Transcript
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    IDENTFYING&IMPROVINGOURBATNA

    SYNDICATE2

    29111311HaidirAfesina(fezi)

    29111328HendraWinata

    29111329MitaListyatri

    29111338AndekPrabowo29111344AprianEkaRahadi

    29111384ChairunnisaMirhelina

    29111387FranciscusXaveriusKresnaPaska

    29111393AgungIndriPramantyo

    MM5010StrategicDecisionMakingandNego\a\on

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    SELLER

    29111328HendraWinata 29111329MitaListyatri

    29111393AgungIndriPramantyo

    BUYER

    29111311HaidirAfesina(fezi) 29111338AndekPrabowp

    29111384ChairunnisaMirhelina

    29111387FranciscusXaveriusKresnaPaska

    Near Hastings & Centennial parks

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    Casesynopsis

    SELLER

    Lis\ng#9013878:$240,000

    Directselling(NOAGENT)

    Onemonthonthemarket

    OneofthenicesthouseintheCentennalParkarea

    Originallypurchased$155,000

    Descrip\on

    Builtin1947 1846squarefeetofspace

    InsideAmeni\es

    Largeeatinkitchenwithallappliances Newlydecorated

    OutsideAmeni\es

    Detachedgarage(2.5cars) Restaurants&transporta\onwithinwalking

    distance

    NearHas\ngs&Centennialparks

    BUYER

    Submiedoffer:$220,000

    Rentforfewyearsandthenresellataprofit

    LookingforsinglefamilyhomeinCenterville

    Priceofneighboringhomeswithsimilar

    characteris\c:

    Lis\ng# SellingPrice SquareFeet

    8906898 $213,300 1715

    8904725 $233,600 1875

    8908614 $239,600 1920

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    BARGAININGZONE

    BuyersReserva\onPrice

    $235,000

    BuyersAspira\onPrice

    $220,000

    BUYER

    Sellers Reservation Price$225,000

    SELLER

    Sellers Aspiration Price$240,000

    Z O P A

    $225,000$$235,000

    BATNABUYER=Willingnesstobuyi.e.theonlybuyerwhocomeina

    month

    BATNASELLER=Futureprospectoftheareai.e.strategicloca\on

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    Lis\ng# SellingPrice SquareFeet Price/Squarefeet

    8906898 $213,300 1715 124.4

    8904725 $233,600 1875 124.6

    8908614 $239,600 1920 124.8

    AVERAGE $228,900 1837 124.6

    Remark SellingPrice/squarefeet Sellingprice@1846square

    feet

    Average 124.6 $230,000

    Seller#9013878 130.01 $240,000

    #1.Priceofneighboringhomeswithsimilarcharacteris\c:

    BUYERPERSPECTIVE

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    #1.5ALTERNATIVESIFNOAGREEMENT

    BUYER

    1.Renttoown/Leaseop\on

    2.rentotherhousessurroundit

    3.Askinghelpfromanexper\seorcommunitytoiden\fytheseller`sauthority/decisionmaker

    4.Sharedownershipwithfamilyorfriendi.e.5050

    5.Alliancewithpowerful&influencedpeopleororganiza\on

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    http://public.rpl.herorentals.com/RPL/search/USA.index.mvc?page=results

    Bedrooms: 1 Bathrooms:1 Monthly Rent: $ 500Date Available: June 8th, 2009

    Lease Info: 6 months/12 monthsApplication Fee (Standard): $ 38Pets: No PetsParking: 1 car carportFireplace: No fireplace

    Approx Square Feet: 600 Dwelling Type: Single family

    Near Hastings & Centennial parksStrategic locationBigger house

    MarketResearch

    Based in Hostede, the Americanpeople are individualism, means theneed of individual treatment forpersonal approach in order to

    convince to sell to us

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    #3.2BUYERIMPROVINGBATNA

    Arrangementwithsupplier,partnersorcustomer

    1.Cer\fiedhomeinspector2.Buildrela\onship(personalemo\onal)withsellerandcommunitysurroundthe

    areai.e.toiden\fytheseller`sauthority/decisionmaker

    3.Offerreleaseclausetotheseller

    RemoveanyconstrainsthatweakenBATNAOfferreleaseclausetothesellerBycheckingpoten:allyrelevantbusinessfutureandnego:atedwiththesellerthe

    percentageofsharedprofit

    Changetermsofnego\a\onGethomeinspectedandappraised

    Regardlessofitsnewameni:esandfurnished,thebuildingisold.Theinspector

    wouldcheckifthereisanytermites,anytermitedamage,houseelectricalsystem,

    plumbingandalsohealingandcoolingsystem.Thusthepricewilldependonthe

    report.

