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Pay-As-You-Drive An Innovative Way to Price Insurance

Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

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Pay-As-You-Drive is a variable pricing model for auto insurance, where the more you drive the more you pay - the topic of my "Middle Year" thesis. This was a concise presentation on the topic.

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Page 1: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

Pay-As-You-Drive

An Innovative Way to Price Insurance

Page 2: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

Vocabulary

l PAYD: Pay-As-You-Drive l GPS: Global Positioning System l GNSS: Global Navigation Satellite System l Telematics: Describes an array of services offered to motorists through devices

built into their vehicles and linked wirelessly to the Web.

Page 3: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

Auto Insurance Market l More than ¼ of consumers stated they shopped

for auto insurance in the past year, 33% of which used the internet to get a quote.

l 66% of customers who were moderately satisfied with their insurance company claimed they would switch to a different carrier for a lower coverage price.

l “This year’s study reflects the financial return available to carriers for providing quality service,” Jeremy Bowler, senior director of the insurance practice at J.D. Power.

Page 4: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

Consumer Market Profile l  Generation X (born from 1961-1981) l  Generation Y (born from 1979-1994, composed of

60 million people)

- Less experienced and less loyal buyers

- Better-educated, technically savvy

- Increasing life changes

- Fickle consumers

-In favor of paying bills monthly

- More conscientious, take part in political consumerism

Page 5: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

Inefficiencies with Current Policies l  Actuarial inaccuracies: disparity between class and

usage levels.

l  Economically inefficient insurance rates. l  No way of distinguishing repeat high-risk drivers from

those who are involved in random crash events. l  40% of motorists are estimated to be uninsured,

according to the bodily injury count. l  Encourages an all-you-can drive mentality

l  Low-mileage drivers with less-driven cars are unlikely to be added to a policy.

Page 6: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

Societal Benefits

l The implementation of mileage-based insurance between 5¢ and 10¢/mile may decrease household travel by more than 10%.

l A 1% reduction in travel can yield a 1.7% reduction in vehicle-crash events.

l Annual reduction of approximately 30 fatalities and 200 injuries.

Page 7: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

Societal Benefits

l Reduction in property damages. l Reduction in traffic congestion by 15-25%,

along with road maintenance and taxes. l Reduces fuel usage and CO2 emissions

by 13.5%

Page 8: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

Mileage vs. Damages

•  Institute for Traffic and Transport, Logistics and Spatial Development, The Netherlands http://www.cedelft.eu/

Page 9: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

Social Cost Analysis Overview of social costs and benefits of PAYD

•  Institute for Traffic and Transport, Logistics and Spatial Development, The Netherlands - http://www.cedelft.eu/

Page 10: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

Cost Benefit to Consumers

Mileage Fee Travel Reduction

1¢ -1.8%

2¢ -3.5%

3¢ -5.1%

4¢ -6.7%

5¢ -8.2%

6¢ -9.7%

7¢ -11.2%

8¢ -12.5%

9¢ -13.8%

10¢ -15.2%

Type of Driver Savings

Low-cost, Low mileage

$325

Average motorist

$200

High-mileage May be increased by up to $100

Page 11: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

But you may say…

l Insurers already provide benefits for low-mileage drivers.

l How come insurance companies don’t already use it?

l How will older cars accommodate needed technology?

Page 12: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

Pilot Projects

l  General Motors and On-Star offers mileage-based discounts to subscribers.

l  Norwich Union - the UK’s largest insurance company

worked with IBM to design a “black box” device. l  Progressive - Received a patent on it’s Autograph

program introduced in Texas and TripSense in Minnesota.

l  Georgia- In 2003, introduced bill HB 201, enabling

insurers in the state to offer consumers a choice of mileage-based insurance.

l  Massachusetts and Pennsylvania

Page 13: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

But would PAYD be Profitable?

l  IBM states that on-demand business models constitute the practices of 30 Fortune 500 companies.

l  38-44% of accident damage costs depend on distance,

leading in the European market for 1.2 billion worth of premiums that would become distance-dependent.

l  Would attract 25-50% of policies during the first few years.

l  Untapped low-mileage driver market

Page 14: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

Implementation

l Trip Sensor, a free device that plugs into the On-board Diagnostic port (OBDII) found near the steering column in almost all 1996 models l GPS Tracking- currently has 2 million customers Gm has reported that they will double the

number of vehicles equipped with the OnStar in-vehicle communications system by 2006 due

to customer demand. l Tag or computer chip which transmits current

odometer readings.

Page 15: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

State Legislation

l 63% of states reported that nothing in their legislation prohibited PAYD.

l In New York, all authorized insurers must file their motor vehicle insurance rates with the Superintendent of Insurance.

l In West Virginia, residents have to be insured at all times.

l Michigan requires an upfront statement of the premium charge.

Page 16: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

Incentives

l Oregon State passed bill HB 2043 in April 2003, offering insurers tax credits of $100 for every PAYD policy sold.

l Congress pay pass a bill providing $15 million a year for PAYDAYS (Pay-As-You-Drive-and-You-Save) Grant program.

l Funding provided by the Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program.

l EPA’s green stamp of approval

Page 17: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

Barriers and Limitations

l  Requires insurers and brokers to change how they calculate premiums; develop new procedures and modify existing computer programs.

l  Makes premiums and insurance revenues less

predictable. l  High cost of proper monitoring. l  Consumers are not informed of the product, and are

worried about privacy. l  No data to prove whether PAYD’s equity would be

profitable.

Page 18: Pay-As-You-Drive Middler-Year-Presentation

Questions ?

l http://marketplace.publicradio.org/play/audio.php?media=/2003/02/25_mpp&start=00:00:24:08.0&end=00:00:27:30.0