World Cup Ratings 2010

8/9/2019 World Cup Ratings 2010

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Contents

Introduction..........................................................................................................................................3

Methodology.........................................................................................................................................4

General Remarks..............................................................................................................................4

Mathematical Issuues.......................................................................................................................5

Elo Rating...................................................................................................................................5

Preliminary Round......................................................................................................................5

KO Round...................................................................................................................................6

The World Cup 2010............................................................................................................................8

Some External Predictions...............................................................................................................8

The Draw Luck................................................................................................................................9

Probability Evolution During the World Cup 2010.......................................................................10

Title Win Probability Evolution.....................................................................................................39

What if the World Cup Would be Repeated?.................................................................................40

Appendix 1 The Probability Matrices.............................................................................................42

Appendix 2 Change of Elo Coefficients..........................................................................................65

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Introduction

Though sports events like football World Cups attract an extreme interest by lots of people

participating in bets and discussing statistical issues with friends and colleagues, no quantitative and

transparent analysis software available for everyone seemed to exist till now. 1 At the first glance,

this is quite strange since it is quite easy to calculate the expected result for a single play by using

Elo coefficients.

The reason, however, becomes clear when such an approach is applied to a whole World Cup. The

complexity gets so high that the whole idea can become questionable (there are 429,981,696

possible win-lose scenarios only for the preliminaries). Luckily, it turns out that the problem

simplifies after certain assumptions (the trees recombine) which makes it though still complex

solvable.

The next step the implementation was quite time-consuming but straight-forward. The author

wants to thank all the people who helped at this stage it would not have been possible

otherwise! As base software OpenOffice.org was chosen, since it's easy to use and doesn't force any

potential users to buy new expensive software. A restricted version of the simulation software waspublished as freeware under the name World Cup Ratings 2010 and is available at

www.freeware.de, for example (or just google for worldcupratings2010v1.0.zip). The document

at hand does not deal with this software in detail, but analyses the results calculated by the

non-restricted program before, during and after the World Cup 2010.

When the World Cup 2010 started, the moment of truth had come. How would the program

perform, would the results be as expected (and also as unexpected, since otherwise it would have

been a crystal sphere)? Well, it seems they have. From the three calculated top favourites for the

Title (Brazil, Spain, Netherlands), two (Spain and Netherlands) reached the final. (This is especially

remarkable since most odd quotas at that time scarcely gave the Netherlands any chance and

England was quite at the top.)

Of course there were also surprises: The non-advancing of Italy was one, for example. The chance

for advancing was like for other favourite teams 80%. With 8 groups, it seems logical that one

(or two) favourite(s) didn't reach the next round. Though it cannot be told that statistics were the

only reason, the result is not totally unrealistic. There were also positive surprises, of course.

Germany really improved its capabilities and Uruguay took over the role of Mexico as group 'A'

favourite. (The chance that at least one non-group-favourite team reached the semi-final was quite

high (70%), by the way.) The biggest surprise however was Ghana that really surpassed statistics.

Apparantly this team absorbed the home advantage of South Africa.

Most results were published in Twitter after each play day. This document assembles them

clarified by numerous diagrams for the first time into one file and also provides detailed

mathematical background information.

The World Cup Ratings story isn't over yet, an enhanced Windows version is planned as

the European Cup 2012 gets nearer and nearer!

1 This is most probably different for professional odd providers, of course. But they also most probably useexpensive professional software not available for the public.

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Methodology

General Remarks

Of course no one can predict the outcome of a football World Cup.

Nonetheless, the overwhelming majority would answer "Brazil", if they were asked whether Brazil

or Paraguay, for instance, was more likely to win.

This answer is well-founded as it is usually the "strong" teams that win - thus teams that won in the

past - rather than the "weak" ones.

Mathematically a team's "strength" can be formulated by the Elo figure that is determined on the

basis of prior results. By that it is rather easy to determine the expected result of a game between

two teams.

However, when it comes to football tournaments the situation is far more complicated as the

compilation of the individual groups also plays a significant role. Teams that are relatively strong

might be defeated early if they have a lot of strong competitors from the beginning, while weakerteams in "easier" groups might get into further rounds. In order to determine the expected chances

all combinations have thus to be taken into consideration.

This is the idea which World Cup Ratings is based on!

All relevant single-match scenarios are analyzed on the basis of specific assumptions and are then

summarized as total results.

The results one gets are, e.g., probabilities of which team is going to reach the last sixteen round,

quarter-final and semi-final as well as the final and get the World Cup title.

After each match one has even more details with the probabilities getting more and more concrete.

Therefore, the data provided are up-dated after each World Cup playing day.

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Mathematical Issuues

Elo Rating

In order to calculate the probability considering the result of a single game, an objective measure

for a team's strength is needed. Such a measure was invented (originally for chess) by theHungarian-American statistician A. Elo.

This method can also be applied on football. Current Elo coefficients (i.e. team's strenghth) that are

calculated on the basis of this procedure can be found on http://www.elo-ratings.net.

Using the Elo ratings Elo(a) and Elo(b), the probability that team a will beat team b can thus be

calculated as follows:

400101

1),(

ab EloElobaWin

+

=

Is a play is already over, the probability is set to 1 if the result was a victory and to 0 if it was adefeat. stands for remis.

=

remis

defeat

victory

openElo

Win

P

:2

1

:0

:1

:

Preliminary RoundGeneral Points

In a World Cup each one of the eight groups (A,B,C,D,E,F) consists of 4 teams. After 6 matches per

group, the groups' first and second ones reach the round of the last sixteen with the first one of

group A playing against the second one of group B and vice versa etc:

A1 B2 and A2 B1

C1 D2 and C2 D1

E1 F2 and E2 F1

G1 H2 and G2 H1

Group Leaders

As a next step, the probability of whether a certain team a will be first and another team b will be

second within a group G is calculated as ),,( baGVE .

World Cup Ratings considers all combinations that allow a first or second place for the considerered

team.

In this, only victory/defeat is taken into consideration. Draws are measured 1/2.2

2 World Cup Ratings 2010 simulates no goal numbers since the high complexity of this issue. However, adjustments

5
http://calculated%20on%20the%20basis%20of%20this%20procedure%20can%20be%20found%20on%20http//www.elo-ratings.net.http://calculated%20on%20the%20basis%20of%20this%20procedure%20can%20be%20found%20on%20http//www.elo-ratings.net.


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All in all, there are 12 probabilities per group.

Last Sixteen Combinations

The probability of a last sixteen combination results from the following:

( ) ( )K G G a b b a V G a b V G a bG G G G E G G E G G1

8

1 2 1 21 2 1 2 1 1 2 2( ; ; , ; , ) , , , ,=

There are 144 scenarios each for each one of the 4 group double matches.

Group Scenarios

In many cases the only thing that is of interest is the probability of certain part-combinations or the

appearance of a certain team regardless of the other ones. In this case, "equal-scenarios" are created,

i.e. scenarios that were created by summarizing all the results that are of no interest. For this, all

possible 297 combinations are formed. If all last sixteen places are equal, the overall probability is

1, of course.Group scenarios are also created for all following matches.

KO Round

The Quarter-Final

In the 4 quarter finals the winners ("W") of the last sixteen rounds compete against each other as

follows:

W(A1 B2) W(C1 D2)

W(E1 F2) W(G1 H2)W(A2 B1) W(C2 D1)

W(E2 F1) W(G2 H1)

In order to determine the probability for a quarter-final comibination (e.g. A1 C1), one has to

multiply the probabilities that the competitors will reach the quarter-final, i.e. that they will win the

last sixteen round. The procedure used in here is as follows:

1. Determine the overall probabilities that teams (e.g. A1 and C1) will get into the last sixteen

round by summarizing the last sixteen scenarios correspondingly: ( )W X x K yy x

1

8

1

8

, ( )=

2. Determine the probability that teams will reach the quarter-final by summarizing all the

combinations of the last sixteen rounds: ( )W X x W x Elo x ipi

1

4

1

8

, ( ) ( , )=

3. Multiply the two probabilities:K x y W x W y

1

4

1

8

1

8

( , ) ( ) ( )=

The number of scenarios (without equal-scenarios) is 64 each.

Matches that have already taken place are considered by giving a probability of one to combinations

that actually took place and a probability of 0 to those that are not possible any more.

