VIRTUALIZATION 2020:THE FUTURE OF VIRTUALIZATION

Dan Stolts, MCT, MCITP, MCSE, TS...Sr. IT Pro Evangelist - Microsoft President – Bay State TechnologyCommunity Volunteer - Manydstolts@microsoft.comhttp://blogs.technet.com/DanStolts

www.VirtG.com

Paul ThurrottTechnology Analyst - Penton MediaEditor - SuperSite for Windowsthurrott@gmail.comhttp://www.winsupersite.com

Disclaimer

This presentation and the content presented by speakers is the presenters opinion. It is NOT the opinion of their employers. It is not based on futures discussions

with any particular vendors. It is NOT Guaranteed

Crystal Ball Stuff!

Overview – Full Agenda! Past and Future Decade Server Virtualization Storage Virtualization Presentation Virtualization Application Virtualization Desktop Virtualization IP Infrastructure Cloud Computing Management-Virtual and Physical Combined Security Innovation

The Last DecadeWindows 2000 (2/2000)Terminal Services & Remote DesktopGo Mainstream

MSFT Virtual Server (9/2004)

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Atom Processor Netbooks(2008)

VDI Virtual Desktop Infrastructure (2009)

Intel Core 2 ProcessorsQUAD Core (7/2006)

Intel Leaks x64 (2/2004Toyota

HybridCar

Virtual PC (8/2003)

Bluetooth (2002)

3G MobileNetwork(9/2004)

YouTube(2005)

ApplicationVirtualization(2006)

MSFT Hyper-V(9/2004)

MSFT SCVMMVirtualizationManagementTwitter

2006

MSFT Windows 2008 R2(10/2009)

AMDAMD64 (4/2003)VMWare

ESX Server

The Next Decade The Role of IT Changes…Specialization! Data Explosion Continues! Information when and where you want it Speech, Gestures, Handwriting Advertisements Everywhere! Virtualization extends to the consumer Fast Internet will become an Ultra-Fast Network Wireless Everywhere… Free Public Network Mobile devices grow up! Security – Cat and Mouse Game Continues Hackers

Win. New Technologies will be created that we cannot

even dream of today!

Server Virtualization

Mainstream for all (small, med, large) Mega Data Centers Online Services Will Dominate Complexity Get Worse Hardware Capabilities Grow More Players In The Space

Leaders Change… Competition breads Innovation

Moving Up or Down The Stack? Management: A Whole New World! (more later)

Storage

Major Investments in Technical Advances? Complex Today, Simple Tomorrow

Tiering of data to manage cost Where is the data? It could be anywhere! Organize and “Easily” Manage Centrally

Who Owns it? Storage as Dynamic as Servers are today Massive “Dead” Data (in the cloud) High Definition Media / Large Data

Desktop Virtualization

Terminal Services / Presentation Virtualization … Will change thinking

Bring the OS to the client or Take the Client to the OS? BOTH?

Prices fall, functionality skyrockets The very Old is New AGAIN

Mainframe->Client Server->Terminal Server-> VDI Maturity will come fast

Adoption… Maybe not so fast VDI as a “secure” solution (Instead of VPN) Hardware Performance Improvements Continue to

explode Management changes the game

Application Virtualization Applications continue to grow in

complexity Leading to more need for virtualization

Deployment GREATLY Simplified Centralized Management familiar

tools As prolific as non virtualized

applications Virtualization of components

(modules) are introduced

IP Infrastructure – IPv6 / Bandwidth Internet Bandwidth Wireless EVERYWHERE! What is IPv6 and why it will survive Mobile devices Why Adoption has not happened Consumers will want IPv6 Small Businesses will want IPv6 Enterprises will want IPv6 Ok, so when?

Cloud Computing – OS/Data/Services In The Sky Definition of Cloud computing will one day be understood – massive

growth assured So much more than just a server in the Cloud… It is the future of virtualization Massive $$$$ investment Online services will dominate the IT World Paying for what you use, not what you THINK you will eventually need

Who owns the data? Federal and International Data Laws Availability , Archival, Recoverability Service Agreements

What happens to you and I when companies move to the cloud? Automation!!!!, Specialization!!!! Outsourced to the Cloud Provider Small Business Consultants and IT people are most at risk short term

Cloud vs On Premise Line will get grey as applications seamlessly work on either/both platforms

(Long Term) Eventually, you will not be able to tell the difference

The Term “Server” and “Cloud” will be synonymous

Management Automation becomes the holy grail of the virtualization

platform. Management MUST encompass all areas of the infrastructure

Physical Virtual Online

… And All Disciplines Server, Storage Application, Presentation Desktop, Cloud Etc.

Microsoft with System Center Virtual Machine Manager has a HUGE head start so I would expect them to be at the very least a top contender. More likely they will be the clear leader.

What CEOs Are Saying: Virtualization Leads

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Biggest Trends Driving Spend Decisions in 2009 into 2010

Source: Barclays Capital CIO Survey, May 2009

Security Segment Physical from Virtual

Different Nics, Different Vlan’s, Different Disk, Etc

Outsourcing Security – Specialization may be the answer Companies are not taking security seriously but they are

making a HUGE MISTAKE. Security will get more complex as the data moves and the

connection paths increase… (remote, local, data center, cloud, federated)

Security concerns move in a big way to devices (phone, etc) Centralized Security MAY move to the cloud for consumers

(and business?) Safety/recoverability of the data/machine is as important part

of the security story Federated Services (LiveID, etc) Keys and passwords stored online for consumers

Innovation Will Continue Virtualization will lead the way to new

innovations Chips will get smaller, faster, cheaper Innovations will come in all areas

Disk Size and Speed CPU / GPU / Memory Software, Cloud New Devices and Synthetic devices

Products and service Will grow at a staggering pace Things we have not even dreamed of Pricing will evolveVirtualization is everywhere and it

is not going away, learn It, embrace it, enjoy it and make or save money using it!

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