Proposal defense slideshare

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Commi'eeDr.ThomasSeagerChair,AdvisorMembersDr.SusanClarkDr.Sco'Clou;erDr.ErikFisher

HumanResilienceandDevelopmentinCoupledSocial,Ecological,&TechnicalSystems:

AHolis(cApproachtoCri(calInfrastructure

JohnE.Thomas,MSEE,MBAPhDStudent,ResearchAssociate

22April2016

SustainableEngineeringandtheBuiltEnvironment

PhD.ProposalDefense

CriEcalInfrastructure

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HumanResilience

HumanDevelopment

Bio-,psycho-,socio-,environmental,technical,cultural,economic…systemsofsystems,ecologiesandscales!

Ac;onsBehaviorsOutcomesAr;facts

AgencyInten;onMo;va;on

Photo:FelixPharandDeschenes

3(LarryDowning/Reuters-Corbis,2011)

CoastGuardCommandantThadAllen

PresidentGeorgeBush

NewOrleansMayorRayNagin

HurricaneKatrinaAresiliencefailure…

“asifnoonewasincontrol”

(Westrum,2005)

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PPD-21(PPD21,2013)

Na;onalInfrastructureProtec;onPlan,2013

“U.S.effortsshalladdressthesecurityandresilienceinanintegrated,holisEcmannertoreflectthisinfrastructure’sinterconnectednessandinterdependency.”

èWrongaboutholisEc.èLeNoutthepeople!

DarnellEarley,FlintEMPhoto:ZackWi'man/AP

Photo:RyanGarzaDetroitFreePress

Criminalchargesfiledagainst3governmentemployees 4/20/16

ProposiEon(s)


Resilienttechnologyrequiresresilientpeople

Resilientpeoplerequireresilienttechnology

SAAL?

?

7Photo:FelixPharandDeschenes

ResearchQuesEons

What?Theore=cal •  Rela;onships,proper;es,&characteris;cs?

How?Conceptual •  Impact,improve,assess,&measure?

Why?Opera=onal •  Frameworks,heuris;cs,tools?

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SETSResilienceFrameworkKG:rcf/wintegra;ngm/s&s-t-pRQ:HowtodefineresilienceInfrastructureproblems?SWWC:undefined

HolisEcResilienceResearchKG:inconsistentdefini;on,lackoff/wRQ:Whatisholis;cresilienceresearch?SWWC:Myriadofdefini;ons,disciplines,concepts,&applica;ons

HumanresilienceKG:HR&CASlikeinfrastructureRQ:Rela;onships?Linkage?SWWC:Peopledesign,operate,andmanageinfrastructure

P4:HumandevelopmentKG:HD&CASlikeinfrastructureRQ:Rela;onships?Linkage?SWWC:Alignroles,enhancer&d,predictors

•  Holis;cframework•  Top20papersassessed•  Epistemologicalindex

•  SAALprocesses•  Resilientinfrastructure

problemdefini;on.•  Heuris;c-Litreview

•  Linkinghumanresiliencew/SAAL

•  Linkinglevelsw/SAAL•  LinkingR&Dw/SAAL

Contribu;ons

P1

P2

P4

P3

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Nolinkageforperspec;vesindisparatedisciplines:engineering&psychology

Confusion&misinterpreta;onsamongdisciplines(Brand&Jax,2007)

99P2:Framework P3:HumanResilience P3:DevelopmentP1:IntegralResilience

1010P2:Framework P3:HumanResilience P3:DevelopmentP1:IntegralResilience

Exteriorprocesses

InteriorproperEes

Psychology•  Child•  Adult•  Social•  Developmental

Psychology•  Child•  Adult•  Behavioral•  Developmental

Engineering&TechnologicalSystems

--Whatinterior?--

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IntegralMapofHumanPerspecEves

P2:Framework P3:HumanResilience P3:DevelopmentP1:IntegralResilience

Adapted(Wilber,2000)

