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08/09 feelestate.de German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

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25.08.2009, Credit Suisse Real Estate Round Table, London: "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?" Presentation of Olaf G. Borkers, CFO

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Page 1: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

08/09feelestate.de

German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough timesLeasing in tough times – what has changed?

Page 2: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Germany on its way into/out of a recession?

German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed? 2

Page 3: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Development of sales in German retail

German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed? 3

Page 4: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Company I Lease System

General form oflease contracts

for DES-tenants

1turnover-linked rent

rent

Participation insales growth of

il i dretail industry

CPI-linked minimum rent

Lease standards:

01 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 years

Lease standards:10 years lease onlyno break-up optiont li k d tturnover-linked rentsminimum rents are CPI-linked

German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed? 4

Page 5: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Company I Lease System

avg. rent per sqm and year: €250avg. turnover per sqm and year: €4,700Rent-to-sales-ratio: 6.5-9.5%

avg. German retail:€3,330

Rent to sales ratio: 6.5 9.5%weighted maturity of rental contracts: >7 years

5%€ million

115 3

90

115

3%

4%

5%

2 6% 2.8%92.9 95.8

115.3

651%

2%

3%

1.8%

2.6%

57.9 61.4

72.12.2% 2.4%

2.0%

400%

1%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Revenue Rate of turnover linked rentRevenue Rate of turnover-linked rent

German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed? 5

Page 6: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Shopping Centers I Tenants Structure Top 10 tenants*

Metro-Group 5.1%Low level of

dependence onthe top 10 tenants

Douglas-Group 4.6%Peek & Cloppenburg 2.7%H&M 2.2%

the top 10 tenants

Inditex 2.0%New Yorker 1.9%Deichmann 1.9%dm-Drogeriemarkt 1.4%REWE 1.3%Engelhorn & Sturm 1.3%

O h

total 24.4%

Other tenants

total 75.6%

*in % of total rents as at 31 Dec 2008

German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed? 6

Page 7: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Shopping Centers I Maturity Distribution of Rental Contracts*

Long-term contractsguarantee rental income

2014 et sqq:

Weighted maturity> 7 years

2014 et sqq: 69.4%

2009: 2.1%2010: 2.3%

> 7 years

2011: 10.0%

2012: 12.8%

2013: 3.4%

*as % of rental income as at 31 Dec 2008

German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed? 7

Page 8: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Shopping Centers I Sector and Retailer Mix*

Balanced sector and retailer diversification

non-food/electronics20% department stores

13%

food7%

health & beauty

fashion

health & beauty6%

catering4%

services

inter-/national retailers

49%

fashion49%

services1%

localentrepreneurs

26%

regional retailchains25%

*in % of lettable space as at 31 Dec 2008

German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed? 8

Page 9: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Current situation in Germany

drop in demand (due to taxes, financial crisis, etc.)

decline in sales (up to -30 %)

increase in retail space (due to insolvencies of large-sized units)

closing down of shops (due to decline in sales)g ( )

increasing fluctuation

demand for retail areas is concentrating on special locationsdemand for retail areas is concentrating on special locations,

shop-sizes etc.

changes in sociodemographic structureschanges in sociodemographic structures

(e. g. age structure, size of households, etc.)

new forms of distributionnew forms of distribution

(e. g. Internet, Petrol stations, Teleshopping, etc.)

funding problems for tenants due to changes in bank policiesfunding problems for tenants due to changes in bank policies

German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed? 9

Page 10: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Insolvencies of Retailers in Germany

Rising press re on landlords d e to increase in retailRising pressure on landlords due to increase in retail space (especially large units)

German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed? 10

Page 11: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Karstadt as Tenant of Deutsche EuroShop

Main-Taunus-Zentrum: approx 16.200 m², 2 levels, lease contract until 31.12.2026

Ph i C t H bPhoenix-Center Hamburg:approx 3.200 m², 1 level, right to cancel until 31.12.2009

German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed? 11

Page 12: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Karstadt as Neighbour of Deutsche EuroShop: Rhein-Neckar-Zentrum

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Karstadt as Neighbour of Deutsche EuroShop: Rathaus-Center Dessau

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How to react to the crisis – as tenant

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Page 15: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Strategies of still successful tenants

rent reduction program

rent reductionsrent reductions

optimizing the shop-portfolio

suspension of rental index( ti )

p g p p

(as a precaution)

/ closure of specific branches/expansion by higher subsidiesf th l dl dfrom the landlord

refusal of rent increases

15German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

Page 16: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Successful tenants willing to expand