Like in the last sixteen equal-scenarios are also created in the quarter-final.

of the advancing groups are possible in the program a critical judgement by the user is nevertheless essential!

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The Semi-Final

The two semi-finals are considered analogously to the quarter-final matches. In order to determine

the probability for a final combination one has to multiply the probabilities that the competitors will

get into the semi-final, i.e. that they will win the quarter-final.


The Final

The final is considered analogously to the quarter-final matches. In order to determine the

probability for a final combination one has to multiply the probabilities that the competitors will

reach the final, i.e. that they will win the semi-final. As a team cannot play against itself each

combination has to be run through; subsequently, a standard figure of all combinations is calculated.


The Match for the Third Place

The match for the third place is considered analogously to the final matches.

The World Champion

The probability that one of the 32 teams will win the world champion title results from the

measured sum of probabilities that it will win in all possible final combinations.

The Third Place

The probability that one of the 32 teams will become third results from the measured sum of

probabilities that it will will in all possible combinations considering the match for the third place.

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The World Cup 2010

It is time now to check if the described methodology works also in the real life. In order to have a

comparison, first some external predictions are introduced and compared with the World Cup

Ratings probabilities. The following chapters deal then with the details of the latter.

Some External Predictions

As a benchmark it is useful to look at the predictions of the favourites for Title win of some

banks, at first:3

Goldman Sachs: Brazil (14%), Spain (11%), Germany (9%), England (9%), Argentina (9%)

JP Morgan: England

Deka Bank: Brazil, ..., Germany (6%)

UniCredit: Spain, England, France, Brazil, Argentina, ItalyAnother valuable prediction source are the odd quotas just before the World Cup (probability = 1/

(1 + quota)). Generally, the following average probabilities were assumed: Spain (16%), Brazil

(14%), England (13%), Argentina (9%), Italy (7%), Germany (7%), Netherlands (6%), France (5%).

Let's see now what World Cup Ratings predicted: Brazil (16%), Spain (15%), Netherlands

(14%), England (10%), Italy (7%), Germany (6%), Argentina (6%), France (3%). Hmm, it doesn't

seem to be too bad, especially for the Netherlands. (The reason is clear in the next chapter, where

the draw luck is analysed.) Finally, of the three favourites of this prediction (Brazil, Spain,

Netherlands) two reached the final (Spain, Netherlands) which can be seen as a great model

success.

3 These are traditionally published before any World Cup and are generally based on complex mathematical models.These models are normally not available for everyone, however, nor are the results updated.

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The Draw Luck

At the start, it is interesting to see which teams were favoured by the group constellation draw

compared to a pure statistical Title win chance. As it is clear from the table, the Netherlands were

especially lucky with 3% more than normally while Spain had a 1% minus.

9

Actual Probability [%] A priori Probability [%] Draw luck [%]

South Africa 0,0 0,1 -0,1

Mexico 4,5 4,4 0,1

Uruguay 1,7 2,2 -0,5

France 3,2 3,4 -0,3

Argentina 5,6 5,2 0,5

Nigeria 0,2 0,5 -0,3

South Korea 0,5 0,9 -0,4

Greece 0,4 0,8 -0,4

England 10,3 8,8 1,5

USA 1,2 1,2 0,0Algeria 0,0 0,0 0,0

Slovenia 0,2 0,2 0,0

Germany 6,3 6,3 0,0

Australia 0,9 1,2 -0,3

Serbia 1,9 2,3 -0,4

Ghana 0,2 0,4 -0,2

Netherlands 13,9 11,2 2,7

Denmark 1,0 1,2 -0,2

Japan 0,5 0,7 -0,2

Cameroon 0,4 0,5 -0,1

Italy 7,4 6,5 1,0

Paraguay 0,8 0,8 0,0New Zealand 0,0 0,0 0,0

Slovakia 0,1 0,1 0,0

Brazil 15,9 16,3 -0,4

North Korea 0,0 0,0 0,0

Ivory Coast 0,7 0,7 0,0

Portugal 3,3 3,3 0,0

Spain 14,8 15,8 -1,1

Switzerland 0,7 0,9 -0,2

Honduras 0,6 0,9 -0,2

Chile 2,9 3,5 -0,6


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Probability Evolution During the World Cup 2010

Here it is, the probability collection to reach the different stages of the World Cup 2010 for each

team participating. The teams are listed from bottom to top, the probabilities are shown in percent.

The following pages show the probabilities after nearly each play with a shoert comment. Most of

this was also published at the respective date in the usenet group rec.sport.soccerand in Twitter by

worldcupratings.

The favourites for the Semi-Final, Final and Title at the start of the World Cup

10

Brazil

Spain

Netherlands

England

Italy

Germany

Argentina

Mexico

PortugalFrance

rest

Brazil

Spain

Netherlands

England

Italy

Germany

Argentina

Mexico

PortugalFrance

rest

Brazil

Spain

Netherlands

England

Italy

Germany

Argentina

Mexico

PortugalFrance

rest

Brazil

Spain

Netherlands

England

Italy

Germany

Argentina

Mexico

PortugalFrance

rest

Brazil

Spain

Netherlands

England

Italy

Germany

Argentina

Mexico

Portugal

France

rest

Brazil

SpainNetherlands

England

Italy

Germany

Argentina

Mexico

Portugal

France

rest

Brazil

Spain

Netherlands

England

Italy

Germany

Argentina

Mexico

Portugal

France

rest


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Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal

Semi-FinalQuarter-Final

Last 16

06/10/2010

The initial setup shows Brazil being the favourite for the Title with 16% probability, followed by

Spain and the Netherlands with 15% and 14%, respectively.

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06/11/2010

The first play day resulted in two remis of the "favourites" (Mexico, France) against the "outsiders"

(South Africa, Uruguay). Though the outcomes were not the most probable ones (especially for the

first of the two plays), a "sensation" didn't happen.

The results of the two plays affect the World Cup probabilities as shown in the second table

beneath. The chances of France and especially Mexico dropped significantly, while the (still)

weaker teams significantly increased their probabilities of reaching the next round.

12

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


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06/12/2010

Statistically, the least probable result of World Cup day 2 was the remis between England and USA.

This has significant effects for a big part of the tournament! Not only did England's chances for

reaching the Title drop by 2% to 10%. Also the chances of Germany and Spain are slightly lower

now, since they will play against England with a higher probability at an earlier stage.

The other two play results were more probable and have the following effects. Greece's chances of

reaching the next round are only marginal now, the changes of Nigeria are small. Argentina will

nearly surely reach the next round as well as (a little less surely) South Korea will do.

13

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


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06/13/2010

The 3rd World Cup day yielded one quite improbable result and two probable ones. Ghana won and

dramatically increased the chances for reaching the next round by 30%. Serbia lost in the same

amount and has only low (but still existing) chances to reach the next round. Germany fully met the

expectations, increased the probability for the next round to nearly 90% and is - though not the

absolute favourite - a team with real Title chances. Australia has still substantial chances for

reaching the next round, but not as high as Ghana.

In the outsider duel, Slovenia won as expected against Algeria. The latter team is paractically out

now, but even Slovenia will more probably not reach the Last 16.

14

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


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06/14/2010

The Netherlands' victory against Denmark has dramatically increased their alrady high Title

chances at Brazil level. Denmark has still good chances to reach the next round.

Japan increased the chances for the next round to slightly over 50%. Cameroon is practically out.

Italy's missing of a probable victory reduced slightly its Title chances. Nevertheless it stays the high

favourite in its group. Paraguay has very good chances to reach the next round, now.

15

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


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06/14/2010 - Elo coefficients update

Meanwhile, the new Elo ratings as of June 14 are used. In comparison to the hitherto results with

Elo numbers as of June 10, several changes can be observed. Especially the Title probabilities for

Germany and the Netherlands rose by nearly 2% while the chances of England and Italy dropped by

the same amount. The current Title favourite are the Netherlands, followed by Brazil and Spain.

16

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


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06/15/2010

Today's results changed the probabilities only slightly since the expectations were generally met.

Brazil has - after the very probable victory against North Korea - the second best Title chances after

the Netherlands. Portugal lost chances for group advance and has to be careful - though the chances

are good. The chances of Slovakia and New Zealand remain small - though not negligible.