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Integralmapof20mostcitedarEcleswithresilienceinEtle:1900-2015

P2:Framework P3:HumanResilience P3:DevelopmentP1:IntegralResilience

(Thomas,2016)

ChildPsychology

AdultPsychology

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13

4 4

1

1

1

4

2Technology

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

Q1-UL Q2-LL Q3-UR Q4-LR Total Possible

40.0%

0.0%

35.0%

50.0%

31.3%

•  Sensing—monitorsystemsstatevariables•  AnEcipaEng—imaginingpossiblestateoutcomes•  AdapEng—changingstatevariables•  Learning—differen;ate,integrate,&createknowledgeinformingsystembehaviors

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Individual&GroupResilienceAc=ons,behaviors,&ar=facts

(Park,Seager,Rao,Conver;no,&Linkov2013)(Hollnagel,Paries,Woods,&Wreathall2013)(Linkov,Eisenberg,Bates,Chang,Cover;no,Allen,Flynn,Seager2013)

Social-technicalResilienceEnablingProcesses

P1:IntegralResilience P2:Framework P3:HumanResilience P3:Development

ResilienceSocio-TechnicalProcesses

Outcomes

Sensing An;cipa;ng Adap;ng Learning

(Thomas,2016)

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Stressors/Shocks

Vulnerabilityfactors

Protec;vefactors (+/-)

Ecological

Technical

Social SystemsofSystems

Outcomes


An;cipa;ng Adap;ngSensing Learning

ResilienceConceptualFramework


(Thomas,2016)

Context

Boundarycondi;ons

Exogenous

Endogenous

Domains

•  9Components•  Scorecard

Space

TimeMeaning

Dimensions

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SocialEcologyofInfrastructureResilience

Adapted(Masten,2010;Bronfenbrenner,1979)

Areaoffocus

PsychologicalSystems

BiologicalSystems


Space

TimeMeaning

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PVSO•  P=Protec;vefactors•  V=Vulnerabilityfactors•  S=Stressors/Shocks•  O=Outcomes

Adapted:(Esbjörn-Hargens,Zimmerman,2009)

Integralmapofcoupledsocialandtechnicalsystems

PVSOPVSO

PVSO PVSO


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LinkingHumanResiliencewithInfrastructure

(Thomas,2016)


Outcomes

Cogni;ve Emo;onal Behavioral

ResilienceProtec;veFactors



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CogniEve(Func;onality)

MoralMaturity

CogniEve(Complexity)

Maturity(Ego/Self)

Leadership(Ac;onLogic)

ValueSystems

HumanDevelopmentStageModels

WhatamIawareof? WhoamI? WhatshouldIdo?

WhatdoIcareabout?

Adapted:(Wilber,2006)


Space

TimeMeaning

Whyego-development?-Stagesofmeaning-making-Interpretexperience-Shapesworldviews,perspec;ves-Informsreasoning&behavior-Correlateswithresilience-Enhancedpredictorsofoutcomes-Established&validatedtools,

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0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Survivor Socialized Specialist Independent Rela;ve Integra;ve Construct

%Sample(n=4,510)

Conven;onal Post-conven;onal

1st;er 2nd;er

Ego-developmentStages&AcEonLogics

36.5%

29.7%

11.3%

4.9%

ResearchfocusMeaning-makingsystems

(Cook-Greuter,1999)


66.2% 16.2%

44.3% 36.0% 13.7% 6.0%

80.3% 19.7%

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!!Stage—Cook&Greuter,!!(Torbert!)!!!!!!!![Stage!no.]!

!Sensing!

!Anticipating!

!Adapting!

!Learning!

Conventional* * *Specialist!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!![3/4]!(Expert)!

!!

! ! ! !

Independent!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!![4]!(Achievers)!!!

! ! ! !

Post-conventional* * *Relative!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!![4/5]!(Individualist)!!!

! !!

! !

Integrative!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!![5]!(Strategists)!!!

! ! ! !

!!

