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    An Exclusive ComparativeReview of Sugar Industry

    In Pakistan and India

    Research Department

    Institute of Cost and ManagementAccountants of Pakistan (ICMAP)

    I C M A P

    Capacity Utilization of Sugar Millsin

    SAARC Countries

    Capacity Utilization of Sugar MillsinSAARC Countries

    Capacity Utilization of Sugar Millsin

    SAARC Countries

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    Vision

    To be the Preference in Value Optimization for Business

    Mission Statement

    To develop strategic leaders through imparting quality education

    and training in Management Accounting, to continually set and

    upgrade professional standards and to conduct research,

    bringing value-addition to the economy

    Core Values

    Integrity, Competence, Pro-activity and Innovation.

    Research, Quality Assurance &

    Ethics Committee - 2010

    Mr. Masud Muzaffar, FCMA Chairman

    Mr. Ghulam Mustafa, FCMA Member

    Mirza Munawar Hussain, FCMA Member

    Mr. M. H. Asif, FCMA Member

    Mr. Nazir Ahmed Shaheen, FCMA Member

    Mr. Abdul Sattar (Wing Comdr.), ACMA Member

    Mr. Mushtaq Ahmed Madraswala, FCMA Executive Director

    Mr. Shahid Anwar Dy. Director Research

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    Capacity Utilization of Sugar Millsin

    SAARC Countries

    An Exclusive Comparative

    Review of Sugar IndustryIn Pakistan and India

    Research DepartmentInstitute of Cost and Management

    Accountants of Pakistan (ICMAP)

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    ContentsPage

    Executive Summary .............................................................................................3

    Chapter 1: A Comparative Review of Pakistan and Indian Sugar Industry ...............11

    (a) Synopsis .....................................................................................................12

    (b) Sugarcane Cultivation Area.....................................................................13

    (c) Sugarcane Yield ........................................................................................16

    (d) Sugarcane Production ..............................................................................21(e) Sugar Production ......................................................................................24

    (f) Sugar Recovery Ratio................................................................................27

    Chapter 2: Capacity Utilization of Sugar Mills in Pakistan and India .......................31

    (a) Preamble .....................................................................................................32

    (b) Industry Snapshot .....................................................................................32

    (c) Historical Progress of Industry ...............................................................33

    (d) Scale and Size of Industry ........................................................................35

    (e) Size of Sugar Plants...................................................................................40(f) Installed Crushing Capacity of Sugar Mills ..........................................46

    (g) Capacity Utilization of Sugar Mills ........................................................51

    (h) Increasing Number of Sick Sugar Mills in India...................................56

    Chapter 3: Sugar Industry in Other SAARC Countries: ................................................59

    (a) Bangladesh .................................................................................................60

    (b) Nepal ...........................................................................................................65

    (c) Sri Lanka .....................................................................................................69

    Appendices ............ ....................................................................................................................73 Sugar Statistics of SAARC Countries ............................................................74

    Installed Capacities of Pakistani Listed and Non-Listed Sugar Mills .....78

    References .........................................................................................................79

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    Executive Summary

    This exclusive comparative review of the sugar industry in Pakistan and India has

    been undertaken by the Research Department of Institute of Cost and Management

    Accountants of Pakistan (ICMAP) with special focus on installed and utilized

    capacities of sugar mills in both countries.

    This Research Report is divided into following three Chapters:

    Chapter 1:

    This Chapter presents a Comparative Review of the sugar sector in Pakistan and

    India with specific reference to sugarcane cultivation, yield, production, sugar

    production and recovery ratio. This would be helpful in understanding the main

    part of this report related to capacity utilization.

    Chapter 2:

    This Chapter forms the main part of our Research Paper, providing a detailed

    review of the size and scale of the Pakistani and Indian sugar industry, the installed

    capacities of sugar mills and the capacity utilization achieved by the sugar industry

    in both countries.

    Chapter 3:

    This Chapter provides useful facts and statistics on the sugar industry in otherSAARC countries viz. Bangladesh, Nepal and Sri Lanka. Although the size of the

    sugar industry in these countries in limited, rather negligible, but still inclusion of

    their details is an attempt to make this report comprehensive.

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    Contrasting Aspects of Pakistan and Indian Sugar Industry

    It is an established fact that the size of Indian sugar sector, both in terms of

    sugarcane and sugar production, is far larger than Pakistan. ICMAP research

    substantiate this fact by concluding that Pakistans total sugar industry,

    comprising of around 80 sugar mills, is far smaller in number than each of the two

    Indian States i.e. Maharashtra (having 195 sugar mills) and Uttar Pradesh (154

    sugar mills).

    Let us have a look below at some contrasting aspects of Pakistani and Indian

    sugar industry, which have revealed as a result of this comparative research:

    1) The sugar production capacity of India at 23.90 million tons (2009) is almost

    four times greater than sugar capacity of Pakistani sugar mills, which is

    around 6.24 million tons (2009).

    2) Unlike Pakistans privately-owned sugar sector, the ownership structure in

    India is much diverse. There are privately-owned sugar mills at one extreme,

    and cooperative factories, on other extreme, which are owned by farmers

    and managed by government. ICMAP research reveals that private sector inIndia is visible in number i.e. in States of UP, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh,

    Karnataka and Bihar. The Cooperative sector is dominating in States of

    Maharashtra, Gujrat, Punjab & Haryana.

    3) Installed capacities of Pakistani sugar mills are evenly distributed with 47%

    share in Small-sized segment (capacity below 1500 TCD to 5500 TCD) and

    41% share in Medium-sized segment (capacity between 5501 TCD to 9500

    TCD). In contrast, around 88% the Indian sugar mills are in the Small-sized

    segment with capacities ranging between 2500 TCD to 5000 TCD. This points

    towards the fact that the Indian sugar industry need modernization/

    rehabilitation and capacity expansions.

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    4) Pakistan is well ahead of India in the Large-sized segment (above 9500

    TCD) with 12% share in overall sugar industry, as compared to only 1.4% oflarge sugar plants in India. All eight (8) large sugar plants in India are in the

    private sector. It is interesting to note that Sindh province of Pakistan do not

    have any large sugar plant, whereas Punjab and NWFP have 8 units and 2

    units, respectively.

    5) The capacity utilization rate of Pakistani sugar mills fell down to 51.4%

    during 2008-09, from 80% achieved last year. ICMAP research shows that

    this sharp decline in capacity utilization was mainly due to 21.7% shortfall insugarcane production from 64 million tons in 2007-08 to 50 million tons in

    2008-09. Similarly, the capacity utilization rate of Indian sugar mills also

    declined to 63% during 2008-09 from 117% last year. The reason is identical to

    Pakistan i.e. around 17% shortfall in sugarcane production from 348 million

    tons in 2007-08 to 289 million tons in 2008-09.

    6) Our research indicates that during last five years [FY 2004-05 to FY 2008-09],

    the average capacity utilization of Indian sugar mills have been 95.2% ascompared to 58.7% of Pakistani sugar mills. The highest capacity

    utilization of 81% by Pakistani sugar mills was achieved during FY 2007-08,

    whereas highest capacity utilization of 132% by Indian sugar industry was

    in FY 2006-07.

    Pakistan Sugar Industry

    We now summarize below the salient findings of sugar industries in Pakistan

    and India, separately. The main report may be referred for detailed review:

    1) The annual crushing capacity of 81 sugar mills in Pakistan is around 72

    million tons (2009). Although the annual sugar production capacity is 6.2

    million, our industry is not able to meet the annual domestic consumption of

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    around 4 million tons. In 2008-09, the sugar production was 3.21 million tons

    (as per PSMA figures, whereas USDA puts this figure at 3.51 million tons).

    2) The sugar industry in Pakistan is pre-dominantly owned by the private

    sector, mostly in hands of influential families, having political connections.

    Out of 81 sugar mills, 40 mills (49%) are located in Punjab, 32 mills (40%) in

    Sindh and 09 mills (11%) in NWFP. About 46% (37) of sugar mills in Pakistan

    are Listed on Stock Exchange whereas 54% (44) are in Non-Listed sector.

    3) There are 38 Small-sized sugar mills in Pakistan within capacity range

    between 1500 TCD to 5500 TCD, out of which Sindh Province has highestnumber with 22 small sugar plants, followed by 11 in Punjab and 5 in NWFP.

    Similarly, there are 33 Medium-sized sugar plants with capacity range

    between 5500 TCD to 9500 TCD Punjab leads with 21, followed by 10 in

    Sindh and 2 in NWFP. There are only 10 Large-sized sugar Plants in

    Pakistan [9500 TCD and above]. Out of them, 10 are in Punjab, 2 in NWFP

    whereas Sindh has no large-size sugar mills.

    4) The Non-Listed sector dominates the Small-sized and Large-sized

    segments of sugar industry of Pakistan with 28.4% (out of 47%) and 7.4%(Out of 12%), respectively. The Listed Sector has large share in the

    Medium-sized segment with 22.2% (out of 41%).

    5) The Listed sector is more prominent in Sindh Province with 19% share in

    total installed capacity, as against Punjab with 12% share. On the other hand,

    Non-Listed sector is dominant in number in Punjab Province with 36%

    share, as compared to 24% of Sindh.

