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Get an overview of the main financial indicators of the Mexican economy for the Dec - Feb 2014 period.
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Key Mexico Statistics
Dic – Feb 2014
Nuricumbo + Partners
Audit • Finance • Risk • Strategy • Business Development
Country Risk
Mexican Stock Exchange
Securities Market
1
2
3
4
Exchange Rates
Inflation Rate5
Investment Unit (UDI)6
Economic Confidence Indicator (IMCE)7
Outline
International Reserves8
Note: Mexican Pesos per CurrencySource: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx, 2014
€16.80
€17.30
€17.80
€18.30
€18.80
28/02/14€ 18.2590
December January February
31/12/13€18.0079
31/01/13€ 18.1244
$11.00
$11.50
$12.00
$12.50
$13.00
$13.50
28/02/14$11.9432
December January February
31/12/13$12.3168
31/01/13$12.0149
$12.15
$12.65
$13.15
$13.65
$14.15
28/02/14$ 13.2379
December January February
31/12/13$13.0843
31/01/13$13.3769
£20.00
£20.80
£21.60
£22.40
£23.20
28/02/14£22.4783
December January February
31/12/13£21.9648
31/01/13£22.3140
Exchange Rates
The Country Risk indicates the possibilities that an emerging country has to fail on the fulfillment of its obligations over external debt payments, whether for capital or interests. The higher the Country Risk, the higher the possibility to get a “default”.
It is composed of three main sources:
• Sovereign Risk
• Transfer Risk
• Generic Risk
It is measured through the use of the Emerging Markets Bond Index (EMBI) created by J.P. Morgan Chase.
Source: www.economia.com.mx, 2014
December January February0
50
100
150
200
250
156
196
168
Country Risk
Note: Basis points
Country Risk
Source: Mexican Stock Exchange (BMV), http://www.bmv.com.mx/, 2014
The Mexican Stock Exchange (BMV) is a public institution that operates under a concession granted by the Ministry of Finance (SHCP), observing the Mexican Securities Law. Given the world tendencies and legislation changes, the BMV has already started its demutualization process, but up to this date its shareholders are authorized brokerage firms, which own one share each.
Marketable Securities•Capitals Market (Stocks, Fibras)•Capital Development Market (CKDes)
• Debt Market (Government, Short, Medium and Long Term Debt).
December 31st
January 31st
February 28th
36,000
37,000
38,000
39,000
40,000
41,000
42,000
43,000
44,00042,727.09
40,879.75
38,782.89
Price and Market Rates Index (IPC)
Mexican Stock Exchange
Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx, 2014
The Mexican Central Bank (Banxico) carries out operations in the securities market in order to regulate the liquidity of Mexico’s financial system.
It also undertakes primary auctions of securities for the government and other public sector entities, and issues regulations on several financial operations of financial intermediaries.
Cetes 28Zero coupon bonds denominated in Mexican Pesos issued by the Mexican Government, in a 28-days period.
December 31st
January 31st
February 28th
3.12%
3.14%
3.16%
3.18%
3.20%
3.16%
3.18%
3.15%
Government Securities Auc-tion’s Monthly Results (Cetes
28-days)
Securities Market
Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx, 2014
Inflation can be defined as a continuous and
widespread increase in goods and services
prices.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the
statistical instrument that calculates inflation
by continuously measuring the price
changes of households’ representative
basket of goods and services. December January February0.00%0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%2.50%3.00%3.50%4.00%4.50%5.00%
3.62%3.97%
4.48%
Yearly Inflation Rates per Month
Inflation Rate
Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx and Ministry of Finance, www.sat.gob.mx, 2014
The Investment Unit (Unidad de Inversion,
UDI) is the factor (value) to be applied to the
acquisition of mortgages.
The Mexican Central Bank is the responsible
authority to publish at the Mexico’s Official
Gazette its value in Mexican Pesos for each
day of the month. December
31stJanuary
31stFebruary
28th
5.020000
5.040000
5.060000
5.080000
5.100000
5.120000
5.140000
5.058731
5.100417
5.129269
Investment Unit (UDI)
Investment Unit (UDI)
Source: Public Accountants Mexican Association, IMCP, http://imcp.org.mx/, 2014
The Economic Confidence Indicator, IMCE, is a diffusion indicator which aims to quantify the expectation of the perceived business climate through more than 20,000 registered public accounting to nearly 60 colleges affiliated to Public Accountants Mexican Institute, IMCP.
The index can become one of the key leading indicators to get a better overview of the situation of the Mexican economy.
The indicator is divided into two main components, which presents the current perception in the business climate as well as future perspectives. Its score is measured through a range of 0 to 140 points, being higher values optimistic and lower values pessimistic.
Economic Confidence Indicator (IMCE)
December January February$65
$66
$67
$68
$69
$70
$71
$72 71.43
67.28
68.78
Economic Confidence Indi-cator
Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx, 2014
Known as financial assets invested abroad by the Mexican Central Bank that can easily be converted in means of payment.
According to the Mexican Central Bank, the following concepts are considered as International Reserves:
• Foreign banknotes and coins;
• Deposits, securities and stocks payable outside of Mexico;
• Loans by Central Banks payable at no longer than six months;
• The Special Drawing Rights at the International Monetary Fund.
December 31st
January 31st
February 28th
$175,000$175,500$176,000$176,500$177,000$177,500$178,000$178,500$179,000$179,500$180,000
$176,579
$177,179
$179,705
International Reserves (Mil-lion USD)
International Reserves
Address: Plateros 16 – 504, San Jose Insurgentes 03900, Mexico City
Tel. Office: + 52 (55) 5339 5839
Mobile: + 52 (55) 5453 6309
E-mail: [email protected] Web: www.nuricumbo.com
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