17

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


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06/16/2010

Spain's dramatic defeat against Switzerland has decreased its Title chances dramatically by over

5%. Spain remains 3rd in the Title chances, but only very slightly before Germany and England.

Switzerland has still no significant Title, but good chances to survive the preliminaries. Chile has

after the probable victory against Honduras very good chances to reach the last 16 and also 4% Title

chances! Honduras is practically out.

The - also quite probable - victory of Uruguay against South Africa made the reaching of the next

round quite probable. South Africa will - also quite probably - not reach the next round.

18

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


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06/17/2010

The defeat of France against Mexico let France's probability for reaching next round drop

dramatically by 20% to now only 34%. Mexico has good chances to reach the next round now and

even a 4% chance for Title win.

Greece regained some chances for the next round by winning against Nigeria that is nearly out now.

Although South Korea lost against Argentina it has still significant chances to advance. Argentina is

nearly surely in the next round.

19

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


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06/18/2010

If there's one advice for the preliminaries that can be given from a probability point of view it's

"never miss an easy win" since otherwise chances will drop dramatically. Exactly this happend 3

times in Day 8 of the World Cup 2010.

In the first game, Germany's defeat against Serbia decreased its chances to reach the next round

dramatically by 20%. Germany also fell back to the 5th place in the Title chance ranking again.

Serbia remains in the tournament and has a slightly better than 50-50 chance to reach the next

round. England's chances also dropped dramatically - especially the probability to reach the next

round is only 65% now. Algeria, on the other hand, is despite increased probabilities still an outsider

with only minimal chances. The USA and Slovenia have after the remis a similar 60% chance to

reach the next round.

20

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal

Quarter-FinalSemi-Final

Last 16


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06/19/2010

Today's Ghana - Australia remis had only a small impact on the advance probability of both teams.

While Ghana has a 50-50 chance to reach the next round, Australia has only roughly 20%. The

victory of the Netherlands against Japan decreased Japan's chance to reach the Last 16 to now

roughly 50-50. The same chance has also Denmark to reach the next round now after its success

against Cameroon. Cameroon is out of the tournament now.

The Netherlands are now surely in the next round and have a 20% chance to win the Title -

currently the highest of all teams!

21

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100TitleFinal


Last 16


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Meanwhile, the new Elo ratings as of June 18 are used. In comparison to the hitherto results with

Elo numbers as of June 14, several changes can be observed. Especially the Title probabilities for

Germany and Spain dropped by over 2% while the chances of Argentina and Mexico rose by the

same amount. The current Title favourites are the Netherlands, followed by Brazil and Argentina.

22

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


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06/20/2010

Italy's probability to win the Title dropped dramatically after the remis against New Zealand and is

lower than e.g. Mexico's now. New Zealand has now not negligible chances to advance to the next

round, but is still an outsider for the rest of the tournament.

Paraguay has achieved a very high probability to reach the Last 16. Slovakia has only marginal

chances to advance. Brazil - last but not least - increased the Title chances even more to 18% -

second only to the Netherlands. Cote d'Ivoire has still good chances to advance.

23

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


24/65

06/21/2010

Today's spectacular victory of Portugal against North Korea increased Portugal's chances to

advance to 60%. The Title probability remains low, however. North Korea is out of the tournament,

now.

The victory of Chile nearly secured the advance and also increased the Title probability to 5%.

Switzerland has after the defeat a 50-50 chance to reach the Last 16. Spain's advance chance is also

50-50 after the win against Honduras that has only marginal chances.

24

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


25/65

06/22/2010

Now that South Africa and France are out, Uruguay's and Mexico's chances - of course - increased

dramatically. Each have now an over 6% probability for Title win.

Greece and Nigeria are also no longer in the tournament - and the chances of the advancing teams

increase accordingly. Argentina has a 10% chance to win the Title, South Korea remains an outsider,

however.

25

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


26/65

06/23/2010

By winning against Slovenia, England advances to the next round as well as the USA advances by

winning against Algeria. England's chances increase clearly - the probability of Title win is at 7%

now - and also the USA get some minor chances. Germany also advances by winning against Ghana

- as well as Ghana does. The victory of Australia against Serbia is not enough for the next round -

both teams are out now. Germany's chance to win the Title is at 6% now (and would have been

higher if the team became group second). Ghana - though an outsider - has some chances for the

next plays as it took the "easy path".

Today's results have also effects on the chances of the other teams. The most notable ones are the

Title win decreases for Mexico and Argentina by around 1% and the increases for Uruguay, the

Netherlands and Brazil by roughly the half amount.

26

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


27/65

06/24/2010

Italy misses its 65% chance to advance by losing against Slovakia. Slovakia reaches the next round

but remains an extreme outsider. The remis of Paraguay and New Zealand is sufficient for Paraguay

to advance - with a Title win probability of 3%. New Zealand is out without losing any play.

The Netherlands strengthen their position and are with 23% Title favourite. Cameroon was already

out of the tournament. Japan secures its advance to the next round by winning against Denmark that

is out now.

27

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


28/65

06/25/2010

The Brazil - Portugal remis secured the advance of both teams and increased Brazil's chance for

Title win to 20%. Portugal's chances to win the next play are only 25%, however. The victory of

Cote d'Ivoire against North Korea has no effect on the tournament since both teams are out.

Spain won not only against Chile but also secured the first place in its group and avoided the next

play against Brazil. This leads to an impressive increase of the Title win probability to now over

15%! Chile has still a 4% chance to win the Title, while Switzerland and Honduras are both out

after their remis.

Today's results - especially the advance of Spain - reduced the Title win probabilities of most other

teams by around 1% - except Brazil that won 1% since it won't have to play against Spain in the

quarter-final.

28

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


29/65

06/26/2010

In the first quarter-final, Uruguay will play against Ghana, after they won against South Korea and

the USA, respectively. The chances of Uruguay to win the Title are now at 9% - Ghana's chances

are at 2% only.

29

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


30/65

06/27/2010

Germany doubled its chances for Title win by winning against England. Argentina's chances also

increased dramatically after and winning against Mexico and are a little higher than Germany's.

The favourites are still the Netherlands, Brazil and Spain.

30

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


31/65


The new Elo coefficients as of June 27 have dramatically changed the probabilities for Title win.

The chaces of most teams converged.

Favourites, however are still the Netherlands, Brazil and Spain.

31

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


32/65

06/28/2010

After the victory against Chile, Brazil increased its chances clearly and is the new Title favourite

with a 24% probability. The Netherlands had a smaller increase since the task against Slovakia was

easier and come now to 19%.

32

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


33/65

06/29/2010

After the victory of Paraguay against Japan in today's outsider duel, Paraguay's Title chances

increased, but are still lower than 3%.

Spain's Title win probability increased tremendously after the win against Portugal to 22%!

Spain's victory decreased the Title win chances of all other teams. The favourite remains Brazil,

followed by Spain and the Netherlands which fell to the 3rd rank.

33

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


34/65

07/02/2010

After the (only) slightly improbable win of the Netherlands against Brazil in the quarter-final, the

Netherlands are the house-high favourite for the Title.

Since the strongest team is out now, the chances of all the others have increased slightly. This

increase would have been even higher if Ghana had won against Uruguay - which was not the case.

The new favorites for the Title are: Netherlands (36%), Spain (23%) and Uruguay (15%). The latter

will lose this rank to Argentina or Germany after the play tomorrow, however.

34

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


35/65

07/03/2010

Spain's and Germany's advances against Paraguay and Argentina have - especially for Germany -

extremely increased their chances for Title win. Spain's advance has also reduced the win

probabilities of the remaining other teams.

The new favourite for the Title win is Spain (33%), followed by the Netherlands (32%). Germany

has with 29% the best chance to win the play for the 3rd place.

35

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


36/65


The new Elo coefficient as of July 3 have changed the probabilities for Title win. The current

favourite are the Netherlands (35%), Spain (31%) and Germany (25%). With 32%, Germany is the

favourite for the 3rd place.

36

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


37/65

07/07/2010

After the semi-finals, the two teams with the highest win probabilities - the Netherlands and Spain -

succeeded against Uruguay and Germany. It's exactly 50-50 now which team will get the Title.

As for the 3rd place, Germany is the clear favourite with a 70% chance.

37

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


38/65

07/07/2010 Elo coefficients update

The new Elo coefficients changed probabilities only slightly.

