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Using Chemical Categories to Inform
Quantitative Risk Assessment
Society of Toxicology Annual Meeting 2018
Timothy E H Allen
Jonathan M Goodman, Steve Gutsell, Paul J Russell
Structural Alerts and Chemical Categories
In Silico Modelling for MIEs
Bowes, J., et al. (2012) Drug Discov., 11; 909.
https://www.ebi.ac.uk/chembl/
http://accelrys.com/products/collaborative-science/biovia-pipeline-pilot/
As they sit on the boundary between chemistry and biology, MIEs are a good target
for in silico modelling.
For receptor binding MIEs, the ability of a chemical to interact with a biological target
must be related to its chemistry.
What is it about these molecules that allow them to make these interactions?
To investigate this, receptor binding data was extracted from the open-source database
ChEMBL, and structural alerts were constructed using custom scripting in Pipeline Pilot.
These structural alerts can be thought of as defining a small area of chemical space
containing chemicals with very similar structure. These chemicals can be used for
read-across and quantitative activity estimation.
Target MIEs
Bowes, J., et al. (2012) Drug Discov., 11; 909.
GPCRs GPCRs (cont.) Enzymes Ion Channels
Adenosine A2a Receptor Histamine H1 Receptor Acetylcholinesterase Potassium Voltage Gated Channel KQT 1
Histamine H2 Receptor
Alpha-1a Adrenergic Receptor Cyclooxygenase 1 Serotonin 3A Receptor
Alpha-2a Adrenergic Receptor Muscarinic Acetylcholine Receptor M1 Cyclooxygenase 2
Beta-1 Adrenergic Receptor Muscarinic Acetylcholine Receptor M2 Nuclear Receptors
Beta-2 Adrenergic Receptor Muscarinic Acetylcholine Receptor M3 Dihydrofolate Reductase
Androgen Receptor
Cannabinoid CB1 Receptor Delta Opioid Receptor Histone Deacetylase 1
Cannabinoid CB2 Receptor Kappa Opioid Receptor Glucocorticoid Receptor
Mu Opioid Receptor Monoamine Oxidase A
Cholecystokinin Receptor A Transporters
Serotonin 1A Receptor Phosphodiesterase 4D
Dopamine D1 Receptor Serotonin 1B Receptor Dopamine Transporter
Dopamine D2 Receptor Serotonin 2A Receptor Thymidylate Synthase
Serotonin 2B Receptor Norepinephrine Transporter
Tyrosine-Protein Kinase
Vasopressin V1A Receptor Serotonin Transporter
Adenosine A2A Receptor Structural Alerts
Allen, T.E.H. et al. (2016) Chem. Res. Toxicol., 29; 1611.
319/779 Positives in Test Set
229 False Positives in Test Set
Adenosine A2A Receptor Structural Alerts
31/779 Positives in Test Set
87 Chemicals total in ChEMBL
NO False Positives
319/779 Positives in Test Set
229 False Positives in Test Set
Model Predictivity
Vs Previous Models
Target Alerts Binders SE SP Q MCC ΔSE ΔSP ΔQ ΔMCC
GPCRs
Adenosine A2A Receptor 115 2960 90.62 99.61 98.99 0.920 28.27 4.02 5.71 0.390
Alpha-1a Adrenergic Receptor 42 705 66.67 99.60 99.05 0.697 37.44 8.99 9.47 0.611
Alpha-2a Adrenergic Receptor 24 380 38.18 99.90 99.32 0.547 -0.91 1.93 1.90 0.312
Beta Adrenergic Receptors 76 1145 84.64 99.94 99.45 0.907
Beta-1 Adrenergic Receptor 52 694 71.96 99.23 98.79 0.655 -24.34 2.74 2.30 0.118
Beta-2 Adrenergic Receptor 57 770 77.39 99.25 98.82 0.718 -16.09 2.49 2.12 0.142
Cannabinoid CB1 Receptor 128 3738 88.76 93.76 93.31 0.688 71.71 -2.50 4.20 0.512
Cannabinoid CB2 Receptor 121 3405 86.70 93.94 93.34 0.668 65.36 -5.24 0.64 0.306
Cholecystokinin Receptor A 16 255 65.38 99.91 99.68 0.738 -32.05 8.20 7.93 0.482
Dopamine D1 Receptor 27 453 59.54 99.05 98.61 0.492 25.19 0.13 0.41 0.198
Dopamine D2 Receptor 80 2589 77.44 96.66 95.41 0.668 22.43 7.64 8.61 0.353
Model Predictivity
Target Alerts Binders SE SP Q MCC ΔSE ΔSP ΔQ ΔMCC
GPCRs (cont.)