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    #4.NEWBATNAIFSUCCEEDED

    BUYEROfferedreleaseclauseagreementRegardlessofagreeingthepricethatsuitstobuyer,itisbelieved

    thatthesellerwouldbeinterestedashewouldgettheshared/

    commissionforthenextsalesasbuyerwillsellagainthehouse.However,onlyifthereleaseclausemet.

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    #4.BUYERNEWBATNAIFSUCCEEDED

    Reserva\onPrice

    Aspira\onPrice

    NewBATNAValue

    BUYER $235,000 $220,000 Avg.HomePrice**

    ($DecreaseFactorfrom

    Nego:a:on)+($commissionforNext

    SalestoExis:ngSeller)

    ($NetProfitfromNext

    Sales)

    ** Buyer: 230,000

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    #2.Mathema\cal

    (18751846)/(18461715)=(124.6X)/(X124.4)

    29/131=(124.6X)/(X124.4)

    29X3607.6=16322.6131X

    160X=19930.2

    X =124.56(Averagesellingpersquarefeet)

    SELLINGPRICE=1846x124.56=$229,937

    SELLERPERSPECTIVE

    Lis\ng# SellingPrice SquareFeet Price/Squarefeet

    8906898 $213,300 1715 124.4

    #9013878

    SellerHouse

    ? 1846 ?

    8904725 $233,600 1875 124.6

    8908614 $239,600 1920 124.8

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    #1.Mathema\calforHomePriceApprecia\onRate

    Assump\on: CentervillelocatednearDC(virginia)

    Source:hp://www.forecastchart.com/homepricesdc.html

    BaseYear=240,000/(100%+AverageHomePriceApprecia\onRate%)

    AssumeSeller&Buyeragreewithprice$240,000,wherethebasepriceis$239,497usinglastyear

    data,Sellergetaround$503

    ButifSelleragreewithprice$229,937wherethebasepriceis$239,497usinglastyeardata,Seller

    lostprofitopportunityaround$9,560

    Last10year Last5year LastYear LastQuarter

    AverageHomePriceApprecia\onRatein

    DCfrom2012

    24% 12% 0.21% 1.04%

    BasePriceusing1YearForwardUsing

    Price(Apprecia\on)

    240,000 193,548* 272,727 239,497 237,530

    SELLERPERSPECTIVE

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    #1.5ALTERNATIVESIFNOAGREEMENT

    SELLER

    1.Rentedthehousetobuyer

    2.Marke\ngstrategyi.e.STP

    S:middleclass

    T:singlefamilyP:investmentforan\queloversclub

    3.Marke\ngtac\ci.e.Adver\sing

    ATL:Property&businessmagazine

    BTL:Socialmedia&community(WOM)

    4.Buyerassistedfinancingfromselleri.e.50%cashdeposits,5%interest,10years(nego\able)

    5.Runningbusinessopportunityi.e.guesthouse

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    #2.BESTALTERNATIVESIFNOAGREEMENT

    SELLERRunbusinessopportunity1. Posi:ve(guesthousenearbyhas:ngandcentennialparks)2. Nega:ve(conspiringwithhisneighborsaroundtoofferhigher

    abovenormalrates(1.5:mes)toboostthemarketprice

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    #3.SELLERIMPROVINGBATNA

    Arrangementwithsupplier,partnersorcustomer

    1.Homeinsurance2.Buildrela\onshipwithcommunitysurroundthearea

    3.Posi\onedasan\quehistoricalvaluei.e.investment

    4.Adver\sement(ATL&BTL)

    RemoteanyconstrainsthatweakenBATNA1.Homeinsurance2.Assessbusinessopportunitywithbusinessen\tyarounde.g.ShoppingCenter,

    Restaurant

    Changetermsofnego\a\on1.Priceexpira\on

    2.Askcommissionpercentageifbuyerwanttoresalethehouse

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    #4.NEWBATNAIFSUCCEEDED

    SELLER

    RunbusinessopportunityBased on Seller calcula.on on slide 6, Seller will lost profit opportunity

    $9,560 if Agree the sales cost of $229,937 to Buyer or below $239,947

    Thereforeweprefertokeepthehouseandrunbusiness

    e.g.runningaguesthousetoimproveSellerBATNAwhilewaitforapprecia:onRatefromthehousepricewhichhasincreasedtrendin

    DCarea

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    #4.NEWBATNAIFSUCCEEDED

    Reserva\onPrice

    Aspira\onPrice

    NewBATNAValue

    SELLER $225,000 $240,000 Avg.HomePrice*+

    ($Rent/year)+($Home

    Apprecia:on/year)

    Seller: 229,937