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Japan’s BMD Update Mar. 19, 2014 Defense Policy Bureau, Ministry of Defense

Ms Mai Yaguchi - Japan’s BMD Update

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This is a presentation delivered by Ms Mai Yaguchi, at the RUSI Missile Defence Conference 2014.

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Page 1: Ms Mai Yaguchi - Japan’s BMD Update

Japan’s BMD Update

Mar. 19, 2014

Defense Policy Bureau,

Ministry of Defense

Page 2: Ms Mai Yaguchi - Japan’s BMD Update

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I. Current BMD system

II. Future BMD system

III. BMD Operation

Overview of presentation

Page 3: Ms Mai Yaguchi - Japan’s BMD Update

Mid-course Phase

ASDF

Patriot PAC-3 Air Self-Defense Force

Air Control & Warning Radar

FPS-5,FPS-3Upgraded

Maritime Self-Defense Force

Aegis BMD Destroyer

Ballistic Missile

Detection –

Discrimination -

Track

JADGE

Commander, Joint Task-Force BMD Commander, Air Defense Command

NOTIONAL

Boost phase Terminal Phase

Upper-tier intercept by

Aegis BMD system Lower-tier intercept by

Patriot PAC-3

BMD Operational Architecture

JADGE // Japan Aerospace Defense Ground Environment

(Indigenous Command, Control, Battle management,

communication system)

Ⅰ. Current BMD system

Page 4: Ms Mai Yaguchi - Japan’s BMD Update

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12 14

5,6

8 7

1

4

2

21,22

20,23

9,10 11,24

13,15 2nd ADMG(Kasuga)

5 6 7 8

Ashiya Ashiya Tsuiki

Kora-dai

4th ADMG(Gifu)

12 13 14 15

Aibano Gifu

Hakusan Gifu

1st ADMG(Iruma)

1 2 3 4

Narashino Takeyama

Kasumigaura Iruma

ADM Training Group

2nd Training School (Hama-

matsu)

17 16,18

19

3th ADMG(Chitose)

9 10 11 24

Chitose Chitose

Naganuma Naganuma

5th ADMG(Naha)

16 17 18 19

Chinen Naha

Chinen Onna

6th ADMG(Misawa)

20 21 22 23

Yakumo Shariki Shariki

Yakumo

Deployment of BMD assets

※PAC-3 will be

deployed by JFY15

※PAC-3 will be

deployed by JFY15

Shimokoshiki-

jima

Ominato

Sado

Yoza-dake

Okinoerabu-jima

Miyako-jima

Mi-shima

Tobetsu

Kamo

Otakine-yama

Kyoga-Misaki

Kasatori-yama

Seburi-yama

Takahata-yama

Patriot PAC-2 unit

(# indicates each FU)

Aegis BMD destroyer

(homeport)

Patriot Pac-3 unit

(# indicates each FU)

Legends

FPS-5

FPS-3 Upgraded

Other AC&W Radar

(not BMD capable)

Uni-jima

Kume-jima

Wakkanai

Abashiri

Erimo

Nemuro

Okushiri-to

Kushimoto

Omae-zaki

Mineoka-yama Takao-yama

Kirishima

Yokosuka

(As of January 2014)

Aegis destroyers

under BMD upgrade

FY24~

ATAGO

(Maizuru)

ASHIGARA

(Sasebo)

Myoko

Maizuru Wajima

Kongo

Chokai

Sasebo

ADMG // Air Defense Missile Group

FU // Fire Unit

Yamada

Ⅰ. Current BMD system

Fukue-jima

Page 5: Ms Mai Yaguchi - Japan’s BMD Update

PAC-3

Aegis BMD CGs/DDs

AN/TPY-2 radar

Japan and U.S. has maintained close coordination and cooperation in ballistic missile defense;

in a step-by-step manner, U.S. has deployed its MD asset in Japan for the security of Japan

and this region.

2006 June : An AN/TPY-2 radar is tentatively deployed in ASDF Shariki sub-base.

August : Aegis BMD Cruiser “Shiloh” , which is capable of interception in the mid-course phase, is

deployed to Yokosuka naval base.

September : Patriot PAC-3 is deployed in USFJ Kadena air base.

2007 June : TPY-2 radar is relocated to USA Shariki communication site, adjunct to ASDF sub-base.

2013 February : Deployment of the 2nd TPY-2 radar in Japan is agreed at Japan-U.S. summit talks.

December : ASDF Kyoga-misaki sub base is decided as the deployment site for the 2nd TPY-2 radar.

U.S. MD asset deployment in Japan

Shariki(Aomori pref.)

(June 06~)

Yokosuka(Kanagawa pref.)

