Evidence and the roadmap to recovery:
How can we help you?
Seismic & the City 2014
Dr Vivienne IvoryOpus Research
• Where?
• Who?
• When?
Familiar questions…
• Where?
• Who?
• When?
Research questions
• How is the city changing in response to quakes?
• What effect will ongoing changes have on Christchurch’s future recovery?
Questions I am often asked…
• Quick
• Alternative
• Helpful
Creating agile evidence for the recovery phase
• Quick
• Alternative
• Helpful
Creating agile evidence for the recovery phase
Mail redirections
NZ Post
Electronic payment
transactionsPaymark
Business demographic
sStatistics NZ
Agile evidence to understand patterns of change
Mail redirections: Visualising patterns of relocation
Agile evidence to understand patterns of change
Volume of electronic fast-food transactions (June 2010– May 2012)
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
100000
Num
ber
of tr
ansa
ction
s
HornbyNorthRussley
Riccarton
CathedralSquareNorthcote
Papanui
Linwood
Sydenham
Electronic payment transactions: Flows in economic activity between business locations
Agile evidence to understand patterns of change
Business demographics: Observing the changing nature of business locations
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160 Russley: trends for business units 2000-2013
Manufacturing
Construction
Wholesale Trade
Financial and In-surance Services
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services
Professional, Scien-tific and Technical Services
Num
ber o
f bus
ines
s un
its
• Can we try a different (better, more vibrant) central city?
Current evidence
– Quality of neighbourhood life
– Healthy ‘lifestyle’ is easy
– Non-suburban lifestyle
Will it still work over the prolonged rebuild phase?
Agile evidence to test future recovery ‘routes’
What matters most to
residents?
Balance house &
local features
Being able to walk safely
Local everyday services
Public places to
socialise & be active
Engage in an urban lifestyle
Advantage to pioneers
A liveable central city? Potential resident priorities
Would they still
be willing?
Need bigger
house & parking
Hard to walk
Go to wider
city for everyday
needsNeed more
private space
Stay with suburban lifestyle
Everyone else
waits
Or…?
Moving towards the future
Diverse housing & neighbourhood
options
Meeting ‘normal’ needs
Positive reasons to
moving in early
Integrating resident and
business sector
Recommended
