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GWU Personnel: Dr. J. Rene van Dorp VCU Personnel: Dr. Jason R. W. Merrick MAY 3, 2013 VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV Presentation by: J. Rene van Dorp

VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

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Page 1: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

GWU Personnel: Dr. J. Rene van Dorp

VCU Personnel: Dr. Jason R. W. Merrick

MAY 3, 2013

VTRA 2010TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY

NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVPresentation by: J. Rene van Dorp

Page 2: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

Table. Focus Vessel (FV) Classification for the 26 VTOSS vessel type classification used in the GW/VCU MTS simulation model.

# VESSEL TYPE FOCUS VESSEL? # VESSEL TYPE FOCUS VESSEL?

1 BULKCARRIER CARGO - FV 14 PASSENGERSHIP NO2 CHEMICALCARRIER NO 15 REFRIGERATEDCARGO NO3 CONTAINERSHIP CARGO - FV 16 RESEARCHSHIP NO4 DECKSHIPCARGO NO 17 ROROCARGOSHIP NO5 FERRY NO 18 ROROCARGOCONTSHIP NO6 FERRYNONLOCAL NO 19 SUPPLYOFFSHORE NO7 FISHINGFACTORY NO 20 TUGTOWBARGE NO8 FISHINGVESSEL NO 21 UNKNOWN NO9 LIQGASCARRIER NO 22 USCOASTGUARD NO

10 NAVYVESSEL NO 23 VEHICLECARRIER NO11 OILTANKER OIL - FV 24 YACHT NO12 OTHERSPECIALCARGO NO 25 ATB OIL - FV13 OTHERSPECIFICSERV NO 26 OIL BARGE OIL - FV

NON – FV : Those vessels that are only considered as InteractingVessels (IV) with Focus Vessels (FV) in this study

CARGO – FV : Bulk Carriers and Container VesselsOIL – FV : Oil Tankers, ATB and Tugs towing/pushing Oil BargesNote: Focus Vessels (FV’s) are also considered as Interacting Vessels

(IV’s) when interacting with another Focus Vessel.

Page 3: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

TOTAL 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITY

79.9% - NON-FV13.3% - CARGO-FV06.8% - OIL-FV

+100.0% of Case P Total

Page 4: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

6.8%

13.3%

79.9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

OIL-FV

CARGO-FV

NON-FV

% of 2010 Total Time of Exposure (TTE)

FOCU

S V

ESSE

L CL

ASSI

FICA

TIO

NVTRA MODEL - VTOSS 2010

Page 5: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

2010 NON FV – 79.9% of 2010 Total

+100.0% of NON - FV Total

35.7% - FISHINGVESSEL22.7% - FERRY06.1% - BULKCARGOBARGE05.5% - UNLADENBARGE03.6% - YACHT03.6% - NAVYVESSEL03.0% - TUGNOTOW02.5% - PASSENGERSHIP02.5% - FERRYNONLOCAL02.0% - LOG_BARGE01.9% - WOODCHIPBARGE01.7% - OTHERSPECIALCARGO01.6% - TUGTOWBARGE01.4% - USCOASTGUARD01.0% - VEHICLECARRIER

79.9% of Total Traffic Density

01.0% - FISHINGFACTORY01.0% - CHEMICALCARRIER00.7% - RESEARCHSHIP00.6% - OTHERSPECIFICSERV00.5% - ROROCARGOCONTSHIP00.5% - CONTAINERBARGE00.2% - SUPPLYOFFSHORE00.2% - ROROCARGOSHIP00.2% - DECKSHIPCARGO00.2% - CHEMICALBARGE00.1% - REFRIGERATEDCARGO00.0% - UNKNOWN00.0% - LIQGASCARRIER00.0% - ITB00.0% - DERRICKBARGE

Page 6: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

6.8%

13.3%

79.9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

OIL-FV

CARGO-FV

NON-FV

% of 2010 Total Time of Exposure (TTE)

