By Reecie Stagnolia, Vice President for Adult EducationKentucky Council on Postsecondary EducationMarch 10, 2015
Briefing on Kentucky’s Adult Education SystemNorthern Kentucky Workforce Investment Board
“Among the states visited by NCHEMS, only Kentucky is deliberately focused on how to reach and ensure higher levels of college- and career-readiness preparation for adults and high school dropouts.”
- “State Capacity for Leadership.” National Center for Higher Education Management Systems. Sept 2011.
1
Sustaining the Momentum
WHY IS THIS IMPORTANT?
Which comes first, educated workers or jobs for educated workers?
The Challenge:
Producing a U.S. workforce that is more productive, creative, and better problem-solvers than any other on the planet.
In 2009, Lumina
Foundation officially
adopted its Big Goal
that 60 percent of
Americans obtain a
high-quality
postsecondary
degree or credential
by 2025.
By 2018, 60% of all jobs in the United States will require some level of postsecondary education.
Center on Education and the Workforce, Georgetown University, 2010
By 2018, 54% of all jobs in Kentucky will require some level of postsecondary education.
Between now and 2018, Kentucky will need to fill 617,000 vacancies resulting from job creation, worker retirements and other factors. Of these job vacancies, 330,000 will require postsecondary credentials.
--Center on Education and the Workforce, Georgetown University, 2010
Employment Trends by Educational Level
1964-2008
Source: Current Population Survey, Various Years
79%
41%
High School or Less
Some College and AA
27%
10%
BA and Above
11%
32%
0
15
30
45
60
75
1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
Some College or AA College Grads
-549,000
-200,000
295,000
1,676,000
High School Grads
Less Than High School“The Qualified Job Applicant, Redefined”, Forbes Magazine, May 2012
Who Gained orLost Jobs in 2012
• At the current rate, employers in 2025 will need about 23 million more degree holders than our nation’s colleges and universities will have produced.
• Approximately 2/3 of the nation’s college completion goal will come from non-traditional students entering and staying in the pipeline.
A Global War for Good Jobs is Coming
As many as 60% of community college students must take development education courses – only 25% who do, earn a degree in 8 years
The Chronicle of Higher Education April 20, 2010
Estimated that 50-80% students in AE
programs have learning disabilities/differences
Only 3% of students who start college in AE programs earn degreeThe Chronicle of Higher Education April 11, 2011
41% of students in AE programs are unemployed
Challenges Ahead
“A preemptive focus on adult education actually saves governments money by reducing • societal healthcare, • public assistance • and incarceration costs…”
The Importance of Adult Education
“The Return on Investment from Adult Education and Training,” a policy paper by the McGraw-Hill Research Foundation, May 2011
The Leaky Pipeline
Kentucky’s Education Reform
• Kentucky Education Reform Act (1990)
• Postsecondary Education Improvement Act
of 1997 (HB1)
• Adult Education Act (Senate Bill 1 of 2000)
The Challenge “Adult illiteracy is a
fundamental barrier to every major challenge facing Kentucky, including early childhood education, education reform, economic development, and improving the health and well-being of Kentucky’s families and communities.”
- The Adult Education Act of 2000
• Services:• Standards-based academic instruction• Preparation and coaching for next steps (e.g., college and career)
• Populations served:• Individuals without a high school diploma• Individuals with a high school diploma with emergent needs• English as a Second Language learners• Corrections
• Preparation for the following:• GED® high school equivalency test• National Career Readiness Credential (NCRC)• Employability Skills
19
Local School Districts, 39
KCTCS; 50
Education Co-ops; 20
Four-Year Public Institu-tions, 9
Community Based Orga-nizations, 2
KYAE Provider Network/Number of Counties(2014-15)
Comparison of Target Population, Enrollment and GED® Graduates by Age Cohorts
(2014)
*Source: 2006-10 American Community Survey estimates. Based on age 18-64 without a high school diploma (total percentages do not include 16-17 year olds and 65 and older target population).