16German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

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How to react to the crisis – as landlord

creative and more effective marketing-activities

(by the center-management)

deferral of rent

payment plan agreementpayment plan agreement

(temporary) rent reductions

premature termination of contractpremature termination of contract

(with/without separation fee)

Every step has to be individual,depending on the tenant's specific situation

17German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

Page 18: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

New Trends in the retail sector

18German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

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Verticalization

International sourcing of goodsSkipping of intermediate trade levelsRapid sourcing of goods

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Rapid sourcing of goods (e.g. ZARA: from first product-idea to shop in 16 days)

German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

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Monolabel-/Lifestyle-Stores

20German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

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Specialisation

… of products on offer and of target groups

21German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

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International operating tenants

SachaAIGLE SachaAIGLE

TANEOTANEO

22German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

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Labelshops - producers and retailers

23German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

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Current trends in the leasing of shopping centers

more variety of shops

size (of shops) DOES matter

agglomeration of chain stores / verticalization

less market actors

international expansion

strategic partnership of tenants and landlords

accelerating change of markets

overall-concept of architecture, tenant-mixoverall concept of architecture, tenant mix

and professional center-management

24German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

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Successful leasing of shopping centers in tough times is all about...

… replacing outdated shop-concepts

25German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

Page 26: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Successful leasing of shopping centers in tough times is all about...

… selecting new and innovative concepts

26German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

Page 27: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Successful leasing of shopping centers in tough times is all about...

… selecting new and innovative concepts

27German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

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Successful leasing of shopping centers in tough times is all about...

… change to latest shop design

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Successful leasing of shopping centers in tough times is all about...

… change to most demanded assortment of goods

29German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

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Successful leasing of shopping centers in tough times is all about...

… ideal targeting

30German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

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Successful leasing of shopping centers in tough times is all about...

… selecting the most popular brands

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Successful leasing of shopping centers in tough times is all about...

… maximum utilisation of space

32German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

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Successful leasing of shopping centers in tough times is all about...

… ideal customer-approach

33German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

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Successful leasing of shopping centers in tough times is all about...

… latest front- and light-design

34German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

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Successful leasing of shopping centers in tough times is all about...

… modifying the variety of shops by trading-up

35German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

Page 36: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Consequences for landlords

Flexibility• Rapidity in retail (replaceability)• New profile of requirements (size, specific location, etc.)p q ( , p , )• New trends / assortments of goods

Creating of• Structures of supply (variety of retail space, etc.)

Add d l f t il• Added value for retailers• Overall high quality concept of architecture,

variety of shops, quality level

and always: focus on they

36German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

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Consequences for the rent-level

Example: Altmarkt-Galerie Dresden

Average rent in 2002 (opening):25 62 € per sqm and month25.62 € per sqm and monthAverage rent predicted for extension:30.42 € per sqm and month

If you have the right productyou can achieve the right price,y g p ,even in tough times

37German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

Page 38: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Extension of the Altmarkt-Galerie Dresden

The lettable area is set to increase by approx 32 000 m²The lettable area is set to increase by approx. 32,000 m² (currently approx. 44,500 m²), allowing some 90 new shops to openExpansion includes 3 000 m² office space and 5 000 m²Expansion includes 3,000 m² office space and 5,000 m² for a hotelApprox. €155 million total investment volume( €77 5 illi f DES)

German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed? 38

(approx. €77.5 million for DES)

Page 39: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Conclusion

German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times

what has changed?– what has changed?

Not much.It has always been challenging...

39German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed?

Page 40: Deutsche EuroShop "Leasing in tough times - what has changed?"

Appendix I Contact

Deutsche EuroShop AGInvestor & Public RelationsOderfelder Straße 2320149 Hamburg20149 Hamburg

Tel. +49 (40) 41 35 79 - 20 / -22Fax +49 (40) 41 35 79 - 29

Claus-Matthias BögeChief Executive Officer

( )E-Mail: [email protected]: www.deutsche-euroshop.com

Olaf G. BorkersChief Financial Officer

Important Notice: Forward-Looking Statements

Statements in this presentation relating to future status orcircumstances, including statements regarding manage-ment’s plans and objectives for future operations sales

Chief Financial Officer

ment s plans and objectives for future operations, sales and earnings figures, are forward-looking statements of goals and expectations based on estimates, assumptionsand the anticipated effects of future events on current anddeveloping circumstances and do not necessarily predictfuture results.

Patrick KissHead of Investor & Public Relations

Many factors could cause the actual results to be materiallydifferent from those that may be expressed or implied bysuch statements.

Deutsche EuroShop does not intend to update these forward-looking statements and does not assume any

bli ti t dNicolas Lissner

German Shopping Centers: Leasing in tough times – what has changed? 40

obligation to do so. Manager Investor & Public Relations