Elliot Weinbaum, William Penn Foundation

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Elliot WeinbaumProgram Director of Great LearningWilliam Penn Foundation

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Elliot WeinbaumProgram Director, Great Learning

Developing a new resource for informing early childhood

education planning: The creation of Childcaremap.org

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• No comprehensive source of local childcare options• Multiple sources existed for different types of childcare• No data on

– capacity– geographic distribution – accessibility (e.g. proximity to public transportation)

• No information of how supply and demand were related

• No sense of the proportion of high quality seats

Need

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• Develop information source for:– Providers– Policymakers – elected and appointed officials– Advocates– Funders– Parents

• Use data to inform planning, resource allocation, and advocacy

Goal

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• Formed stakeholder advisory group (United Way)

• Included providers, advocates, city and state officials

• Shared needs/priorities• Built on PolicyMap platform

Creation

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Data sources

• No comprehensive measure of supply– Used six different data sources:

• Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, Office of Child Development and Early Learning (OCDEL) database

• School District of Philadelphia Head Start and Partner Sites database

• Pennsylvania Department of Education (PDE) database of licenses and enrollments for Pre-K

• Head Start• National Establishment Time Series (NETS)• InfoUSA

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Estimating supply

• Utilize OCDEL data• Several supply measures (NETS,

InfoUSA) do not contain capacity – Match up NETS with OCDEL– Estimate capacity for sites not in OCDEL.– InfoUSA estimated as a capacity of 5

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14,637 21%

31,134 44%

24,429 35%

High Quality (3-4 STAR) 1-2 STAR No STAR Level

14,637 21%

31,134 44%

24,429 35%

High Quality (3-4 STAR) 1-2 STAR No STAR Level

73,356 73%

27,578 27%

Certified Not Certified

17,864 24%

28,781 39%

26,711 37%

Estimated Supply of Childcare

Total(100,934)

Certified(73,356)

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Certified Childcare Center and Keystone STARS Level

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Estimating Demand

• No direct measure of demand– Start with basic population and age data

• Decennial Census

– Correct for children accompanying their parents commuting in / out of their home block group

• ACS (2013) – estimate percent of workers coming into Philadelphia, or leaving Philadelphia, with children under the age of 5

• Literature (e.g., Laughlin, 2013) – estimate percent of households using childcare

• Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics (LEHD), 2012 – move people around the city based on residence / work locations

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– Resident children under 5 (from Nielson, 2015): 105,800

– Estimated number of children accompanying city resident parents to out-of-city work locations: 9,200

– Estimated number of children accompanying parents from out-of-the-city to city work locations: 16,400

– Total Estimated Demand: 113,000

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Estimated Total Demand

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Approaches to Estimating the Gap

0

20

40

60

80

100

0 20 40 60 80 100

Supp

ly

Demand

Hypothetical Relationship Between the Supply of and Demand for Childcare

More than Expected Level of Supply

Less than Expected Level of Supply

Supply/demand relationship predicted based on current supply

Perfect supply/demand match

Census block group

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Mapping the Gaps

The map displays the absolute shortage in high-quality (STAR 3 & 4) childcare. Blue areas have the least shortage; white areas, the greatest shortage. Areas with an orange overlay are high (35%+) resident poverty places. Note the places with high poverty and shortage – as well as those where poverty is high but supply is adequate.

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# %Certified 73,356 72.7% 3,156 3.1%

High Quality (3-4 STAR) 17,864 17.7% 3,227 3.2%1-2 STAR 28,781 28.5% -2,353 -2.4%

No STAR Level 26,711 26.5% 2,282 2.3%Not Certified 27,578 27.3% -3,028 -3.1%Total Seats 100,934 128

Estimated Supply of Childcare Total Seats % of All Seats Change from 2014

Tracking the trends

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• Informs local universal pre-k effort• Supports increases in local ECE funding

– Federal grant competitions (e.g., EHS childcare partnership, HS renewal)

– Other grant competitions (e.g., PNC Grow Up Great)• Inform investments in libraries, parks, playgrounds• Stimulate planning related to the ECE – K12 connection• Resource for parent/caregiver outreach• Informs other WPF investments

– Fund for Quality; program expansion– Success by 6; technical assistance

Demonstrated uses

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Contact Information

Elliot Weinbaum

Elliot Weinbaum, Program Director, William Penn Foundation– [email protected]

Emily Dowdall, Chief of Development and Policy Implementation, Reinvestment Fund

– [email protected]

Website: www.childcaremap.org

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http://www.childcaremap.org/

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