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niversity of North Texas Dr. J. Kyle Roberts © 2004 Unit 2: Bivariate Relationships Lesson 2: Covariance and Pearson r EDER 6010: Statistics for Educational Research Dr. J. Kyle Roberts University of North Texas Next Slide

Unit 2 lesson 2

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Page 1: Unit 2 lesson 2

University of North Texas Dr. J. Kyle Roberts © 2004

Unit 2: Bivariate Relationships

Lesson 2: Covariance and Pearson r

EDER 6010: Statistics for Educational Research

Dr. J. Kyle Roberts

University of North Texas

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Page 2: Unit 2 lesson 2

University of North Texas Dr. J. Kyle Roberts © 2004

Are The VariablesCorrelated???

Covariance

1

))((

n

YYXXCOV ii

XY

“The average cross-product of the deviation scores.”

Answers 2 Questions:

1. Is there any relationship between X and Y?

2. If there is a relationship, is it positive or negative?

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Page 3: Unit 2 lesson 2

University of North Texas Dr. J. Kyle Roberts © 2004

“Rules” for Covariance

2. Covariance will be 0 (zero) when the sum of the cross-products is 0 (e.g., IQ and shoe size)

3. The “sign” of the covariance tells the “direction” of therelationship Do they “Covary”

Together???

1. There are no “bounds” for values for the covariance

Are The VariablesCorrelated???

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Page 4: Unit 2 lesson 2

University of North Texas Dr. J. Kyle Roberts © 2004

Pearson r

yx

xyXY SDSD

COVr

*

“The average cross-product of the standardized deviation scores.”

Answers 3 Questions:

1. Is there any relationship between X and Y?

2. If there is a relationship, is it positive or negative?

3. How well does one line describe the data?

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Page 5: Unit 2 lesson 2

University of North Texas Dr. J. Kyle Roberts © 2004

Pearson r“How well does a single line represent my data?”

r = .85 r = -.25 r = 1.0

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Page 6: Unit 2 lesson 2

University of North Texas Dr. J. Kyle Roberts © 2004

Pearson r

X0011

Y0101

r = .00

3

25.)25.()25.(25.3

)5.1)(5.1()5.0)(5.1()5.1)(5.0()5.0)(5.0(

XY

XY

COV

COV

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Page 7: Unit 2 lesson 2

University of North Texas Dr. J. Kyle Roberts © 2004

“Guessing” Pearson r

Height and weight

Moderate PositiveSES and Math Achievement

High NegativeTobacco use and Life Expectancy

High PositiveGPA and SAT

Near ZeroShoe size and IQ

Moderate to High Positive

Parameters Pearson r

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Page 8: Unit 2 lesson 2

University of North Texas Dr. J. Kyle Roberts © 2004

“Rules” for Pearson r

2. A zero value for the Pearson r means that there is NOrelationship between the two variables of interest

3. Pearson r’s cannot be compared between two studies

1. The “bounds” for Pearson r are between +1.0 and -1.0

4. The Covariance determines the sign of the Pearson r

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Page 9: Unit 2 lesson 2

University of North Texas Dr. J. Kyle Roberts © 2004

Square Before You Compare

R2 = .25 R2 = .36

Study 1

Pearson r betweenGPA and GREr = .50

Study 2

Pearson r betweenIQ and GREr = .60

“Study 2 explains 11% more variance than Study 1”

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Page 10: Unit 2 lesson 2

University of North Texas Dr. J. Kyle Roberts © 2004

A Little Practice

r = 1.0 r = .832

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X56789

Y1012141618

X56789

Y1012141614

Page 11: Unit 2 lesson 2

University of North Texas Dr. J. Kyle Roberts © 2004

Unit 2: Bivariate Relationships

Lesson 2: Covariance and Pearson r

EDER 6010: Statistics for Educational Research

Dr. J. Kyle Roberts

University of North Texas