Will shifting power cause increased tensions?

Multi-polar world?

MULTI-POLAR future?• USA / EU wane, BRIC power grows.• regional spheres of influence

Broad arc stretching from Turkey eastwards to Indo-China: region of:•Unresolved territorial disputes•6 nuclear powers (China, Russia, India, Pakistan, Israel, NATO)•Numerous recent conflicts •Religious conflict•Rogue and troubled states•At least 60% of the world’s remaining oil and gas

How can tensions show themselves?

• Discussion/ ideas

Where are there tensions today?

Who might benefit from this tension?

Will shifting power cause increased tensions?

-> One global culture to another

1) Where might conflicts arise?

(what have we already got notes upon?) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mIpOUNKSXXE 5 mins/ ITV DVD 6 mins

Tension 1 China Vs USA5 Key points of this tension – causes and effects

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-12482295Revolutions could lead to a greater Islamist Centre of power?

Tensions 2: Rising Middle East

Tensions 3: China Vs India

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8JS4VZbCWj8

5 Key points of this tension – causes and effects

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/asia/article6913250.ecehttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pjACK71QQ-wChina and India slip into Cold war

Superpower Conflict• Would a multi-polar global future increase tension and conflict?• Sources of tension might be considered in terms of three global agendas:

Will shifting power cause increased tensions?

-> One global culture to another

1) Where might conflicts arise?

(what have we already got notes upon?) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mIpOUNKSXXE

2) Read p128 to 131 edexcel handout

Example = USA capitalism vs European liberalismhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MCqA4QhfXHA&feature=channel

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GOZmvaFfjtk

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2sFT7T0mCs&feature=related

3) Copy fig4.25 with title

4) Use a base map to plot conflict locations in the world today and colour code in order to explain the type of conflict which exists there:

Red = Terrorism based on culture clash

Blue = Direct intervention in countries by core countries and emerging superpowers

Orange = By-proxy indirect intervention where backers sponsor sides in a war for their benefit.

Core Intervention Terrorism By-Proxy conflict

Russia – ChechnyaNATO – AfghanistanUSA/ UK – IraqChina – UyghursUN – East Timor

11/09/2001 WTCLondon 05Mombassa 02Bali 02Mumbai 08Madrid 04

Ethiopia Vs Somalia/Somaliland – (USA vs Islam)Israel – Palestine (USA vs Islam)Pakistan – ‘Taliban’ (USA vs Islam)Afghanistan - Taliban (USA vs Iran)

Read Pearson p96-103