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These are the slides from my talk at the Apereo 2013 conference. Ref: 2013-06-02-sakai-x
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SakaiThe First Ten Years andThe Next* Ten Years
Dr. Charles SeveranceUniversity of Michigan School of Information
Blackboard Chief Sakai Strategist X* Some ideas about the next ten years
During this talk, I am not speaking for the University of Michigan, I am not
speaking for Blackboard, Inc., I am not speaking for the IMS Global Learning
Consortium, and I am not speaking for anyone except for myself.
D'Arcy Norman's Law of eLearning Tool Convergance
Any eLearning tool, no matter how openly designed, will eventually
become indistinguishable from a Learning Management System once a threshold of supported use-cases
has been reached.
http://darcynorman.net/2013/02/15/normans-law-of-elearning-tool-convergence/
http://www.deltainitiative.com/bloggers/state-of-the-higher-education-lms-market-a-graphical-view
http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2012/11/07/tech-officials-weigh-big-data-moocs-and-open-source
NYU
THE COMPARISON
MAKE IT COUNT
MAIN METHOD
LESSONS LEARNED
MAKE IT COUNT
MAIN METHOD
GETTING RESULTS
Campus Computing Survey Count by
Institution
New York University Count by Enrollment
SAKAI MARKET SHARE
What is the Real Market Share of Sakai?, David Ackerman, Associate VP, Crystal Butler, Research Associate, New York University
1.0 1.5
2.0
2.9
2.82.72.62.5
X2.9.2
Sakai 2.9
• Out first release where the overall UI is market leading out of the box
• Our first release with structured content (LessonBuilder)
• Our first release with support for IMS interoperability standards
Sakai 2.9 - Our first "LMS"
Sakai 2.9 Becoming Our Center of Gravity
We owe these schools a debt of gratitude...
Sakai is Not a Clone
• Still far and away the best at combining research, collaboration, and learning
• Most powerful / flexible role system
• Highly customizable for local needs
• Real Apache-Style open source
Worldwide Market Penetration
US! 185!UK! 14!Spain! 8!Canada! 7!Australia! 6!Netherlands! 6!France! 4!South Africa! 4!Japan! 3!Russia! 3!Sweden! 3!Turkey! 3!Brazil! 2!Mexico! 2!Pakistan! 2!Portugal! 2!
One reported install: Argentina, Austria, Belgium, Germany, Denmark, Algeria, Guatemala, Hong Kong, Ireland, Iran, Italy, Korea, New Zealand, Puerto Rico, Romania, Singapore
225 reported schools worldwide. Missing some commercial partner customers and other unreported installs. About 300-350 worldwide enterprise installs is a good estimate.
Sakai has nearly complete support for 22 languages including Asian languages and right-to-left languages.
https://jira.sakaiproject.org/browse/PROD
November 2012
S Cambridge* Harvard* MITM University College LondonS OxfordL Imperial College LondonS YaleL University of ChicagoL PrincetonM CaltechS Columbia UniversityL University of PennsylvaniaM ETH
L CornellS Stanford UniversityL Johns HopkinsS MichiganD McGillL TorontoS DukeL EdinburghS BerkeleyS Hong Kong UniversityS ANUL NU Singapore
Top 25 Schools In The World (June 2013)
http://www.usnews.com/education/worlds-best-universities-rankings/top-400-universities-in-the-world
Sakai: 10, Learn: 9, Moodle: 3, D2L: 1, Canvas: 0
http://www.dr-chuck.com/bracket/
Open-Open-Open
Rutgers University and Stanford University do not have TCC
representatives but have made major contributions to Sakai
over the years.
What might* we see NeXT?
* This is just one person's ramblings...X
A New Strategy
• With Sakai 2.9, we can actually relax for a while - it is a solid and beautiful product
• When you have a solid product in hand, your thinking and planning changes from filling gaping holes to polishing and reinforcement
• You can take more risks and incur less riskX
Some Rumblings...
• Amsterdam, Montreal, UPMC are all doing MOOC experiments with Sakai....
• Two new search technologies: SOLR from Oxford and Elastic Search from rSmart
• Complete sakai.web tool replacement
• Dashboard tool
• KNL-1011 - SiteService Caching Performance Improvement
X
Sakai.X
• We can attack larger and larger areas that need improvement in Sakai if we work together in larger teams
• Get a collective focus on fewer, larger, more impactful improvements.
• Fix things we never thought could be fixed - sticky sessions as an example... X
What might be in Sakai.X?
• Big, fast, powerful, scalable Sakai CLE.
• Scalable to millions of users
• Shard across multi-tenant - even at a single course
• Spin up spin down instances easily
• Easy upgrades - continuous migration....
• Software as Service ModelX
When is Sakai.X?
• I don't know when - we will know collectively
• Since we are in less of a rush it will likely be 2 years between major Sakai releases
• We will make bold changes somewhat and then collectively test and validate those changes together... X
This is just an idea...
• I have no resources other than my own spare time...
• I cannot make this happen - I can only present an idea and see if people resonate with that idea...
Thank you for your time..