    6) The capacity utilization of Pakistani Sugar mills has fallen down sharply to51.4% during 2008-09 from 80% in 2007-08. The main reason is shortage of

    raw material (sugarcane). Optimum utilization of capacity is only possible if

    sugarcane production is increased by 4 % to 5% annually.

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    Indian Sugar Industry

    1) The annual sugar production capacity of 582 sugar mills in India is 23.9

    million tons (2009), showing 5% increase from 22.48 million last year.

    ICMAP research shows that the highest increase in capacity during last five

    years [2005-2009] is in Uttar Pradesh i.e. 62% which is mainly due to private

    sector initiative as 61% of 154 sugar factories in this State are in private sector.

    The capacity increase is only 3% in Maharashtra State where cooperatives are

    more dominant.

    2) The States of Maharashtra and Uttar Pradesh (UP) alone constitute 56% ofthe total sugar mills in India and if Karnataka State is also included, the share

    reaches 65%. This means that these three States are critical to the Indian sugar

    industry.

    3) Out of 624 installed factories (only 582 are functional) in India, about 51% are

    in the Cooperative sector, whereas 39% are in Private sector and 10% in the

    Public sector.

    4) About 88% of sugar factories in India are in the Small-sized segment withcrushing capacity in the range between 2500 TCD to 5000 TCD. ICMAP study

    shows that 75% private, 94% cooperatives and 98% public sector units are in

    the small-scale segment. Moreover, all the 8 Large-sized sugar mills have

    been established by the Private Sector.

    5) There are presently 206 Sick/closed sugar factories across India, with two

    major sugar producing States of Maharashtra and UP share 107 sick units

    (50% of 206 sick units). Out of them, 61 are Private and 145 belong to the

    cooperative sector. This high proportion of sickness in cooperatives is

    seemingly due to highly regulated environment and lack of profit motive.

    Private sector is better placed in taking advantage of multiple outputs like

    electricity generation, bio-diesel etc.

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    6) The capacity utilization of Indian sugar mills has fallen down sharply to 63%

    during 2008-09 from 117% in 2007-08. The main reason is shortage of rawmaterial (sugarcane) and high fluctuations in cane area under command.

    ICMAP research shows that highest shortfall of 68% in capacity utilization

    during 2008-09 (as compared to last year) is in Andhra Pradesh State,

    followed by 65% in Maharashtra, 62% in Karnataka, 52% in UP, 34% in Gujrat

    and Punjab, and 23% in Tamil Nadu.

    Sugar Industries in SAARC Countries

    The sugar industry in other SAARC countries viz. Bangladesh, Nepal and SriLanka is quite insignificant, as compared to the sugar industry of Pakistan and

    India. An attempt has been made in this study to provide a snapshot of the sugar

    industries in these three SAARC countries, with special focus on installed

    capacity and capacity utilization of sugar mills. A summary is given below:

    Bangladesh Sugar Industry

    1) There are 15 operating sugar mills in Bangladesh with total installed sugar

    production capacity of 21,044 tons per day. Bangladesh has no privatecrushing mills and all the sugar factories are in the public sector, under the

    control of Bangladesh Sugar & Food Industries Corporation (BSFIC).

    2) The performance of all 15 sugar mills has been quite steady with 70%

    capacity utilization during the period 2005 to 2008. During 2006-07 and 2007-

    08, capacity utilization was above 85%.

    3) As annual sugar production is not sufficient to meet the local demand,

    Bangladesh imports substantial amount of sugar from other exportingcountries. Imports are made by both public and private sector. During 2007-

    08, sugar production stood at 0.16 million tons against target of 0.20 million

    tons. The local demand of sugar for 2010 is estimated at around 1.3 million

    tons.

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    4) The main reason for low sugar production is attributed to low availability of

    sugarcane in view of drastic decline in cultivation area of sugarcanethroughout the country.

    Nepal Sugar Industry

    1) There are 12 Sugar mills in Nepal two mills are in Public sector (which are

    closed) and 10 mills in the Private sector (functional). The combined capacity

    of 8 private sugar mills is 20,750 TCD which is equal to annual crushing

    capacity of 3.11 million tons.

    2) The sugarcane production of Nepal is around 1.62 million tons with yield of

    35 tons per hectare. However, in 2008-09 the cane production fell down to

    59,000 tons.

    3) Nepal sugar mills produce around 0.10 million tons of sugar annually, which

    is not sufficient to meet the annual domestic demand of 0.16 million tons.

    Resultantly, nearly 50,000 tons of sugar are imported annually, mainly from

    India.

    4) The sugar capacity utilization of Nepalese sugar mills has always remained

    below 50 percent and ICMAP research shows that utilized capacity is

    declining gradually, leading to increased imports.

    Sri Lanka Sugar Industry

    1) The sugar industry of Sri Lanka is quite negligible with only four installed

    Sugar mills, out of which two are closed and not currently producing sugar.

    2) The total cane crushing capacity of four sugar mills (two closed and two

    functional) is 8250 TCD. The two operational sugar factories (Pelwatte &

    Sevanagala) have total capacity of 5050 TCD which is equal to annual

    capacity of 1.01 million tons.

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    3) The total sugar producing capacity of two operational sugar mills is 440 tons

    per day or 88,000 tons per annum. Pelwatte has 330 tons capacity whereasSevanagala has 110 tons capacity.

    4) The capacity utilization of the two sugar mills in Sri Lanka is below 50

    percent and there is further room for increasing capacity utilization.

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    CHAPTER 1

    A Comparative Review

    of

    Pakistan and Indian

    Sugar Industry

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    Synopsis ofComparitive Study

    q Maharashtra State of India alone produces more sugarcane than Pakistan.

    q Total Sugar Produced in Pakistan is almost half of the Sugar produced in

    Maharashtra State.

    q Maharashtra and Punjab (India) have higher cane recovery than Sindh and

    Punjab (Pakistan)

    q Maharashtra and Punjab have higher cane yields than Sindh and Punjab

    despite similar land.

    q Pakistans Punjab has larger cultivation area than Indians Punjab.

    q Sugarcane cultivation area in India and Pakistan has declined by 12% and

    17%, respectively, during 2008-09 from last year due to shift in farmers

    preference.

    q Sugarcane production in both India and Pakistan has declined by 17% and

    21%, respectively, during 2008-09 from last year due to reduction in the

    cultivation area.

    q Sugar production in both India and Pakistan has declined by 38% and 32%,

    respectively, during 2008-09 from last year due to shortage of sugarcane.

    q Punjab shares 65% in total sugarcane production of Pakistan.

    q Sindh has better sugarcane yield than Punjab.

    q Sindh has better cane recovery than Punjab.

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    Sugarcane Cultivation AreaSugarcane cultivation area in both India and Pakistan has declined by 12% and

    17%, respectively, during 2008-09 as compared to last year due to shift in farmers

    preference.

    Pakistan India

    Sugarcane occupies around 5 percent

    of the total cropped area in Pakistan.Normal area under cultivation is one

    million hectares.

    Sugarcane occupies around 4 percent

    of the total cropped area in India.Normal area under cultivation is 124

    million hectares.

    During FY 2008-09, sugarcane was

    sown in area of 1045,000 hectares, as

    against 1242,000 hectares last year,

    showing decline of 16 percent.

    During 2008-09, sugarcane was sown

    in area of 4408,000 hectares, as against

    5043,000 hectares last year, showing

    decline of 13 percent.

    The largest area where sugarcane

    cultivation is made in Pakistan is

    Punjab Province. In 2008-09, sugarcane

    was sown in area of 675,000 hectares,

    as against area of 827,000 hectares in

    2007-08.

    The largest area where sugarcane

    cultivation is made in India is Uttar

    Pradesh State. In 2008-09, sugarcane

    was sown in area of 2058,000 hectares,

    against 2179,000 hectares in 2007-08.

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    TABLE 1

    Pakistan Cultivation Area(000 Hectares)

    PAKISTAN 2004 05 2005 06 2006 07 2007- 08 2008 - 09

    Sindh 215 183 215 309 264

    Punjab 645 625 712 827 675

    N.W.F.P 106 99 102 105 105

    Balochistan 0.40 0.30 0.50 0.79Total Pakistan 966 907 1,029 1,242 1,045

    Source: ICMAP Research

    TABLE 2

    India Cultivation Area

    (000 Hectares)

    INDIA 2004 05 2005 06 2006 07 2007- 08 2008 - 09

    Uttar Pradesh 1955 2156 2247 2179 2058

    Maharashtra 324 501 1049 1088 770

    Tamil Nadu 232 336 391 352 323

    Punjab 86 84 99 111 105

    Other States 1065 1796 1348 1313 1152

    Total India 3662 4201 5134 5043 4408

    Source: ICMAP Research

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    Pakistans Punjab has larger cultivation area than Indians Punjab

    The cultivation area in the Pakistani Punjab is much higher as compared to the

    Indian Punjab. This can be observed from the following Table-3. The average

    cultivation area in Pakistani Punjab during the last five years (2005-2009) is 697

    thousand hectares, whereas the average cultivation area of Indian Punjab is only 97

    thousand hectares during the same period. This may be due to preference of

    farmers.

