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© 2016 eMarketer Inc. Made possible by Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution Lauren T. Fisher Senior Analyst October 6, 2016

eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

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Page 1: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Made possible by

Navigating the Complexities of

Cross-Platform Attribution

Lauren T. Fisher

Senior Analyst

October 6, 2016

Page 2: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Today’s Agenda

Assess the current state of attribution

Discuss common roadblocks to implementation

Identify future areas of development and advancement

Page 3: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

What is attribution?

The practice of

assigning credit to

any advertising- or

marketing-driven

interaction or other

brand-imposed

touchpoint

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© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

The explosion of devices and touchpoints has

made cross-platform attribution a must

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© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

This

complexity,

among other

challenges,

has made

attribution a

significant

area of

concern for

many

marketers

Page 6: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Those using

attribution are

still in the

minority

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© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

About half of US companies will shift to

multichannel attribution models by 2017

But remember:

This is only the

number of

companies using

it for digital

media

Page 8: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Cross-screen complexities aren’t the only things

sidelining marketers

Cost, expertise and

organizational silos

also delay

attribution

adoption and usage

Page 9: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Roadblocks to Overcome:

Setting Up for Attribution

Success

Page 10: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Interest in

more

advanced

attribution

methods is

high

Page 11: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

But getting sign-off on these tools and platforms

can be difficult

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© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Winning budgets and justifying long-term value

can prove tricky, but essential

“When it comes to implementing a DMP or an

attribution platform, these are new cost items

that haven’t necessarily been slotted into the budget

mix. How do you fund that? How do you make a case

to management that this six-digit investment

that probably won’t be up and running at any sort of

meaningful scale for six to 13 months is going to

pay for itself on the other end of this?”

—Rob Griffin, Chief Innovation Officer, Almighty

Page 13: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

For most, arriving at a ‘single point of truth’

proves a powerful case for attribution

Page 14: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

But to get

there requires

companies to

make multiple

tools and tech

work together

Page 15: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Achieving

full-scale

system

integration

is still an

industrywide

pursuit

Page 16: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Many lack

proper

coordination

and expertise

required for

such

integration

Page 17: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

But more often, organizational and departmental

silos impede proper data share and integrations

Page 18: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Data

integration

and

accessibility

are key to

making

attribution

work, but so

is data quality

Page 19: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

When it comes to attribution, it’s garbage in,

garbage out

Page 20: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Common data quality issues marketers must vet

for include:

Fidelity of owned and tracked data

Fraud and viewability

Accuracy of purchased data

Compatibility of device-level data; online-to-offline

(O2O) data

Page 21: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Cross-device and the lack of a universal

identifier poses even bigger challenges

“Cross-device targeting came ‘to the masses’ in

2015. That resulted in a lot of conversations about

deterministic and probabilistic data. But what we still

see is that cross-device attribution is still very much

in its infancy and there are no standards around

it yet. Between what ID you have on one platform vs.

what kind of ID you have on another, it ends up

becoming very complicated … and the resulting

attribution can look entirely different.”

—Alan Beiagi, Senior Director, Products, DataXu

Page 22: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

To combat this and other data quality issues,

many utilize first-party data for known users

Page 23: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

The Attribution To-Do List:

Audit current digital

measurement strategy

Identify where sales data

is being captured

Take stock of tech

Decide: Is this enough?

If not, choose a vendor

Page 24: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Looking Ahead: The Future

of Attribution

Page 25: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

A more cohesive blending of top-down

and bottom-up models

1

Page 26: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

In the past, most marketers have used one of

two attribution methods:

Top Down

Branding, traditional media

(print, TV, etc.)