Histamine H1 Receptor 32 672 48.73 99.84 99.15 0.625 20.25 3.38 3.61 0.475
Histamine H2 Receptor 7 191 39.58 99.99 99.74 0.612 -39.58 17.47 17.23 0.509
Muscarinic Acetylcholine Receptor M1 58 887 67.74 98.56 97.90 0.575 23.79 16.43 16.59 0.478
Muscarinic Acetylcholine Receptor M2 48 620 60.37 98.45 97.91 0.455 15.24 16.49 16.47 0.372
Muscarinic Acetylcholine Receptor M3 69 1067 77.97 98.88 98.35 0.700 34.58 3.88 4.66 0.446
Delta Opioid Receptor 98 2550 89.78 94.27 94.08 0.589 37.13 0.48 2.08 0.243
Kappa Opioid Receptor 97 2347 88.69 94.73 94.44 0.614 37.34 0.79 2.55 0.263
Mu Opioid Receptor 102 2793 92.41 93.94 93.85 0.639 38.85 -0.55 1.69 0.235
Serotonin 1A Receptor 71 1777 70.63 96.92 95.78 0.579 8.53 0.40 0.76 0.077
Serotonin 1B Receptor 27 396 58.77 99.51 99.11 0.559 -27.19 6.69 6.35 0.272
Serotonin 2A Receptor 69 1612 75.11 95.62 94.82 0.530 44.00 0.59 2.27 0.318
Serotonin 2B Receptor 50 750 67.18 97.58 97.07 0.452 48.21 3.17 3.92 0.378
Vasopressin V1A Receptor 47 651 70.00 99.97 99.51 0.825 -3.89 17.68 17.34 0.646
Model Predictivity
Target Alerts Binders SE SP Q MCC ΔSE ΔSP ΔQ ΔMCC
Enzymes
Acetylcholinesterase 78 1355 75.96 99.58 98.84 0.800 9.29 15.82 15.61 0.570
Cyclooxygenase 1 23 379 40.95 99.61 99.08 0.443 -1.90 12.25 12.12 0.358
Cyclooxygenase 2 60 964 71.22 99.52 98.84 0.741 0.36 11.01 10.76 0.470
Dihydrofolate Reductase 22 404 58.00 99.97 99.60 0.735 -7.00 8.59 8.46 0.554
Histone Deacetylase 1 72 1202 80.63 99.63 99.11 0.828 4.38 25.11 24.54 0.641
Monoamine Oxidase A 24 533 41.72 99.92 99.17 0.601 -9.27 24.72 24.28 0.533
Phosphodiesterase 4D 25 385 55.08 99.97 99.51 0.718 -11.02 6.71 6.53 0.490
Thymidylate Synthase 6 239 5.56 100.00 99.56 0.235 -25.93 1.85 1.72 0.091
Tyrosine-Protein Kinase 40 568 53.02 100.00 99.40 0.726 0.67 8.60 8.50 0.555
Model Predictivity
Target Alerts Binders SE SP Q MCC ΔSE ΔSP ΔQ ΔMCC
Ion Channels
Potassium Voltage Gated Channel KQT 1 18 295 30.00 100.00 99.52 0.546 -45.00 52.44 51.77 0.509
Serotonin 3A Receptor 16 316 36.05 99.93 99.46 0.533 13.95 0.03 0.13 0.162
Nuclear Receptors
Androgen Receptor 63 1598 75.07 99.91 99.19 0.846 6.82 1.90 2.05 0.273
Glucocorticoid Receptor 86 2201 87.61 99.96 99.48 0.929 70.80 1.51 4.20 0.725
Transporters
Dopamine Transporter 31 1908 42.53 99.04 96.93 0.504 4.83 11.04 10.81 0.359
Norepinephrine Transporter 47 2616 61.60 97.81 95.82 0.596 -15.20 60.74 56.57 0.530
Serotonin Transporter 46 3480 49.46 97.20 93.80 0.500 -27.57 59.51 53.32 0.422
Average (All Targets) 66.30 98.58 97.80 0.666 +9.81 +10.70 +11.03 +0.384
Adenosine A2A Receptor Alert P(Ki) Values
Adenosine A2A Receptor Alert P(Ki) Values
Adenosine A2A Receptor Alert P(Ki) Values
P(Ki) = 8.42 +/- 0.68Range = 6.99 – 9.00
n = 14
CoMFA and Quantitative Predictions
Quantitative Activity Predictions
Tosco, P., Balle, T. (2011) J Mol. Model., 25; 777.