FOCU

S V

ESSE

L CL

ASSI

FICA

TIO

NVTRA MODEL - VTOSS 2010

Page 7: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

CARGO FV – 13.3% of 2010 TOTAL

+100.0% of CARGO-FV Total

65.8% - BULKCARRIER34.2% - CONTAINERSHIP

13.3% of Total Traffic Density

Page 8: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

6.8%

13.3%

79.9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

OIL-FV

CARGO-FV

NON-FV

% of 2010 Total Time of Exposure (TTE)

FOCU

S V

ESSE

L CL

ASSI

FICA

TIO

NVTRA MODEL - VTOSS 2010

Page 9: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

OIL FV – 6.8% of 2010 TOTAL

+100.0% of OIL - FV Total

61.3% - OILBARGE27.7% - OILTANKER11.0% - ATB

6.8% of Total Traffic Density

Page 10: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

GWU Personnel: Dr. J. Rene van Dorp

VCU Personnel: Dr. Jason R. W. Merrick

MAY 3, 2013

VTRA 2010TRAFFIC DENSITY ANALYSISBY LOCATION - ALL TRAFIC

Presentation by: J. Rene van Dorp

Page 11: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

Location definitions used in the GW/VCU MTS simulation model.

Page 12: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

TOTAL 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITY

79.9% - NON-FV13.3% - CARGO-FV06.8% - OIL-FV

+100.0% of Case P Total

Page 13: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

Traffic Density by Location – All Traffic

0%2%4%6%8%

10%12%14%

% o

f Tot

al T

ime

of E

xpos

ure

VTRA MODEL - VTOSS 2010 - 100% of TRAFFIC

Page 14: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

2010 Traffic Density Analysis by Location – All Traffic

Column 4

365

Column 4

Tot. Col. 4

Column 4

Column 3

Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7

LOCATION # Grid Cells % Area# Days Vessel is Moving per year

Average # of Vessels in Location

% of Total Time of Exposure

Density Factor (DF)

WSJF 2857 19.6% 3749 10.3 13.9% 0.71PS South 619 4.3% 4243 11.6 15.8% 3.70Guemes 127 0.9% 482 1.3 1.8% 2.05

ESJF 2049 14.1% 3392 9.3 12.6% 0.89Georgia Str. 1424 9.8% 3023 8.3 11.2% 1.15

PS North 983 6.8% 3280 9.0 12.2% 1.80Saddlebag 375 2.6% 793 2.2 2.9% 1.14

Haro/Boun. 1066 7.3% 3012 8.3 11.2% 1.53Rosario 307 2.1% 1341 3.7 5.0% 2.36Buoy J 1478 10.2% 1431 3.9 5.3% 0.52ATBA 1520 10.5% 169 0.5 0.6% 0.06

Tac. South 326 2.2% 287 0.8 1.1% 0.47SJ Islands 259 1.8% 248 0.7 0.9% 0.52

Sar./Skagit 459 3.2% 288 0.8 1.1% 0.34Islands Trt 696 4.8% 1192 3.3 4.4% 0.93

Total 14545 100.0% 26929 73.8 100.0% 1.0

Page 15: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

0.06

0.34

0.47

0.52

0.52

0.71

0.89

0.93

1.14

1.15

1.53

1.80

2.05

2.36

3.70

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0

15 - ATBA

14 - Sar./Skagit

13 - Tac. South

12 - SJ Islands

11 - Buoy J

10 - WSJF

9 - ESJF

8 - Islands Trt

7 - Saddlebag

6 - Georgia Str.

5 - Haro/Boun.

4 - PS North

3 - Guemes

2 - Rosario

1 - PS South

Density Factor - All Traffic

Loca

tion

Density Factor (DF) by Location - All Vessels = 100% of total traffic i.e. 100% of Non-FV and FV-Traffic

Locations ranked by Density Factor – All Traffic

VTRA 2010

Page 16: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

0.6%

1.1%

1.1%

0.9%

5.3%

13.9%

12.6%

4.4%

2.9%

11.2%

11.2%

12.2%

1.8%

5.0%

15.8%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18%

15 - ATBA

14 - Sar./Skagit

13 - Tac. South

12 - SJ Islands

11 - Buoy J

10 - WSJF

9 - ESJF

8 - Islands Trt

7 - Saddlebag

6 - Georgia Str.

5 - Haro/Boun.