ResilientHumanDevelopment


Cogni;ve Emo;onal Behavioral

ResilienceProtec;veFactors


(Cook-Greuter,1999;Torbert,2004)

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Social-technicalResiliencePsychograph


Conven;onal

Pre-conven;onal

Post-conven;onal


ProposiEons


Resilienttechnologyrequiresresilientpeople

Yes,and…Resilientpeoplerequireresilienttechnology

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JohnnyThomas,MSEE,MBA

[email protected]

Resilience,Simula;onforWater,Power&RoadwayNetworks,NSFGrantNo.1441352ThismaterialisbaseduponworksupportedbytheNa=onalScienceFounda=on(NSF)undergrantNo.1441352.Anyopinions,findings,conclusions,orrecommenda=onsexpressedinthismaterialarethoseoftheauthorsanddonotnecessarilyreflecttheviewsoftheNSF.

ThankYou

IntegralResilience.org

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References

•  Brand,F.,&Jax,K.(2007).FocusingtheMeaning(s)ofResilience:ResilienceasaDescrip;veConceptandaBoundaryObject.EcologyandSociety,12(1).Retrievedfromh'p://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol12/iss1/art23/ES-2007-2029.pdf

•  Bronfenbrenner,U.(1979).Ecologyofhumandevelopment.Cambridge,MA:Harvard.•  Cook-Greuter,S.(1999).Postautonomousegodevelopment:Astudyofitsnatureandmeasurement(Doctoraldisserta;on).RetrievedfromProQuest

Disserta;onsandThesesdatabaseh'p://search.proquest.com/docview/304503009?accoun;d=8203•  Esbjörn-Hargens,S.(2010).AnOverviewofIntegralTheory.InIntegralTheoryinAc=on:Applied,Theore=cal,andConstruc=vePerspec=vesontheAQAL

Model(pp.33–61).StateUniversityofNewYorkPress.•  Esbjörn-Hargens,S.,Zimmerman,M.(2009).IntegralEcology,Uni=ngMul=plePerspec=vesontheNaturalWorld.IntegralBooks.•  Hollnagel,E.,Paries,J.,David,D.,&Wreathall,J.(2011).ResilienceEngineeringinPrac=ce:AGuidebook.Ashgate.•  Linkov,I.,Eisenberg,D.a.,Plourde,K.,Seager,T.P.,Allen,J.,&Ko',A.(2013).Resiliencemetricsforcybersystems.EnvironmentSystemsandDecisions,

33(4),471–476.doi:10.1007/s10669-013-9485-y•  Masten,A.,&Obradovic,J.(2010).Disasterprepara;onandrecovery:Lessonsfromresearchonresilienceinhumandevelopment.EcologyandSociety,

13(1).Retrievedfromh'p://ibcperu.org/doc/isis/8553.pdf•  Park,J.,Seager,T.P.,Rao,P.S.C.,Conver;no,M.,&Linkov,I.(2013).Integra;ngRiskandResilienceApproachestoCatastropheManagementin

EngineeringSystems.RiskAnalysis,33(3),356–67.doi:10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01885.x•  PPD21(2013).Presiden=alPolicyDirec=ve/PPD-21.•  Torbert,B.,Cook-Greuter,S.,Fisher,D.,Foldy,E.,Gauthier,A.,Keeley,J.,…Tran,M.(2004).Ac=onInquiry:Thesecretof=melyandtransforming

leadership.Berre'-KoehlerPublishers.•  U.S.HomelandSecurity.(2013).Na=onalInfrastructureProtec=onPlan2013.•  Westrum,P.R.(2005).AllCoherenceGone :NewOrleansasaResilienceFailure.In2ndsymposiumonresilienceengineering.Juan-les-Pins,France.•  Wilber,K.(2001).ATheoryofEverything:Anintegralvisionforbusiness,poli=cs,science,andspirituality.ShambhalaPublica;ons.•  Wilber,K.(2006).IntegralSpirituality.IntegralBooks.

Education

Proposal defense slideshare