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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function WELFARE: THE SOCIAL-WELFARE FUNCTION MICROECONOMICS Principles and Analysis Frank Cowell Almost essential Welfare: Basics Welfare: Efficiency Prerequisites March 2012 1

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Page 1: Welfare Swf

Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

WELFARE: THE SOCIAL-WELFARE FUNCTIONMICROECONOMICSPrinciples and Analysis

Frank Cowell

Almost essential

Welfare: Basics

Welfare: Efficiency

Almost essential

Welfare: Basics

Welfare: Efficiency

PrerequisitesPrerequisites

March 2012 1

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Social Welfare Function

Limitations of the welfare analysis so far:Constitution approach

• Arrow theorem – is the approach overambitious?General welfare criteria

• efficiency – nice but indecisive• extensions – contradictory?

SWF is our third attemptSomething like a simple utility function…?

RequirementsRequirements

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Overview...

The Approach

SWF: basics

SWF: national income

SWF: income distribution

Welfare: SWF

What is special about a social-welfare function?

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

The SWF approach

Restriction of “relevant” aspects of social state to each person (household)

Knowledge of preferences of each person (household) Comparability of individual utilities

• utility levels• utility scales

An aggregation function W for utilities• contrast with constitution approach• there we were trying to aggregate orderings

A sketch of the approach

A sketch of the approach

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Using a SWF

ua

ub

U

Take the utility-possibility set

A social-welfare optimum?

Social welfare contours

W defined on utility levels

Not on orderings

Imposes several restrictions…

..and raises several questions

W(ua, ub,... )W(ua, ub,... )

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Issues in SWF analysis

What is the ethical basis of the SWF? What should be its characteristics? What is its relation to utility? What is its relation to income?

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Overview...

The Approach

SWF: basics

SWF: national income

SWF: income distribution

Welfare: SWF

Where does the social-welfare function come from?

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

An individualistic SWF

The standard form expressed thus W(u1, u2, u3, ...)• an ordinal function• defined on space of individual utility levels• not on profiles of orderings

But where does W come from...? We'll check out two approaches:

• The equal-ignorance assumption• The PLUM principle

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

1: The equal ignorance approach

Suppose the SWF is based on individual preferences. Preferences are expressed behind a “veil of ignorance” It works like a choice amongst lotteries

• don't confuse w and q! Each individual has partial knowledge:

• knows the distribution of allocations in the population• knows the utility implications of the allocations• knows the alternatives in the Great Lottery of Life• does not know which lottery ticket he/she will receive

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

“Equal ignorance”: formalisation

Individualistic welfare: W(u1, u2, u3, ...)

use theory of choice under uncertainty to find shape of W

vN-M form of utility function: åwÎW pwu(xw) Equivalently: åwÎW pwuw

pw: probability assigned to wu : cardinal utility function,

independent of wuw: utility payoff in state w

A suitable assumption about “probabilities”? nh

1 W = — å uh

nh h=1

welfare is expected utility from a "lottery on identity“

payoffs if assigned identity 1,2,3,... in the Lottery of Life

payoffs if assigned identity 1,2,3,... in the Lottery of Life

Replace W by set of identities {1,2,...nh}:

åh phuh

An additive form of the welfare function

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Questions about “equal ignorance”

p h

identity

|

nhh |

1

|

2

|

3

|

Construct a lottery on identity The “equal ignorance” assumption...

Where people know their identity with certainty

Intermediate case

The “equal ignorance” assumption: ph = 1/nh

But is this appropriate?

Or should we assume that people know their identities with certainty?

Or is the "truth" somewhere between...?

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

2: The PLUM principle

Now for the second rather cynical approach Acronym stands for People Like Us Matter Whoever is in power may impute:

• ...either their own views,• ... or what they think “society’s” views are,• ... or what they think “society’s” views ought to be, • ...probably based on the views of those in power

There’s a whole branch of modern microeconomics that is a reinvention of classical “Political Economy”• Concerned with the interaction of political decision-making and

economic outcomes.• But beyond the scope of this course

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Overview...

The Approach

SWF: basics

SWF: national income

SWF: income distribution

Welfare: SWF

Conditions for a welfare maximum

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

The SWF maximum problem

Take the individualistic welfare model

W(u1, u2, u3, ...) Standard assumption

Assume everyone is selfish:

uh = Uh(xh) , h=1,2,...nh

my utility depends only on my bundle

Substitute in the above:

W(U1(x1), U2(x2), U3(x3), ...)Gives SWF in terms of the allocation

a quick sketcha quick sketch

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

From an allocation to social welfare

From the attainable set...