4 - PS North

3 - Guemes

2 - Rosario

1 - PS South

% Total of Exposure - All Traffic

Loca

tion

Total Time Exposure (TTE) by Location - All Vessels = 100% of total traffic i.e. 100% of Non-FV and FV-Traffic

Locations ranked by Density Factor – All Traffic

VTRA 2010

Page 17: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

GWU Personnel: Dr. J. Rene van Dorp

VCU Personnel: Dr. Jason R. W. Merrick

MAY 3, 2013

VTRA 2010TRAFFIC DENSITY ANALYSIS

BY LOCATION NON – FOCUS VESSELSPresentation by: J. Rene van Dorp

Page 18: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

Location definitions used in the GW/VCU MTS simulation model.

Page 19: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

2010 NON FV – 79.9% of 2010 Total

+100.0% of NON - FV Total

35.7% - FISHINGVESSEL22.7% - FERRY06.1% - BULKCARGOBARGE05.5% - UNLADENBARGE03.6% - YACHT03.6% - NAVYVESSEL03.0% - TUGNOTOW02.5% - PASSENGERSHIP02.5% - FERRYNONLOCAL02.0% - LOG_BARGE01.9% - WOODCHIPBARGE01.7% - OTHERSPECIALCARGO01.6% - TUGTOWBARGE01.4% - USCOASTGUARD01.0% - VEHICLECARRIER

79.9% of Total Traffic Density

01.0% - FISHINGFACTORY01.0% - CHEMICALCARRIER00.7% - RESEARCHSHIP00.6% - OTHERSPECIFICSERV00.5% - ROROCARGOCONTSHIP00.5% - CONTAINERBARGE00.2% - SUPPLYOFFSHORE00.2% - ROROCARGOSHIP00.2% - DECKSHIPCARGO00.2% - CHEMICALBARGE00.1% - REFRIGERATEDCARGO00.0% - UNKNOWN00.0% - LIQGASCARRIER00.0% - ITB00.0% - DERRICKBARGE

Page 20: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

Traffic Density by Location – All Traffic

0%2%4%6%8%

10%12%14%

% o

f Tot

al T

ime

of E

xpos

ure

VTRA MODEL - VTOSS 2010 - 100% of TRAFFIC

Page 21: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7

LOCATION # Grid Cells % Area# Days Vessel is Moving per year

Average # of Vessels in Location

% of Total Time of Exposure

Density Factor (DF)

WSJF 2857 19.6% 2066 5.7 9.6% 0.49PS South 619 4.3% 3565 9.8 16.6% 3.89Guemes 127 0.9% 452 1.2 2.1% 2.41

ESJF 2049 14.1% 2765 7.6 12.9% 0.91Georgia Str. 1424 9.8% 2585 7.1 12.0% 1.23

PS North 983 6.8% 2671 7.3 12.4% 1.84Saddlebag 375 2.6% 735 2.0 3.4% 1.32

Haro/Boun. 1066 7.3% 2467 6.8 11.5% 1.56Rosario 307 2.1% 1184 3.2 5.5% 2.61Bouy J 1478 10.2% 946 2.6 4.4% 0.43ATBA 1520 10.5% 164 0.4 0.8% 0.07

Tac. South 326 2.2% 272 0.7 1.3% 0.56SJ Islands 259 1.8% 247 0.7 1.2% 0.65

Sar./Skagit 459 3.2% 281 0.8 1.3% 0.41Islands Trt 696 4.8% 1112 3.0 5.2% 1.08

Total 14545 100.0% 21513 58.9 100.0% 1.0

2010 Traffic Density Analysis by Location limited to Non - Focus Vessels

Column 4

365

Column 4

Tot. Col. 4

Column 4

Column 3

Page 22: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

0.07

0.41

0.43

0.49

0.56

0.65

0.91

1.08

1.23

1.32

1.56

1.84

2.41

2.61

3.89

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5

15 - ATBA

14 - Sar./Skagit

13 - Buoy J

12 - WSJF

11 - Tac. South

10 - SJ Islands

9 - ESJF

8 - Islands Trt

7 - Georgia Str.

6 - Saddlebag

5 - Haro/Boun.

