• Nest within states or equivalent entities

• Cover the entirety of the United States, Puerto Rico, Guam, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.

• Contain at least 100,000 persons

•Are built on counties and census tracts (PUMA delineations are subject to population thresholds and building block geography)

•Are contiguous

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What should transportation agencies do?

http://www.census.gov/geo/puma/puma2010.html

Make sure MPOs and DOTs are coordinated

Decide your role

Contact State Data Center

Ask to be part of process

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CTPP -- Top 10 CTPP highlights

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Number 1

CTPP stands for the Census Transportation Planning Products

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Number 2

The CTPP program is guided by an Oversight Board

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Number 3, 4, and 5

It’s a pooled fund program supported by the states, has 4 components most of which are focused on a 3-year

and 5-year special transportation tabulation

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Alabama $86,952 Montana $18,324Alaska $13,131 Nebraska $33,465Arizona $125,564 Nevada $50,898Arkansas $54,389 New Hampshire $26,212California $720,140 New Jersey $170,604Colorado $91,402 New Mexico $37,461Connecticut $67,678 New York $367,828Delaware $16,730 North Carolina $176,801Dist. of Columbia $10,022 North Dakota $12,043Florida $364,196 Ohio $218,994Georgia $181,403 Oklahoma $67,943Hawaii $25,362 Oregon $71,717Idaho $28,704 Pennsylvania $238,069Illinois $244,357 Puerto Rico $75,671Indiana $120,924 Rhode Island $21,124Iowa $56,940 South Carolina $84,121Kansas $53,073 South Dakota $14,877Kentucky $80,686 Tennessee $117,873Louisiana $87,261 Texas $466,299Maine $25,674 Utah $49,091Maryland $111,708 Vermont $12,344Massachusetts $125,792 West Virginia $34,603Michigan $197,286 Virginia $151,535Minnesota $102,546 Washington $123,758Mississippi $56,212 Wisconsin $108,349Missouri $112,032 Wyoming $9,835

CTPP Fund Commitment

Cost1.89 cents per person

2010 pop estimate

done in 2005

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Number 6

The data product using the 3-year ACS data from 2006, 07 and 08 was released in January 2011

http://ctpp.transportation.org/

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The 3-year Product Design

2008 Geography

MSA – EACH Principal CityMetropolitan Statistical Area

State-POW PUMAState-PUMA (red = 2000 geo.)

State-PlaceState-County-MCD

State-County

Nation (US Total)

Product Structure

3-PartsPart 1- Place of Residence

Part 2- Place of Work

Part 3- Flows betweenHome and Work

On-Line Data RetrievalExtraction Software ~ Raw

Data Download

State

http://ctpp.transportation.org/Documents/CTPP_custom_tabulations_based_on_3yracs2006_2008.xls

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3-year CTPP Product Summary

Highlights Low LightsBased on CTPP2000 TablesMany NEW Univariate TablesMore Age TablesStreamlined Race TablesMore HH and HH Lifecycle TablesMore English Proficiency TablesWay more Flows Tables

Incomplete CoverageRoundedReduced Number of Crosstabs with Mode

-- Travel time-- Household income-- Vehicle availability-- Age-- Time leaving home

Tables will have Suppression

-- Means based on 3 values -- 3 records in Flow

Large MOEs (@ 90%)

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Number 7

States and MPOs just finished creating their custom geography (TAZs and TADs) to be used

for the 5-year data product

Who did TAZs? TADS?

How did the process go?

Where your TAZs returned for verification failures?

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Number 8

A critical CTPP related research (NCHRP) study is just wrapping up

NCHRP 08-79 Producing Transportation Data Products from the American Community Survey that Comply with Disclosure Rules

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• Cell Means and aggregates require 3 unweighted records

Some of the diclosure rules

• For Pt 3 Flow Tables:3 unweighted recordsfor each table, each cell, with the exception of the 1-way Means of Trans. table

• 3 unweighted records for the marginal's in any cross-tabulation with Means of Trans.

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8-79 Summary using 3-year Table list

Means of transportation Aggregate Vehicles UsedAggregate Travel Time Mean HH IncomeAggregate HH Income Aggregate CarpoolsAlmost all Part 3 Tables

Tables Using Perturbed Data Set

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Number 9

The request for the 5-year tables is being reviewed at the Census Bureau

Requires Disclosure Proofing

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Table Request Process

CTPP Oversight Board and others Identified Tables (Summer 2011)AASHTO sent request to CB (Sept 2011)CB reviews and responds with a price and conditionsProduction BeginsTables submitted to AASHTOPackaging Begins (Early 2013)Users get data (Sometime in 2013)

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5-year Geography and Flows● Asymmetrical Flows● Small Areas defined by MPOs in MPO areas and States Elsewhere● Tracts are Defaults for Small Areas● Default TADs by AASHTO

Number 9

Just added to list: Local small area to TAD and vice versa

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Number 10

There are a lot of activities going on and several ways to stay in touch

a) Join the CTPP Listserve (909 members) http://trbcensus.com/maillist.html

b) Visit the FHWA, AASHTO or TRB Census Websiteshttp://www.dot.gov/ctpp/http://ctpp.transportation.org/http://trbcensus.com/

c) Read our newsletters (http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ctpp/status.htm)

d) Give us a call

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Contacts besides Ed

Penelope WeinbergerCTPP Program Manager, AASHTO444 North Capitol Street NE Suite 249Washington, DC [email protected]://ctpp.transportation.org

Brian McKenzieCTPP Program ManagerCensus [email protected]

Liang LongCTPP Technical Support [email protected]

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http://2010.census.gov/2010census/data/

2010 Census

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Its all about Apportionment

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RUCnb5_HZc0

Brief 2 minute video on how apportionment is done

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Put this on your website

<iframe src="http://2010.census.gov/2010census/data/embedstate.html?state=XX" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" width="800" height="510">IFRAMES not supported</iframe>

Embed this on your website

http://2010.census.gov/2010census/data/

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Cool Maps

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Data Generator

http://2010.census.gov/2010census/popmap/

Population Generator

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Zoomable (interactive pop) maps

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Another Cool Idea Generator

http://2010.census.gov/2010census/popmap/

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For the data hungry power users

http://www2.census.gov/census_2010/04-Summary_File_1/

Summary File 1 Download

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To Learn more about the CTPP

AASHTO CTPP Websitehttp://ctpp.transportation.org

http://www.dot.gov/ctpp

http://www.TRBcensus.com

To join CTPP List Servehttp://www.trbcensus.com/maillist.html