    TABLE 3

    Cultivation Area ofPakistani Punjab and Indian Punjab

    (000 Hectares)

    Years Pakistani Punjab Indian Punjab

    2004-05 645 86

    2005-06 625 84

    2006-07 712 99

    2007-08 827 111

    2008-09 675 105

    Average 697 97

    Source: ICMAP Research

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    Sugarcane Yield

    Sugar cane is a water intensive crop and its yield per hectare is highly sensitive to

    optimal water allocation along with appropriate weather conditions.

    Pakistan India

    Pakistan is fifth largest sugarcanegrower, but its yield is one of the

    lowest in the world. In the top ten list

    of sugar producing countries, Pakistan

    stands at 9th position after USA in

    yield.

    India is second largest sugarcanegrower and its average yield is 66-70

    tons/hectare, which is higher than

    world average of 65 tons/hectare.

    Pakistans average cane yield has

    remained between 45-50 tons /

    hectare, which is 15-20 tons less thanworlds average yeild of 65 tons /

    hecter.

    Indias cane yield is comparatively less

    than other top ten sugar producing

    countries such as Colombia, Brazil,Australia, China and Mexico.

    Pakistan is also far behind India which

    has an average yield of around 70 tons

    per hecter.

    The tropical Indian states viz. Andhra

    Pradesh, Karnataka & Tamil Nadu

    have higher sugarcane yields as

    compared to the sub-tropical regions.

    Sindh Province is the most productive

    region, as compared to Punjab in terms

    of sugar cane yield and recovery rate.

    However, in terms of aggregate

    acreage it is far behind Punjab.

    Cane yields in certain Indian states

    also vary across regions. For example,

    in Maharashtra, yields are lower in the

    Western region as compared with

    Eastern Maharashtra.

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    Sindh has better sugarcane yield than Punjab

    The agro-ecological conditions in Sindh such as longer growing season and a

    humid climate are best suited for sugar cane plantation. In general, with the

    exception of drought season, the overall average yield per hectare and recovery

    rate in Sindh has always remained higher than Punjab. Table-4 shows that average

    yield of Sindh for last five years (2005-2009) is 55.65 tons per hectare, whereas

    average yield of Punjab for the same period is only 48.20 tons per hectare which is

    7.45 tons lesser than Sindh.

    TABLE 4Sugar Cane Yields in Pakistan

    (Tons Per Hectare)

    Provinces 2004 05 2005 06 2006 07 2007- 08 2008 - 09 2009 10 Average

    Sindh 43.52 61.40 58.27 60.00 55.94 54.82 55.65

    Punjab 45.47 46.30 52.73 48.73 47.40 48.62 48.20

    N.W.F.P 45.43 41.60 47.00 45.11 44.84 42.72 44.45Balochistan 7.50 3.33 0 6.00 5.00 5.00 4.47

    Average (Pak) 44.80 49.77 52.67 51.28 49.39 48.72

    Source: ICMAP Research

    Note: Since the sugarcane acreage and production in Balochistan is very negligible,

    so we have calculated the sugarcane yield of Pakistan by dividing the total

    yield of three provinces by 3, instead of 4. By doing this, our yield matches

    with that of PSMA and other agencies. Otherwise if we divide the total yields

    of four provinces by 4, the total yield of Pakistan decreases appreciably.

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    The government agricultural policy, however, is to prioritize Sindh as a cotton-

    growing region, hence it is diverting the incentive structures away from sugar canecultivation. Similarly, the growth rate in sugarcane production in Sindh has

    exceeded Punjab in recent years. However, because of its larger area under

    sugarcane, the Punjab produces major share of national output.

    Indian States of Maharashtra and Punjab have higher sugarcane

    yields than the Pakistani Provinces of Sindh and Punjab despite

    similar land

    The Sindh Province of Pakistan is located in the same geographical and climaticregion as Maharashtra State in India. However, the sugar yield is much higher in

    Maharashtra as compared to Sindh. ICMAP research indicates that the average

    yield in Maharashtra is around 72 tons per hectare, whereas in Sindh it is only 56

    tons a difference of about 16 tons per hectare.

    Similarly, sugar cane yield in the Indian East Punjab is around 60 tons per hectare,

    whereas in our Punjab it averages 48 tons/hectare a difference of 12 tons per

    hectare. (Please see Table-5). Yields in Pakistani Punjab, remained below 40 tons /

    hectare for about 10 years and recently started rising to over 45 tons. However,

    individual farmers obtained yields of 120 tones / hectare.

    TABLE 5

    Maharashtra vs. Sindh Yield Comparison

    (Average 2005- 2009)

    PAKISTAN

    (Provinces)

    Yield INDIA

    (States)

    Yield Difference

    (tons/ht)

    Sindh 56 Maharashtra 72 16

    Punjab 48 Punjab 60 12

    Source: ICMAP Research

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    TABLE 6

    Pakistan India Yield Comparison(Tons / Hectare)

    Years India Pakistan

    2000-01 68.49 45.41

    2001-02 67.38 48.06

    2002-03 63.58 47.33

    2003-04 59.39 50.00

    2004-05 64.74 45.04

    2005-06 66.93 49.77

    2006-07 69.03 52.67

    2007-08 69.04 51.28

    2008-09 61.82 49.39

    Average 65.60 48.77

    Source: ICMAP Research

    Reasons for low yield in Pakistan

    Table-6 compares the sugarcane yields in Pakistan and India for the last 10 years.

    The Research Department studied several articles/ papers by agricultural experts

    and organizations (such as Sugar Farmer Association and Weed Science society of

    Pakistan) and came to the conclusion that low yield in Pakistan is mainly due to the

    following reasons:

    (a) Shortage of Irrigation water

    (b) Cultivation of unapproved cane varieties

    (c) High input prices

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    (d) Unavailability of inputs at required stage of cultivation

    (e) Poor crop management practices

    (f) Lack of facilities for cane research & development

    (g) Weed infestation

    (h) Conventional planting methods or late planting

    (i) Early and late harvesting

    (j) Lack of Credit facilities

    (k) Excessive rationing

    (l) Poor drainage

    On the other hand, India patronizes its sugarcane scientists by allocating to them

    adequate budget and necessary resources for research, development and crop

    management. Further it provide easy credit facilities, on time availability of

    suitable fertilizer, subsidized electricity for tube well irrigation and better

    marketing system which facilitate farmers to enhance sugarcane production and

    yield. Also, it strives hard to explore surplus sugar whenever it is economically

    feasible.

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    Sugarcane ProductionSugarcane production in both India and Pakistan has declined by 17% and 21%,

    respectively, during 2008-09 as compared to last year due to reduction in the

    cultivation area.

    Pakistan India

    Pakistans share in the total world

    production of sugarcane is around 3percent.

    Indias share in the total world

    production of sugarcane is around 19to 20 percent.

    The average sugarcane production in

    Pakistan is around 51 million tons.

    The average sugarcane production in

    India is around 288 million tons, which

    is 5.65 times more than sugarcane

    production in Pakistan.

    Punjab leads the country in cane

    production with an average of 33.68

    million tons (2005-2009). Sindh issecond with average of 13.34 million

    tons.

    Uttar Pradesh state of India leads the

    country with an average sugarcane

    production of around 125 million tons,followed by Maharashtra with 55

    million tons and Tamil Nadu 35

    million tons.

    Sugarcane production has declined by

    18.80% from 63.91 million tons in 2007-

    08 to 51.89 million tons in 2008-09. The

    main reason was shortage of irrigation

    water, shifting of area to rice crop, lessuse of DAP and non-payment of dues

    to farmers by sugar mill owners on

    time.

    The sugarcane production of Uttar

    Pradesh alone is about 2.44 times

    higher than the total production of

    Pakistan. Even Maharashtra produces

    more sugarcane than Pakistan.Sugarcane production has declined by

    20% from 340.56 million tons in 2007-

    08 to 272 million tons in 2008-09.

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    Punjab shares 65% in total sugarcane production of Pakistan

    Although Sindh leads Punjab in sugarcane yield per hectare, Punjab shares 65% in

    the total sugarcane production of Pakistan. As per Table-7 the average sugar cane

    production of Punjab during last six years (2004-2009) is 33.68 million tons, as

    compared to 13.34 million tons of Sindh and 4.66 million tons of NWFP. The

    average cane production of Pakistan is around 52 million tons.

    TABLE 7

    Sugar Cane Production in Pakistan

    (In Million Tons)

    Provinces 2004 05 2005 06 2006 07 2007- 08 2008 - 09 Average

    Sindh 9.36 11.24 12.59 18.79 14.76 13.34

    Punjab 29.33 28.97 37.54 40.30 32.29 33.68

    N.W.F.P 4.82 4.10 4.80 4.79 4.80 4.66

    Balochistan 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.04 0.02

    Total 43.54 44.32 54.93 63.91 51.89 51.72

    Source: ICMAP Research

    Maharashtra State alone produces more sugarcane than Pakistan

    The sugarcane production in both India and Pakistan have declined during 2008-09

    as compared to last year, as can be seen in Table-8. An interesting fact is that sugar

    cane production in Maharashtra State of India alone is much higher than the

    overall production of sugarcane in Pakistan. This shows the magnitude of the

    sugar industry of India.

    Table-9 indicates that the average sugarcane production in Maharashtra State is

    around 55 million tons, as against average cane production of 34 million tons of

    Punjab and only 13 million tons of Sindh.

