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ZimbabweA Study of HIV/AIDS Trends, Behaviors and
Policy
Topic Choice: Why? One of the highest infections rates in the
world
Illustrated several other topics studied in the course, like governance, growth, debt, education, poverty, and urban/rural sectors.
Maps of Zimbabwe
Four Eras of Recent History
1980s: Economic Growth, First Infections
1990s: Bubble Bursts, Infections Rate Spikes
2000-2008: Land Reform, Civil War and Hyperinflation
2008-2012: Tentative Recovery
Independence
Model of Growth
1979 1990
Children in School
831,000 2,200,000
GNI per Capita (ppp)
$740 $1,040
Child Mortality Under Five (per thousand)
106.6 77.6
Life Expectancy
58 60.5
Aid delivered
33 million 509 millionSource: World Bank
1990s
Factors for Spread Physical
Low circumcision levels
Existence of other STDs
Behavioral
Multiple Partners
Low condom usage/misconceptions about use
Demographic
Low socio-economic status of women
Migration/mobility patterns
Devastating Results
1,000,000 deaths from 1990-2004
Life expectancy drops to 40
1,000,000 orphans
Shocks micro economically and macro economically
Debt
2000s-Further Decline
Land Reform
Civil War in DRC
Hyperinflation
GDP
HIV AIDS during this period
As of 2010, infection rate is 14.3%
How?
40% reduction in respondents with multiple partners
83% use of condoms rate in men
What caused the decline?
Policy? (dispersion still inconsistent)
Poverty (counter-intuitive but possible)
Personal Loss (most likely)
Policy Prescriptions Domestic
Get Mugabe Out!
Develop mining resources, but keep control
Work on cross border solutions with infections and antiretroviral
International
Continue support, no matter election outcome
Help provide antiretroviral
Conciliatory towards debt demands
Thank You!