4 - PS North

3 - Guemes

2 - Rosario

1 - PS South

Density Factor - Limited to Non - Focus Vessels

Loca

tion

Density Factor (DF) by Location - Non-Focus Vessel only = 79.9% of total traffic - 100% of Non-FV Traffic

Locations ranked by Density Factor limited to Non-Focus Vessels

VTRA 2010

Page 23: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

0.8%

1.3%

4.4%

9.6%

1.3%

1.2%

12.9%

5.2%

12.0%

3.4%

11.5%

12.4%

2.1%

5.5%

16.6%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18%

15 - ATBA

14 - Sar./Skagit

13 - Buoy J

12 - WSJF

11 - Tac. South

10 - SJ Islands

9 - ESJF

8 - Islands Trt

7 - Georgia Str.

6 - Saddlebag

5 - Haro/Boun.

4 - PS North

3 - Guemes

2 - Rosario

1 - PS South

% Total Time of Exposure -Limited to Non- Focus Vessels

Loca

tion

Total Time Exposure (TTE) by Location - Non-Focus Vessel only = 79.9% of total traffic - 100% of Non-FV Traffic

Locations ranked by Density Factor limited to Non-Focus Vessels

VTRA 2010

Page 24: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

GWU Personnel: Dr. J. Rene van Dorp

VCU Personnel: Dr. Jason R. W. Merrick

MAY 3, 2013

VTRA 2010TRAFFIC DENSITY ANALYSIS

BY LOCATION CARGO – FOCUS VESSELSPresentation by: J. Rene van Dorp

Page 25: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

Location definitions used in the GW/VCU MTS simulation model.

Page 26: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

CARGO FV – 13.3% of 2010 TOTAL

+100.0% of CARGO-FV Total

65.8% - BULKCARRIER34.2% - CONTAINERSHIP

13.3% of Total Traffic Density

Page 27: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

Traffic Density by Location – All Traffic

0%2%4%6%8%

10%12%14%

% o

f Tot

al T

ime

of E

xpos

ure

VTRA MODEL - VTOSS 2010 - 100% of TRAFFIC

Page 28: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7

LOCATION # Grid Cells % Area# Days Vessel is Moving per year

Average # of Vessels in Location

% of Total Time of Exposure

Density Factor (DF)

WSJF 2857 19.6% 1357 3.7 37.7% 1.92PS South 619 4.3% 429 1.2 11.9% 2.80Guemes 127 0.9% 0 0.0 0.0% 0.01

ESJF 2049 14.1% 362 1.0 10.1% 0.71Georgia Str. 1424 9.8% 236 0.6 6.6% 0.67

PS North 983 6.8% 292 0.8 8.1% 1.20Saddlebag 375 2.6% 2 0.0 0.1% 0.03

Haro/Boun. 1066 7.3% 494 1.4 13.7% 1.87Rosario 307 2.1% 4 0.0 0.1% 0.06Bouy J 1478 10.2% 379 1.0 10.5% 1.04ATBA 1520 10.5% 1 0.0 0.0% 0.00

Tac. South 326 2.2% 5 0.0 0.1% 0.06SJ Islands 259 1.8% 0 0.0 0.0% 0.00

Sar./Skagit 459 3.2% 0 0.0 0.0% 0.00Islands Trt 696 4.8% 35 0.1 1.0% 0.20

Total 14545 100.0% 3597 9.9 100.0% 1.0

2010 Traffic Density Analysis by Location limited to Cargo-Focus Vessels

Column 4

365

Column 4

Tot. Col. 4

Column 4

Column 3

Page 29: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.01

0.03

0.06

0.06

0.20

0.67

0.71

1.04

1.20

1.87

1.92

2.80

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0

15 - Sar./Skagit

14 - SJ Islands

13 - ATBA

12 - Guemes

11 - Saddlebag

10 - Rosario

9 - Tac. South

8 - Islands Trt

7 - Georgia Str.

6 - ESJF

5 - Bouy J

4 - PS North

3 - Haro/Boun.