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    TABLE 8

    Pakistan India ComparisonSugarcane Production

    (Million Tons)

    Years India Pakistan

    2000-01 295.96 43.62

    2001-02 297.21 48.04

    2002-03 281.57 52.05

    2003-04 233.84 53.802004-05 237.09 43.54

    2005-06 281.17 44.32

    2006-07 355.52 54.93

    2007-08 340.56 63.91

    2008-09 272.00 51.89

    Average 288.32 50.68

    Source: ICMAP Research

    TABLE 9

    Comparison of Indian States with Pakistan

    (Average 2005- 2009)

    (Million Tons)

    PAKISTAN

    (Provinces)

    Sugarcane

    Production

    INDIA

    (States)

    Sugarcane

    Production

    Sindh 13.34 Maharashtra 55.10

    Punjab 33.68 Punjab 5.80

    Uttar Pradesh 124.59

    Tamil Nadu 34.63

    Source: ICMAP Research

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    Sugar ProductionSugar production in both India and Pakistan has declined by 38% and 32%,

    respectively, during 2008-09 as compared to last year due to shortage of

    sugarcane.

    Pakistan India

    Pakistans share in total world

    production of sugar (157 million tonsin 2008-09) is only 2.15 percent.

    Indias share in total world production

    of sugar (157 million tons in 2008-09) is12.32 percent.

    Average sugar production in Pakistan

    during last ten years (2001 2009) is

    around 3.37 million tons.

    Average sugar production in India

    during last ten years (2001-2009) is

    around 19.34 million tons, which is

    5.74 times higher than Pakistan.

    Punjab Province leads the country in

    sugar production. During 2007-08, its

    share was 62% in the overall sugar

    production of Pakistan.

    Maharashtra State leads the country in

    sugar production. During 2007-08, its

    share was 34% in the overall sugar

    production in India.

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    TABLE 10

    Pakistan India ComparisonSugar Production

    (Million Tons)

    Years India Pakistan

    2000-01 2.47 18.51

    2001-02 3.20 18.53

    2002-03 3.65 20.14

    2003-04 4.00 14.00

    2004-05 2.92 12.70

    2005-06 2.59 19.27

    2006-07 3.52 28.30

    2007-08 4.74 26.33

    2008-09 3.20 16.30

    Average 3.37 19.34

    Source: ICMAP Research

    Total Sugar Produced in Pakistan is half of Sugar Produced in Maharashtra

    Because of huge market, the sugar produced in India is over five and half times

    greater than Pakistan. It is interesting to note that the total production of sugar in

    Pakistan is only half of the sugar produced in only one State of India, which is

    Maharashtra. Table-11 and Table-12 gives statistical picture of this fact.

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    TABLE 11

    Pakistan Sugar Production(000 Tons)

    PROVINCES 2004 05 2005 06 2006 07 2007- 08

    Sindh 754 902 1,068 1575

    Punjab 2,047 1,566 2,267 2,952

    N.W.F.P 121 119 186 226

    Balochistan 0 0 0 1

    Total Pakistan 2,922 2,587 3,521 4,754

    TABLE 12

    India Sugar Production

    (000 Tons)

    STATES 2004 05 2005 06 2006 07 2007- 08

    Maharashtra 2217 5197 9095 9065

    Uttar Pradesh 5037 5784 8475 7319

    Karnataka 1040 1943 2659 2897

    Tamil Nadu 1126 2170 2599 2191

    Other States 3271 4173 5500 4856

    Total INDIA 12,691 19,297 28,328 26,328

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    Sugar Recovery RatioSugar Recovery Ratio is an important indicator of technical efficiency of the

    Sugar Mills with regard to the conversion of raw sugarcane into sugar.

    Pakistan India

    The recovery percentage of sugar from

    cane is on a lower side as compared to

    International standard.

    The cane recovery of Indian mills is

    well over 10% and meets the world

    standard of 10.50%.The average sugar recovery in

    Pakistan is 8.79% as compared to

    world standard of over 10.50%.

    The average sugar recovery in India is

    10.34%, with recovery rate varying

    from State to State.

    Pakistan is far behind India which has

    an average sugar recovery of 10.34%

    (2001-2008)

    The period of November to March (150

    days) is an ideal one for sugar recovery

    in general, more particularly in Bihar

    and Utter Pradesh.

    Sindh Province has higher canerecovery ratio than Punjab and NWFP.

    The average cane recovery of Sindh for

    the last five years (2004-2008) is 9.45%

    as against 8.64% of Punjab and 8.03%

    of NWFP.

    The months of April, May and June arevery hot in Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and

    Punjab, leading to drying of sucrose

    content and lesser recovery.

    Sindh has better cane recovery than Punjab

    The geographical and climatic conditions in Sindh make it a naturally favorableregion for sugarcane cultivation. Like sugarcane yield, the recovery ratio of sugar

    mills in Sindh is also far better than Punjab. As per Table-13 the average sugar cane

    recovery in Sindh during last five years (2004-2008) is 9.45% as compared to only

    8.64% of Punjab and 8% of NWFP.

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    TABLE 13

    Sugar Cane Recovery in Pakistan(In Percentage)

    Provinces 2004 05 2005 06 2006 07 2007- 08 Average

    Sindh 9.53 9.83 9.14 9.33 9.45%

    Punjab 9.00 8.10 8.53 8.93 8.64%

    N.W.F.P 8.6 7.69 8.23 7.62 8.03%

    Source: ICMAP Research

    Indian States of Maharashtra and Punjab have higher cane recovery

    than the Pakistani Provinces of Sindh and Punjab

    The Sindh Province of Pakistan is located in the same geographical and climatic

    region as Maharashtra State in India. However, the sugar recovery is much higher

    in Maharashtra as compared to Sindh. ICMAP research shows (see Table-14) that

    average recovery in Maharashtra is 11.60% as against 9.45% of Sindh i.e. adifference of about 2.15%. Similarly, sugar cane yield in the Indian East Punjab is

    around 10% as compared to only 8.63% of Pakistan Punjab.

    TABLE 14

    Maharashtra vs. Sindh(Average 2005- 2008)

    PAKISTAN

    (Provinces)

    Recovery (%) INDIA

    (States)

    Recovery (%) Difference

    (%)

    Sindh 9.45% Maharashtra 11.60% 2.15%

    Punjab 8.63% Punjab 10.00% 1.37%

    Source: ICMAP Research

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    TABLE 15

    Pakistan India ComparisonSugar Recovery Ratio (%)

    Years India Pakistan

    2000-01 10.48 8.39

    2001-02 10.27 8.71

    2002-03 10.36 8.74

    2003-04 10.57 9.152004-05 10.17 9.10

    2005-06 10.21 8.60

    2006-07 10.15 8.69

    2007-08 10.56 8.98

    Average 10.34 8.79

    Source: ICMAP Research

    Reasons for low cane recovery in Pakistan

    Table-15 gives a comparative view of the sugar recovery ratios in Pakistan and

    India for the last 10 years. Indian recovery ratio has all along remained over 10%

    whereas Pakistan has never crossed 10% ratio. A study of available material

    indicates that there are a number of factors leading to low recovery rate by the

    mills, however ICMAP research concludes that there are two basic reasons:

    (a) Role of Middlemen

    The sugarcane quality is deteriorated due to time loss in its transportation

    from field to Mill-gate. It is estimated that recovery ratio reduces by 0.1% for

    each day in transit. The role of middlemen is important here who purchases

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    cane from the growers at government fixed prices and sells them at higher

    rates to millers, thus causing inordinate delay in delivery.

    Sometimes, the farmers are also willing to engage middlemen to market their

    cane to highest bidder in order to get higher price for their crops. In certain

    cases, sugarcane is transported at long distance and can be as several weeks

    old by the time it is milled.

    (b) Mill Efficiency in Juice Extraction

    Mill inefficiency in juice extraction is another reason. Juice extraction

    efficiency of the current mill stands around 90-92 per cent instead of the

    usual 98 per cent. Cane is also mixed with trash that affects the mill efficiency

    in extraction rate of sugar.

    Note: It is to be added here that the higher prices of sugarcane due to negative

    role of middlemen leads to high cost of production of sugar by mills and

    escalation of sugar prices in country.

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    CHAPTER 2

    Capacity Utilization

    of

    Sugar Mills inPakistan and India

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    1) Preamble

    There are around 81 sugar mills in Pakistan with an estimated total installed cane

    crushing capacity of 600,000 tons per day (TCD), which is equivalent to annual

    crushing capacity of 72 million tons (on the basis of 120 days crushing season in

    Pakistan). The annual sugar producing capacity (on the basis of 8.6% national

    average recovery ratio) is around 6.2 million tons, which is greater than the annual

    domestic consumption of 4 million tons. According to an estimate, the sugar mills

    have capacity to produce 6 to 7 million tons sugar annually.

    The question is why we are facing consistent sugar shortages and crisis, when ourindustry is fully capable of not only meeting the domestic demand, but also of

    producing surplus sugar for export? One of the main reasons, apart from shortage

    of sugarcane, is that the sugar industry is not fully utilizing its installed capacity.

    This Chapter analyses the reasons of low capacity utilization of sugar mills in

    Pakistan and also gives a comparative review of the capacity utilization by the

    sugar mills in India. An attempt has been made to provide historical and current

    statistics on installed and utilized capacities, not only in Pakistan and India, but

    also in other SAARC countries viz. Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Nepal.