18-24 25-34 35-44 45-64
17% 17%19%
47%
33%30%
17%14%
38%
28%
12%
7%
Target Population (410,000)* Enrollment (32,381) GED® Graduates (7,083)
64%
36%
Without GED/High School Diploma
With GED/High School Diploma
Educational Attainment of Who We Serve(2013-14)
9th grade and above; 27%
Under 6th grade level;
39%
Between 6th and 9th grade level;
34%
Grade Level Equivalencies of Who We ServeStudents in Academic Instruction
(2013-14)
GED® Graduates Enrolling in Kentucky’s Colleges and Universities*
within Two Academic Years
KYAE has set a goal of increasing the college-going rates of GED® graduates to 30% by 2015.
Of those who enrolled in
postsecondary education by
summer 2014:• 92% enrolled in KCTCS• 5% enrolled in a public four-
year institution• 3% enrolled in an independent
institution
* Kentucky’s state-supported colleges and universities and the regionally accredited, non-profit, independent colleges and universities.
2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14
23%
26%25%
26%25%
2008
Gra
duat
es
2009
Gra
duat
es
2010
Gra
duat
es
2011
Gra
duat
es
2012
Gra
duat
es
Kentucky’s Adult Education SystemProgress Continues
2.2 million
2.5 million
2000 2010 2013
537,000(21%)
410,000(15%)
376,000(14%)
2.5million
2.7million
2.8million
Population, 18-64, without a High School Credential
Working Age Population (18-64) Population less than HS/GED®
Source: 2000 Census, 2006-10, 2009-13 American Community Survey, 5 year estimates
Source: U.S. Census 2000
2000
Min
nesota
Verm
ont
Monta
na
Hawai
i
Nebra
ska
Mai
ne
South D
akota
Kansa
sUta
h
Colora
do
Pennsy
lvan
ia
Idah
o
Oregon
New J
erse
y
India
na
Illin
ois
Oklah
oma
New Y
ork
North C
arolin
a
Wes
t Virg
inia
Arizona
Tennes
see
Nevad
a
Alabam
a
Louisia
na
Texas
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
17%
21%
Percent of Population, 18-64, without High School Credential
Uni
ted
Stat
es
Kent
ucky
25
North Dakota
Vermont Hawaii Minnesota Wyoming New Hampshire
Maine Montana Iowa Wisconsin0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%Percent of Population, 18-64,
without High School Credential
Source: 2006-10 American Community Survey, 5 year estimates
26
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
13%
15%
Percent of Population, 18-64,without High School Credential
2010
Uni
ted
Stat
es
Kent
ucky
Source: 2009-13 American Community Survey, 5 year estimates
27
North Dak
otaMain
e
Hawaii
Wyo
mingIowa
South
Dakota
Massach
usetts
Pennsylva
niaUtah
Kansas
New Jerse
y
Colorado
Virginia
Idaho
Illinois
Delaware
United St
ates
West
Virginia
Tennesse
e
North Caro
lina
South
Carolin
a
Georgia
Alabam
a
Nevada
Mississ
ippiTe
xas
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
13%14%
Percent of Population, 18-64,without High School Credential
2013
Uni
ted
Stat
es
Kent
ucky
A Decade of ProgressPercentage of Population, 18-64, without a High School Credential
2000
A Decade of ProgressPercentage of Population, 18-64, without a High School Credential
2010
Progress ContinuesPercentage of Population, 18-64, without a High School Credential
2013
WHAT ARE WE DOING TORE-ENGINEER OR TRANSFORM
THE NATION’S ADULT EDUCATION SYSTEM?
Re-Engineering Adult Education
Kentucky Adult Education Game Changers:
• Instructional Quality and Effectiveness
• Standards-Based Instruction
• Integrated Education and Training
Models – Career Pathways
Kentucky Adult Education was recognized in the U.S. Department of Education’s “Adult College Completion Toolkit” as a top state strategy as a result of implementing college and career readiness standards in adult education.
Kentucky is on the Road to Success
“Kentucky is ahead of almost all other states in building the Common Core standards into its adult education system.”
“Kentucky has far more experience than most states in strengthening adult access to postsecondary education.”
-- “Graduating to College: Three States Helping Adult Education Students Get a College Education.” Working Poor Families Project.
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