2 - WSJF

1 - PS South

Density Factor - Limited to Bulk Carrier, Containership

Loca

tion

Density Factor (DF) by Location - Cargo Focus Vessel only = 13.3% of total traffic - 66.2% of FV Traffic

Locations ranked by Density Factor limited to Cargo Focus Vessels

VTRA 2010

Page 30: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

1.0%

6.6%

10.1%

10.5%

8.1%

13.7%

37.7%

11.9%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

15 - SJ Islands

14 - Sar./Skagit

13 - ATBA

12 - Guemes

11 - Saddlebag

10 - Rosario

9 - Tac. South

8 - Islands Trt

7 - Georgia Str.

6 - ESJF

5 - Bouy J

4 - PS North

3 - Haro/Boun.

2 - WSJF

1 - PS South

% Total Time of Exposure - Limited to Bulk Carrier, Containership

Loca

tion

Total Time Expsore (TTE) by Location - Cargo Focus Vessel only = 13.3% of total traffic - 66.2% of FV Traffic

Locations ranked by Density Factor limited to Cargo Focus Vessels

VTRA 2010

Page 31: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

GWU Personnel: Dr. J. Rene van Dorp

VCU Personnel: Dr. Jason R. W. Merrick

MAY 3, 2013

VTRA 2010TRAFFIC DENSITY ANALYSIS

BY LOCATION OIL – FOCUS VESSELSPresentation by: J. Rene van Dorp

Page 32: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

Location definitions used in the GW/VCU MTS simulation model.

Page 33: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

OIL FV – 6.8% of 2010 TOTAL

+100.0% of OIL - FV Total

61.3% - OILBARGE27.7% - OILTANKER11.0% - ATB

6.8% of Total Traffic Density

Page 34: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

Traffic Density by Location – All Traffic

0%2%4%6%8%

10%12%14%

% o

f Tot

al T

ime

of E

xpos

ure

VTRA MODEL - VTOSS 2010 - 100% of TRAFFIC

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2010 Traffic Density Analysis by Location limited to Oil-Focus Vessels

Column 4

365

Column 4

Tot. Col. 4

Column 4

Column 3

Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7

LOCATION # Grid Cells % Area# Days Vessel is Moving per year

Average # of Vessels in Location

% of Total Time of Exposure

Density Factor (DF)

WSJF 2857 19.6% 326 0.9 17.9% 0.91PS South 619 4.3% 249 0.7 13.7% 3.21Guemes 127 0.9% 30 0.1 1.6% 1.86

ESJF 2049 14.1% 265 0.7 14.5% 1.03Georgia Str. 1424 9.8% 201 0.6 11.1% 1.13

PS North 983 6.8% 317 0.9 17.4% 2.58Saddlebag 375 2.6% 56 0.2 3.1% 1.20

Haro/Boun. 1066 7.3% 51 0.1 2.8% 0.38Rosario 307 2.1% 153 0.4 8.4% 3.99Bouy J 1478 10.2% 107 0.3 5.9% 0.58ATBA 1520 10.5% 4 0.0 0.2% 0.02

Tac. South 326 2.2% 9 0.0 0.5% 0.23SJ Islands 259 1.8% 1 0.0 0.0% 0.02

Sar./Skagit 459 3.2% 7 0.0 0.4% 0.13Islands Trt 696 4.8% 45 0.1 2.5% 0.52

Total 14545 100.0% 1820 5.0 100.0% 1.0

Page 36: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

0.02

0.02

0.13

0.23

0.38

0.52

0.58

0.91

1.03

1.13

1.20

1.86

2.58

3.21

3.99

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5

15 - SJ Islands

14 - ATBA

13 - Sar./Skagit

12 - Tac. South

11 - Haro/Boun.

10 - Islands Trt

9 - Bouy J

8 - WSJF

7 - ESJF

6 - Georgia Str.

5 - Saddlebag

4 - Guemes

3 - PS North

2 - PS South

1 - Rosario

Density Factor - Limited to Oil Focus Vessels

Loca

tion

Density Factor (DF) by Location - Oil Focus Vessel Only = 6.8% of total traffic - 33.8% of FV Traffic

Locations ranked by Density Factor limited to Oil Focus-Vessels

VTRA 2010

Page 37: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.5%

2.8%

2.5%

5.9%

17.9%

14.5%

11.1%

3.1%

1.6%

17.4%

13.7%

8.4%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20%

15 - SJ Islands

14 - ATBA

13 - Sar./Skagit

12 - Tac. South

11 - Haro/Boun.