Spain has now as 52% chance for the Title win.

07/10/2010

As expected, Germany won against Uruguay the play for the 3rd place.

07/11/2010

Spainrealized its slight favourite role against the Netherlands and became

World Champion2010!

38

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


39/65

Title Win Probability Evolution

The diagram beneath shows the probability changes for some extraordinary teams. It is especially

interesting to see how Spain regained ground after the bad start and finally got the Title.

11.06.10 16.06.10 21.06.10 26.06.10 01.07.10 06.07.10 11.07.10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Title Win Probability Evolution [%]

(with Elo number updates)

Uruguay

Argentina

England

Germany

Netherlands

Italy

Brazil

Spain

39


40/65

What if the World Cup Would be Repeated?

What if the World Cup would be repeated? Of course every team would have to replay its

preliminary matches, but the KO round combinations would be different. Since the Elo coefficients

during the tournament have changed in order to reflect the current strength of the teams also the

probabilities for the Title would be different. Now, Spain, the Netherlands and Germany would have

the best chances with 20%, 19% and 14%. Brazil would come to 13% and Argentina to 8%.

40

Group A

South Africa

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Group B

Argentina

Nigeria

South Korea

Greece

Group C

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Group D

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Group E

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Group F

Italy

Paraguay

New Zealand

Slovakia

Group G

Brazil

North Korea

Cote d'Ivoire

Portugal

Group H

Spain

Sw itzerland

Honduras

Chile

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TitleFinal


Last 16


41/65

The following diagram shows the for some cases extreme Title win probability changes:

41

SouthAfrica

Mexico

Uruguay

France

Argentina

Nigeria

SouthKorea

Greece

England

USA

Algeria

Slovenia

Germany

Australia

Serbia

Ghana

Netherlands

Denmark

Japan

Cameroon

Italy

Paraguay

NewZ

ealand

Slovakia

Brazil

NorthKorea

Coted'Ivoire

Portugal

Spain

Switzerland

Honduras

Chile

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Before World Cup

After World Cup


42/65

Appendix 1 The Probability Matrices

This chapter lists all the probability matrices calculated for each day with World Cup Ratings 2010.

