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DEVELOPING THE MINDANAO TVET ROADMAP, 2010-2015 Mindanao TVET Stakeholders Forum October 30, 2009 Davao City

Trends & Hotspots

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Page 1: Trends & Hotspots

DEVELOPING THE

MINDANAO TVET

ROADMAP, 2010-2015Mindanao TVET

Stakeholders ForumOctober 30, 2009

Davao City

Page 2: Trends & Hotspots

THE EXTERNAL ENVIRONM

ENTTRENDS, HOTSPOTS &

SCENARIOS

Page 3: Trends & Hotspots

POPULATION OF MINDANAO, 2007As of 2007 Census, Mindanao has a total

population of 21,584,540

Page 4: Trends & Hotspots

POPULATION OF MINDANAO, 2007It is projected to increase to 22.3 million by 2010,

and 24.6 million by 2015

Page 5: Trends & Hotspots

POPULATION OF MINDANAO, 2007Population Growth Rate of Mindanao has generally

decreased from 2000-2007

Page 6: Trends & Hotspots

Source of Raw Data: NSCB/GVA per sectorProcessed by: MEDCo Secretariat

Mindanao is an Agri-based Economy

pineapplecanned sardines

seaweedbanana

tuna

Major Regional Agri Products

oil palm

• One-third of Mindanao’s land area is devoted to agriculture

• One-third of the labor force is employed in the agriculture, fishery and forestry sectors (AFF).

• Mindanao contributes more than 30% of the national food requirements

MINDANAO ECONOMY

Page 7: Trends & Hotspots

INDUSTRY GROWTH RATE

1. Agriculture 4.5 – 5.5%

2. Services (BPO) 20%

Source: National Economic Development Authority, 2009 Data

Mindanao’s economy grew within 4.5% - 5.5% in the year 2009 due to sustained growths in the agriculture and services sectors, and exports.

Page 8: Trends & Hotspots

Gross Domestic Regional Product (GRDP) in Mindanao (at constant prices)

has increased in a span of 10 years in an average growth rate of 4% from

1997-2007;

Page 9: Trends & Hotspots

DISTRIBUTION OF MINDANAO OUPUTS

As of 2008, 37% of the total Mindanao output came from

the agriculture sector while 36%

came from the services sector.

The remaining 27% of the total output came from the industry sector.

Page 10: Trends & Hotspots

Investment growth reached 72%, from PHP 7.958 billion in 2007 to PHP 13.709

billion in 2008;

Page 11: Trends & Hotspots

Foreign Equity in BOI Registered Investments in Mindanao grew in value from P1.65B in 2006 to

P1.7B in 2008, a growth rate of only 5.6% per year….

Page 12: Trends & Hotspots

The bulk of equity for BOI registered investments came from local capital, which jumped from P3.55 billion in 2006 to P12 billion in 2008, an average

growth of 85% per year.

Page 13: Trends & Hotspots

The same local capital is fueling the rapid growth in SMEs. In 2006, SEC registered local

investments grew from 145M in 2006 to 1.3B in 2007 with a growth rate of 794%. The SME

sector is growing rapidly versus BOI registered.

Page 14: Trends & Hotspots

• SMEs account for 99.6% of the country’s total business enterprises (811,589) and generate a 69.1% share of total employment (Source: DTI).

• Economic development plans of the Mindanao regions have also placed emphasis on MSME development as “a potent force for job creation and generation.”

MINDANAO ECONOMY

Page 15: Trends & Hotspots

LABOR & EMPLOYMENT

Page 16: Trends & Hotspots

EMPLOYMENT DISTRIBUTION

Employment distribution in Mindanao (2008) shows that 50% are

employed in the Services sector, 35% in

Agriculture, and 15% in the Industry sector

Page 17: Trends & Hotspots

EMPLOYMENT DISTRIBUTION

Mindanao-wide employment rate is generally increasing from 2005-2008;

Page 18: Trends & Hotspots

EMPLOYMENT DISTRIBUTION

Labor force participation rate in Mindanao increased from 94.37 in 2007 to 95.45% in 2008

Page 19: Trends & Hotspots

EMPLOYMENT TRENDS• Increase in employment rate is seen in the

agricultural and service sectors, but this is largely among laborers and unskilled workers; they comprise 32% in the employment distribution in Mindanao; Laborers &

Unskilled workers,

32%

Page 20: Trends & Hotspots

Absorption of skills is seen more in the deployment of OFWs in the Industry

sector rather than local Industry employment...

EMPLOYMENT TRENDS

Page 21: Trends & Hotspots

Deployment of Overseas Workers for Electricals and Electronics occupations (Wiremen, Riggers, Assemblers,Fitters, Lineman, etc.) significantly increased in 2006....

