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As the rate of change speeds up, it is likely that some technology or business somewhere/somehow has or will disrupt you and what you are doing. While it may be overdramatic to term these disruptions a “Black Swan”, it is reasonable to assume that as the world grows in complexity, our working lives will be disrupted (if it hasn’t already happened) by some technological “innovation”. In education, many have argued that emergent technologies are going to disrupt the way that schools and universities go about their business. This presentation will introduce you to some of the techniques used by these futurists, survey some of the recent presentations and articles about education and technology and attempt to sketch out some of the scenarios for education that may lie on the near horizon.
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Creating your future with scenariosBy Derek Moore
Do you remember?
3D Video
Alternative Licensing
Augmented Reality
Cellular Networks
Cloud Computing
Collaborative Environments
Collective Intelligence
Crowd Sourcing
Digital Identity
Digital Preservation
Smart Objects
Social Media
Social Networking
Statistical Machine Translation
Tablet Computing
Tagging
Telepresence
Thin Film Displays
Virtual Worlds
Visual Data Analysis
Wireless Power
Electronic PublishingGame-Based LearningGeolocationGesture-Based ComputingLearning AnalyticsLocation-Based ServicesMobiles & Mobile AppsNew ScholarshipOpen ContentPersonal Learning EnvironmentsSemantic Applications
Environmental Scanning
Extrapolation
500 Danish Kroner
“Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future”
Niels Bohr
Mega Trends
• An accelerating shift in economic power
• Market instability• Technological progress
Emerging Technologies
Creative Destruction
Disruptive Innovation
Black Swan
“Higher Education is in a powerful transition, moving from an instructional paradigm to a learning paradigm.
Scenarios
• Stories about the future
– Identify trends – Scan the environment– Listen to groups of experts– Test propositions
Phantom Learning
The Lost Decade
The Nomad
Attribution-NonCommercial 2.0 Generic by smlions12
Renaissance
BIG
So, what does this mean for
me?
Thank You
Credits• Images – Flickr CC• Scenarios adapted from
Bryan Alexander’s presentation at the University of Mary Washington
By Derek Moore@weblearning
CC Attribution Share Alike