AA

(x1a, x2

a)(x1

b, x2b)

(x1a, x2

a)(x1

b, x2b) ...take an allocation

Evaluate utility for each agent

Plug into W to get social welfare

ua=Ua(x1a, x2

a)ub=Ub(x1

b, x2b)

ua=Ua(x1a, x2

a)ub=Ub(x1

b, x2b)

W(ua, ub)W(ua, ub)

But what happens to welfare if we vary the allocation in A?

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Varying the allocation

Differentiate w.r.t. xih :

duh = Uih(xh) dxi

h

marginal utility derived by h from good i

marginal utility derived by h from good i

The effect on h if commodity i is changed

Sum over i: n

duh = S Uih(xh) dxi

h

i=1

The effect on h if all commodities are changed

Differentiate W with respect to uh: nh dW = SWh

duh

h=1

Changes in utility change social welfare .

Substitute for duh in the above: nh n dW = S Wh

S Uih(xh) dxi

h

h=1 i=1

So changes in allocation change welfare.

Weights from the SWF

Weights from the SWF

Weights from utility function

Weights from utility function

marginal impact on social welfare of h’s utility

marginal impact on social welfare of h’s utility

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Use this to characterise a welfare optimum

Write down SWF, defined on individual utilities. Introduce feasibility constraints on overall consumptions. Set up the Lagrangean. Solve in the usual way

Now for the maths

Now for the maths

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

The SWF maximum problem

First component of the problem: W(U1(x1), U2(x2), U3(x3), ...)

Individualistic welfare Individualistic welfare Utility depends on own consumption Utility depends on own consumption

The objective function

Second component of the problem: nh F(x) £ 0, xi = S xi

h h=1

Feasibility constraint

The Social-welfare Lagrangean: nh W(U1(x1), U2(x2),...) - lF (S xh ) h=1

Constraint subsumes technological feasibility and materials balance

FOCs for an interior maximum: Wh (...) Ui

h(xh) − lFi(x) = 0From differentiating Lagrangean with respect to xi

h

And if xih = 0 at the optimum:

Wh (...) Uih(xh) − lFi(x) £ 0

Usual modification for a corner solution

All goods are privateAll goods are private

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Solution to SWF maximum problem

From FOCs: Ui

h(xh) Uiℓ(xℓ)

——— = ———Uj

h(xh) Ujℓ(xℓ)

Any pair of goods, i,jAny pair of households h, ℓ

Any pair of goods, i,jAny pair of households h, ℓ

MRS equated across all h.

We’ve met this condition before - Pareto efficiency

Also from the FOCs: Wh Ui

h(xh) = Wℓ Uiℓ(xℓ)

social marginal utility of toothpaste equated across all h.

Relate marginal utility to prices:Ui

h(xh) = Vyhpi

This is valid if all consumers optimise

Substituting into the above:Wh Vy

h = Wℓ Vyℓ

At optimum the welfare value of $1 is equated across all h. Call this common value M

Marginal utility of moneyMarginal utility of money

Social marginal utility of income

Social marginal utility of income

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

To focus on main result...

Look what happens in neighbourhood of optimum Assume that everyone is acting as a maximiser

• firms• households…

Check what happens to the optimum if we alter incomes or prices a little

Similar to looking at comparative statics for a single agent

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Differentiate the SWF w.r.t. {yh}: nh dW = S Wh

duh

h=1

Changes in income, social welfare

nh dW = M Sdyh

h=1

nh = S WhVyh dyh

h=1

Social welfare can be expressed as: W(U1(x1), U2(x2),...)

= W(V1(p,y1), V2(p,y2),...) SWF in terms of direct utility. Using indirect utility function

Changes in utility and change social welfare …

...related to incomechange in “national income”change in “national income”

Differentiate the SWF w.r.t. pi : nh dW = S WhVi

hdpi h=1

.

Changes in utility and change social welfare … nh = – SWhVy

h xihdpi h=1

from Roy’s identityfrom Roy’s identity

nh dW = – M S xi

hdpi

h=1

...related to pricesChange in total expenditureChange in total expenditure

.

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

An attractive result?

Summarising the results of the previous slide we have:

THEOREM: in the neighbourhood of a welfare optimum welfare changes are measured by changes in national income / national expenditure

But what if we are not in an ideal world?