    Before, we move forward let us have a brief look on the sugar industry dynamics

    in Pakistan and India.

    2) Industry Snapshot

    Pakistan

    2.1 The sugar industry in Pakistan is the second largest agro-industry aftertextiles.

    2.2 About 120,000 workers (skilled, semi-skilled, managerial) are directly

    associated with the sugar industry. The industry also provides indirect

    employment to around 4 million workers.

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    2.3 It accounts for 8 percent of the total value-added in the large-scale

    manufacturing industries.

    2.4 The sugar industry contributes around Rupees 15 to 20 billion annually

    towards national exchequer in shape of General Sales Tax (GST), federal,

    provincial and local taxes.

    India

    2.5 The sugar industry in India is the second largest agro-industry, after textiles.

    2.6 More than 50 million farmers and their families are dependent on sugarcane

    for their livelihood. An estimated 0.5 million workers are directly employed

    for sugar cane cultivation and harvesting.

    2.7 The Indian sugar industry generates surplus exportable energy through

    cogeneration and contributes in reducing the energy deficit that India is

    currently facing.

    2.8 The sugar industry is also the primary source of raw material for the alcohol

    industry in India.

    2.9 The annual economic contribution of the sugar industry to the exchequer

    through principal indirect taxes amounts to more than Indian Rupees 2800

    crores (equivalent to Pak Rs. 50.4 billion)

    3) Historical Progress of Industry

    Pakistan

    3.1 At Independence, there were only two small sugar mills, built in 1936-38, one

    in NWFP and other in Punjab, having total crushing capacity per day (TCD)

    of 5020 TCD, producing 8000 tons sugar.

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    3.2 During the next two decades (1950 to 1970), 16 more sugar mills were

    established. The expansion of processing capacity started in 1949 with thebuilding of the Premier Sugar Mill at NWFP. By end 1970, the TCD capacity

    of 18 sugar mills enhanced to 76,550 TCD.

    3.3 During the next two decades (1970 to 1990), 33 more units were set up, which

    raised the number of sugar mills in the country to 51, with total crushing

    capacity of 211,850 TCD.

    3.4 In 1980s, due to generally pro-business policy environment, liberal

    sanctioning and credit regime, private investment flowed into the industry.Major growth in capacities was witnessed in late 1980's and early 1990's,

    when the government opened up industrial sector for private investment.

    3.5 By the year 2004, 25 more units were established, enhancing the number of

    sugar mills to 76, with total crushing capacity of 355,150 TCD. In 1998, the

    government introduced a three-year ban on construction of new sugar mills

    in the country. As a result, further mills were not established.

    3.6 At present, there are around 80 sugar mills in the country with the totalproduction capacity of around 6 to 7 million tons of sugar.

    India

    3.7 Indians knew the art of making sugar since the fourth century. However by

    1920s scientific sugar processing by vacuum pan method started but initially

    the development was slow. Country met its sugar requirement through

    imports. In mid 20s number of sugar mills sprang up in UP and Bihar.

    3.8 The advent of modern sugar processing industry in India began in 1930 with

    grant of tariff protection. During 1930-31 there were 30 sugar mills in India

    with capacity of producing 120,000 tons sugar. These mills faced competition

    from Japanese sugar, which was ruling Indian market.

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    3.9 Sugar production picked up under the Sugar Industry Protection Act of 1932

    and within five years i.e. by 1935-36, the country became self-sufficient in1935. The number of sugar mills increased to 135 with total production

    capacity of 934,000 tons of sugar. The private sector was quite instrumental

    in this rapid growth of the sugar industry.

    3.10 The era of planning for industrial development began in 1950-51 and

    Government laid down targets of sugar production and consumption,

    licensed and installed capacity, sugarcane production during each of the Five

    Year Plan periods.

    3.11 At present, there are around 626 sugar mills in India with total production

    capacity of more than 25 million tons of sugar. Out of these 626, only 589 are

    operational and rest are sick units.

    4) Scale and Size of Industry

    Pakistan

    4.1 Sugar industry in Pakistan is mostly located in Punjab and Sindh Provinces,with few mills located in the NWFP. Previously, Punjab was partly

    dependent on supply of sugar from Sindh, but later it became self-sufficient

    in sugar production with the establishment of large-scale sugar plants.

    4.2 ICMAP research shows that out of total 81 sugar mills in Pakistan, 72 mills

    (89%) are located in Punjab (49%) and Sindh (40%). Furthermore, 37 out of 81

    (i.e. 46%) sugar mills are in the Listed sector, whereas 44 (54%) are in Non-

    Listed sector. Table-1 gives province-wise number of mills:

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    TABLE 1

    Pakistan - Number of Sugar Mills in Provinces

    Province Listed Non-Listed Total Share in Total

    Sindh 17 15 32 40%

    Punjab 16 24 40 49%

    N.W.F.P 04 05 09 11%

    Total 37 44 81 100%

    ICMAP Research

    4.3 Out of 40 sugar mills in Punjab, 40% are Listed and 60% Non-listed. In Sindh,

    out of 32 mills, 53% are Listed and 47% Non-listed. NWFP has 9 sugar mills,

    out of which 4 are Listed and 5 Non-listed.

    4.4 The sugar industry is Pakistan is pre-dominantly owned by the private

    sector, mostly in hands of influential families, having political connections.

    India

    4.5 About half of the total sugar mills of India are located in its two major States

    viz. Maharashtra and Uttar Pradesh (UP). Until 1950s, the sugar industry

    was almost confined to the states of UP and Bihar. In early 1960s the industry

    dispersed into South India, West India and Northern parts.

    4.6 ICMAP research shows that out of 624 installed sugar mills in India, 245 mills

    i.e. 39% are in Private sector, 62 (10%) are in Public sector and 317 mills i.e.

    51% in cooperative sector. (Table-2)

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    TABLE 2

    India - Number of Sugar Mills in States

    Sector Number of Mills Share in Total

    Private 245 39%

    Public 62 10%

    Cooperatives 317 51%

    Total 624 100%

    4.7 Unlike Pakistans privately owned sugar industry, the ownership structure

    is much more diverse in India. The Indian sugar industry is marked by co-

    existence of different ownership and management structures. At one

    extreme, there are privately owned sugar mills that procure sugarcane from

    nearby cane growers, and at the other there are Cooperative factories, which

    are owned by farmers and managed by government. There are state owned

    cooperative mills as well.

    4.8 ICMAP research indicates (please see Table-3) that Private sectordominates the Cooperatives in the Indian states of UP, Andhra Pradesh,

    Tamil Nadu, Karnataka and Bihar. However, in the states of Mahrashtra,

    Gujrat, Punjab and Haryana, the Cooperatives dominate in number over

    private. If sick units are excluded, there are 582 functional sugar mills in

    India as per official data.

    4.9 The size of Indian sugar sector, both in terms of sugarcane and sugar

    production, is far larger than Pakistan. ICMAP research shows that

    Pakistans total sugar industry comprising 81 mills, is far smaller innumber than each of the two Indian States i.e. Mahrashtra (having 195

    sugar mills) and UP (154 sugar mills).

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    TABLE 3

    State-wise Number of Sugar Mills in IndiaNo. State Public Private Cooperative Total

    1. Maharashtra 0 30 165 195

    2. Uttar Pradesh (UP) 33 94 28 154

    3. Karnataka 3 31 23 57

    4. Andhra Pradesh 1 27 15 43

    5. Tamil Nadu 3 21 16 40

    6. Punjab & Haryana 0 10 28 38

    7. Bihar 15 13 0 28

    8. Gujarat 0 1 22 23

    9. Madhya Pradesh 2 5 5 12

    10. Uttrakhand 2 4 4 10

    11. Orrisa 0 4 4 8

    12. Assam 0 1 2 3

    13. Rajasthan 1 1 1 3

    14. Kerala 0 1 1 2

    15. Pondicherry 0 1 1 2

    16 West Bengal 1 1 0 2

    17. Chhattisgarh 0 0 1 1

    18. Goa 0 0 1 119. Nagaland 1 0 0 1

    All India 62 245 317 624

    ICMAP Research

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    4.10 It is understood from our analysis that the increased share of public andsemi-public sector companies (cooperatives) in India is due to the fact that

    sick or bankrupt units are kept afloat through continued lending frompublic sector banks and state government subsidies. However, the numberof private sugar mills is increasing in different Indian states.

    4.11 ICMAP research shows (Pls. See Table-4) that the States of Maharashtra andUP alone constitute 56% of the total sugar mills in India and if KarnatakaState is also included, the share reaches 65 percent. This means that thesethree States are critical to the Indian sugar industry.

