Deccan UGC 2011 Chiefs Forum - Seattle Fire Presentation - P Di Turi

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Seattle Fire Department: The “Where”

• 84 square miles, 193 miles lake/sea waterfront

• 34 fire stations (32 land, 1 water, 1 land/water)

• Medic One facility @ Harborview Medical Center

• Fire Facility Capital Improvement work since 2003

• Fire Alarm Center (with City EOC)

• Joint Training Facility

• 5 Operational battalion areas (only 4 BCs)

• Medic One battalion

• Mutual aid to surrounding King County areas


Seattle Fire Department: The “What”

• Fire: 32 Engines, 11 Ladder trucks

• EMS: 3 Aid Cars, 7 Medic Vans

• H2O: 2 fireboats (Fresh and Salt)

• Specialty: Command Van, HazMat Van, Tech Rescue Van, Air Units, Hose Wagons

• Admin Cars: BCs, Deputy1, Staff10, Safety, Fire Marshal, Command Staff, MIS


Seattle Fire Department: The “Who”

• 2010 Population: 563,400

• Daytime population: 1,500,000 (est.)

• Personnel Profile (2010):• Uniformed: 1,020 (all EMT certified)

• On-duty strength: 208

• Department Chiefs: 35

• Paramedics: 74

• Civilian: 87


Budget Challenge Faced

• Example 1: Isolation By Road Closures

• Trying to figure out the “right” baseline

• Major roadway closures

• Response time impacts (first-in, 2nd-in, etc.)

• Short-term vs. long-term

• We can’t afford another unit for interim coverage, justify City DOT pay for it!

• What type of unit to recommend?

• For how long?


Actions Taken

• Example 1: Isolation By Road Closures• Create a baseline with modified road network of

expected roadway status during the next 1½ years

• 1710 ADAM Full-alarm coverage performance metrics to show high fragility of a residential/industrial area

• Show temporary ladder truck benefits area and adds benefit to surrounding station area.

• Propose City DOT pays $1.5 million for truck until road work is complete


Approach For Composing Deployment Change Plans

• Example 1: Isolation By Road Closures• Home station for the truck is already a double-

house with just the engine – no additional shelter cost needed

• We have the truck, so let’s get it there NOW

• (Okay, let’s set up the staffing, CAD, etc.) and THEN get it there NOW!)


Obstacles


• Couldn’t justify the need on BLS, ALS or First Engine metrics

• Run counts not as high in that area as in other parts of City

• Not as many high-rises as in other parts of the City

• Major roadway opening removes 2nd-in ladder issue.


Outcome


• City DOT agreed to fund ladder truck for 1½ years

• 1710 metrics remained intact (First Responder metrics actually improved a little)



Budget Challenge Faced

• Example 2: Revenue Shortfall

• 3-6% decrease - early 2011 projection

• $3-10 million dollar fire department shortfall

• One-time cuts for last six months of 2011

• Station closures (permanent or brownout), unit decommissions are for consideration


Actions Taken

• Example 2: Revenue Shortfall• Rule out one battalion’s stations/units due to their

centralized and critical geographic areas

• Use 2-year road network baseline (to sustain these cuts longer, loss of temporary ladder)

• Determine target stations through engine run totals, City-wide and sample fractal ADAM analyses

• Create options for best and worst cases, and 2 in-between


Approach For Composing Deployment Change Plans

• Example 2: Revenue Shortfall• Narrow down to 4 stations (engines with lowest run

totals), use decomms instead of brownouts

• Run 4 scenarios (least-used 1,2,3 and 4 engines)

• City-wide coverage performance comparison of First Responder, First Engine and Full Alarm 1710 metrics needed

• Pick fractals with large BLS, ALS and Fire counts and compare baseline and scenarios

• If a single house loses its unit, then add station closure to savings.


Obstacles


• Station closures, even for a day, are perceived as unacceptable to taxpayers

• Avoid simultaneous impacts in adjoining areas

• Minimize impact to central battalion (tourist waterfront, downtown, medical district)


Outcome


• WE GOT LUCKY – final estimate at 2%

• Only ONE change to Ops staff

• Loss of central battalion chief, replaced by Admin BC

• Reductions were taken in:

• Recruitment

• Training

• Purchase deferments





May 2011 Closure Analysis - Comparison of 1710 ADAM Scenarios To November 2010 Baseline - ROUND 1

Citywide Metrics

II. COVERAGE PERFORMANCE (ALL AREAS OF THE CITY)

A. First Responder (2 EMTs, under 4 minutes 90% of the time)

Coverage Performance Percentage 78% 76% -2%

Coverage Average Response Time 3:27 3:33 (0:06)

Grid Counts

90%-100% 1301 1196 -105

80%-90% 241 248 7

70%-80% 166 178 12

50%-70% 206 229 23

Under 50% 440 503 63

B. First Engine (4 FFs, 5 FFs in Hi Hazard under 4 minutes 90% of the time)



Grid Counts

90%-100% 914 823 -91

80%-90% 106 100 -6

70%-80% 110 102 -8

50%-70% 126 115 -11

Under 50% 1098 1214 116

C. Full Alarm (15 FFs under 8 minutes 90% of the time)



Grid Counts

90%-100% 1376 1205 -171

80%-90% 184 236 52

70%-80% 86 98 12

50%-70% 103 104 1

Under 50% 605 711 106

4-DECOM 3-CLOSURE

SCENARIO: Decom

E21,E22,E30,E32

Close S21, S22, S30

BASELINE: Nov 2010

Station Locations &

Deployment BUT Road

Netw ork Includes 1st Av

S Bridge Closure

4-DECOM 3-CLOSURE

SCENARIO: Decom

E21,E22,E30,E32

Close S21, S22, S30


Review Of Approaches Taken

• Seattle Fire’s methodology to evaluate budget impacts hasn’t changed much over time

• Unit run totals generally come in same order each year, changes in City-wide workload and response time are minimal from year to year

• Larger shortfalls require mass brownouts, not full closures

• Changes in demand and demographics are nearly uniform across areas from year to year, and aren’t substantial –but some areas may have trends (changing baselines)

• The same units and stations are always up for discussion

• The 3 biggest considerations in ADAM analysis: roadnetwork, revenue decrements, long-term demand trends


Questions?

Peter Di Turi

GIS Analyst

Seattle Fire Department

301 Second Avenue South

Seattle, WA 98104-5031

Phone: 206.386.1542

E-mail: [email protected]

Health & Medicine

Deccan UGC 2011 Chiefs Forum - Seattle Fire Presentation - P Di Turi