06/10

Last 16 Quarter-Final Semi-Final Final Title

Group A

South Africa 20.39 6.77 1.86 0.41 0.08

Mexico 65.91 40.23 21.26 9.3 3.94

Uruguay 52.6 28.17 12.88 4.88 1.73

France 61.1 35.49 17.75 7.35 2.91

Group B

Argentina 78.48 46.74 26.69 12.84 5.77

Nigeria 35.05 11.13 3.34 0.8 0.18

South Korea 48.55 18.79 6.87 2.04 2.04

Greece 37.93 12.7 4.02 1.02 0.25

Group C

England 90.39 62.99 33.96 19.18 11.02

USA 59.92 22.65 11.75 3.54 0.96

Algeria 14.47 2.2 1.13 0.14 0.01

Slovenia 35.23 9.08 4.7 0.95 0.17

Group D

Germany 77.24 50.29 26.03 13.49 6.55

Australia 45.59 19.67 10.34 3.38 1.03

Serbia 54.53 26.09 13.69 5.04 1.74

Ghana 22.64 7.03 3.71 0.83 0.18

Group E

Netherlands 89.62 70.66 41.27 23.15 14.57

Denmark 47.56 20.5 5.5 3.28 0.91

Japan 31.07 10.76 2.2 1.32 0.28

Cameroon 31.74 11.11 2.3 1.38 0.3

Group F

Italy 87.57 55.25 26.64 15.29 7.28

Paraguay 61.55 21.54 5.45 3.26 0.89

New Zealand 17.85 2.78 0.29 0.18 0.02

Slovakia 33.03 7.4 1.13 0.69 0.12

Group G

Brazil 91.7 67.39 38.03 21.77 15.64

North Korea 8.15 0.78 0.45 0.27 0.03

Cote d'Ivoire 34.1 7.97 4.64 2.77 0.69

Portugal 66.06 23.86 13.86 8.08 3.08

Group H

Spain 89.79 65.47 38.45 21.69 14.92

Switzerland 26.91 6.46 3.7 2.23 0.59

Honduras 23.42 5.2 2.98 1.8 0.44

Chile 59.88 22.87 13.12 7.68 3.14

06/11


Group A

South Africa 30.39 10.16 2.8 0.61 0.12

Mexico 54.72 33.3 17.74 7.85 3.32

42


43/65

Uruguay 55.53 29.85 13.72 5.17 1.84

France 59.36 34.51 17.37 7.21 2.86

Group B

Argentina 78.48 47.76 27.44 13.19 5.93

Nigeria 35.05 11.64 3.51 0.84 0.19

South Korea 48.55 19.52 7.19 2.14 2.14

Greece 37.93 13.26 4.22 1.07 0.26

Group C

England 90.39 62.99 34.21 19.35 11.12

USA 59.92 22.65 11.82 3.56 0.97

Algeria 14.47 2.2 1.14 0.14 0.01

Slovenia 35.23 9.08 4.73 0.96 0.17

Group D

Germany 77.24 50.29 26.18 13.58 6.6

Australia 45.59 19.67 10.41 3.4 1.04

Serbia 54.53 26.09 13.78 5.08 1.75

Ghana 22.64 7.03 3.74 0.84 0.18

Group E

Netherlands 89.62 70.66 41.27 23.19 14.6

Denmark 47.56 20.5 5.5 3.29 0.92

Japan 31.07 10.76 2.2 1.32 0.28

Cameroon 31.74 11.11 2.3 1.38 0.3

Group F

Italy 87.57 55.25 26.64 15.31 7.3

Paraguay 61.55 21.54 5.45 3.26 0.89

New Zealand 17.85 2.78 0.29 0.18 0.02

Slovakia 33.03 7.4 1.13 0.69 0.12

Group G

Brazil 91.7 67.39 38.03 21.81 15.67

North Korea 8.15 0.78 0.45 0.27 0.03

Cote d'Ivoire 34.1 7.97 4.64 2.78 0.69

Portugal 66.06 23.86 13.86 8.1 3.08

Group H

Spain 89.79 65.47 38.45 21.71 14.94

Switzerland 26.91 6.46 3.7 2.23 0.59

Honduras 23.42 5.2 2.98 1.8 0.44

Chile 59.88 22.87 13.12 7.69 3.15

06/13


Group A

South Africa 30.39 9.56 2.65 0.58 0.12

Mexico 54.72 32.36 17.34 7.71 3.28

Uruguay 55.53 28.82 13.35 5.05 1.81

France 59.36 33.46 16.97 7.08 2.82

Group B

Argentina 87.36 53.22 30.26 14.5 6.56

Nigeria 24.78 8.17 2.53 0.6 0.14

South Korea 71.21 28.62 10.71 3.18 3.18

Greece 16.65 5.79 1.89 0.48 0.12

Group C

England 83.91 57.88 30.34 17.2 9.78

43


44/65

USA 68.39 26.49 13.83 4.08 1.13

Algeria 13.4 2.06 1.07 0.13 0.01

Slovenia 34.3 8.94 4.64 0.93 0.17

Group D

Germany 77.24 49.85 25.82 13.32 6.54

Australia 45.59 20.43 10.67 3.49 1.08

Serbia 54.53 26.87 14.03 5.17 1.8

Ghana 22.64 7.47 3.91 0.88 0.19

Group E

Netherlands 89.62 70.66 41.27 23.57 14.79

Denmark 47.56 20.5 5.5 3.28 0.93

Japan 31.07 10.76 2.2 1.32 0.29

Cameroon 31.74 11.11 2.3 1.38 0.3

Group F

Italy 87.57 55.25 26.64 15.22 7.33

Paraguay 61.55 21.54 5.45 3.28 0.9

New Zealand 17.85 2.78 0.29 0.18 0.02

Slovakia 33.03 7.4 1.13 0.69 0.12

Group G

Brazil 91.7 67.39 38.03 22.2 15.9

North Korea 8.15 0.78 0.45 0.27 0.03

Cote d'Ivoire 34.1 7.97 4.64 2.78 0.7

Portugal 66.06 23.86 13.86 8.09 3.11

Group H

Spain 89.79 65.47 38.45 21.56 14.92

Switzerland 26.91 6.46 3.7 2.25 0.59

Honduras 23.42 5.2 2.98 1.82 0.45

Chile 59.88 22.87 13.12 7.75 3.18

06/14


Group A

South Africa 30.39 9.56 2.68 0.58 0.12

Mexico 54.72 32.36 17.39 7.72 3.28

Uruguay 55.53 28.82 13.43 5.07 1.82

France 59.36 33.46 17.04 7.09 2.82

Group B

Argentina 87.36 53.22 30.12 14.44 6.49

Nigeria 24.78 8.17 2.6 0.61 0.14

South Korea 71.21 28.62 10.85 3.2 3.2

Greece 16.65 5.79 1.93 0.48 0.12

Group C

England 82.5 58.16 30.28 17.17 9.78

USA 66.66 26.98 14.03 4.12 1.15

Algeria 3.84 0.6 0.31 0.04 0

Slovenia 46.99 12.8 6.65 1.33 0.24

Group D

Germany 88.15 57.64 29.86 15.59 7.54

Australia 33.73 14.51 7.56 2.43 0.77

Serbia 24.25 11.66 6.07 2.24 0.79

Ghana 53.88 17.65 9.19 2.04 0.43

Group E

44


45/65

Netherlands 94.65 74.11 42.06 24.84 15.62

Denmark 41.01 17.96 5.09 2.98 0.82

Japan 53.17 19.26 4.05 2.39 0.51

Cameroon 11.17 4.06 0.87 0.52 0.11

Group F

Italy 81.91 49.51 24.12 13.6 6.54

Paraguay 68.68 25.46 6.7 3.95 1.06

New Zealand 17.09 2.57 0.27 0.17 0.02

Slovakia 32.32 7.07 1.11 0.67 0.11

Group G

Brazil 91.7 67.39 37.28 21.93 15.74

North Korea 8.15 0.78 0.46 0.28 0.03

Cote d'Ivoire 34.1 7.97 4.71 2.79 0.7

Portugal 66.06 23.86 14.05 8.14 3.11

Group H

Spain 89.79 65.47 39.45 21.81 15.01

Switzerland 26.91 6.46 3.69 2.24 0.59

Honduras 23.42 5.2 2.96 1.81 0.45

Chile 59.88 22.87 13.11 7.73 3.17

06/14 Elo update


Group A

South Africa 34.33 11.18 3.37 0.81 0.18

Mexico 55.1 30.71 16.04 6.94 2.88

Uruguay 54.41 26.79 12.27 4.6 1.64

France 56.16 28.76 13.72 5.37 2

Group B

Argentina 88.95 56.54 32.45 15.84 7.37

Nigeria 23.13 7.56 2.31 0.52 0.12

South Korea 75.53 34.68 14.48 4.81 4.81

Greece 12.38 3.77 1.07 0.22 0.05

Group C

England 80.65 53.96 28.06 15.23 8.24

USA 68.14 29.27 15.24 4.95 1.53

Algeria 3.24 0.43 0.22 0.03 0

Slovenia 47.98 13.69 7.14 1.58 0.32

Group D

Germany 89.52 61.2 32.06 17.9 9.39

Australia 26.84 9.7 5.03 1.32 0.35

Serbia 19.58 8.27 4.3 1.36 0.42

Ghana 64.06 23.49 12.22 3.22 0.82

Group E

Netherlands 95.4 76.92 44.83 26.62 17.21

Denmark 38.08 15.77 4.09 2.34 0.57

Japan 57.18 21.94 4.93 2.85 0.62

Cameroon 9.34 3.06 0.57 0.33 0.06

Group F

Italy 80.48 45.7 20.81 11.66 5.13

Paraguay 69.94 27 7.57 4.38 1.21

New Zealand 17.15 2.55 0.28 0.16 0.02

Slovakia 32.43 7.05 1.12 0.66 0.11

45


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Group G

Brazil 91.7 67.39 36.84 21.79 15.53

North Korea 8.15 0.78 0.47 0.27 0.03

Cote d'Ivoire 34.1 7.97 4.74 2.77 0.68

Portugal 66.06 23.86 14.13 8.08 3.05

Group H

Spain 89.79 65.47 39.91 21.67 14.8

Switzerland 26.91 6.46 3.67 2.23 0.58

Honduras 23.42 5.2 2.95 1.8 0.44

Chile 59.88 22.87 13.09 7.68 3.11

06/15


Group A

South Africa 34.33 11.18 3.37 0.81 0.18

Mexico 55.1 30.71 16.04 6.93 2.87

Uruguay 54.41 26.79 12.27 4.59 1.64

France 56.16 28.76 13.72 5.36 2

Group B

Argentina 88.95 56.54 32.45 15.85 7.36

Nigeria 23.13 7.56 2.31 0.52 0.12

South Korea 75.53 34.68 14.48 4.81 4.81

Greece 12.38 3.77 1.07 0.22 0.05

Group C

England 80.65 53.96 28.06 15.2 8.22

USA 68.14 29.27 15.24 4.95 1.53

Algeria 3.24 0.43 0.22 0.03 0

Slovenia 47.98 13.69 7.14 1.59 0.32

Group D

Germany 89.52 61.2 32.06 17.9 9.37

Australia 26.84 9.7 5.03 1.32 0.35

Serbia 19.58 8.27 4.3 1.36 0.42

Ghana 64.06 23.49 12.22 3.22 0.82

Group E

Netherlands 95.4 76.93 44.68 26.56 17.19

Denmark 38.08 15.77 4.13 2.36 0.58

Japan 57.18 21.97 4.98 2.87 0.63

Cameroon 9.34 3.07 0.58 0.34 0.06

Group F

Italy 80.83 45.88 20.92 11.69 5.14

Paraguay 70.35 27.19 7.67 4.42 1.22

New Zealand 20.64 3.1 0.34 0.2 0.02

Slovakia 28.17 6.09 0.97 0.58 0.1

Group G

Brazil 92.14 67.99 37.15 22.16 15.81

North Korea 7.3 0.66 0.4 0.23 0.02

Cote d'Ivoire 45.59 10.59 6.3 3.66 0.89

Portugal 54.97 19.74 11.69 6.71 2.53

Group H

Spain 89.79 66.25 40.29 21.81 14.86

Switzerland 26.91 6.51 3.71 2.24 0.59

Honduras 23.42 5.24 2.99 1.81 0.44

46


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Chile 59.88 23.02 13.21 7.72 3.13

06/16


Group A

South Africa 19.5 6.17 1.82 0.49 0.11

Mexico 55.42 30.85 16.03 7.14 3.09

Uruguay 69.85 34.54 15.8 6.05 2.26

France 55.24 28.27 13.43 5.43 2.12

Group B

Argentina 88.95 55.62 31.81 16.31 7.69

Nigeria 23.13 7.25 2.21 0.5 0.12

South Korea 75.53 33.68 14.01 4.82 1.62

Greece 12.38 3.6 1.02 0.21 0.05

Group C

England 80.65 53.96 27.94 15.32 8.67

USA 68.14 29.27 15.18 5.14 1.66

Algeria 3.24 0.43 0.22 0.03 0

Slovenia 47.98 13.69 7.12 1.7 0.36

Group D

Germany 89.52 61.2 31.96 18.67 9.82

Australia 26.84 9.7 5.01 1.33 0.38

Serbia 19.58 8.27 4.28 1.39 0.46

Ghana 64.06 23.49 12.17 3.33 0.89

Group E

Netherlands 95.4 76.93 44.66 26.42 18.04

Denmark 38.08 15.77 5.02 2.67 0.65

Japan 57.18 21.97 5.97 3.22 0.71

Cameroon 9.34 3.07 0.71 0.38 0.07

Group F

Italy 80.83 45.88 23.17 12.2 5.42

Paraguay 70.35 27.19 8.89 4.82 1.35

New Zealand 20.64 3.1 0.39 0.22 0.03

Slovakia 28.17 6.09 1.13 0.63 0.11

Group G

Brazil 92.14 67.26 36.58 21.62 16.1

North Korea 7.3 1.03 0.58 0.31 0.03

Cote d'Ivoire 45.59 14.27 7.93 4.31 1.06

Portugal 54.97 24.99 13.88 7.49 2.86

Group H

Spain 61.92 41.66 22.96 12.53 8.91

Switzerland 60.06 17.42 9.65 5.33 1.39

Honduras 6.48 1.49 0.82 0.49 0.13

Chile 71.54 31.88 17.67 9.52 3.86

06/17


Group A

South Africa 20.16 6.19 1.84 0.48 0.11

Mexico 76.45 43.69 22.99 9.88 4.35

47


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Uruguay 69.05 34.49 15.88 5.99 2.26