10 - Islands Trt

9 - Bouy J

8 - WSJF

7 - ESJF

6 - Georgia Str.

5 - Saddlebag

4 - Guemes

3 - PS North

2 - PS South

1 - Rosario

% Total Time of Exposure - Limited to Oil Focus Vessels

Loca

tion

Total Time Expsore (TTE) by Location - Oil Focus Vessel Only = 6.8% of total traffic - 33.8% of FV Traffic

Locations ranked by Density Factor limited to Oil Focus-Vessels

VTRA 2010

Page 38: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

GWU Personnel: Dr. J. Rene van Dorp

VCU Personnel: Dr. Jason R. W. Merrick

MAY 3, 2013

VTRA 2010TRAFFIC DENSITY ANALYSIS

BY LOCATION ALL-FOCUS VESSELSPresentation by: J. Rene van Dorp

Page 39: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

Location definitions used in the GW/VCU MTS simulation model.

Page 40: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

+100.0% of Total FV Density

20.1 % of 2010 TOTAL TRAFFIC DENSITY

43.6% - BULKCARRIER22.7% - CONTAINERSHIP20.6% - OILBARGE09.3% - OILTANKER03.7% - ATB

20.1% of Total Traffic Density

Page 41: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

Traffic Density by Location and Focus Vessel

0%

3%

6%

9%

12%

% o

f Tot

al T

ime

of E

xpos

ure

VTRA MODEL - VTOSS 2010 - 20.1% of TRAFFIC

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2010 Traffic Density Analysis by Location – Limited to Focus Vessels

Column 4

365

Column 4

Tot. Col. 4

Column 4

Column 3

Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7

LOCATION # Grid Cells % Area# Days Vessel is Moving per year

Average # of Vessels in Location

% of Total Time of Exposure

Density Factor (DF)

WSJF 2857 19.6% 1683 4.6 31.1% 1.58PS South 619 4.3% 678 1.9 12.5% 2.94Guemes 127 0.9% 30 0.1 0.6% 0.63

ESJF 2049 14.1% 626 1.7 11.6% 0.82Georgia Str. 1424 9.8% 438 1.2 8.1% 0.83

PS North 983 6.8% 609 1.7 11.2% 1.66Saddlebag 375 2.6% 58 0.2 1.1% 0.42

Haro/Boun. 1066 7.3% 545 1.5 10.1% 1.37Rosario 307 2.1% 158 0.4 2.9% 1.38Buoy J 1478 10.2% 485 1.3 9.0% 0.88ATBA 1520 10.5% 5 0.0 0.1% 0.01

Tac. South 326 2.2% 14 0.0 0.3% 0.12SJ Islands 259 1.8% 1 0.0 0.0% 0.01

Sar./Skagit 459 3.2% 7 0.0 0.1% 0.04Islands Trt 696 4.8% 80 0.2 1.5% 0.31

Total 14545 100.0% 5417 14.8 100.0% 1.0

Page 43: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

0.01

0.01

0.04

0.12

0.31

0.42

0.63

0.82

0.83

0.88

1.37

1.38

1.58

1.66

2.94

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

15 - SJ Islands

14 - ATBA

13 - Sar./Skagit

12 - Tac. South

11 - Islands Trt

10 - Saddlebag

9 - Guemes

8 - ESJF

7 - Georgia Str.

6 - Buoy J

5 - Haro/Boun.

4 - Rosario

3 - WSJF

2 - PS North

1 - PS South

Density Factor - Limited to Focus Vessels

Loca

tion

Density Factor (DF) by Location - Focus Vessel Only = 20.1% of total traffic - 100% of FV Traffic

Locations ranked by Density Factor – All Focus Vessels

VTRA 2010

Page 44: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.3%

1.5%

1.1%

0.6%

11.6%

8.1%

9.0%

10.1%

2.9%

31.1%

11.2%

12.5%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

15 - SJ Islands

14 - ATBA

13 - Sar./Skagit

12 - Tac. South

11 - Islands Trt

10 - Saddlebag

9 - Guemes

8 - ESJF

7 - Georgia Str.