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Overview...

The Approach

SWF: basics

SWF: national income

SWF: income distribution

Welfare: SWF

A lesson from risk and uncertainty

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Derive a SWF in terms of incomes What happens if the distribution of income is not ideal?

• M is no longer equal for all h Useful to express social welfare in terms of incomes Do this by using indirect utility function V

• Express utility in terms of prices p and income y Assume prices p are given “Equivalise” (i.e. rescale) each income y

• allow for differences in people’s needs• allow for differences in household size

Then you can write welfare as W(ya, yb, yc, … )

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Income-distribution space: nh=2

Bill's

income

Alf'sincome

O

The income space: 2 persons

An income distribution

· y

45°

line o

f perf

ect e

quali

ty

Note the similarity with a diagram used in the analysis of uncertainty

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Extension to nh=3

Here we have 3 persons

Charlie's

income

Alf's income

Bill's income

O

line o

f perf

ect

equality

• y

An income distribution.

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Welfare contours

x Ey

ya

yb

xEy

y

An arbitrary income distribution Contours of W Swap identities Distributions with the same mean

Anonymity implies symmetry of W

Equally-distributed-equivalent income

Ey is mean income Richer-to-poorer income transfers increase welfare.

equivalent in welfare termsequivalent in welfare terms

x is income that, if received uniformly by all, would yield same level of social welfare as y.

higher welfarehigher welfare

Ey x is income that society would give up to eliminate inequality

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

A result on inequality aversion

Principle of Transfers : “a mean-preserving redistribution from richer to poorer should increase social welfare”

THEOREM: Quasi-concavity of W implies that social welfare respects the “Transfer Principle”

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Special form of the SWF It can make sense to write W in the additive form nh 1 W = — S (z yh) nh h=1

• where the function z is the social evaluation function• (the 1/nh term is unnecessary – arbitrary normalisation)• Counterpart of u-function in choice under uncertainty

Can be expressed equivalently as an expectation: W = E (z yh)• where the expectation is over all identities• probability of identity h is the same, 1/nh , for all h

Constant relative-inequality aversion: 1 (z y) = —— y1 – i 1 – i

• where i is the index of inequality aversion• works just like r,the index of relative risk aversion

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Concavity and inequality aversion

W

z(y)

income

y

z(y)

The social evaluation function

Let values change: φ is a concave transformation.

More concave z(•) implies higher inequality aversion i

...and lower equally-distributed-equivalent income

and more sharply curved contours

lower inequality aversionlower inequality aversion

higher inequality aversionhigher inequality aversion

z = φ(z)

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Social views: inequality aversion

= i½

yb

yaO

= 0i

yb

yaO

= 2i

yb

yaO

= i

Indifference to inequality

Mild inequality aversion

yb

yaO

Strong inequality aversion

Priority to poorest

“Benthamite” case ( i = 0): nh

W= S yh

h=1 General case (0< < i ): nh

W = S [yh]1-i/ [1-i] h=1 “Rawlsian” case ( = i ): W = min yh

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Inequality, welfare, risk and uncertainty

There is a similarity of form between… • personal judgments under uncertainty • social judgments about income distributions.

Likewise a logical link between risk and inequality This could be seen as just a curiosity Or as an essential component of welfare economics

• Uses the “equal ignorance argument” In the latter case the functions u and z should be taken as

identical “Optimal” social state depends crucially on shape of W

• In other words the shape of z• Or the value of i

Three examplesThree examples

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Social values and welfare optimum

ya

yb The income-possibility set Y

Welfare contours ( i = ½)

Welfare contours ( i = 0)

Welfare contours ( i = )

Y derived from set A

Nonconvexity, asymmetry come from heterogeneity of households

y* maximises total income irrespective of distribution

y*** gives priority to equality; then maximises income subject to that

Y

y*

y***

y** y** trades off some income for greater equality

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Frank Cowell: Welfare - Social Welfare function

Summary

The standard SWF is an ordering on utility levels • Analogous to an individual's ordering over lotteries• Inequality- and risk-aversion are similar concepts

In ideal conditions SWF is proxied by national income But for realistic cases two things are crucial:

1. Information on social values2. Determining the income frontier

Item 1 might be considered as beyond the scope of simple microeconomics

Item 2 requires modelling of what is possible in the underlying structure of the economy...

...which is what microeconomics is all about

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