France 34.33 16.44 7.62 3.21 1.21

Group B

Argentina 91.93 57.53 31.71 17.39 7.91

Nigeria 9.3 2.84 0.9 0.19 0.05

South Korea 70.47 30.7 13.32 4.3 1.54

Greece 28.3 8.13 2.3 0.48 0.11

Group C

England 80.65 53.96 27.98 15.3 8.64

USA 68.14 29.27 15.16 5.1 1.65

Algeria 3.24 0.43 0.22 0.03 0

Slovenia 47.98 13.69 7.08 1.67 0.35

Group D

Germany 89.52 61.2 31.49 18.2 9.59

Australia 26.84 9.7 5.04 1.33 0.38

Serbia 19.58 8.27 4.29 1.39 0.46

Ghana 64.06 23.49 12.18 3.31 0.89

Group E

Netherlands 95.4 76.93 44.66 26.47 18

Denmark 38.08 15.77 5.02 2.64 0.64

Japan 57.18 21.97 5.97 3.19 0.7

Cameroon 9.34 3.07 0.71 0.38 0.07

Group F

Italy 80.83 45.88 23.17 12.09 5.38

Paraguay 70.35 27.19 8.89 4.78 1.34

New Zealand 20.64 3.1 0.39 0.22 0.03

Slovakia 28.17 6.09 1.13 0.63 0.11

Group G

Brazil 92.14 67.26 36.58 21.65 16.08

North Korea 7.3 1.03 0.58 0.3 0.03

Cote d'Ivoire 45.59 14.27 7.93 4.27 1.06

Portugal 54.97 24.99 13.88 7.43 2.84

Group H

Spain 61.92 41.66 22.96 12.48 8.87

Switzerland 60.06 17.42 9.65 5.29 1.38

Honduras 6.48 1.49 0.82 0.48 0.13

Chile 71.54 31.88 17.67 9.45 3.83

06/18


Group A

South Africa 20.16 6.19 1.84 0.48 0.11

Mexico 76.45 43.69 22.99 9.88 4.35

Uruguay 69.05 34.49 15.88 5.99 2.26

France 34.33 16.44 7.62 3.21 1.21

Group B

Argentina 91.93 57.53 31.71 17.39 7.91

Nigeria 9.3 2.84 0.9 0.19 0.05

South Korea 70.47 30.7 13.32 4.3 1.54

Greece 28.3 8.13 2.3 0.48 0.11

Group C

England 80.65 53.96 27.98 15.3 8.64

48


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USA 68.14 29.27 15.16 5.1 1.65

Algeria 3.24 0.43 0.22 0.03 0

Slovenia 47.98 13.69 7.08 1.67 0.35

Group D

Germany 89.52 61.2 31.49 18.2 9.59

Australia 26.84 9.7 5.04 1.33 0.38

Serbia 19.58 8.27 4.29 1.39 0.46

Ghana 64.06 23.49 12.18 3.31 0.89

Group E

Netherlands 95.4 76.93 44.66 26.47 18

Denmark 38.08 15.77 5.02 2.64 0.64

Japan 57.18 21.97 5.97 3.19 0.7

Cameroon 9.34 3.07 0.71 0.38 0.07

Group F

Italy 80.83 45.88 23.17 12.09 5.38

Paraguay 70.35 27.19 8.89 4.78 1.34

New Zealand 20.64 3.1 0.39 0.22 0.03

Slovakia 28.17 6.09 1.13 0.63 0.11

Group G

Brazil 92.14 67.26 36.58 21.65 16.08

North Korea 7.3 1.03 0.58 0.3 0.03

Cote d'Ivoire 45.59 14.27 7.93 4.27 1.06

Portugal 54.97 24.99 13.88 7.43 2.84

Group H

Spain 61.92 41.66 22.96 12.48 8.87

Switzerland 60.06 17.42 9.65 5.29 1.38

Honduras 6.48 1.49 0.82 0.48 0.13

Chile 71.54 31.88 17.67 9.45 3.83

06/19


Group A

South Africa 20.16 6.19 1.98 0.53 0.12

Mexico 76.45 43.69 23.49 10.08 4.53

Uruguay 69.05 34.49 16.38 6.2 2.38

France 34.33 16.44 8.02 3.46 1.31

Group B

Argentina 91.93 57.53 33.35 18.91 8.49

Nigeria 9.3 2.84 0.9 0.18 0.05

South Korea 70.47 30.7 13.43 4.24 1.59

Greece 28.3 8.13 2.38 0.5 0.11

Group C

England 64.91 44.01 22.15 12.4 7.01

USA 62.51 28.21 14.15 4.83 1.58

Algeria 12.16 2.03 0.99 0.13 0.01

Slovenia 60.43 19.3 9.59 2.31 0.48

Group D

Germany 68.3 47.95 23.99 13.49 7.55

Australia 21.66 9.12 4.56 1.32 0.36

Serbia 53.91 25.48 12.87 4.19 1.37

Ghana 56.13 23.9 11.76 3.57 0.89

Group E

49


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Netherlands 100 80.93 44.46 27.96 19.51

