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Hyderabad July – Dec 2014

Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

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Page 1: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Hyderabad July – Dec 2014

Page 2: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Residential July – Dec 2014

Page 3: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Residential market continues to lose steam despite political scenario easing out

RESIDENTIAL

Hyderabad residential market launches, absorption and price trend

30% fall in H2 2014 vs. H2 2013 H2 2013 – 7,376 units H2 2014 – 5,151 units

7% fall in H2 2014 vs. H2 2013 H2 2013 – 8,419 units H2 2014 – 7,829 units

5.6% rise in price Y-O-Y in 2014

Page 4: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

RESIDENTIAL

Residential Market in Hyderabad in Year 2014

Sales volume

fell by

18%

15,111 units sold vs. 18,428 units in 2013

New launches dropped

by 30%

13,050 units launched vs. 18,643 units in 2013

Page 5: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

West Hyderabad accounts for the largest share of under-construction inventory

RESIDENTIAL

1,24

8 un

its

535

units

907

units

605

units

347

units

399

units

359

units

60

9 un

its

246

units

827

units

600

units

609

units

4,33

6 un

its

5,80

8 un

its

2,99

0 un

its

Micro-market-wise residential launches – Share in %

Page 6: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Share of West Hyderabad falls over the past 18 months

RESIDENTIAL

Micro-market-wise residential sales – Share in % 84

8 un

its

820

units

945

units

945

units

904

units

1,05

6 un

its

956

units

877

units

909

units

334

units

384

units

383

units

5,35

5 un

its

4,27

9 un

its

4,53

6 un

its

Page 7: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Current QTS at nearly 2.5 years indicates a fairly better residential market – Age of inventory as high as 3.5 years

RESIDENTIAL

Page 8: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Central Hyderabad remains healthiest in the city with West following close behind

RESIDENTIAL

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Age

of u

nsol

d in

vent

ory

in q

uart

ers

QTS

HMR - Central

HMR - East

HMR - North

HMR - South

HMR - West

Size of the bubble indicates the quantum of unsold inventory Total Unsold Units 35,183

as on December 2014

Page 9: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

RESIDENTIAL

Prices have grown by 5.6%; Cost pressures rule out possible corrections

Page 10: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Concluding Remarks

Change of guard at the state government does little to improve the residential market

Cash strapped developers put the brakes on launches while looking

to offload existing inventory West continues to see bulk of the market activity

RESIDENTIAL

Page 11: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Going forward

De-growth in launches and absorption likely to be stemmed to just 5% and 2% Y-O-Y respectively in H1 2015

Though we expect a fall Y-O-Y in H1 2015, the numbers will still be

better than H2 2014 Prices expected to grow at the same rate Y-O-Y in H1 2015 as in H2

2014

RESIDENTIAL

Page 12: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

July – Dec 2014

Office

Page 13: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Vacancy levels drop to 17% - first time since 2012

OFFICE

Hyderabad office space stock and vacancy levels

Page 14: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Deloitte leasing deal leads the office market rebound - Absorption levels have shot up by 140% Y-O-Y

OFFICE

Page 15: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

IT/ITeS share drops; other services sectors compensate the fall

y

OFFICE

Page 16: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

SBD accounts for practically all the space absorbed during Jul – Dec 2014

y

OFFICE

56,7

00 s

q.ft.

8,50

0 sq

.ft.

645,

523

sq.ft

.

2,63

7,81

6 sq

.ft.

449,

532

sq.ft

.

113,

000

sq.ft

.

5,80

0 sq

.ft.

13,5

00 s

q.ft.

Page 17: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Post a 2 year stagnation, rentals have grown by 5% Y-O-Y - expected a similar pace in the next 6 months

OFFICE

y

Page 18: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Concluding Remarks

• Deloitte gives a new lease of life to Hyderabad office market • The SBD business district accounts for practically all the

space absorbed during H2 2014. • Receding share of the IT/ITeS sector has not affected overall

absorption volumes, as consulting, designing and media companies from the other services sector have been gaining a share in tandem

Page 19: Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

Going Forward

Change in political regime to get businesses back in the city

Increase in average deal sizes bodes well for the market and this phenomenon should sustain going forward as well

Absorption likely to be 3.3 mn.sq.ft. during Jan – Jun 2015; similar

to that of H1 2014

Weighted average rental to rise by a nominal 5%