(August 06~)

Kadena (Aomori pref.)

(September 06~)

Kyoga-misaki

(Kyoto pref.)

Ⅰ. Current BMD system

Page 6: Ms Mai Yaguchi - Japan’s BMD Update

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North Korea’s actions

Security Environment Surrounding Japan (in BMD context)

Has repeatedly heightened tension in the Asia-Pacific region by escalating its

provocative rhetoric and behavior against Japan and other countries.

Technological improvements have been made to extend the range and increase

the accuracy of its ballistic missiles through a series of missile launches.

Conducted nuclear tests in defiance of calls for restraint from the international

community.

Ⅱ. Future BMD system

North Korea’s nuclear and missile development, coupled with its provocative

rhetoric and behavior, such as suggesting a missile attack on Japan, pose a

serious and imminent threat to Japan’s security.

North Korea’s Nodong missile

Page 7: Ms Mai Yaguchi - Japan’s BMD Update

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BMD Related Entries in the National Defense Program Guideline (Excerpt)

NDPG (Dec. 17, 2010)

The SDF will respond to ballistic missile attacks by maintaining a continuous ISR posture. In addition, the SDF will respond effectively to ballistic missiles capable of evading interceptors by developing a multi-layered defense posture. Should by some chance any damage were to occur, the Government will take consequence management measures to minimize it.

New NDPG (Dec. 17, 2013)

To counter North Korea’s improved ballistic missile capability, Japan will pursue comprehensive improvement of its response capability against the threat of ballistic missiles.

With regard to the BMD system, Japan will enhance readiness, simultaneous engagement capability and sustainable response capability to strengthen the capability to protect the entire territory….

Ⅱ. Future BMD system

Page 8: Ms Mai Yaguchi - Japan’s BMD Update

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BMD-related Programs in Five-year Defense Program

(Notional)

Improvement of existing Aegis BMD (+ 2 Ships)

Increase Aegis BMD (+ 2 Ships)

Develop advanced interceptors (SM-3 Block-II A)(Continued)

Introduce Advanced interceptor missile (PAC-3 MSE)

Deploy and improve new radars (FPS-7)

FPS-5 X 4 FPS-7

FPS-3(UG) X 7 Patriot Units X 6 MDG

Aegis Ships X 8

【Future Structure】

Ⅱ. Future BMD system

In effort to pursue comprehensive improvement of response capability against threat of BMs;

- strengthen capability to protect the entire territory of Japan

- enhance readiness, simultaneous engagement capability and sustainable response capability

Page 9: Ms Mai Yaguchi - Japan’s BMD Update

Advanced BMD Interceptor Missile (SM-3 BlockIIA)

Cooperative Development project for SM-3 BlockIIA with the U.S. has been in

progress, to expand defended area (fig.1) and to respond to future, improved

and diversified threat (fig.2). The missile will succeed the existing SM-3 Block IA.

Development Period: Approx. 11 years (JFY2006~)

Fig. 2: Future threat example (Diversifying trajectories)

SM-3 BlockIIA SM-3 Block IA

Fig. 1: Comparison of DA against conventional BM threat

Min, energy

NOTIONAL

NOTIONAL

Lofted

Ⅱ. Future BMD system

Page 10: Ms Mai Yaguchi - Japan’s BMD Update

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Sohae “Satellite” Launching Station (Chulsan County)

(Notional Description of Launch)

Falling Area #1

Falling Area #2

Miyako Island

Ishigaki Island

Iriomote Island

Falling Area of Fairing

Approx. 85km

Approx. 35km

Approx. 300km

Approx. 100km

Approx. 140km

Approx. 110km

Dec. 1st NOTAM is issued from NK (Based on procedure of ICAO) Dec. 3rd NK notifies IMO Launch Schedule: Dec. 10th (Mon.) ~ 22nd

(Sat.) 7 AM ~ 12 PM (Japan time) Daily

Ⅲ. BMD Operation

Falling Areas Designated by North Korea

Page 11: Ms Mai Yaguchi - Japan’s BMD Update

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NARASHINO

ASAKA

ICHIGAYA

NAHA

CHINEN

Okinawa

MIYAKOJIMA ISHIGAKIJIMA

PAC-3 deployment point PLACE

3 Aegis BMD ships were deployed; a ship in the Sea of Japan, 2 ships in the Ease China Sea

GSDF support unit (in case of ground damage)

PLACE

YONAGUNIJIMA

Termination order: 12th Dec.

Destruction order: 7th Dec.

Preparation order: 1st Dec.

TARAMAJIMA

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Ⅲ. BMD Operation

JSDF BMD response force deployment

Page 12: Ms Mai Yaguchi - Japan’s BMD Update

Thank you for your attention!