Denmark 54.16 22.26 7.39 3.91 0.92

Japan 45.84 17.18 5.12 2.71 0.57

Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0

Group F

Italy 80.83 45.24 23.36 12.29 5.41

Paraguay 70.35 26.16 8.86 4.77 1.32

New Zealand 20.64 2.73 0.37 0.2 0.02

Slovakia 28.17 5.51 1.07 0.59 0.1

Group G

Brazil 92.14 67.26 35.74 21.16 15.98

North Korea 7.3 1.03 0.58 0.31 0.03

Cote d'Ivoire 45.59 14.27 8 4.35 1.07

Portugal 54.97 24.99 13.97 7.54 2.88

Group H

Spain 61.92 41.66 22.85 12.48 8.92

Switzerland 60.06 17.42 9.67 5.35 1.4

Honduras 6.48 1.49 0.81 0.48 0.13

Chile 71.54 31.88 17.74 9.56 3.89

06/19 Elo update


Group A

South Africa 20.53 5.32 1.49 0.33 0.07

Mexico 76.78 47.65 28 13.36 6.78

Uruguay 68.72 37.05 19.21 8.04 3.45

France 33.97 13.8 5.99 2.23 0.74

Group B

Argentina 92.03 60.03 36.61 22.12 11.03

Nigeria 9.4 2.29 0.64 0.11 0.03

South Korea 70.34 25.3 9.92 2.75 0.9

Greece 28.23 8.56 2.8 0.67 0.17

Group C

England 63.49 41.68 19.98 10.55 5.58

USA 61.28 27.09 12.94 4.27 1.34

Algeria 13.61 2.55 1.19 0.17 0.02

Slovenia 61.62 20.34 9.63 2.36 0.51

Group D

Germany 63.59 42.45 20.23 10.28 5.12

Australia 18.77 8.11 3.87 1.11 0.3

Serbia 59.58 32.44 15.65 5.88 2.24

Ghana 58.06 25.35 11.85 3.56 0.89

Group E

Netherlands 100 80.92 45.01 28.01 19.51

Denmark 54.16 22.25 7.39 3.83 0.9

Japan 45.84 17.17 5.1 2.65 0.55

Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0

Group F

Italy 80.59 45.11 23.68 12.23 5.42

Paraguay 70.02 26.03 8.85 4.68 1.3

New Zealand 20.48 2.69 0.35 0.19 0.02

Slovakia 28.91 5.84 1.16 0.63 0.11

50


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Group G

Brazil 91.82 68.41 36 21.07 15.99

North Korea 6.5 0.8 0.45 0.24 0.02

Cote d'Ivoire 47.39 15.46 8.61 4.6 1.23

Portugal 54.29 23.88 13.26 7.04 2.64

Group H

Spain 55.49 33.88 18.41 10.07 6.63

Switzerland 68.1 23.55 12.97 6.99 2.24

Honduras 5.52 1.06 0.57 0.34 0.08

Chile 70.88 32.94 18.19 9.64 4.19

06/20


Group A

South Africa 20.53 5.32 1.49 0.33 0.07

Mexico 76.78 47.65 28 13.22 6.72

Uruguay 68.72 37.05 19.21 7.96 3.42

France 33.97 13.8 5.99 2.23 0.73

Group B

Argentina 92.03 60.03 36.61 22.25 10.9

Nigeria 9.4 2.29 0.64 0.11 0.03

South Korea 70.34 25.3 9.92 2.68 0.89

Greece 28.23 8.56 2.8 0.66 0.17

Group C

England 63.49 41.68 19.98 10.48 5.53

USA 61.28 27.09 12.94 4.25 1.33

Algeria 13.61 2.55 1.19 0.17 0.02

Slovenia 61.62 20.34 9.63 2.37 0.5

Group D

Germany 63.59 42.45 20.23 10.23 5.07

Australia 18.77 8.11 3.87 1.1 0.29

Serbia 59.58 32.44 15.65 5.83 2.22

Ghana 58.06 25.35 11.85 3.6 0.88

Group E

Netherlands 100 81.48 44.61 27.97 19.65

Denmark 54.16 24.26 8.38 4.27 0.98

Japan 45.84 18.84 5.83 2.97 0.6

Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0

Group F

Italy 65.26 34.12 17.65 9.19 4.09

Paraguay 83.3 33.64 12.12 6.24 1.66

New Zealand 39.16 5.62 0.78 0.41 0.04

Slovakia 12.28 2.04 0.37 0.21 0.04

Group G

Brazil 95.64 71.2 37.96 23.02 17.61

North Korea 6.88 0.85 0.49 0.25 0.02

Cote d'Ivoire 42.22 13.8 7.88 4.07 1.04

Portugal 55.26 24.33 13.77 7.18 2.62

Group H

Spain 55.49 33.23 18.39 9.98 6.54

Switzerland 68.1 23.04 12.93 6.87 2.17

Honduras 5.52 0.98 0.54 0.31 0.07

51


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Chile 70.88 32.56 18.31 9.57 4.1