6 - Buoy J

5 - Haro/Boun.

4 - Rosario

3 - WSJF

2 - PS North

1 - PS South

% Total Time of Exposure -Limited to Focus Vessels

Loca

tion

Total Time Expsore (TTE) by Location - Focus Vessel Only = 20.1% of total traffic - 100% of FV Traffic

Locations ranked by Density Factor – Limited to All Focus Vessels

VTRA 2010

Page 45: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

GWU Personnel: Dr. J. Rene van Dorp

VCU Personnel: Dr. Jason R. W. Merrick

MAY 3, 2013

VTRA 2010FOCUS VESSEL TRAFFIC DENSITIES

Presentation by: J. Rene van Dorp

Page 46: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

3.7%

9.3%

20.6%

22.7%

43.6%

0% 20% 40% 60%

ATB

OILTANKER

OILBARGE

CONTAINERSHIP

BULKCARRIER

% of 2010 Total Time of Exposure (TTE) - Focus Vessels

FOCU

S VE

SSEL

TYP

EVTRA MODEL - VTOSS 2010 - Limited to Focus Vessels

Page 47: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

+100.0% of Total Bulk Carrier

43.6 % of FOCUS VESSEL TRAFFIC DENSITY

100% - BULKCARRIER

43.6% of Total Focus Vessel Traffic Density

Page 48: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

3.7%

9.3%

20.6%

22.7%

43.6%

0% 20% 40% 60%

ATB

OILTANKER

OILBARGE

CONTAINERSHIP

BULKCARRIER

% of 2010 Total Time of Exposure (TTE) - Focus Vessels

FOCU

S VE

SSEL

TYP

EVTRA MODEL - VTOSS 2010 - Limited to Focus Vessels

Page 49: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

+100.0% of Total Container

22.7 % of FOCUS VESSEL TRAFFIC DENSITY

100% - CONTAINERSHIP

22.7% of Total Focus Vessel Traffic Density

Page 50: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

3.7%

9.3%

20.6%

22.7%

43.6%

0% 20% 40% 60%

ATB

OILTANKER

OILBARGE

CONTAINERSHIP

BULKCARRIER

% of 2010 Total Time of Exposure (TTE) - Focus Vessels

FOCU

S VE

SSEL

TYP

EVTRA MODEL - VTOSS 2010 - Limited to Focus Vessels

Page 51: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

+100.0% of Total Oil Barge

20.6 % of FOCUS VESSEL TRAFFIC DENSITY

100% - OIL BARGE

20.6% of Total Focus Vessel Traffic Density

Page 52: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

3.7%

9.3%

20.6%

22.7%

43.6%

0% 20% 40% 60%

ATB

OILTANKER

OILBARGE

CONTAINERSHIP

BULKCARRIER

% of 2010 Total Time of Exposure (TTE) - Focus Vessels

FOCU

S VE

SSEL

TYP

EVTRA MODEL - VTOSS 2010 - Limited to Focus Vessels

Page 53: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

+100.0% of Total Oil Tanker

9.3 % of FOCUS VESSEL TRAFFIC DENSITY

100% - OIL TANKER

9.3% of Total Focus Vessel Traffic Density

Page 54: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

3.7%

9.3%

20.6%

22.7%

43.6%

0% 20% 40% 60%

ATB

OILTANKER

OILBARGE

CONTAINERSHIP

BULKCARRIER

% of 2010 Total Time of Exposure (TTE) - Focus Vessels

FOCU

S VE

SSEL

TYP

EVTRA MODEL - VTOSS 2010 - Limited to Focus Vessels

Page 55: VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FVdorpjr/VTRA/Makah/VTRA 2010... · 2014. 3. 1. · NON – FV, CARGO – FV and OIL - FV. Presentation by: J. Rene

+100.0% of Total ATB Density

3.7 % of FOCUS VESSEL TRAFFIC DENSITY

100% - ATB

3.7% of Total Focus Vessel Traffic Density