Page 22: Trends & Hotspots

Trends in recruitment and hiring among big firms show that they

“generally hire trainable applicants and train them on the

job rather than hire certified graduates of TVET courses” e.g.

agri-business firms, BPOs, firms in Ecozones, etc.

EMPLOYMENT in INDUSTRY

Page 23: Trends & Hotspots

• Feedback from big Industry and Chambers (during Regional consultations) says that while there is willingness to absorb TVET graduates for employment, most of TVET graduates do not meet competency and acceptability requirements of employers….

• …. and even if they are willing to absorb TVET graduates, their absorption capability is limited.

EMPLOYMENT in INDUSTRY

Page 24: Trends & Hotspots

50% of agricultural

workers are own account workers,

25% are wage and salary

workers and 25% are unpaid family

workers…

EMPLOYMENT IN AGRICULTURE

Page 25: Trends & Hotspots

According to DOLE, the top four (4) sectors with demands for skills for

2006-2010 are:

Agribusiness (2,044,161), Cyberservices (1,383,390),

Hotel & Restaurant (400,280); and Medical

Tourism (128,150).

SKILLS DEMANDS

1

2

3

4

Page 26: Trends & Hotspots

These are followed by the Health

Services sector (58,003); Mining

Industry sector (39,382);

and Aviation (27,581)

SKILLS DEMANDS

1

2

3

4

Page 27: Trends & Hotspots

Labor demands for agribusiness was esti mated to reach 1.3 Million for Crop Producti on, 451 thousand for aquaculture, and 135 thousand for livestock/poultry for the period 2006-

2010…

SKILLS DEMANDS

Page 28: Trends & Hotspots

Tesda’s TVET Outlook for 2006-2010 likewise estimated shortage of skills in Agriculture

reaching to 3.3Million

SKILLS DEMANDS

Page 29: Trends & Hotspots

For Cyberservices, labor demands was esti mated to reach 1.3Million with Customer Contact Agents

topping the list of occupati ons.

SKILLS DEMANDS

Page 30: Trends & Hotspots

SKILLS TRAINING (SUPPLY) AND SKILLS REQUIREMENTS (DEMANDS)

Page 31: Trends & Hotspots

EDUCATION & TRAINING

Page 32: Trends & Hotspots

• Drop-out rates across all levels of education have increased in the past 3 years;

• 30% of students/OSY in Mindanao are not in school because of “lack of interest” ; 20% prefer to work or are looking for work; 19% is due to high costs of education and 11% because they are in housekeeping

Source: DepEd

DROP-OUT & OSY TRENDS

Page 33: Trends & Hotspots

EDUCATION COHORTS SURVIVAL RATEOnly 43% finish high school and of that number only 23% would pursue higher education while 10% enter TVET; of

that 10%, only 7% would graduate..

Source: Dept of Educ

Page 34: Trends & Hotspots

2007-08 NCAE Results show that high school graduates have moderate-high aptitude for technical-vocational and entrepreneurial skills.

2007-08 NCAE Results show that high school graduates have moderate-high aptitude for technical-vocational and entrepreneurial skills.2007-2008 NCAE RESULTS

Page 35: Trends & Hotspots

More high school graduates prefer higher education courses (college) over TVET courses..More high school graduates prefer higher education courses (college) over TVET courses..

JOB-SKILLS MISMATCH

Page 36: Trends & Hotspots

Integrating tech-voc in the Basic Secondary Curriculum is viewed by DepEd as priority and an alternative solution to increasing dropout rates,

addressing issues on the present job-skills mismatch and reduction of poverty;

Source: DepEd

TVET IN BASIC EDUCATION

Page 37: Trends & Hotspots

• The Department of Education has moved towards the integration of tech-voc education and training in the basic secondary curriculum;

• There are 282 tech-voc public and private high schools offering/operating the specialized tech-voc high school curriculum;

• The skills trained under this curriculum are certifiable skills and high schools students may be assessed by TESDA and earn certificates of competencies;

Source: DepEd

TVET IN BASIC EDUCATION

Page 38: Trends & Hotspots

Source: Department of Education

TVET IN BASIC EDUCATIONWith TVET in basic secondary education, high school tech-voc graducates now have wider career options to include

becoming an entrepreneur after graduation or be employed.

Page 39: Trends & Hotspots

Source: TESDA

TVET ENROLMENT, GRADUATES, ASSESSED & CERTIFIED, 04-05 TO 06-07, By Regions

Page 40: Trends & Hotspots

Mindanao Private

schools with TVET courses

grew from 2005 to 2009

in an ave. growth rate of

22%; public schools with TVET courses had a lesser

growth rate of 3%.

AGR=.03

AGR=.22