06/21


Group A

South Africa 20.53 5.32 1.49 0.32 0.06

Mexico 76.78 47.65 28 13.13 6.57

Uruguay 68.72 37.05 19.21 7.87 3.32

France 33.97 13.8 5.99 2.18 0.71

Group B

Argentina 92.03 60.03 36.61 21.95 10.71

Nigeria 9.4 2.29 0.64 0.11 0.02

South Korea 70.34 25.3 9.92 2.66 0.86

Greece 28.23 8.56 2.8 0.65 0.16

Group C

England 63.49 41.68 19.98 10.4 5.42

USA 61.28 27.09 12.94 4.17 1.28

Algeria 13.61 2.55 1.19 0.16 0.02

Slovenia 61.62 20.34 9.63 2.29 0.48

Group D

Germany 63.59 42.45 20.23 10.13 4.96

Australia 18.77 8.11 3.87 1.08 0.28

Serbia 59.58 32.44 15.65 5.75 2.15

Ghana 58.06 25.35 11.85 3.48 0.84

Group E

Netherlands 100 81.48 44.47 27.98 19.36

Denmark 54.16 24.26 7.81 4.08 0.93

Japan 45.84 18.84 5.4 2.82 0.57

Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0

Group F

Italy 65.26 34.12 17.17 9.12 4.02

Paraguay 83.3 33.64 11.42 6.03 1.59

New Zealand 39.16 5.62 0.71 0.39 0.04

Slovakia 12.28 2.04 0.35 0.2 0.03

Group G

Brazil 100 75.52 40.58 24.57 18.6

North Korea 0 0 0 0 0

Cote d'Ivoire 39.27 11.19 6.64 3.49 0.87

Portugal 60.73 24.42 14.26 7.57 2.73

Group H

Spain 56.66 35.4 20.4 10.85 6.85

Switzerland 52.44 12.91 7.18 4.22 1.44

Honduras 2.62 0.31 0.16 0.11 0.03

Chile 88.28 40.24 23.44 12.25 5.1

06/22


Group A

South Africa 0 0 0 0 0

Mexico 100 44.27 23.96 13.35 5.8

52


53/65

Uruguay 100 64.14 34.54 13.47 6.18

France 0 0 0 0 0

Group B

Argentina 100 55.73 32.54 19.79 9.62

Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0

South Korea 100 35.86 14.38 3.72 1.23

Greece 0 0 0 0 0

Group C

England 63.49 41.68 19.88 10.26 5.36

USA 61.28 27.09 12.85 4.08 1.26

Algeria 13.61 2.55 1.16 0.16 0.02

Slovenia 61.62 20.34 9.51 2.22 0.47

Group D

Germany 63.59 42.45 20.07 9.94 4.88

Australia 18.77 8.11 3.84 1.05 0.28

Serbia 59.58 32.44 15.63 5.68 2.12

Ghana 58.06 25.35 11.63 3.34 0.82

Group E

Netherlands 100 81.48 44.47 28.2 19.36

Denmark 54.16 24.26 7.81 3.97 0.93

Japan 45.84 18.84 5.4 2.75 0.57

Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0

Group F

Italy 65.26 34.12 17.17 8.97 3.98

Paraguay 83.3 33.64 11.42 5.9 1.58

New Zealand 39.16 5.62 0.71 0.38 0.04

Slovakia 12.28 2.04 0.35 0.19 0.03

Group G

Brazil 100 75.52 40.58 24.71 18.61


Cote d'Ivoire 39.27 11.19 6.64 3.41 0.87

Portugal 60.73 24.42 14.26 7.43 2.71

Group H

Spain 56.66 35.4 20.4 10.69 6.77

Switzerland 52.44 12.91 7.18 4.2 1.42

Honduras 2.62 0.31 0.16 0.11 0.03

Chile 88.28 40.24 23.44 12.03 5.05

06/23


Group A


Mexico 100 44.27 20.91 10.92 4.88

Uruguay 100 64.14 37.76 15.44 6.74

France 0 0 0 0 0

Group B

Argentina 100 55.73 29.5 16.83 8.36

Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0

South Korea 100 35.86 16.5 4.47 1.38

Greece 0 0 0 0 0

Group C

England 100 52.59 26.08 14.41 6.89

53


54/65

USA 100 56.58 25.88 7.58 2.5

Algeria 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0

Group D

Germany 100 47.41 23.51 12.48 5.68

Australia 0 0 0 0 0

Serbia 0 0 0 0 0

Ghana 100 43.42 19.86 4.76 1.32

Group E

Netherlands 100 81.48 44.47 29.46 19.76

Denmark 54.16 24.26 7.81 3.75 0.92

Japan 45.84 18.84 5.4 2.59 0.56

Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0

Group F

Italy 65.26 34.12 17.17 8.69 3.89

Paraguay 83.3 33.64 11.42 5.62 1.55

New Zealand 39.16 5.62 0.71 0.36 0.04

Slovakia 12.28 2.04 0.35 0.19 0.03

Group G

Brazil 100 75.52 40.58 25.67 19.02


Cote d'Ivoire 39.27 11.19 6.64 3.23 0.86

Portugal 60.73 24.42 14.26 7.16 2.65

Group H

Spain 56.66 35.4 20.4 10.43 6.62

Switzerland 52.44 12.91 7.18 4.24 1.4

Honduras 2.62 0.31 0.16 0.11 0.03

Chile 88.28 40.24 23.44 11.61 4.93

06/24


Group A


Mexico 100 44.27 20.91 11.14 4.87

Uruguay 100 64.14 37.76 15.02 6.74

France 0 0 0 0 0

Group B

Argentina 100 55.73 29.5 17.04 8.31

Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0

South Korea 100 35.86 16.5 4.32 1.39

Greece 0 0 0 0 0

Group C

England 100 52.59 26.08 14.63 6.85

USA 100 56.58 25.88 7.33 2.51

Algeria 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0

Group D

Germany 100 47.41 23.51 12.71 5.67

Australia 0 0 0 0 0

Serbia 0 0 0 0 0

Ghana 100 43.42 19.86 4.59 1.32

Group E

54


55/65

Netherlands 100 90.72 47.29 33.18 22.53

Denmark 0 0 0 0 0

Japan 100 41.59 13.05 5.99 1.26

Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0

Group F

Italy 0 0 0 0 0

Paraguay 100 58.41 23.07 10.58 2.82

New Zealand 0 0 0 0 0

Slovakia 100 9.28 1.08 0.76 0.15

Group G

Brazil 100 75.52 40.2 25.32 18.94


Cote d'Ivoire 39.27 11.19 7.04 3.32 0.86

Portugal 60.73 24.42 14.98 7.3 2.67

Group H

Spain 56.66 35.4 21.25 10.58 6.68

Switzerland 52.44 12.91 7.29 4.24 1.42

Honduras 2.62 0.31 0.16 0.11 0.03

Chile 88.28 40.24 24.58 11.83 4.97

06/25


Group A


Mexico 100 44.27 20.91 10.11 4.29

Uruguay 100 64.14 37.76 14.39 5.91

France 0 0 0 0 0

Group B

Argentina 100 55.73 29.5 15.71 7.47

Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0

South Korea 100 35.86 16.5 4.08 1.17

Greece 0 0 0 0 0

Group C

England 100 52.59 26.08 13.41 6.12

USA 100 56.58 25.88 6.93 2.14

Algeria 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0

Group D

Germany 100 47.41 23.51 11.57 5.01

Australia 0 0 0 0 0

Serbia 0 0 0 0 0

Ghana 100 43.42 19.86 4.31 1.11

Group E

Netherlands 100 90.72 46.29 32.54 20.92

Denmark 0 0 0 0 0

Japan 100 41.59 10.24 5.04 1.02

Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0

Group F

Italy 0 0 0 0 0

Paraguay 100 58.41 18.65 9.18 2.34


Slovakia 100 9.28 0.96 0.67 0.12

55


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Group G

Brazil 100 76.91 40.57 28.52 20.3


Cote d'Ivoire 0 0 0 0 0

Portugal 100 24.55 17.46 8.59 2.92

Group H

Spain 100 75.45 53.65 26.4 15.37

Switzerland 0 0 0 0 0

Honduras 0 0 0 0 0

Chile 100 23.09 12.18 8.56 3.8

06/26


Group A


Mexico 100 44.27 20.91 10.11 4.27

Uruguay 100 100 57.54 21.61 8.87

France 0 0 0 0 0

Group B

Argentina 100 55.73 29.5 15.71 7.43

Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0

South Korea 100 0 0 0 0

Greece 0 0 0 0 0

Group C

England 100 52.59 26.08 13.41 6.08

USA 100 0 0 0 0

Algeria 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0

Group D

Germany 100 47.41 23.51 11.57 4.98

Australia 0 0 0 0 0

Serbia 0 0 0 0 0

Ghana 100 100 42.46 9.09 2.35

Group E

Netherlands 100 90.72 46.29 32.08 20.62

Denmark 0 0 0 0 0

Japan 100 41.59 10.24 5.04 1

Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0

Group F

Italy 0 0 0 0 0

Paraguay 100 58.41 18.65 9.18 2.31


Slovakia 100 9.28 0.96 0.66 0.12

Group G

Brazil 100 76.91 40.57 28.11 20.01



Portugal 100 24.55 17.46 8.59 2.89

Group H

Spain 100 75.45 53.65 26.4 15.32


Honduras 0 0 0 0 0

56


57/65

Chile 100 23.09 12.18 8.44 3.74

06/27


Group A


Mexico 100 0 0 0 0

Uruguay 100 100 57.54 21.61 8.8

France 0 0 0 0 0

Group B

Argentina 100 100 52.26 27.69 13.09

Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0


Greece 0 0 0 0 0

Group C

England 100 0 0 0 0

USA 100 0 0 0 0

Algeria 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0

Group D

Germany 100 100 47.74 23.36 10.06

Australia 0 0 0 0 0

Serbia 0 0 0 0 0

Ghana 100 100 42.46 9.09 2.32

Group E

Netherlands 100 90.72 46.29 32.08 20.53

Denmark 0 0 0 0 0

Japan 100 41.59 10.24 5.01 1

Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0

Group F

Italy 0 0 0 0 0

Paraguay 100 58.41 18.65 9.13 2.3


Slovakia 100 9.28 0.96 0.66 0.12

Group G

Brazil 100 76.91 40.57 28.11 19.94



Portugal 100 24.55 17.46 8.55 2.88

Group H

Spain 100 75.45 53.65 26.26 15.24


Honduras 0 0 0 0 0

Chile 100 23.09 12.18 8.44 3.72

06/27 Elo update


Group A


Mexico 100 0 0 0 0

57


58/65

Uruguay 100 100 58.9 25.37 10.56

France 0 0 0 0 0

Group B

Argentina 100 100 50.99 27.36 14.38

Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0


Greece 0 0 0 0 0

Group C

England 100 0 0 0 0

USA 100 0 0 0 0

Algeria 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0

Group D

Germany 100 100 49.01 25.49 12.93

Australia 0 0 0 0 0

Serbia 0 0 0 0 0

Ghana 100 100 41.1 9.02 2.09

Group E

Netherlands 100 91.33 47.84 31.39 18.75

Denmark 0 0 0 0 0

Japan 100 46.12 12.24 5.77 1.29

Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0

Group F

Italy 0 0 0 0 0

Paraguay 100 53.88 16.11 7.6 1.9


Slovakia 100 8.67 0.89 0.59 0.08

Group G

Brazil 100 75.87 38.9 25.52 16.49



Portugal 100 25.42 18.21 8.59 3.13

Group H

Spain 100 74.58 53.44 25.2 15.28


Honduras 0 0 0 0 0

Chile 100 24.13 12.37 8.12 3.12

06/28


Group A


Mexico 100 0 0 0 0

Uruguay 100 100 58.9 23.45 9.76

France 0 0 0 0 0

Group B

Argentina 100 100 50.99 27.36 13.43

Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0


Greece 0 0 0 0 0

Group C

England 100 0 0 0 0

58


59/65

USA 100 0 0 0 0

Algeria 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0

Group D

Germany 100 100 49.01 25.49 12.04

Australia 0 0 0 0 0

Serbia 0 0 0 0 0

Ghana 100 100 41.1 7.87 1.82

Group E

Netherlands 100 100 47.12 32.36 19.34

Denmark 0 0 0 0 0

Japan 100 46.12 12.24 5.77 1.15

Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0

Group F

Italy 0 0 0 0 0

Paraguay 100 53.88 16.11 7.6 1.69


Slovakia 100 0 0 0 0

Group G

Brazil 100 100 52.88 36.32 23.47



Portugal 100 25.42 18.21 8.59 2.85

Group H

Spain 100 74.58 53.44 25.2 14.46


Honduras 0 0 0 0 0

Chile 100 0 0 0 0

06/29


Group A


Mexico 100 0 0 0 0

Uruguay 100 100 58.9 23.45 9.02

France 0 0 0 0 0

Group B

Argentina 100 100 50.99 25.78 12.66

Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0


Greece 0 0 0 0 0

Group C

England 100 0 0 0 0

USA 100 0 0 0 0

Algeria 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0

Group D

Germany 100 100 49.01 23.89 11.28

Australia 0 0 0 0 0

Serbia 0 0 0 0 0

Ghana 100 100 41.1 7.87 1.63

Group E

59


60/65

Netherlands 100 100 47.12 32.36 18.35

Denmark 0 0 0 0 0

Japan 100 0 0 0 0

Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0

Group F

Italy 0 0 0 0 0

Paraguay 100 100 24.07 12.11 2.7


Slovakia 100 0 0 0 0

Group G

Brazil 100 100 52.88 36.32 22.43



Portugal 100 0 0 0 0

Group H

Spain 100 100 75.93 38.22 21.93


Honduras 0 0 0 0 0

Chile 100 0 0 0 0

07/02


Group A


Mexico 100 0 0 0 0

Uruguay 100 100 100 38.55 14.83

France 0 0 0 0 0

Group B

Argentina 100 100 50.99 25.78 13.14

Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0


Greece 0 0 0 0 0

Group C

England 100 0 0 0 0

USA 100 0 0 0 0

Algeria 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0

Group D

Germany 100 100 49.01 23.89 11.72

Australia 0 0 0 0 0

Serbia 0 0 0 0 0

Ghana 100 100 0 0 0

Gro

Documents

World Cup Ratings 2010