    TABLE 4

    Top 10 States and their Shares inTotal Number of Sugar Mills in India

    No. State Public Private Cooperative Total Share (%)

    1.. Maharashtra 0 30 165 195 31.25

    2. Uttar Pradesh (UP) 33 94 28 154 24.68

    3. Karnataka* 3 31 23 57 9.13

    4. Andhra Pradesh 1 27 15 43 6.905. Tamil Nadu** 3 21 16 40 6.41

    6. Punjab & Haryana 0 10 28 38 6.09

    7. Bihar 15 13 0 28 4.49

    8. Gujarat 0 1 22 23 3.68

    9. Madhya Pradesh 2 5 5 12 1.92

    10. Uttrakhand 2 4 4 10 1.60

    Total All India 62 245 317 624 96.15%

    ICMAP Research

    * Mysore State was renamed as Karnataka in 1973

    ** Madras State was renamed as Tamil Nadu in 1968

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    5) Size of Sugar Plants

    Pakistan

    5.1 ICMAP study reveals interesting facts about the sugar size plants and their

    share in the small, medium and large-scale segments of the sugar industry in

    both India and Pakistan. A break-up of Province-wise and crushing

    capacity-wise of sugar mills in Pakistan is given in Table-5 below:

    TABLE 5

    Break-up of Province-wise and Capacity-wiseNumber of Sugar Mills in Pakistan

    Size of Plant Sindh Punjab NWFP Total Share

    (%)

    SMALL-SIZE SEGMENT

    Below 1500 TCD Nil 01 01 02 2.5%

    1501 TCD to 3500 TCD 07 04 02 13 16.0%

    3501 TCD to 5500 TCD 15 06 02 23 28.4%

    47%

    MID-SIZE SEGMENT

    5501 TCD to 7500 TCD 07 09 Nil 16 19.8%

    7501 TCD to 9500 TCD 03 12 02 17 21.0%

    41%

    LARGE-SIZE SEGMENT

    9501 TCD & above Nil 08 02 10 12%

    TOTAL ALL INDIA 32 40 09 81 100%

    ICMAP Research

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    5.2 As per our study, the installed capacities of Pakistani sugar mills are evenly

    distributed between small-sized and medium-sized segments with 47% and41% shares, respectively. The small-size segment has been classified into

    sugar mills having capacity below 1500 TCD to 5500 TCD, whereas the

    medium-size segment is considered in the range between 5501 TCD to 9500

    TCD.

    5.3 This capacity distribution of sugar mills in Pakistan is quite in contrast

    with the Indian sugar Industry, where about 88% of the sugar mills are in

    the Small-sized segment with capacities ranging between 2500 TCD to

    5000 TCD (Please refer to ICMAP Analysis in Table-7, under the head

    India of Section 5 of this chapter.)

    5.4 The study further reveals (Table-6) that the highest number of Small-size

    sugar plants are in Sindh Province i.e. about 27%, followed by 14% in Punjab

    and 6% in NWFP. Similarly, the highest number of Medium-size sugar

    mills are located in Punjab with 26% share. Sindh is second with 12%followed by NWFP with only 2.5%. Punjab leads in Large-scale sugar

    plants with 10%. It is quite interesting that there is no sugar mill in Sindh

    with capacity of above 9500 TCD.

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    TABLE 6

    Break-up of Capacity-wise Number ofListed and Non-listed Sugar Mills in Pakistan

    Provinces Small-size

    (1500 to 5500

    TCD)

    Medium-size

    5501 to 9500

    TCD)

    Large-size

    (9500 TCD

    & above)

    Total Share

    (%)

    SINDH

    LISTED 08 09 Nil 17 21.0%

    NON-LISTED 14 01 Nil 15 18.5%

    (27%) (12%) (0%) 39%

    PUNJAB

    LISTED 05 08 03 16 19.8%

    NON-LISTED 06 13 05 24 29.6%

    (14%) (26%) (10%) 50%

    NWFP

    LISTED 02 01 01 04 4.9%

    NON-LISTED 03 01 01 05 6.2%

    (6%) (2.5%) (2.5%) 11%

    TOTAL 38 33 10 81 100%

    ICMAP Research

    Listed (Small-size) = 08 (Sindh) + 05 (Punjab) + 02 (NWFP) = 15/81 = 18.5%

    Listed (Medium-size) = 09 (Sindh) + 08 (Punjab) + 01 (NWFP) = 18/81 = 22.2%

    Listed (Large-size) = 00 (Sindh) + 03 (Punjab) + 01 (NWFP) = 04/81 = 5.0%

    Non-Listed (Small-size) = 14 (Sindh) + 06 (Punjab) + 03 (NWFP) = 23 /81 = 28.4%

    Non-Listed (Medium-size) = 01 (Sindh) + 13 (Punjab) + 01 (NWFP) = 15 /81 = 18.5%

    Non-Listed (Large-size) = 00 (Sindh) + 05 (Punjab) + 01 (NWFP) = 06 /81 = 7.4%

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    5.5 ICMAP research indicates that Non-Listed sugar mills dominate with

    28.4% share in the Small-size segment, whereas Listed sector has shareof 18.5%. The position in the Medium-size segment is reversed with

    Listed sugar mills on top with 22.2% as against 18.5% of Non-listed

    sector. In the Large-size segment, Non-Listed sector again takes lead

    with 7.4% as compared to only 5% of the Listed sector. (Please see Table-7).

    TABLE 7

    Share of Listed and Non-Listed Sugar Mills inSmall, Medium and Large Scale Segments

    Size of Plant Listed Non-Listed Total

    SMALL-SIZE SEGMENT 18.5% 28.4% 47%

    MEDIUM-SIZE SEGMENT 22.2% 18.5% 41%

    LARGE-SIZE SEGMENT 5.0% 7.4% 12%

    TOTAL ALL SEGMENTS 46% 54% 100%

    5.6 The study reveals that Pakistan is well ahead of India in the Large-scale

    segment, with 12% share in its overall sugar industry, as compared to only

    1.4% of large sugar plants in India. This is further discussed at length in the

    following paragraphs.

    India

    5.7 In 1993, the Indian Government stipulated 1250 TCD capacity as the

    minimum size for licensing new sugar mills. This was because of the fact that

    about 70% of sugar mills were having capacity in the range between l250

    TCD to 2500, and 15% sugar factories had capacity below l250 TCD.

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    5.8 After de-licensing in 1998, the entrepreneurs were allowed to set up sugar

    factories with focus on larger integrated plants to secure economies of scale.However, they were required to maintain a radial distance of 15 kms from

    the existing sugar factory.

    5.9 Incentives were provided by the government for setting up fresh capacities,

    instead of expanding the existing capacities. This resulted in creation of a

    fragmented supply base in India, with an average installed capacity of 2500

    TCD, which is far lower than world minimum economic size of 10,000 TCD.

    Later, the average plant size in India increased to around 3,500 TCD.

    5.10 The new sugar mills in India are presently set-up with an initial installed

    capacity of 5,000 TCD, with capacity expandable upto 7,500 to 10,000 TCD or

    above. However, cane availability is the limiting factor behind increasing

    plant sizes.

    5.11 ICMAP research shows that around 88% of sugar factories in India are in the

    Small-size Segment with crushing capacity in the range between 2500

    TCD to 5000 TCD. Majority of them i.e. 297 factories, (51% share) are in the

    cooperative sector, alone. Moreover, 64 out of 582 sugar mills are in theMedium-size Segment with 11% share and only 8 sugar factories are in

    Large-scale with only 1.4% share. Table-8 shows a break-up of sector-

    wise and crushing capacity wise number of functional sugar factories in

    India (Official quote is 624 sugar mills including sick units).

    A large small-size segment of 88% points towards the fact that the Indian sugar

    industry need modernization/rehabilitation and expansion of capacities. It is

    needless to state that sugar factories having higher capacities enjoy economies of

    scale, which lowers their cost of production, thus improving their viability and

    international competitiveness.

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    TABLE 8

    Break-up of Sector-wise and Capacity-wiseNumber of Functional Sugar Factories in India

    Size of Plant Private Co-operative Public Total Share (%)

    SMALL-SIZE SEGMENT

    2500 TCD 53 131 44 228 39.2%

    2501 TCD to 5000 TCD 99 166 17 282 48.5%

    88%

    MID-SIZE SEGMENT

    5001 TCD to 10,000 TCD 43 20 1 64 11%

    LARGE-SIZE SEGMENT

    10,000 TCD & above 8 8 1.4%

    TOTAL ALL INDIA 203 317 62 582 100%

    Source: 11thFive-Year Plan of India & ICMAP Research

    5.12 It is further observed from Table-8 that around 75% private, 94%

    Cooperatives and 98% Public sugar factories are in the small-size segment.

    Moreover, all the eight large-scale sugar mills in India have been established

    by the Private sector.

    5.13 Sugar plant size is the main criteria for determining productivity and

    viability of sugar industry. However, majority of the Indian sugar factories,

    especially the Cooperatives, are having small plant sizes with outdated

    machineries and technology. They need modernization and upgradation.

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    6) Installed Crushing Capacity of Sugar Mills

    Pakistan

    6.1 At independence in 1947, the country had only two small sugar mills withtotal cane crushing capacity per day of 5020 TCD, producing around 8000tons of sugar. Please see Table-9.

    6.2 ICMAP research shows that during the next two decades i.e. 1970 and 1980,there was phenomenal increase in installed capacity i.e. 263% between 1950 -1960 and 320% between 1960 - 1970. The number of sugar mills increased to18 with total installed capacity of 18220 TCD.

    6.3 Major growth in capacities was witnessed in late 1980s and early 1990s whenthe industrial sector was opened for private investment. By 1990, the numberof sugar mills increased to 51 with total estimated capacity of 211,850 TCD.By the year 2000, there was further raise in the capacity to 355,150 TCD withsetting up of 25 more new sugar mills.