2D structure activities provide an incomplete picture of receptor binding interactions, as
molecules and targets are 3D environments.
Can a Three Dimensional approach provide improved molecular activity
estimates and more insight into these MIEs?
Comparative Molecular Field Analysis (CoMFA) provides a potential tool for the
construction of 3D QSAR models based on the data and fragments already identified.
2D structural alerts provide chemical categories for the use of these higher level
calculations.
This requires the alignment of molecules in the training set and calculation of steric and
electronic fields around them. These fields are then analysed using PLS regression
analysis to give a quantitative predictive model.
3DQSAR Chemical Categories
GR Alert Results Categories
RMSE ≈ 0.56
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Experim
enta
l A
ctivity (
pIC
50)
Predicted Activity (pIC50)
GR Alerts 2, 23, 75, 86, 106 Test Set Predictions
CORR
Alert 2
Alert 23
Alert 75
Alert 86
Alert 106
LOO Analysis
Alert SDEP
2 0.3564
23 0.8043
75 0.6139
86 0.9856
106 0.9880
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Experim
enta
l A
ctivity (
pIC
50)
Predicted Activity (pIC50)
GR Alerts 2, 23, 75, 86, 106 Test Set Predictions
CORR
Alert 2
Alert 23
Alert 75
Alert 86
Alert 106
LOO Analysis
Alert SDEP
2 0.2935
23 0.6323
75 0.4119
86 0.4625
106 0.5821
GR Alert Results 3DQSAR
RMSE ≈ 0.51
3DQSAR Predictivity
TEST SET RMSE LOO SDEP
Alert CATS MMFF94 QM G03 CATS MMFF94 QM G03
GR Alert 2 0.33 0.32 0.30 0.3564 0.3079 0.2935
GR Alert 23 0.68 0.56 0.47 0.8043 0.6393 0.6323
GR Alert 75 0.61 0.48 0.45 0.6139 0.5457 0.4119
GR Alert 86 0.47 0.72 0.69 0.9856 0.5511 0.4625
GR Alert 106 0.77 0.68 0.80 0.9880 0.6917 0.5821
HERG Alert 15 0.63 0.72 0.71 0.6486 0.5896 0.6232
HERG Alert 17 0.47 0.69 0.85 0.5919 0.6823 0.5159
HERG Alert 20 0.17 1.26 0.85 0.4393 0.5243 0.9353
HERG Alert 46 2.69 1.87 2.49 2.4256 1.6608 0.5557
HERG Alert 47 1.52 2.24 2.07 2.1657 2.0774 1.5545
MOR Alert 4 0.65 0.47 0.52 0.6413 0.4463 0.4648
MOR Alert 6 0.96 0.73 0.44 1.1348 0.4218 0.4544
MOR Alert 48 0.38 0.49 0.34 0.5791 0.3660 0.3402
MOR Alert 100 0.93 0.73 0.75 1.0221 0.5962 0.5766
MOR Alert 111 0.58 0.64 0.55 0.6540 0.3638 0.4082
3DQSAR Predictivity
TEST SET RMSE LOO SDEP
Alert CATS MMFF94 QM G03 CATS MMFF94 QM G03
COX 2 Alert 5 0.99 1.10 1.04 1.1172 1.1617 1.1481
COX 2 Alert 26 0.63 0.52 0.52 0.6839 0.5441 0.8432
COX 2 Alert 45 0.99 0.78 0.81 1.0767 0.6605 0.6380
COX 2 Alert 57 0.77 0.68 0.66 0.8134 0.6016 0.6305
COX2 Alert 93 0.41 0.70 0.41 0.3576 0.2766 0.3385
DT Alert 2 0.58 0.40 0.31 0.6341 0.5745 0.9951
DT Alert 9 0.37 0.45 0.29 0.5487 0.3884 0.4184
DT Alert 59 0.87 0.87 0.89 0.8867 0.6716 0.7031
DT Alert 75 0.66 0.93 0.90 0.7310 0.8118 0.9629
DT Alert 90 0.67 0.62 0.63 1.0760 0.4218 0.7094
9 7 9 3 11 11
4 8 13 3 12 10
12 10 3 19 2 4
Glucocorticoid Receptor Interactions
Bledsoe, R.K., et al. (2002) Cell, 110; 93.
