Why governance matters (Himalayan Times)

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    Why governance matters

    ECONOMICS06

    THE HIMALAYAN TIMES

    S UN Y , FEBRUARY 24, 2013PERSPECTIVES

    Siddharth Poddar

    Singapore

    Nepal has been a countryin transition for the lasttwo decades. In thistimeframe, it has gone

    from being an absolutemonarchy to a constitutionalmonarchy to a republic.These are significantachievements in a short spanof time; but in the process,Nepal has also suffered froman acute lack of effectivedemocratic governance,which has translated intolack of development.

    The pursuit of inclusiveeconomic growth and sus-tainable human developmentshould form the foundationfor policymaking in thedeveloping world. One of the key factors underpinningthe degree of success coun-tries have enjoyed in meetingdevelopment challenges is

    that of democratic gover-

    nance, and the quality andlegitimacy of its institutions.Poor governance eitherundermines the effectivenessof policies or prevents policy-making altogether.

    Today, Nepal is confrontedwith multiple challenges thatinclude, but are not limitedto, stagnant economies, poorphysical and social infra-structure, prevalence of poverty and lack of invest-ment. These challenges canbe attributed to poor gover-nance and weak institutionsthat are often struggling toestablish their legitimacy.

    Since 1990, Nepal has notseen a single governmentserve its full-term in office.The extent of the politicalinstability comes to lightwhen one considers thatNepal has had 18 differentgovernments in the last 22years, excluding two periods

    of direct rule by the king.

    The culmination of the civ-il war in 2006 brought alongits own set of governancechallenges which Nepal hasnot been able to cope with ful-ly. The country has only hadan interim constitution since2008. Its elected ConstituentAssembly also served as aninterim government from2008 until May 2012 when itwas dissolved. Today, Nepalhas a caretaker government.

    Nepal achieved democracy,but not enough time wasinvested in entrenching andsustaining the democraticadvances made. One politicalcrisis after another furthereroded the legitimacy of itsalready frail institutions.

    As a result of these prob-lems, Nepal has sufferedfrom a development deficit.The political parties have notbeen in a position to investenough time, thought and

    effort into creating a sound

    development policy. In thefew instances that they have,they have not remained ingovernment for long enoughto see the implementationof these policies through.Successive governmentshave spent significant timeand resources trying to en-sure their longevity, and havenot focused on laying downpolicies that could boostdevelopment in Nepal.

    The last time Nepalicitizens had an opportunityto elect their representativesto parliament was 14 yearsago in 1999. This has led tosevere problems of account-ability and legitimacy.

    Today, several people in thecountry query the legitimacyof the Maoist-led caretakergovernment, and the legalityof its decisions is beingquestioned.

    The key problem is that

    the senior leaders of the

    major political parties — theMaoists, the Congress andthe CPN (UML) — are notaccountable to the public.

    For now, democratic gover-nance is all but absent ascitizens are neither properlyrepresented in government,nor allowed to participatein decision-making throughinstitutional frameworks.

    Besides,there is little to noaccountability as politicianshave not been faced withelectoral anxiety for the lastfive years. This has all led toan acute legitimacy crisisfor the government, whichin turn continues to impedeits performance.

    (The author specialises in the

     political economy of South

    and Southeast Asia and is

    a co-founder of StoneBench

     Research and Communications.

     He can be reached at 

    [email protected])

    ACUTE LEGITIMACY CRISIS FOR THE GOVERNMENT

    CONTINUES TO IMPEDE ITS PERFORMANCE

          b     u     r     n      i     n     g      b     r      i     g      h      t

     Ananta Raj LuitelKathmandu

    With an offer to Chief Justice (CJ),Khil Raj Regmi to accept premier-ship of an independent govern-ment to hold elections to the

    Constituent Assembly, a unique situationhas emerged where the judiciary is beingproposed to handle politics.

    Accepting or rejecting the offer may bethe personal choice of the CJ, but itssignificance is not to be taken lightlybecause the matter is serious. His successor failure would definitely matter interms of independence of the judiciaryand the rule of law in the country.

    CJ Regmi may assume the post becausethe political parties have almostunanimously offered him the role of chief executive as an impartial andindependent institution. However, thisreflects that the parties have failed tolead the nation and do not wish tosee their opponents in the post.