Econometrics, marketing-

mix modeling

Uses GRPs/impressions,

spend, sales data, external

data to model attribution

Budget allocation and media

planning

Bottom Up

Native to digital

Path analysis

Uses cookies and other

web data to analyze

actual activity

Optimization,

performance

Page 27: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

But of late, many seek greater convergence

between the two

Image credit: Shutterstock

Page 28: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Still, such solutions are works in progress

“We see a lot of people doing this today, but they’re kind

of duct-taping it together and trying to fit a

square peg in a round hole. And so marketers are left

scratching their heads and wanting to try and figure

out how to improve the data discrepancies and how

to make user-level and aggregate-level data

work together.”

—Amy Mitchell, General Manager, Convertro, an AOL company

Page 29: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

A move to more real-time reporting

2

Page 30: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

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As capabilities improve, rear-view reporting will

become a thing of the past

Page 31: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

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The ultimate aim of attribution is to move from

this:

To this: Company

Level

Is my

advertising/marketing

successful?

Department Level

Was this campaign successful?

Team Level

Was this tactic successful?

Company Level

Is my advertising/marketing

successful?

Department Level

Was this campaign

successful?

Team Level

Was this tactic successful?

Page 32: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Addressable media is the most malleable at the

moment

But long-term,

traditional

media will

become more

and more

addressable

Page 33: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

But remember: Automation and algorithms are

marketing assets, not marketing absolutes

“Oftentimes marketers immediately want

to jump to optimizing. Shut that off. Turn that

on. Move money from here to here. And they

may be reacting to an anomaly and not a

true pattern. So there’s definitely a balance in

terms of timely data availability and a deep

enough and big enough sample to make sound

decisions.”

—Jon Schulz, CMO, Viant

Page 34: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Greater online-to-offline sales

attribution

3

Page 35: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Attributing all

the way down to

the sale has

become ‘mission

critical’

Page 36: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Tying online to offline (O2O) may be an

imperative, but it’s still a work in progress

“Even with just online, being able to connect the

dots across different devices and publishers is

already hard enough. And to be able to tie

online transactions to offline sales is

even harder, because a lot of the time

advertisers just don’t have the right

technologies and tools in order to do so.”

—Anh Bui, Product Marketing Manager, Facebook

Page 37: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Data matching capabilities are improving, but

there are still pitfalls

Page 38: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Location data

can prove a

rich source of

O2O info, but

its fidelity is

increasingly

being called

into question

Page 39: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Example in action: an entertainment client

looking to activate monthly paid subscriptions

The goal: Develop a cross-channel, integrated model that drives

business results using paid, owned and earned media.

Data in: Primary acquisition KPIs (subscriptions, registrations, monthly

active users), paid media (TV, out-of-home, social, online video, display,

search), owned and earned media (site traffic, organic social and

search, email, PR), competitor media spend, holidays and events,

macroeconomic data, company-/industry-specific business metrics.

Model used: Marketing mix modeling (MMM) with ‘nested’ levels for

optimization (digital).

Benefits: Determine optimal channel spend; understand how to

optimize and execute marketing dollars to maximize subscriptions and

lifetime value.

Page 40: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

Key Takeaways:

Marketers can no longer afford to ignore cross-platform

attribution.

Organizational, technological and data quality issues all

pose significant challenges to making attribution work.

Blended, more real-time models are now a must.

Tying O2O data will be critical to truly gauge company

success.

Page 41: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

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Page 42: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

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Page 43: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

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Page 44: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

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Page 45: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

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Page 46: eMarketer Webinar: Navigating the Complexities of Cross-Platform Attribution

© 2016 eMarketer Inc.

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Q&A Session

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To learn more: www.emarketer.com/products

800-405-0844 or [email protected]

Lauren T. Fisher

Navigating the Complexities of

Cross-Platform Attribution

Cracking Cross-Device Attribution in 2016: Data Quality,

Blended Models and Merging Online-Offline Data

Search and Social Platforms: How Facebook and Others Can

Steal Dollars from Search

Making Multichannel Marketing Work: Four Tactics Required

for Omnichannel Success

Ad Fraud in the US: How More Sophisticated Methods Are

Hurting Mobile, Video and Performance Measurement