Glucocorticoid Receptor Interactions
Glucocorticoid Receptor Interactions
Glucocorticoid Receptor Interactions
Glucocorticoid Receptor Interactions
Glucocorticoid Receptor Interactions
Glucocorticoid Receptor Interactions
Glucocorticoid Receptor Interactions
Bledsoe, R.K., et al. (2002) Cell, 110; 93.
Transition State Modelling and the Ames Test
The Ames Mutagenicity Assay
The Ames test is an in vitro assay that determines if a compound is able to mutate DNA.
An S9 mix of rat liver enzymes are used to simulate metabolism of the parent
compound.
Therefore the Ames assay without the S9 mix can be considered as an in vitro assay
measuring the MIE for the direct covalent binding of a parent compound to DNA.
In this MIE a nucleophilic guanine base attacks an electrophilic parent compound.
Could this could be modelled using a transition state search and activation
energy calculation?
Structural alerts indicating α,β-unsaturated carbonyls as Michael acceptors that can
covalently modify DNA and Ames data from the OECD QSAR Toolbox were used to
test this hypothesis.
Enoch, S.J., et al. (2011) ATLA, 39; 131.
http://www.oecd.org/chemicalsafety/risk-assessment/theoecdqsartoolbox.htm
Modelling the Transition State
Modelling the Transition State
ΔG‡
Modelling the Transition State
DFT - Optimization: B3LYP, 6-31+G(d), iefpcm
‡
ΔG‡
Modelling the Transition State
DFT - Optimization: B3LYP, 6-31+G(d), iefpcm; SPE: M062X, def2tzvpp, iefpcm
‡
ΔG‡
25.9 kcal mol-1
Transition State Energies
DFT - Optimization: B3LYP, 6-31+G(d), iefpcm; SPE: M062X, def2tzvpp, iefpcm
Transition State Energies
?
4-Hydroxy-5-methyl-3-furanone
ΔG‡ = 25.8 kcal mol-1
4-Hydroxy-5-methyl-3-furanone
ΔG‡ = 25.8 kcal mol-1
Hiramoto, K., et al. (1996) Mut. Res., 359; 119.
4-Hydroxy-5-methyl-3-furanone
ΔG‡ = 25.8 kcal mol-1
“HMF found to be mutagenic probably due to
generation of active oxygen radicals”
Hiramoto, K., et al. (1996) Mut. Res., 359; 119.
3-(Dichloromethylene)-2,5-pyrrolidinedione
ΔG‡ = 24.4 kcal mol-1
3-(Dichloromethylene)-2,5-pyrrolidinedione
ΔG‡ = 24.4 kcal mol-1
Haddon, W.F., et al. (1996) J. Agric. Food Chem., 44; 256.
3-(Dichloromethylene)-2,5-pyrrolidinedione
ΔG‡ = 24.4 kcal mol-1
Haddon, W.F., et al. (1996) J. Agric. Food Chem., 44; 256.
3-(Dichloromethylene)-2,5-pyrrolidinedione
ΔG‡ = 24.4 kcal mol-1
ΔG‡ (kcal mol-1)
21.2
24.4
16.1
Transition State Energies
Acknowledgements
• Professor Jonathan Goodman
• Unilever
• Dr Paul Russell, Dr Steve Gutsell & colleagues at SEAC, Unilever
• Dr Matthew Grayson
• The Centre for Molecular Informatics
• St. John’s College