Transcript
Page 1: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014
Page 2: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014
Page 3: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Released 18 February 2014

2013 Census

QuickStats about greater Christchurch

Page 4: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

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Census usually resident population count now 436,056

Page 5: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Cultural diversity1 in 5 people in greater Christchurch area is born overseas compared to 1 in 4 nationally

Of those overseas-born residents that moved to New Zealand in the past 2 years, the six most common countries of birth are:

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Page 6: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

More young males…

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52.3% (46,242) of people aged 15 to 29 are male

• Almost 3,000 males in this age group arrived from overseas in the last 2 years

• Of these, 2,000 are employed

Of those males who have arrived from overseas and are employed:

• 25% are working in construction: the majority coming from Ireland and England

Page 7: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

…but less young females

47.7% (42,111) of people aged 15 to 29 are female

The top three industries for this group are:

• retail trade, accommodation, and health care and social assistance

30% of those working in health care and social assistance are born overseas

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Page 8: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Fewer school aged children

4% decrease in school aged children• 29.3% increase in Selwyn district• 6.6% increase in Waimakariri district• 9.7% decrease in Christchurch city

The area units with the largest decreases were:• Bexley, Aranui and Dallington

The area units with the largest increase were:• Rolleston, Lehmans (Rangiora) and Pegasus

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Page 9: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Population movement

Since 2008, 81,000 people arrived• 27,726 from overseas• 5,454 from Auckland• 2,256 from Dunedin• 1,752 from Wellington

Since 2008, 38,000 people left and moved to:• North Island (19,437), • other parts of Canterbury (5,802), • elsewhere in South Island (12,591)

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Page 10: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Most people remained in the areaGreater Christchurch population was 436,000

Of the people living in greater Christchurch in 2008:• 89.2% still living in greater Christchurch in 2013• 48.6% of people lived at same address

Change within greater Christchurch• Christchurch city decreased 2% (6,987) to 341,469• Selwyn increased by 33% (10,953) to 44,595• Waimakariri increased by 17% (7,155) to 49,989

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Page 11: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Dwellings

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81% increase in unoccupied private dwellings• National

increase was 16%

Christchurch city most change is seen in the eastern suburbs

Page 12: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

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Page 13: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

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Page 14: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Labour market, industry and retail trade statistics

Page 15: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Employment strong in greater Chch

Labour market and industry statistics 15

60

62

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72

D03

D04

D05

D06

D07

D08

D09

D10

D11

D12

D13

Percent

Employment rateGreater Christchurch

Quarterly

Source: Statistics New Zealand

0

September 2010 earthquake

February 2011 earthquake

Page 16: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Youth NEET rate continues to fall

Youth (15–24) in employment 45,300

In study 37,400

Unemployed 2,900

NEET 5,100

Youth NEET rate 7.5 percent

Labour market and industry statistics 16

0

5

10

15

20

D09

M10

J S D M11

J S D M12

J S D M13

J S D

Percent

Actual

Annual average

Source: Statistics New Zealand

Youth NEET rateGreater Christchurch

Quarterly

Page 17: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Digging behind the industry changes

Growth in construction jobs had come from:• Just over 2,200 people moving into Canterbury to a

construction firm• Nearly 2,600 people already in Canterbury joining a

Construction firm!

From within Canterbury, people in retail, accommodation, and admin/support companies have joined construction firms.

Labour market and industry statistics 17

Page 18: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Value of Building Work

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Page 19: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Christchurch Retail Trade Indicator

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Page 20: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

More information releases

QuickStats about Housing

2013 Census meshblock dataset – tables

Business demography data

Construction information (including earthquake related consents and value of building releases)

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Page 21: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014
Page 22: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014
Page 23: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Evidence and the roadmap to recovery:

How can we help you?

Seismic & the City 2014

Dr Vivienne IvoryOpus Research

Page 24: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

• Where?

• Who?

• When?

Familiar questions…

Page 25: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

• Where?

• Who?

• When?

Research questions

• How is the city changing in response to quakes?

• What effect will ongoing changes have on Christchurch’s future recovery?

Questions I am often asked…

Page 26: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

• Quick

• Alternative

• Helpful

Creating agile evidence for the recovery phase

Page 27: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

• Quick

• Alternative

• Helpful

Creating agile evidence for the recovery phase

Mail redirections

NZ Post

Electronic payment

transactionsPaymark

Business demographic

sStatistics NZ

Page 28: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Agile evidence to understand patterns of change

Mail redirections: Visualising patterns of relocation

Page 29: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Agile evidence to understand patterns of change

Volume of electronic fast-food transactions (June 2010– May 2012)

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

80000

90000

100000

Num

ber

of tr

ansa

ction

s

HornbyNorthRussley

Riccarton

CathedralSquareNorthcote

Papanui

Linwood

Sydenham

Electronic payment transactions: Flows in economic activity between business locations

Page 30: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Agile evidence to understand patterns of change

Business demographics: Observing the changing nature of business locations

Page 31: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

• Can we try a different (better, more vibrant) central city?

Current evidence

–Quality of neighbourhood life

–Healthy ‘lifestyle’ is easy

–Non-suburban lifestyle

Will it still work over the prolonged rebuild phase?

Agile evidence to test future recovery ‘routes’

Page 32: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

A liveable central city? Potential resident priorities

Page 33: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Or…?

Page 34: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

Moving towards the future

Diverse housing & neighbourhood

options

Meeting ‘normal’ needs

Positive reasons to

moving in early

Integrating resident and

business sector

Page 35: Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014