    TABLE 9

    Installed Cane Crushing Capacity of

    Pakistani Sugar Mills (1950 to 2009)Year Total Number

    of Mills

    Crushing Capacity

    Per Day (TCD)

    % Share increase in

    Capacity after every 10 years

    By 1950 2 5,020

    By 1960 6 18,220 263%

    By 1970 18 76,550 320%

    By 1980 33 125,950 65%

    By 1990 51 211,850 68%By 2000 76 355,150 68%

    By 2004 76 501,400 41%

    By 2009 81 549,900 10%

    Source: ICMAP Research

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    TABLE 10

    Installed Annual Sugar Production Capacity ofPakistani Sugar Mills (1950 to 2009)

    Year Total No. of

    Operational Mills

    Sugar Production

    Capacity (Tons)

    % Share increase

    In Capacity after

    every 10 years

    By 1950 2

    By 1960 6

    By 1970 18 710,996

    By 1980 33 1,420,716 100%

    By 1990 51 2,267,642 60%

    By 2000 76 3,550,079 57%

    By 2004 76 5,505,372 55%

    By 2009 81 6,235,866 13%

    Source: ICMAP Research

    6.4 ICMAP study reveals that the sugar production capacity has also increased

    by 100% during period from 1970 to 1980 (see Table-10). By 1970, the annual

    sugar capacity stood at 710,996 Tons, which increased by 100% to 1,420,716

    tons by end 1980s. From 1980-1990, capacity enhanced by 60%; from 1990-

    2000 it further raised by 57% and during period 2000-2009 the capacity

    increased by 68%, reaching around 6.2 million tons.

    6.5 The total installed daily crushing capacity (TCD) of 80 sugar mills in Pakistanin 2008-2009 was 549,900 Tons, which is equal to annual capacity of around

    66 million tons (549,900 x 120 days). Table-5 shows that Punjab has the

    highest share of 60 percent in the total crushing capacity of Pakistan. Sindh

    and NWFP have the share of 32% and 8% respectively.

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    TABLE 11

    Province-wise Installed Capacity (TCD)(2008-2009)

    (Value in Tons)

    PROVINCE INSTALLED CAPACITY SHARE IN TOTAL

    SINDH 173,200 32%

    PUNJAB 330,100 60%

    N.W.F.P 46,600 8%

    TOTAL 549,900 100%

    Source: Pakistan Sugar Mills Association & ICMAP Research

    6.6 The break-up of installed capacity (TCD) by Listed and Non-listed sugar

    mills is given in Table-8. It can be noted that the Listed sugar mills share 47

    percent of total installed capacity in Pakistan, whereas the Non-listed

    sector has a share of 53 percent.

    TABLE 12Break-Up of Installed Capacity (TCD) by

    Listed and Non-Listed Sugar Mills(Value in Tons)

    Province Listed Non-Listed Total Share of

    Listed

    Share of

    Non-Listed

    Sindh 106,200 67,000 173,200 19% 12%

    Punjab 130,500 199,600 330,100 24% 36%

    N.W.F.P 22,700 23,900 46,600 04% 5%

    TOTAL 259,400 290,500 549,900 47% 53%

    Source: ICMAP Research

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    6.7 ICMAP research shows that Listed sector is more prominent in Sindh

    Province with 19% share in total installed capacity, as against Punjab with12% share. On the other hand, Non-Listed sector is dominant in number in

    Punjab Province with 36% share, as compared to 24% of Sindh.

    6.8 The sugar industry was on the list of specified industries, requiring prior

    approval of government before installation or any expansion in installed

    capacity. This requirement was done away with in 1987, after which new

    units were established at much faster rate (The number of sugar mills

    increased from 41 to 76 during 1985 to 2000). Accordingly, installed capacity

    increased manifold.

    India

    6.9 ICMAP research indicates that the installed sugar production capacity in

    India shows phenomenal double-digit growth in each decade from 1950 to

    2000 i.e. 47% (1950-1960), 35% (1960-1970), 79% (1970-1980), 67% (1980-1990)and 64% (1990-2000). The installed capacity increased from 1.67 million tons

    in 1950s to 16.18 million tons in 2000. (Please refer Table13)

    6.10 The installed sugar capacity in 2008-2009 stands at around 23.9 million tons,

    showing 5% increase from last year. During 2005-2009, the capacity

    increased in range of 4% to 8%.

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    TABLE 13

    Installed Annual Sugar Production Capacity ofIndian Sugar Mills (1950 to 2009)

    Year Total No. of

    Operational Mills

    Sugar Production

    Capacity (Tons)

    % Share increase

    In Capacity after

    every 10 years

    By 1950 139 1,670,000

    By 1960 174 2,450,000 47%

    By 1970 220 3,303,000 35%

    By 1980 299 5,910,000 79%

    By 1990 377 9,850,000 67%

    By 2000 423 16,180,000 64%

    By 2005 400 18,985,000 17%

    2005-06 453 19,808,000 4%

    2006-07 501 21,392,000 8%

    2007-08 516 22,480,000 5%

    2008-09 582 23,900,000 6%

    Source: ICMAP Research

    6.11 A State-wise break-up of installed sugar capacity is given in Table-14.

    ICMAP research shows that the highest increase in capacity during last five

    years (2005-2009) is in the State of Uttar Pradesh i.e. around 62%, which ismainly due to presence of highest number of private sugar mills. In UP there

    are total 154 sugar mills, out of which 94 mills (61%) are in private sector. The

    situation is different in Maharashtra and other states where cooperatives are

    more dominant.

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    TABLE 14

    State-wise Break-up of InstalledSugar Capacity (Tons) in India

    No State 2005- 06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 %

    Increase

    2005-2009

    1.. Maharashtra 7,009,000 7,052,000 7,161,000 7,220,000 3%

    2. Uttar

    Pradesh (UP)

    5,234,000 6,542,000 7,326,000 8,470,000 62%

    3. South India 3,986,000 4,211,000 4,395,000 4,600,000 15%

    4. Punjab &

    Haryana

    1,220,000 1,220,000 1,220,000 1,220,000 Nil

    5. Other States 2,359,000 2,367,000 2,378,000 2,390,000 1.3%

    ALL INDIA 19,808,000 21,392,000 22,480,000 23,900,000

    Source: ICMAP Research

    7) Capacity Utilization of Sugar Mills

    Pakistan

    7.1 The sugar industry in Pakistan is presently working at 50% capacity, with

    capacity utilization rate at around 51.4% during 2008-2009, showing a

    decline of 28.6% from last year (see Table-15).

    ICMAP research shows that main reason for this sharp decline in capacityutilization is around 21.7% shortfall in the sugarcane production in the country

    i.e. from 64 million tons in 2007-08 to 50 million tons in 2008-09. This attributes

    to about 17% decline in cane cultivation area from 1.24 million hectares (07/08) to

    1.03 million hectares (08/09).

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    TABLE 15

    Capacity Utilization of Pakistani Sugar Mills(2004 to 2009)

    Year Installed

    Crushing

    Capacity (TCD)

    Utilized Capacity

    (Cane Crushed)

    (TCD)

    Capacity

    Utilization (%)

    2008-09 549,900 282,716 51.4%

    2007-08 549,900 439,808 80.0%

    2006-07 549,900 337,366 61.4%

    2005-06 541,900 250,755 46.3%

    2004-05 493,400 267,515 54.2%

    Source: ICMAP Research

    7.2 Table-16 indicates that the year 2007-08 was a peak year for the sugar

    industry, with sugar mills in both Sindh and Punjab provinces achieving

    more than 80% capacity utilization. Sindh improved from 56% in 2006-07 to

    81% in 2007-08, and Punjab 67% to 84% during same period. During 2008-09the capacity utilization has come down sharply to around 50 percent.

    TABLE 16

    Province-wise Capacity Utilization of

    Pakistani Sugar Mills during 2007-08

    Province Installed

    Capacity

    (TCD)

    Utilized

    Capacity

    (TCD)

    Utilization

    (%) in 2007-

    2008

    Utilization

    (%) in 2006-

    2007SINDH 173,200 139,475 81% 56%

    PUNJAB 330,100 275,530 84% 67%

    NWFP 46,600 24,803 53% 40%

    Source: ICMAP Research

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    7.3 ICMAP research indicates that basic reason for capacity under-utilization is

    due to the fact that during last decade there has been unplanned expansion ofsugar industry without corresponding increase in the raw material

    (sugarcane). The cost of production has also increased considerably.

    7.4 The new mills established in haste are in the capacity range of 3000 TCD to

    4000 TCD, which according to experts are uneconomical and against the

    principles of economies of scale. The trend in the world is to establish mills in

    capacity range from 10,000 TCD to 20,000 TCD through vertical expansion,

    as compared to standard capacity of 4000 TCD in Pakistan.

    7.5 In order to improve capacity utilization, there is immediate need to

    accelerate sugarcane production by 4% to 5% annually, so that the sugar

    mills in the country have sufficient cane available for crushing, thus leading

    to optimum utilization of capacity.

    7.6 ICMAP study points that the Millers are not in favor of current de-zoning

    system, which has given free hand to farmers to sell their inferior quality

    sugarcane to any mill. This has resulted in un-competitiveness and un-

    profitability of the sugar mills.