    When the politicians were unable todeliver on their promise and improvethe political situation, the politicalleadership proposed that the judiciaryhandle the complicated situation. But

    this could directly or indirectly politicisethe judiciary and raise doubts aboutthe level of trust.

    Still, the move was not a total surprisebecause politicians have already forcedthe judiciary to get favour from thepoliticians by introducing parliamentaryhearing prior to the appointment of Supreme Court justices. The appoint-ment has been politicised though thesystem was introduced to make itaccountable and conduct checks andbalances through impeachment process,as per the Constitution.

    The parliamentary hearing system isknown as the best practice in the UnitedStates to correct the presidential nomi-nation. But copying it improperly hasalready adversely affected our judiciaryand various constitutional bodies.

    Moreover, Sub-Clause (2) of Article 100of the Interim Constitution states thatthe judiciary shall remain committed inpursuing concepts, norms and values of the independent judiciary and realisingthe spirit of democracy and the people’smovements, which clearly reflectsinfluence of politics.

    “Appointing CJ as prime minister ispushing the judiciary into politicsbecause if the judiciary is involved in badpolitics, it would definitely invite a horrif-ic situation — not only for the CJ but thewhole judiciary,” Hari Krishna Karki,president of Nepal Bar Association toldTHT Perspectives. “This would push theindependent, impartial and apolitical

     judiciary into scandal,”Karki added.

    Justiceversus

    politicsSECURING THE

    INDEPENDENCE OF

     JUDICIARY IS A MUST

    legaleagle

    Sandip NepalKathmandu

    Is stock the most convenientcomponent of capital structurein Nepal? Why almost everycompany — whether financial,

    manufacturing, hydropower orfrom any other sector — prefercommon equity over bonds ordebentures? Have investors, whosupply funds to corporations,companies, inhaling funds fromthe market or regulatory bodies,regulating the Nepali capitalmarket, ever thought about therationale behind ‘common equi-ty-driven’ capital market?

    In an attempt to scrutinise theroot causes of ongoing capitalstructure regime, this articleshall scrupulously try to identifythe possible underlying dynam-ics, eventually encouraging com-panies to go for ‘stocks’, as a lastresort of raising capital funds.

    The investment environmentin Nepal has not been stable sincea decade and comprises many un-foreseeable risks associated withpolicy, political and regulatoryinstability, operating environ-

    ment, macro dynamics, et cetera.The sceptic financial perfor-mance and health of companies,operating with higher degree of business uncertainties, whichcould consequently affect theirrepayment capacities, couldbe the triggering factor forcompanies opting commonequity over bonds or debentures.

    Considering such a volatile andrickety external operating envi-ronment, it is very difficult forcompanies to project their cashflows for a particular fiscal year.Thus, though they endeavour togenerate profitability and eventu-ally aspire to distribute divi-dends, due to volatile externali-ties, companies could be inclined

    towards stock,which does not enforce

    them for yearly obligatorypayments in return for thecollected capital funds.

    If we look at obligationsor liabilities that compa-nies bear towards com-mon stockholders, interms of liabilities, the

    dividend payment is notmandatory and solely de-

    pends on profitability andthe company’s dividend poli-cies. Furthermore, as com-panies are not duty-bound

    for dividend paymentsand neither is cumula-

    tive, common equitycould have been themost preferred capi-tal structure tool.

    Now, under such sce-nario, who is to be blamed? Is itthe regulators for not streamlin-ing mandatory benchmarks orproportion for capital instru-ments, the government, for notbeing able to provide an attrac-tive and trusted investment envi-ronment or the stakeholders,pouring in money without rigor-

    ous risk-return assessment?Minutely dissecting, the pay-

    outs of many corporations, on anaverage, have been mostly belowthe ongoing market interest rateon time deposits or even savingsin some stances. In such ascenario, every company wouldobviously opt for equity overbonds. In addition,the cash flows,that is, annual agreed couponpayments on bonds, are man-datory and legally enforceablein line with indentures.

    Beyond legal complexities, lackof corporate expertise on bondsor debentures, legal framework,level of market awarenessconcerning bonds, propensityand attraction of investors, liq-uidity of securities, capital ap-preciation issues, et cetera couldbe other directly related factorsmotivating companies to choosestocks over bonds or debentures.