    India

    7.7 The capacity utilization of India sugar industry during 20082009 stood at

    63%, which shows a marked decline from 117% of last year (see Table-17).

    ICMAP research shows that main reason for this sharp decline in capacity

    utilization of Indian sugar mills is due to 17% shortfall in the sugarcane

    production in the country i.e. from 348 million tons in 2007-08 to 289 milliontons in 2008-09. This attributes to about 12% decline in cane cultivation area

    from 5 million hectares to 4.4 million hectares.

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    TABLE 17

    Capacity Utilization of Indian Sugar Mills(2004 to 2009)

    (Value in 000 Tons)

    Year Installed

    Capacity (Tons)

    Utilized Capacity

    (Tons)

    Capacity

    Utilization (%)

    2008-09 23,900 15,000 63%

    2007-08 22,480 26,328 117%

    2006-07 21,392 28,328 132%

    2005-06 19,808 19,267 97%

    2004-05 18,985 12,691 67%

    Source: ICMAP Research

    7.8 The main reason for under capacity utilization is shortage of raw material

    and high fluctuations in cane area under the command. The Indian sugar

    industry is of the view that the government should increase the radial

    distance between sugar mills from present 15K.m. to 25K.m.

    7.9 The capacity utilization of sugar mills in different states of India is given in

    Table-18. It can be noted that there was a very sharp decline in capacity

    utilization in all the states, which is mainly due to steep fall in sugar

    production from 26 million tons in 2007-08 to 15 million tons in 2008-09.

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    TABLE 18

    State-wise Capacity Utilization (%) ofIndian Sugar Mills (2005 to 2009)

    No. Indian States 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09

    1 Maharashtra 74% 129% 127% 62%

    2. Uttar Pradesh 111% 130% 100% 48%

    3. Karnataka 126% 157% 164% 102%

    4. Tamil Nadu 141% 165% 129% 106%

    5. Gujarat 109% 132% 127% 93%

    6. Andhra Pradesh 136% 180% 143% 75%

    7. Punjab 49% 71% 78% 44%

    Source: ICMAP Research

    7.10 ICMAP research shows that highest shortfall of 68% in capacity utilization

    during 2008-09 was witnessed in the Andhra Pradesh State, followed by

    Maharashtra 65%, Karnataka 62%, UP 52%, Gujarat and Punjab 34% eachand Tamil Nadu 23%. The sugar production also fell sharply.

    7.11 Despite the shortfall in capacity utilization, the sugar mills in Karnataka and

    Tamil Nadu States managed to operate above 100% capacity, which is far

    better than UP State where the situation seemed not good for sugar industry

    with only 48% capacity utilization. The sugar production in UP State fell

    sharply from 7.32 million tons in 2007-08 to 4.10 million tons in 2008-09.

    ICMAP research shows that the year 2008-09 was not a good year for both

    Pakistan and India with marked decline in capacity utilization from last year i.e.

    for Pakistan, capacity utilization fell from 81% to 51% whereas for India it

    reduced from 117% to 63%. The main reason behind this is attributed to

    shortages in supply of sugarcane.

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    7) Increasing Number of Sick Sugar Mills in India

    7.1 According to official Indian estimates, during 2008-09, as many as 206 sugar

    mills across India are sick, with two major producing states of Maharastra

    and Uttar Pradesh accounting for over half of them. Out of these mills, 61 are

    private whereas 145 belong to the co-operative sector. The State-wise break-

    up of the sick sugar mills in India is given in Table-19.

    TABLE 19

    State-wise Number of Sick Sugar Mills in India

    (2008-09)

    No State Sick Units

    1. Maharashtra 63

    2. Uttar Pradesh (UP) 44

    3. Tamil Nadu 23

    4. Karnataka 22

    5. Other States 54

    Total Sick Units 206

    ICMAP Research

    7.2 ICMAP study reveals that there is rapid tendency of sickness in the Indian

    sugar mills, especially those in the Cooperative sector. It can be observed

    from Table 20 below that there were only 38 sick sugar units during 2002-03, which sharply raised to 144 in 2003-04.

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    TABLE 20

    Year-wise Detail of Sick Sugar Mills in India

    States 2002 - 03 2003 - 04 2004 - 05 2005 - 06 2006 - 07 2007 - 08

    Uttar

    Pradesh

    03 19 16 16 14 23

    Maharastra 12 49 89 47 25 24

    Punjab &

    Haryana

    0 01 05 05 08 08

    South India 10 33 26 22 19 20

    Other States 13 42 39 41 39 38

    Total 38 144 175 131 105 113

    7.3 The share of sick units in the total established sugar mills (total 624 as per

    official figure) comes to around 33% which is quite high. The main reasons

    for the closure/sickness of these mills are :

    (a) Non-availability of adequate raw material (sugar cane)

    (b) Poor recovery from sugarcane

    (c) Un-economic size of sugar plants

    (d) Lack of modernization of Plants

    (e) High cost of working capital

    (f) Declaration of high state advisory cane price by some states

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    7.4 According to KPMG study (2009) the chronic reasons for sickness of Indian

    sugar mills are:

    (a) Shortage in sugarcane supply

    (b) Obsolete technologies

    (c) Low capacity utilization

    (d) High cost of production

    (e) Poor financial performance

    (f) Discriminatory government policies

    7.5 According to an Indian study, high proportion of sick units in cooperative

    sector, may be due to highly regulated environment and lack of profit

    motive. Private sector is better placed in taking advantage of multiple

    outputs like generation of electricity, bio-diesel etc due to their large size.

    7.6 The cooperative sugar mills do not opt for power co-generation due to non-availability of adequate finance, while the private sector units have access to

    cheaper source of funds.

    7.7 At end-2009, the Maharashtra government started liquidating 31 cooperative

    sugar factories and also framed a lease policy for sick units. According to

    latest news, it is studying the UP model of selling loss making sugar

    cooperative mills to private sector (UP has offered to sell or transfer the

    management of 25 loss-making co-operative mills to private sector)

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    CHAPTER 3

    Sugar Industry inOther SAARC Countries

    BangladeshNepal

    Sri Lanka

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    Bangladesh

    1.1 Bangladesh has no private crushing mills. All the sugar mills are in public

    sector and under the control of Bangladesh Sugar & Food Industries

    Corporation (BSFIC). From 1972-73 to 2008-2009, BSFIC has contributedabout Taka 2.9 million to national exchequer in the form of duties and taxes.

    1.2 Around 5 million people are directly or indirectly benefited by the sugar

    industry in Bangladesh through cane cultivation, employment in by-product

    based industries and trade & commerce. In addition, 12,633 officers, staff and

    workers are employed under BSFIC.

    1.3 There are 15 operating sugar mills in Bangladesh (Table-1) with total

    installed sugar production capacity of 21,044 tons per day.

    1.4 Before 1947, there were only three sugar mills in Bangladesh with total cane

    crushing capacity of 3,900 TCD. When Bangladesh was part of Pakistan (East

    Pakistan), 9 more sugar mills were established during period 1954 to 1970,

    raising the crushing capacity to 13,128 TCD. After Bangladeshs

    independence in 1971, three more units were set up, which enhanced the

    crushing capacity of Bangladesh sugar industry to present level of 21,044

    TCD or 2.63 million tons annually.

    1.5 The crushing capacity utilization of fifteen sugar mills of Bangladesh has

    been quite steady and it remained over 70% during the period 2005 to 2008,

    as shown in Table-2.

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    TABLE 1

    Installed Cane Crushing Capacity ofSugar Mills in Bangladesh (19472009)

    Name of

    Sugar Mills

    Year of

    Establishment

    Cane Crushing

    capacity (TCD)

    Before Pakistan Era (1947)

    1. North Bengal Sugar mill

    2. Setabgonj Sugar mill

    3. Carew & Co.

    1933

    1933

    1938

    1500

    1250

    1150Total Crushing Capacity 3,900

    Pakistan Regime (1947-1971)

    4. Rangpur Sugar mill

    5. Thakurgaon Sugar mill

    6. Zealbangla Sugar mill

    7. Jaypurhat Sugar mill

    8. Rajshahi Sugar mill

    9. Kushtia Sugar mill10. Mobarakgonj Sugar mill

    11. Shampur Sugar mill

    12. Panchagar Sugar mill

    1954

    1958

    1958

    1962

    1965

    19651967

    1967

    1970

    1500

    1524

    1016

    2032

    2000

    15241500

    1016

    1016

    Total Crushing Capacity 13,128

    Independent Bangladesh (1971 -2009)

    12. Faridpur Sugar mill

    13. Nator Sugar mill

    14. Pabna Sugar mill

    1976

    1984

    1996

    1016

    1500

    1500

    Total Crushing Capacity 4,016

    Total Cane Crushing Capacity 21,044

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    TABLE 2

    Crushing Capacity Utilization ofBangladeshi Sugar Mills (2004 to 2008)

    Year Installed Crushing

    Capacity (TCD)

    Utilized Capacity

    (TCD)

    Capacity

    Utilization (%)

    2007-08 21,044 18,300 87%

    2006-07 21,044 18,680 89%

    2005-06 21,044 14,825 70%

    2004-05 21,044 11,316 54%

    Source: ICMAP Research

    1.6 The total sugar production capacity of Bangladesh sugar industry at present

    is around 210,440 tons per annum base