    (The author is the assistant 

    manager at the research and 

    development department of 

     Mercantile Exchange Nepal Limited.

    The views expressed in this article are

    entirely personal.He can be contacted 

    through r&[email protected])

    WHAT ARE THE FACTORS MOTIVATING COMPANIES TO CHOOSE STOCKS OVER BONDS OR DEBENTURES?

    Common equity dusking bonds!

    investosansar

    ReutersBangalore

    Whether the Indian gov-ernment will reduceborrowing in the nextfiscal year is too closeto call, but economists

    polled by Reuters say its resolveto cut spending and giveaways innext week’s budget will reigniteinvestor confidence.

    Finance Minister, P Chidam-baram will deliver the annualbudget on February 28, his lastfull budget before the country

    goes to the polls early next year.

    Increased spending on socialwelfare and other benefits hasbeen commonplace in Indianbudgets for many years. Butanalysts say the tone of this bud-get will be different, steeringclear of populist measures — even this close to an election.

    “In view of this particular elec-tion, oddly enough, there may bepolitical ground to be made onstressing that the government iskeeping with its fiscal consolida-tion goal,” said Vishnu Varathan,economist at Mizuho CorporateBank. Indeed, officials involved

    in budget preparations told

    Reuters the Finance Ministryplans to slash the public spendingtarget by up to 10 per cent in thenew fiscal year, which wouldmake it the most austere budgetin recent times.

    Chidambaram has alreadyslashed public expenditure in thecurrent fiscal year to March bysome nine per cent from theoriginal target. In the Reuterspoll, conducted between Febru-ary14 to 21, 19 of 23 economistsexpected the budget to help bringin foreign investment. Almost asmany — 18 — predicted the focus

    of Chidambaram’s budget speech

    will be on slashing subsidies andgovernment handouts.

    Eighteen said they expectspending cuts to mainly focuson fuel subsidies and defence.India’s fuel subsidy bill swelledby almost 73 per cent in 2011-12,compared to the previous year,while defence allocation rose 18per cent in the last budget.

    The poll also predicted theFinance Ministry will axe spend-ing on rural development andfood subsidies. “This will not bea common man’s budget simplybecause there is very little roomfor that,” said Jyotinder Kaur,economist at HDFC Bank.

    India’s fiscal deficit targetnow stands at a revised 5.3 percent of GDP this fiscal year.

    Chidambaram has said hewants to get that down to 4.8 percent in 2013-14.

    Economists in the poll weresplit on the chances of overallgovernment borrowing in 2013-14being reduced from 5.7 trillionIndian rupees in 2012-13.

    Once considered a rising starin Asia, the Indian economy haslost its shine in recent years.Preliminary estimates releasedearlier this month showedgrowth dwindled to an annualfive per cent rate in the currentfiscal year to March.

    If confirmed, that would bethe slowest growth rate thatAsia’s third largest economy hasclocked in a decade. The poorperformance is reflected inthe Indian rupee’s depreciation,as the current account deficit has

    widened due to weak exports

    and slack inflows of foreigndirect investment.

    The Indian currency has lost 18per cent against the dollar sincethe start of 2011, though thedecline was limited to 3.5 per centin 2012. The Indian rupee hasgained 1.2 per cent since the startof this year. A weak global econo-my, particularly among majortrading partners like the EuroZone, is partly to blame forIndia’s poor performance lately.

    But the government’s hesitan-cy implementing reforms toattract foreign capital, and theballooning current accountdeficit has left India vulnerable toa potential downgrade in its sov-ereign debt credit rating to junkbond status. To arrest the slide ininvestment, the governmentannounced major reforms latelast year that included, amongothers, permission for global re-tailers to set up shop in India andallowing foreign investment inaviation and broadcasting.

    “By and large we expectinvestor confidence to growrather than ebb given that...theMinistry of Finance has got itssights set on rather achievablegoals and have put a lot of clarityon the direction they want policyto take,” added Mizuho Corporate

    Bank’s Varathan.

    Economist expect India to woo

    foreign investorsRESOLVE TO CUT

    SPENDING AND

    GIVEAWAYS IN

    NEXT WEEK’S

    BUDGET WILLREIGNITE INVESTOR

    CONFIDENCE